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2016 United States presidential election in Nevada

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Main article:2016 United States presidential election
2016 United States presidential election in Nevada

← 2012November 8, 20162020 →
Turnout76.83%Increase
 
NomineeHillary ClintonDonald Trump
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateNew YorkNew York
Running mateTim KaineMike Pence
Electoral vote60
Popular vote539,260512,058
Percentage47.92%45.50%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Clinton

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No data

  
  


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Results by county with size showing number of votes
Treemap of the popular vote by county
Elections in Nevada
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flagNevada portal

The2016 United States presidential election in Nevada was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Nevada voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, businessmanDonald Trump (and his running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence), against theDemocratic Party's nominee, formerU.S. Secretary of StateHillary Clinton (and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine). Nevada has six votes in the Electoral College.[1]

Clinton won the state with 47.92% of the vote, while Trump won 45.5%, which represents a tight margin between the two. Clinton's vote share marked a considerable decline from the vote sharesBarack Obama got from the state in2008 and2012. Despite this, Nevada was the only state that Clinton won in 2016 thatKamala Harris lost in2024. (Harris also wonNebraska's 2nd congressional district, which Clinton lost.)

With his overall victory in the presidential election, Trump became the first Republican sinceWilliam McKinley in1900 to win the presidency without carryingWashoe County. This is also the only time sinceWilliam Howard Taft in1908 that a Republican won the presidency without Nevada, and the last time that neither major party won a majority of the vote in Nevada. Trump later won the state in 2024, maintaining its streak of voting for every winner of the popular vote since 2004.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic caucuses

[edit]
Main article:2016 Nevada Democratic caucuses and convention
Democratic caucus results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
  Tie

The2016 Nevada Democratic caucuses took place on February 20 in the U.S. state ofNevada, traditionally marking theDemocratic Party's third nominating contest in their series ofpresidential primaries ahead of the2016 presidential election.

With all other candidates having dropped out of the race ahead of the Nevada caucuses, the two remaining candidates wereBernie Sanders andHillary Clinton.[2]

Process

[edit]

Of the total number of 43 delegates the Nevada Democratic Party may send to the2016 Democratic National Convention, 35 are pledged and 8 are unpledged.

The delegate selection process is a system with three levels:

  1. The first step in the delegate selection process were the precinct caucuses on February 20, which elected about 12,000 delegates to the county conventions.
  2. At the county conventions on April 2, the county delegates selected about 4,000 delegates to the state convention.
  3. At the state convention on May 14–15, the final 35 pledged delegates to the National Convention will be selected. 23 of them are allocated proportionally based on congressional district results, whereas the remaining 12 are allocated based on the state convention as a whole.

A majority of participants at the February caucuses supported Hillary Clinton. However, the county conventions on April 2, 2016, resulted in more Sanders delegates than Clinton delegates being sent to the state convention in May.

Debates and forums

[edit]

October 2015 debate in Las Vegas

Main article:First Democratic Party presidential debate, October 2015 in Las Vegas, Nevada

On October 13, 2015, the Democratic Party's first debate was held at theWynn Hotel inLas Vegas. Hosted byAnderson Cooper, it aired onCNN and was broadcast on radio byWestwood One. Participants were the candidatesHillary Clinton,Bernie Sanders,Jim Webb,Martin O'Malley, andLincoln Chafee. It was the only debate appearance of Chafee and Webb, who ended their campaigns on October 23 and October 20, respectively.

February 2016 forum in Las Vegas

See also:2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums

On February 18, MSNBC and Telemundo hosted a forum in Las Vegas.

Caucus Results

[edit]
Nevada Democratic caucuses, February 20, 2016
CandidateCounty delegatesEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton6,44052.64%20424
Bernie Sanders5,78547.29%15116
Uncommitted80.07%033
Total12,233100%35843
Source:[3]

County Conventions

[edit]

The County Conventions were marked by bickering between Clinton and Sanders supporters, most notably in Clark County,[4] which had been won by Clinton during the caucuses and led to the attempted arrest of the head of the credentials committee, Sanders supporter Christine Kramar, after the Clinton supporters on the Clark County Democratic committee attempted to depose her from her position. Kramar had discovered that the Clark County Democratic Party had been having private correspondence with only Clinton's campaign, as opposed to both campaigns.

The results statewide goes as follows:[5] Sanders 3846 (55.23%)Clinton 2124 (44.77%)

Sanders won most of the northern counties in Nevada, including Washoe County, and Clinton won most of the southern counties, including Clark County.

State Convention

[edit]

The state convention was held in May as the final stage of the delegate selection process. Supports of Senator Sanders were angered when Party officials declined to accept the credentials of close to 60 pro-Sanders delegates. Nevada Democratic Party Chairwoman, Roberta Lange, allegedly received numerous death threats and threats to the lives of her family and grandchildren; a criminal investigation has yet to confirm these claims or the identities of those allegedly involved. At the convention, Sanders supporters protested until the staff cancelled the event.[6][7] The event was later criticized as being violent, although there is no evidence that violence occurred.[8]

Despite charges by Sanders supporters that the convention was rigged against their candidate, according to Jon Ralston,[7] "the facts reveal that the Sanders folks disregarded rules, then when shown the truth, attacked organizers and party officials as tools of a conspiracy to defraud the senator of what was never rightfully his in the first place."[7][9] After Sanders campaign ChairJeff Weaver repeated assertions of process-rigging by Democratic Party officials,Politifact examined the evidence and concluded that, while the Party's selection process was "arcane" and "incredibly confusing", the fact is that "Clinton’s supporters simply turned out (attended the Convention) in larger numbers and helped her solidify her delegate lead." Moreover, according to Politifact: "There’s no clear evidence the state party 'hijacked' the process or ignored 'regular procedure.'"[10]

The Nevada Democratic Party wrote to theDemocratic National Committee accusing Sanders supporters of having a "penchant for extra-parliamentary behavior — indeed, actual violence — in place of democratic conduct in a convention setting."[11] Sanders responded by denouncing the alleged use of violence while asserting that they were not treated with "fairness and respect" in a statement.[11]

In a TV segment, comedianSamantha Bee reported on the fracas,[12][13] as didLast Week Tonight with John Oliver[14] andLate Night with Seth Meyers in "A Closer Look" segment.[15]

Republican caucus

[edit]
Republican caucus results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz
Main article:2016 Nevada Republican caucuses

Delegates fromNevada to theRepublican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the caucus results.

This sectionshould include a summary ofNevada Republican caucuses, 2016. SeeWikipedia:Summary style for information on how to incorporate it into this article's main text.(April 2016)
Nevada Republican precinct caucuses, February 23, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump34,53145.75%14014
Marco Rubio17,94023.77%707
Ted Cruz16,07921.30%606
Ben Carson3,6194.79%202
John Kasich2,7093.59%101
Invalid2660.35%000
Rand Paul(withdrawn)1700.23%000
Jeb Bush(withdrawn)640.08%000
Chris Christie(withdrawn)500.07%000
Carly Fiorina(withdrawn)220.03%000
Mike Huckabee(withdrawn)210.03%000
Rick Santorum(withdrawn)110.01%000
Jim Gilmore(withdrawn)000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:75,482100.00%30030
Source:The Green Papers

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
See also:Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016 § Nevada

From the first poll conducted in May 2016, and throughout the summer, the race was a complete tossup with neither Clinton nor Trump having a large lead. Clinton won most polls in the summer by 1-2 points. From late September till October 20, Clinton won or tied in every poll. On October 20, Trump won a poll 47% to 44%. The race was neck and neck until election day, with neither candidate taking a significant lead. The average of the final 3 polls had Clinton up 45.6% to 45% for Trump.[16]

Predictions

[edit]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Nevada as of Election Day.

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[17]Lean DNovember 7, 2016
Los Angeles Times[18]Lean DNovember 6, 2016
CNN[19]TossupNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[20]Tilt DNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21]Lean DNovember 7, 2016
NBC[22]Lean DNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[23]TossupNovember 8, 2016
Fox News[24]Lean DNovember 7, 2016
ABC[25]Lean DNovember 7, 2016

Results

[edit]
2016 U.S. presidential election in Nevada[26]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticHillary Clinton539,26047.92%
RepublicanDonald Trump512,05845.50%
LibertarianGary Johnson37,3843.29%
None of these candidates28,8632.54%
ConstitutionDarrell Castle5,2680.46%
ReformRocky de la Fuente2,5520.23%
Total votes1,125,385100.00%

By county

[edit]
CountyHillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Carson City9,61038.42%13,12552.47%2,2819.11%-3,515-14.05%25,016
Churchill2,21020.20%7,83071.59%8988.21%-5,620-51.39%10,938
Clark402,22752.43%320,05741.72%44,8725.85%82,17010.71%767,156
Douglas8,45430.32%17,41562.45%2,0167.23%-8,961-32.13%27,885
Elko3,40118.33%13,55173.02%1,6078.65%-10,510-54.69%18,559
Esmeralda6515.37%32977.78%296.85%-264-62.41%423
Eureka748.67%72384.66%576.67%-649-75.99%854
Humboldt1,38621.55%4,52170.28%5268.17%-3,135-48.73%6,433
Lander40316.70%1,82875.76%1827.54%-1,425-59.06%2,413
Lincoln28513.37%1,67178.38%1768.25%-1,386-65.01%2,132
Lyon6,14625.86%16,00567.36%1,6116.78%-9,856-41.50%23,762
Mineral63731.90%1,17959.04%1819.06%-542-27.14%1,997
Nye5,09426.00%13,32468.00%1,1776.00%-8,230-42.00%19,595
Pershing43021.70%1,40370.79%1497.51%-973-49.09%1,982
Storey75229.40%1,61663.17%1907.43%-864-33.77%2,558
Washoe97,37946.39%94,75845.14%17,7728.47%2,6211.25%209,909
White Pine70718.74%2,72372.17%3439.09%-2,016-53.43%3,773
Totals539,26047.92%512,05845.50%74,0676.58%27,2022.42%1,125,385
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%

By congressional district

[edit]

Clinton and Trump each won two of the state's four congressional districts, with Trump carrying a district that elected a Democrat in the same cycle.[27]

DistrictClintonTrumpRepresentative
1st62%33%Dina Titus
2nd40%52%Mark Amodei
3rd47%48%Joe Heck
Jacky Rosen
4th49%45%Cresent Hardy
Ruben Kihuen

Analysis

[edit]
A map of the most college-educated counties in the United States

Hillary Clinton won the state over nationwide winnerDonald Trump, marking the third consecutive presidential race that Nevada voted Democratic. Nevada is one of the leastcollege-educated states in the country (see the map), and Clinton's margins declined greatly in the state's counties. However, Nevada is also aSouthwestern state that isover 25% Hispanic, and Clinton's strength with Hispanics kept the state in her column.[28]

Most counties in the state of Nevada are rural, and voted heavily for Trump. As a whole, the rural counties outside ofLas Vegas andReno gave Donald Trump a 66–27 margin. However, Clinton won the state's two most populous counties,Clark County andWashoe County, which contain about 85% of the state's population, and thus won the state's electoral votes. Compared to2012, Clinton's margin of victory was narrower in these two counties and statewide.

This is the second time since1908, and the only time since1976, that Nevada voted for a losing presidential candidate.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. RetrievedDecember 14, 2020.
  2. ^"2016 Candidates - NVDems". Archived fromthe original on March 31, 2016. RetrievedMay 21, 2016.
  3. ^The Green Papers
  4. ^"Bernie vs. Hillary boils over in Nevada before Clark convention". Ralston Reports. April 2, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  5. ^"Sanders likely flips two delegates after dominating Clark convention". Ralston Reports. April 2, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  6. ^Rappeport, Alan (May 17, 2016)."Bernie Sanders Supporters Voice Ire at Nevada Democratic Party".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 17, 2016.
  7. ^abcBenen, Steve (May 17, 2016)."The fallout from Nevada's Democratic unrest". MSNBC. RetrievedMay 17, 2016.
  8. ^LaCapria, Kim (May 19, 2016)."The Chair Thrown 'Round the World". Snopes. RetrievedMay 23, 2016.
  9. ^Ralston, John (May 16, 2016)."The sour grapes revolution that rocked the Paris Hotel". Ralston Reports. RetrievedMay 17, 2016.
  10. ^Snyder, Riley (May 18, 2016)."Allegations of fraud and misconduct at Nevada Democratic convention unfounded". Politifact. RetrievedMay 19, 2016.
  11. ^abWerner, Erica (17 May 2015)."Sanders Issues Defiant Statement Under Pressure Over Ruckus". ABC. AP. Archived fromthe original on 18 May 2016. Retrieved17 May 2016.
  12. ^Luna, Jenny (May 24, 2016)."Samantha Bee Smacks Down Angry Bernie Supporters; A night of bro-bashing".Mother Jones. RetrievedMay 24, 2016.
  13. ^Leeds, Sarene (May 24, 2016)."Samantha Bee Takes Down Bernie Sanders Supporters Following the Nevada Democratic Convention".The Wall Street Journal. RetrievedMay 24, 2016.
  14. ^Primaries and Caucuses onYouTube Last Week Tonight with John Oliver May 22, 2016
  15. ^Democrats Divided on Hillary and Bernie onYouTubeLate Night with Seth Meyers May 19, 2016
  16. ^"RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Nevada: Trump vs. Clinton".
  17. ^"2016 Electoral Scorecard".The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived fromthe original on February 7, 2019. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2022.
  18. ^"Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours".Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  19. ^"Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com".CNN. November 8, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  20. ^"Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedAugust 16, 2021.
  21. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President".Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  22. ^Todd, Chuck (November 7, 2016)."NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead".NBC News. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  23. ^"2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  24. ^"Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge".Fox News. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  25. ^"The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election".ABC News. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  26. ^US Presidential Race results, Nevada Secretary of State, November 22, 2016, archived fromthe original on January 29, 2020, retrievedNovember 27, 2016
  27. ^"Dra 2020".
  28. ^Silver, Nate (November 22, 2016)."Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For Trump".FiveThirtyEight.

External links

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