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2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

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Main article:2016 United States presidential election
2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

← 2012
November 8, 2016
2020 →
Turnout60.2%[1]Decrease 0.6pp
 
NomineeHillary ClintonDonald Trump
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateNew YorkNew York
Running mateTim KaineMike Pence
Electoral vote40
Popular vote252,525180,543
Percentage54.41%38.90%

County results
Municipality results
Congressional district results

Clinton

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  80–90%

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%



President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.
Elections in Rhode Island
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The2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Rhode Island voters chose four electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote.

Prior to the election, Rhode Island was considered to be a state Clinton would win or a safe blue state. Rhode Island, like most of New England, is strongly Democratic. Its voters tend to be liberal on social issues, most of its population lives in urban cities, its voting age population skews younger, and the Democratic Party has been regarded as the state's dominant party since the 1930s.[2][3][4]

Although Clinton easily won Rhode Island, her 15.5% margin was significantly weaker than Obama's 27% margin 4 years earlier. Trump notably became the first Republican nominee for president to win a county since Reagan won the state in1984.

Primaries

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
Main article:2016 Rhode Island Democratic presidential primary

Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[5]

Rhode Island Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Bernie Sanders66,99354.71%13013
Hillary Clinton52,74943.08%11920
Mark Stewart2360.19%000
Rocky De La Fuente1450.12%000
Write-in6730.55%000
Uncommitted1,6621.36%000
Total122,458100%24933
Source:[6][7][8]

Republican primary

[edit]
Republican primary results by county(left) and municipality(right).
  Donald Trump
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  John Kasich
  •   40–50%
Main article:2016 Rhode Island Republican presidential primary

Three candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[5]

Rhode Island Republican primary, April 26, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump39,22163.7%12012
John Kasich14,96324.3%505
Ted Cruz6,41610.4%202
Uncommitted4170.7%000
Marco Rubio(withdrawn)3820.6%000
Write-in2150.3%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:61,614100.00%19019
Source:Rhode Island Board of Elections

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2016
CNN[10]Safe DNovember 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[11]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[12]Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[13]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[15]Likely DNovember 8, 2016
Fox News[16]Safe DNovember 7, 2016

Results

[edit]
2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island[17][18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticHillary Clinton252,52554.41%
RepublicanDonald Trump180,54338.90%
LibertarianGary Johnson14,7463.18%
GreenJill Stein6,2201.34%
Write-inEvan McMullin7590.16%
American DeltaRocky De La Fuente6710.14%
Write-inMike Maturen460.01%
Write-inDarrell Castle300.01%
Write-inOther write-ins8,6041.85%
Total votes464,144100.00%

By county

[edit]
CountyHillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Bristol14,60957.35%8,96535.19%1,9017.46%5,64422.16%25,475
Kent37,78846.05%38,33646.72%5,9297.23%-548-0.67%82,053
Newport22,85155.67%15,07736.73%3,1177.60%7,77418.94%41,045
Providence142,89957.51%90,88236.58%14,6935.91%52,01720.93%248,474
Washington33,74150.84%27,23041.03%5,3988.13%6,5119.81%66,369
Totals252,52554.41%180,54338.90%31,0766.69%71,98215.51%464,144
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Clinton won both congressional districts.[20]

DistrictClintonTrumpRepresentative
1st59%34%David Cicilline
2nd50%43%James Langevin

By municipality

[edit]
The pink municipalities voted forBarack Obama in2012 and flipped toDonald Trump in 2016. OnlyEast Greenwich voted forMitt Romney in 2012 but flipped toHillary Clinton in 2016. Dark blue and dark red municipalities did not flip from 2012 to 2016.

Analysis

[edit]

Donald Trump flipped several municipalities that had not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since the 1980s includingBurrillville,Coventry,Exeter,Foster,Glocester,Hopkinton,Johnston,Lincoln,North Smithfield,Richmond,Smithfield, andWest Warwick. Meanwhile,Hillary Clinton was able to flipEast Greenwich which voted forMitt Romney in 2012. This was the worst Democratic performance in Burrillville since 1920 and the worst Democratic performance in Johnston since 1924.

As of the2024 presidential election, this is the solitary election since1984 where any county in Rhode Island voted Republican (Kent County narrowly voted for Trump), and the most recent election where Lincoln voted Republican.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^This figure is calculated by dividing the total number of votes cast in 2016 (464,144) by an estimate of the number of registered voters in Rhode Island in 2016 (770,875).
  2. ^Quinn, Sean (September 29, 2008)."Road to 270: Rhode Island".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedApril 25, 2025.
  3. ^"Demographic and Economic Profiles of Rhode Island's Electorate".Census.gov. RetrievedApril 25, 2025.
  4. ^"New Year's Day marks 78 years since RI 'Bloodless Revolution' | WPRI.com Blogs". January 7, 2013. Archived fromthe original on January 7, 2013. RetrievedApril 25, 2025.
  5. ^abPatrick Anderson."Candidates in both parties gear up for spot on R.I. primary ballot".The Providence Journal. RetrievedFebruary 5, 2016.
  6. ^The Green Papers
  7. ^Rhode Island Board of Elections
  8. ^Rhode Island Democratic Party - Official Pledged Delegates Allocation
  9. ^"Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours".Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  10. ^Chalian, David (November 4, 2016)."Road to 270: CNN's new election map".CNN. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  11. ^"2016 Electoral Scorecard".The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived fromthe original on March 1, 2019. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  12. ^"2016 Electoral Map Prediction".Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  13. ^"Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedAugust 16, 2021.
  14. ^Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016)."2016 President".University of Virginia Center for Politics. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  15. ^"2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  16. ^"Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge".Fox News. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  17. ^"Rhode Island Election Results".The New York Times. RetrievedDecember 12, 2016.
  18. ^"2016 Presidential General Election Results - Rhode Island".
  19. ^Bump, Philip."The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election".Washington Post.ISSN 0190-8286. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2020.
  20. ^"Dra 2020".

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