Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

2016 United States presidential election in Missouri

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States presidential election in Missouri

← 2012November 8, 20162020 →
Turnout66.56%Increase 0.61pp[1]
 
NomineeDonald TrumpHillary Clinton
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateNew YorkNew York
Running mateMike PenceTim Kaine
Electoral vote100
Popular vote1,594,5111,071,068
Percentage56.38%37.87%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Clinton

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Votes

  
  


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county
Elections in Missouri
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
State Auditor elections
State Treasurer elections
Attorney General elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Other localities

The2016 United States presidential election in Missouri was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Missouri voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton, and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine. Missouri has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Trump carried the state with 56.4% of the vote, while Clinton received 37.9%.[3] Trump's 18.5-point margin of victory in the state was almost double that ofMitt Romney's from2012. Clinton carried only four jurisdictions:Boone County, home toColumbia and theUniversity of Missouri;Jackson County, which includes most ofKansas City;St. Louis County; andSt. Louis City. Clinton's vote share percentage was the lowest a Democratic presidential nominee obtained in the state sinceGeorge McGovern's 37.7% in1972, further cementing the state's drift towards the Republican Party and away from its long-held status as abellwether state. Missouri was also one of eleven states that voted forBill Clinton in1992 and1996 but were lost by Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Additionally, this was the first time since1984 that Missouri voted by double digits for the Republican candidate, and the first time since1992 that the state voted by double digits for either candidate.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
Main article:2016 Missouri Democratic presidential primary
County results of the Missouri 2016 Democratic presidential primary
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Nine candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[4]

Missouri Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton310,60049.61%361147
Bernie Sanders309,07349.37%35035
Uncommitted3,6970.59%022
Henry Hewes6510.10%000
Martin O'Malley(withdrawn)4370.07%000
Jon Adams4280.07%000
Rocky De La Fuente3400.05%000
Willie Wilson3050.05%000
Keith Judd2840.05%000
John Wolfe2450.04%000
Total626,060100%711384
Source:The Green Papers

Republican primary

[edit]
Main article:2016 Missouri Republican presidential primary
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[4]

Missouri Republican primary, March 15, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump383,63140.84%37037
Ted Cruz381,66640.63%15015
John Kasich94,85710.10%000
Marco Rubio57,2446.09%000
Ben Carson(withdrawn)8,2330.88%000
Jeb Bush(withdrawn)3,3610.36%000
Uncommitted3,2250.34%000
Mike Huckabee(withdrawn)2,1480.23%000
Rand Paul(withdrawn)1,7770.19%000
Chris Christie(withdrawn)1,6810.18%000
Rick Santorum(withdrawn)7320.08%000
Carly Fiorina(withdrawn)6150.07%000
Jim Lynch(withdrawn)1000.01%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:939,270100.00%52052
Source:The Green Papers

Libertarian primary

[edit]

The Missouri primary ran on March 15, 2016, alongside those of the Republican, Democratic, andConstitution parties. 40% of the electorate voted to stand uncommitted to any candidate. Austin Petersen, running in his home state, finished second, with 29% of the statewide vote, which was double that of Steve Kerbel from Colorado, who finished third, with 14%. Petersen comfortably won the support of voters in the state's capital,Jefferson City, and its surrounding counties, but fell heavily behind the uncommitted vote in the state's two largest cities,Kansas City andSt. Louis. Kerbel won three counties aroundSpringfield, while Marc Allan Feldman, Cecil Ince, and Rhett Smith all won a sprawl of counties across the state; in most of these counties, however, only a single vote was cast. No votes were cast for Libertarian Party candidates in the northwestern counties ofHarrison,Holt,Mercer, andWorth.[5]

Missouri Libertarian presidential primary, March 15, 2016[5]
CandidateVotesPercentage
Uncommitted1,18340.61%
Austin Petersen85429.32%
Steve Kerbel40113.77%
Marc Allan Feldman2428.31%
Cecil Ince1344.60%
Rhett Smith993.40%
Total2,913100%

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
See also:Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Missouri

Republican Donald Trump won every pre-election poll conducted here except one. Trump won most polls by high single digits or low double digits. The average of the last three polls had Donald Trump leading Democrat Hillary Clinton 50% to 39%.[6]

Predictions

[edit]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Missouri as of election day.

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[7]Likely RNovember 6, 2016
CNN[8]Safe RNovember 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[9]Likely RNovember 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[10]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[11]Likely RNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[13]Likely RNovember 8, 2016
Fox News[14]Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Results

[edit]

The Statewide election results were as follows. The total vote count was 2,828,266.

2016 United States presidential election in Missouri[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDonald Trump
Mike Pence
1,594,51156.8%
DemocraticHillary Clinton
Timothy Kaine
1,071,06838.1%
LibertarianGary Johnson
Bill Weld
97,3593.5%
GreenJill Stein
Ajamu Baraka
25,4190.90%
ConstitutionDarrell L. Castle
Scott N. Bradley
13,0920.5%
IndependentEvan McMullin
Nathan Johnson
7,0710.3%
IndependentTom Hoefling
Steve Schulin
48<0.01%
IndependentLaurence Kotlikoff
Edward Leamer
28<0.01%
Independent"Rocky" Roque De La Fuente
Michael Steinberg
6<0.01%
IndependentMarshall Schoenke
James Creighton Mitchell Jr.
3<0.01%
Total votes2,808,605100%

By county

[edit]
CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Adair6,03058.97%3,50034.23%6966.80%2,53024.74%10,226
Andrew6,66572.49%2,04522.24%4845.27%4,62050.25%9,194
Atchison2,06075.46%54119.82%1294.72%1,51955.64%2,730
Audrain6,98168.89%2,57025.36%5825.75%4,41143.53%10,133
Barry11,42878.25%2,71018.56%4673.19%8,71859.69%14,605
Barton4,95983.50%79513.39%1853.11%4,16470.11%5,939
Bates6,00174.24%1,61820.02%4645.74%4,38354.22%8,083
Benton7,21375.21%2,02521.12%3523.67%5,18854.09%9,590
Bollinger4,82785.04%70512.42%1442.54%4,12272.62%5,676
Boone36,20043.16%41,12549.04%6,5437.80%-4,925-5.88%83,868
Buchanan21,32059.28%12,01333.40%2,6317.32%9,30725.88%35,964
Butler13,65079.09%3,03617.59%5733.32%10,61461.50%17,259
Caldwell3,23274.95%83819.43%2425.62%2,39455.52%4,312
Callaway13,05767.54%4,98925.81%1,2876.65%8,06841.73%19,333
Camden16,94474.71%4,76821.02%9684.27%12,17653.69%22,680
Cape Girardeau27,01772.41%8,49222.76%1,8024.83%18,52549.65%37,311
Carroll3,48079.80%74517.08%1363.12%2,73562.72%4,361
Carter2,32481.54%43615.30%903.16%1,88866.24%2,850
Cass33,09864.38%14,84628.88%3,4666.74%18,25235.50%51,410
Cedar5,02179.36%1,01115.98%2954.66%4,01063.38%6,327
Chariton2,95074.33%88822.37%1313.30%2,06251.96%3,969
Christian30,94673.92%8,50820.32%2,4095.76%22,43853.60%41,863
Clark2,45874.13%72421.83%1344.04%1,73452.30%3,316
Clay57,47651.70%45,30440.75%8,3907.55%12,17210.95%111,170
Clinton7,06768.60%2,57224.97%6626.43%4,49543.63%10,301
Cole24,61665.37%10,91328.98%2,1275.65%13,70336.39%37,656
Cooper5,62470.42%1,93224.19%4305.39%3,69246.23%7,986
Crawford7,72477.86%1,82418.39%3723.75%5,90059.47%9,920
Dade3,18480.59%63716.12%1303.29%2,54764.47%3,951
Dallas5,89579.10%1,27217.07%2863.83%4,62362.03%7,453
Daviess2,76774.02%73019.53%2416.45%2,03754.49%3,738
DeKalb3,54076.52%82417.81%2625.67%2,71658.71%4,626
Dent5,60082.46%97814.40%2133.14%4,62268.06%6,791
Douglas5,48682.30%98414.76%1962.94%4,50267.54%6,666
Dunklin8,02675.87%2,36022.31%1921.82%5,66653.56%10,578
Franklin35,43070.20%12,34124.45%2,7015.35%23,08945.75%50,472
Gasconade5,67076.10%1,52020.40%2613.50%4,15055.70%7,451
Gentry2,30475.71%60519.88%1344.41%1,69955.83%3,043
Greene78,03559.79%42,72832.74%9,7607.47%35,30727.05%130,523
Grundy3,46278.18%78017.62%1864.20%2,68260.56%4,428
Harrison2,96580.37%57415.56%1504.07%2,39164.81%3,689
Henry7,07571.38%2,35723.78%4804.84%4,71847.60%9,912
Hickory3,54274.40%1,01621.34%2034.26%2,52653.06%4,761
Holt1,92681.78%34714.73%823.49%1,57967.05%2,355
Howard3,27767.32%1,28326.36%3086.32%1,99440.96%4,868
Howell13,89379.59%2,88116.51%6813.90%11,01263.08%17,455
Iron3,17374.33%93321.86%1633.81%2,24052.47%4,269
Jackson116,21138.14%168,97255.46%19,5046.40%-52,761-17.32%304,687
Jasper35,07072.57%10,57221.88%2,6845.55%24,49850.69%48,326
Jefferson69,03664.52%31,56829.50%6,3915.98%37,46835.02%106,995
Johnson13,71964.22%5,93027.76%1,7138.02%7,78936.46%21,362
Knox1,41675.72%37920.27%754.01%1,03755.45%1,870
Laclede12,88179.81%2,55315.82%7064.37%10,32863.99%16,140
Lafayette10,98868.78%4,05325.37%9345.85%6,93543.41%15,975
Lawrence13,08977.86%2,90117.26%8214.88%10,18860.60%16,811
Lewis3,34474.64%93420.85%2024.51%2,41053.79%4,480
Lincoln18,15972.31%5,57522.20%1,3805.49%12,58450.11%25,114
Linn4,08873.17%1,24022.19%2594.64%2,84850.98%5,587
Livingston4,87975.99%1,26519.70%2774.31%3,61456.29%6,421
Macon5,79875.98%1,54820.29%2853.73%4,25055.69%7,631
Madison4,10277.09%1,00518.89%2144.02%3,09758.20%5,321
Maries3,56179.13%79417.64%1453.23%2,76761.49%4,500
Marion9,41972.80%2,99423.14%5254.06%6,42549.66%12,938
McDonald6,59979.49%1,32916.01%3744.50%5,27063.48%8,302
Mercer1,48685.16%21612.38%432.46%1,27072.78%1,745
Miller9,28580.87%1,75015.24%4473.89%7,53565.63%11,482
Mississippi3,60069.65%1,45828.21%1112.14%2,14241.44%5,169
Moniteau5,34778.29%1,23718.11%2463.60%4,11060.18%6,830
Monroe3,15976.01%85320.52%1443.47%2,30655.49%4,156
Montgomery4,12776.02%1,11920.61%1833.37%3,00855.41%5,429
Morgan6,76076.64%1,76820.04%2933.32%4,99256.60%8,821
New Madrid5,27071.63%1,93326.27%1542.10%3,33745.36%7,357
Newton20,55376.67%4,99018.61%1,2644.72%15,56358.06%26,807
Nodaway6,38067.46%2,52926.74%5495.80%3,85140.72%9,458
Oregon3,67178.64%86518.53%1322.83%2,80660.11%4,668
Osage5,85682.60%99814.08%2363.32%4,85868.52%7,090
Ozark3,63980.78%72416.07%1423.15%2,91564.71%4,505
Pemiscot3,96465.60%1,94732.22%1322.18%2,01733.38%6,043
Perry6,90879.04%1,52017.39%3123.57%5,38861.65%8,740
Pettis12,81070.37%4,32423.75%1,0705.88%8,48646.62%18,204
Phelps12,70967.92%4,76625.47%1,2386.61%7,94342.45%18,713
Pike5,27471.00%1,80624.31%3484.69%3,46846.69%7,428
Platte25,93352.28%20,05740.43%3,6187.29%5,87611.85%49,608
Polk10,43875.84%2,63119.12%6945.04%7,80756.72%13,763
Pulaski9,87672.71%2,92221.51%7845.78%6,95451.20%13,582
Putnam1,93682.52%35315.05%572.43%1,58367.47%2,346
Ralls3,96974.97%1,13821.50%1873.53%2,83153.47%5,294
Randolph7,52972.34%2,28321.94%5965.72%5,24650.40%10,408
Ray7,10464.91%3,09028.23%7516.86%4,01436.68%10,945
Reynolds2,40679.20%54017.77%923.03%1,86661.43%3,038
Ripley4,52281.86%83015.03%1723.11%3,69266.83%5,524
Saline5,97764.45%2,78930.07%5085.48%3,18834.38%9,274
Schuyler1,50577.74%35418.29%773.97%1,15159.45%1,936
Scotland1,52576.98%36518.43%914.59%1,16058.55%1,981
Scott13,16875.95%3,57520.62%5943.43%9,59355.33%17,337
Shannon2,96675.97%77619.88%1624.15%2,19056.09%3,904
Shelby2,52477.09%60618.51%1444.40%1,91858.58%3,274
St. Charles121,65059.87%68,62633.78%12,9086.35%53,02426.09%203,184
St. Clair3,50175.62%93620.22%1934.16%2,56555.40%4,630
St. Francois17,46870.10%6,25025.08%1,2024.82%11,21845.02%24,920
St. Louis202,43438.95%286,70455.17%30,5485.88%-84,270-16.22%519,686
St. Louis City20,83215.72%104,23578.68%7,4205.60%-83,403-62.96%132,487
Ste. Genevieve5,49664.57%2,54229.86%4745.57%2,95434.71%8,512
Stoddard11,07983.36%1,87614.11%3362.53%9,20369.25%13,291
Stone13,15879.05%2,88717.34%6003.61%10,27161.71%16,645
Sullivan1,88475.78%52621.16%763.06%1,35854.62%2,486
Taney18,27677.20%4,37318.47%1,0244.33%13,90358.73%23,673
Texas8,87581.01%1,72815.77%3533.22%7,14765.24%10,956
Vernon6,53375.69%1,70719.78%3914.53%4,82655.91%8,631
Warren11,11170.39%3,91524.80%7584.81%7,19645.59%15,784
Washington7,04875.53%1,92620.64%3573.83%5,12254.89%9,331
Wayne4,65880.84%94816.45%1562.71%3,71064.39%5,762
Webster12,84076.69%3,17718.98%7264.33%9,66357.71%16,743
Worth80877.25%19518.64%434.11%61358.61%1,046
Wright6,70782.61%1,17014.41%2422.98%5,53768.20%8,119
Totals1,594,51156.38%1,071,06837.87%162,6875.75%523,44318.51%2,828,266
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won six of eight congressional districts.[16]

DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
1st19%77%Lacy Clay
2nd53%42%Ann Wagner
3rd67%28%Blaine Luetkemeyer
4th65%29%Vicky Hartzler
5th40%55%Emanuel Cleaver
6th64%31%Sam Graves
7th70%25%Billy Long
8th75%21%Jason Smith

Analysis

[edit]
A map of the most college-educated counties in the United States

Although Trump's victory in the state was expected, Missouri had one of the larger shifts towards Trump, shifting rightward by 9%. Trump's 18.5% margin of victory in Missouri was the largest for a Republican sinceRonald Reagan in1984.

The state was once considered a bellwether, voting for the winner of every presidential election from 1904 to 2004 (except for 1956), and almost voting forObama in2008.

Consistent with Trump's largest gains in 2016 being among whites without college degrees in the Midwest,Upland South, andNorthern United States, some counties in Missouri swung by margins upwards of 25% towards Trump. Trump particularly gained ground in theLead Belt.

Despite Clinton losing the state, she did make some gains in college-educated counties, particularlyBoone County, home toColumbia, Missouri and the University of Missouri. Clinton also gained in the Kansas City metropolitan area and St. Louis metropolitan area.Tim Kaine, Clinton's running mate, had received his Bachelor's degree at theUniversity of Missouri.[17]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Voter Turnout Report - State of Missouri General Election - 2016 General Election"(PDF).Missouri's Secretary of State.
  2. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. RetrievedNovember 29, 2020.
  3. ^"Missouri Election Results 2016".The New York Times. August 2017. RetrievedJuly 9, 2018.
  4. ^ab"Home". Archived fromthe original on January 31, 2016. RetrievedFebruary 3, 2016.
  5. ^ab"State of Missouri - Election Night Results".Missouri Secretary of State.Government of Missouri. 16 March 2016. Archived fromthe original on 18 March 2016. Retrieved16 March 2016.
  6. ^"RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Missouri: Trump vs. Clinton".
  7. ^"Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours".Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  8. ^Chalian, David (November 4, 2016)."Road to 270: CNN's new election map".CNN. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  9. ^"2016 Electoral Scorecard".The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived fromthe original on March 1, 2019. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  10. ^"2016 Electoral Map Prediction".Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  11. ^"Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedAugust 16, 2021.
  12. ^Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016)."2016 President".University of Virginia Center for Politics. RetrievedMarch 3, 2019.
  13. ^"2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  14. ^"Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge".Fox News. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  15. ^"2016 Presidential General Election Results - Missouri"(PDF).sos.mo.gov. RetrievedOctober 5, 2023.
  16. ^"Dra 2020".
  17. ^Silver, Nate (November 22, 2016)."Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For Trump".FiveThirtyEight.

External links

[edit]
U.S.
President
U.S.
Senate
U.S.
House

(Election
ratings
)
Governors
Attorneys
general
State
legislatures
Mayors
Local
Statewide
State and district results of the2016 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 2016 election
Republican Party
AIP ·CPNY ·RTLP
Candidates
Democratic Party
WEP ·WFP
Candidates
Libertarian Party
IPNY
Candidates
Green Party
Candidates
Independents
IPMN
American Delta Party
Reform
American Party (South Carolina)
American Solidarity Party
America's Party
Constitution Party
Nominee
Darrell Castle
campaign
VP nominee:Scott Bradley
Other candidates
Tom Hoefling
Nutrition Party
Peace and Freedom Party
PSL
Prohibition Party
Socialist Action
Socialist Equality Party
Socialist Party USA
Socialist Workers Party
Pacifist Party
Workers World Party
Other Independent candidates
* : These candidates were constitutionally ineligible to serve as President or Vice President.
Election timelines
National opinion polling
Democratic Party
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
State opinion polling
Democratic Party
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Fundraising
Debates and forums
Straw polls
Major events
Caucuses
andprimaries
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Libertarian Party
Green Party
Reform Party
Constitution Party
Results breakdown
National
conventions
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Libertarian Party
Green Party
Defunct
Whig Party
Greenback Party
Populist Party
Progressive parties
Reforms
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2016_United_States_presidential_election_in_Missouri&oldid=1323094904"
Categories:
Hidden categories:

[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2025 Movatter.jp