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| Turnout | 62.36% (of eligible voters)[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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| Elections in New Mexico |
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The2016 United States presidential election in New Mexico was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.New Mexico voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton, and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine. New Mexico has five electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
Clinton won the state of New Mexico with a plurality, by a margin of 8.2 percentage points. The state had long been considered leaning Democratic, or a state Clinton would win, due to its large population ofHispanic/Latino andNative American voters. FormerNew Mexico GovernorGary Johnson achieved 9% in his home state, his best performance of any state, and theLibertarian Party's best performance in any single state sinceEd Clark received 11.66% of the vote inAlaska in 1980.[3] Johnson's result was also the best result for a third party or independent candidate in New Mexico sinceRoss Perot's campaign in1992.
This is the third time since 1912, when New Mexico attained statehood, that the state voted for a candidate who did not win the Electoral College, the other instances being1976 and2000. However, in this election and in 2000, the state did vote for the winner of the popular vote. Trump became the first Republican to win theWhite House without carryingLos Alamos County sinceDwight D. Eisenhower in1952, as well as the first to do so without carryingSandoval County sinceRichard Nixon in1968.
Four candidates appeared on theDemocratic Party (United States) presidential primary ballot:
| New Mexico Democratic primary, June 7, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 111,334 | 51.53% | 18 | 9 | 27 |
| Bernie Sanders | 104,741 | 48.47% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| Uncommitted | N/a | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 216,075 | 100% | 34 | 9 | 43 |
| Source:[4][5] | |||||
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
Donald Trump, the only candidate with an active campaign, won every delegate from New Mexico.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 73,908 | 70.64% | 24 | 0 | 24 |
| Ted Cruz(withdrawn) | 13,925 | 13.31% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich(withdrawn) | 7,925 | 7.57% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson(withdrawn) | 3,830 | 3.66% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush(withdrawn) | 3,531 | 3.37% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina(withdrawn) | 1,508 | 1.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 104,627 | 100.00% | 24 | 0 | 24 |
| Source:The Green Papers | |||||
Albuquerque Journal October 2, 2016[6]
Albuquerque Journal November 5, 2016[7]
Clinton won every pre-election poll conducted. Her margin of victory varied from 2 points to 13 points. The last poll showed Clinton ahead of Trump 46% to 44%, while the RealClearPolitics average of the last three had Clinton leading Trump 45.3% to 40.3% on the day of the election, with Gary Johnson at 9.3% andGreen Party candidateJill Stein at 2.3%.[8] Johnson's highest level of support was 25% in aWashington Post-SurveyMonkey poll in early September.[9]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[10] | Safe D | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[11] | Safe D | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report[12] | Likely D | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com[13] | Lean D | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[14] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Likely D | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[16] | Tossup | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[17] | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 385,234 | 48.26% | −4.73 | ||
| Republican | 319,667 | 40.04% | −2.80 | ||
| Libertarian | 74,541 | 9.34% | +5.79 | ||
| Green | 9,879 | 1.24% | +0.90 | ||
| Better for America |
| 5,825 | 0.73% | N/A | |
| Constitution |
| 1,514 | 0.19% | +0.06 | |
| Socialism and Liberation | 1,184 | 0.15% | N/A | ||
| American Delta | 475 | 0.06% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 798,319 | 100.00% | |||
| Democraticwin | |||||
| County | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Gary Johnson Libertarian | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Bernalillo | 143,417 | 52.22% | 94,698 | 34.48% | 29,682 | 10.81% | 6,865 | 2.50% | 48,719 | 17.74% | 274,662 |
| Catron | 427 | 20.84% | 1,464 | 71.45% | 111 | 5.42% | 47 | 2.29% | -1,037 | -50.61% | 2,049 |
| Chaves | 5,534 | 27.30% | 12,872 | 63.50% | 1,609 | 7.94% | 256 | 1.26% | -7,338 | -36.20% | 20,271 |
| Cibola | 3,741 | 46.40% | 3,195 | 39.63% | 970 | 12.03% | 157 | 1.95% | 546 | 6.77% | 8,063 |
| Colfax | 2,129 | 39.93% | 2,585 | 48.48% | 527 | 9.88% | 91 | 1.71% | -456 | -8.55% | 5,332 |
| Curry | 3,121 | 23.34% | 9,035 | 67.58% | 973 | 7.28% | 241 | 1.80% | -5,914 | -44.24% | 13,370 |
| De Baca | 193 | 21.21% | 620 | 68.13% | 89 | 9.78% | 8 | 0.88% | -427 | -46.92% | 910 |
| Doña Ana | 37,947 | 53.71% | 25,374 | 35.92% | 5,471 | 7.74% | 1,856 | 2.63% | 12,573 | 17.79% | 70,648 |
| Eddy | 5,033 | 25.59% | 13,147 | 66.85% | 1,275 | 6.48% | 212 | 1.08% | -8,114 | -41.26% | 19,667 |
| Grant | 6,276 | 48.99% | 5,288 | 41.28% | 899 | 7.02% | 348 | 2.72% | 988 | 7.71% | 12,811 |
| Guadalupe | 970 | 53.09% | 595 | 32.57% | 238 | 13.03% | 24 | 1.31% | 375 | 20.52% | 1,827 |
| Harding | 156 | 29.60% | 311 | 59.01% | 55 | 10.44% | 5 | 0.95% | -155 | -29.41% | 527 |
| Hidalgo | 784 | 41.88% | 910 | 48.61% | 137 | 7.32% | 41 | 2.19% | -126 | -6.73% | 1,872 |
| Lea | 3,930 | 22.19% | 12,495 | 70.55% | 1,098 | 6.20% | 189 | 1.07% | -8,565 | -48.36% | 17,712 |
| Lincoln | 2,331 | 26.19% | 5,896 | 66.23% | 560 | 6.29% | 115 | 1.29% | -3,565 | -40.04% | 8,902 |
| Los Alamos | 5,562 | 51.10% | 3,359 | 30.86% | 1,512 | 13.89% | 452 | 4.15% | 2,203 | 20.24% | 10,885 |
| Luna | 3,195 | 43.80% | 3,478 | 47.68% | 481 | 6.59% | 141 | 1.93% | -283 | -3.88% | 7,295 |
| McKinley | 13,576 | 62.55% | 5,104 | 23.52% | 2,412 | 11.11% | 611 | 2.82% | 8,472 | 39.03% | 21,703 |
| Mora | 1,536 | 62.93% | 665 | 27.24% | 194 | 7.95% | 46 | 1.88% | 871 | 35.69% | 2,441 |
| Otero | 6,124 | 30.53% | 11,887 | 59.26% | 1,613 | 8.04% | 436 | 2.17% | -5,763 | -28.73% | 20,060 |
| Quay | 1,017 | 28.47% | 2,212 | 61.93% | 299 | 8.37% | 44 | 1.23% | -1,195 | -33.46% | 3,572 |
| Rio Arriba | 9,592 | 64.47% | 3,599 | 24.19% | 1,425 | 9.58% | 262 | 1.76% | 5,993 | 40.28% | 14,878 |
| Roosevelt | 1,454 | 24.44% | 3,884 | 65.28% | 482 | 8.10% | 130 | 2.18% | -2,430 | -40.84% | 5,950 |
| San Juan | 12,865 | 27.90% | 27,946 | 60.61% | 4,200 | 9.11% | 1099 | 2.38% | -15,081 | -32.71% | 46,110 |
| San Miguel | 7,285 | 67.76% | 2,313 | 21.51% | 915 | 8.61% | 238 | 2.21% | 4,972 | 46.25% | 10,751 |
| Sandoval | 27,707 | 44.91% | 25,905 | 41.99% | 6,657 | 10.79% | 1,421 | 2.30% | 1,802 | 2.92% | 61,690 |
| Santa Fe | 50,793 | 71.10% | 14,332 | 20.06% | 4,362 | 6.11% | 1,947 | 2.73% | 36,461 | 51.04% | 71,434 |
| Sierra | 1,612 | 31.11% | 3,010 | 58.10% | 442 | 8.53% | 117 | 2.26% | -1,398 | -26.99% | 5,181 |
| Socorro | 3,313 | 48.24% | 2,616 | 38.09% | 802 | 11.68% | 137 | 1.99% | 697 | 10.15% | 6,868 |
| Taos | 10,668 | 69.91% | 2,727 | 17.87% | 1,179 | 7.73% | 686 | 4.50% | 7,941 | 52.04% | 15,260 |
| Torrance | 1,785 | 28.23% | 3,714 | 58.73% | 692 | 10.94% | 133 | 2.10% | -1,929 | -30.50% | 6,324 |
| Union | 320 | 18.80% | 1,216 | 71.45% | 134 | 7.87% | 32 | 1.88% | -896 | -52.65% | 1,702 |
| Valencia | 10,841 | 39.29% | 13,215 | 47.89% | 3,046 | 11.04% | 490 | 1.78% | -2,374 | -8.60% | 27,592 |
| Total | 385,234 | 48.26% | 319,667 | 40.04% | 74,541 | 9.34% | 18,877 | 2.36% | 65,567 | 8.22% | 798,319 |
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
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Clinton won two of three congressional districts.[20]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 35% | 52% | Michelle Lujan Grisham |
| 2nd | 50% | 40% | Steve Pearce |
| 3rd | 37% | 52% | Ben Ray Luján |
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