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The2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Mississippi voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton, and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine. Mississippi has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]
Mississippi has not voted Democratic since1976. Since that time, Republicans have dominated the state's political elections, and so Trump was widely expected to win the state. Indeed, Trump carried it with 57.94% of the vote, while Clinton received 40.11%.[2] Trump's 17.83% margin of victory was a 6.33% increase over the 11.50% margin of victory by which Republican nomineeMitt Romney won the state overBarack Obama in2012. This also marked the first time since1988 thatMadison County voted more Democratic than the state as a whole. Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carryingOktibbeha County sinceRichard Nixon in1968, as well as the first to do so without carryingCopiah,Pike, orYazoo Counties sinceRonald Reagan in1980.
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Democratic primary results by county Hillary Clinton | |||||||||||||||||||
Fueled by robust support from black voters, Clinton overwhelmed Mr. Sanders in Southern states. The Vermont senator barely competed in Mississippi and was still struggling to broaden his appeal beyond white, liberal voters[3]
This sectionshould include a summary of, or be summarized in, another article. SeeWikipedia:Summary style for information on how to incorporate it into this article's main text, or the main text of another article.(September 2023) |
| Mississippi Democratic primary, March 8, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 187,334 | 82.47% | 31 | 3 | 34 |
| Bernie Sanders | 37,748 | 16.62% | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Willie Wilson | 919 | 0.40% | |||
| Martin O'Malley(withdrawn) | 672 | 0.30% | |||
| Rocky De La Fuente | 481 | 0.21% | |||
| Write-in | 10 | 0.00% | |||
| Total | 227,164 | 100% | 36 | 5 | 41 |
| Source:[4][5] | |||||

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[6]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 196,659 | 47.24% | 25 | 0 | 25 |
| Ted Cruz | 150,364 | 36.12% | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| John Kasich | 36,795 | 8.84% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Rubio | 21,885 | 5.26% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson(withdrawn) | 5,626 | 1.35% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush(withdrawn) | 1,697 | 0.41% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee(withdrawn) | 1,067 | 0.26% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul(withdrawn) | 643 | 0.15% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum(withdrawn) | 510 | 0.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie(withdrawn) | 493 | 0.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina(withdrawn) | 224 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham(withdrawn) | 172 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Pataki(withdrawn) | 135 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 416,270 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Source:The Green Papers | |||||
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Mississippi as of Election Day.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[7] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[8] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| NBC[11] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[12] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| ABC[14] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump | 700,714 | 57.94% | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | 485,131 | 40.11% | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 14,435 | 1.19% | |
| Constitution | Darrell L. Castle | 3,987 | 0.33% | |
| Green | Jill Stein | 3,731 | 0.31% | |
| Prohibition | James Hedges | 715 | 0.06% | |
| American Delta | Rocky De La Fuente | 644 | 0.05% | |
| Total votes | 1,209,357 | 100.00% | ||
| County[2] | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 5,874 | 42.45% | 7,757 | 56.06% | 205 | 1.48% | -1,883 | -13.61% | 13,836 |
| Alcorn | 11,819 | 79.95% | 2,684 | 18.16% | 280 | 1.89% | 9,135 | 61.79% | 14,783 |
| Amite | 4,289 | 60.84% | 2,697 | 38.26% | 64 | 0.91% | 1,592 | 22.58% | 7,050 |
| Attala | 4,897 | 59.31% | 3,242 | 39.27% | 117 | 1.42% | 1,655 | 20.05% | 8,256 |
| Benton | 2,251 | 56.09% | 1,719 | 42.84% | 43 | 1.07% | 532 | 13.26% | 4,013 |
| Bolivar | 4,590 | 33.20% | 9,046 | 65.44% | 188 | 1.36% | -4,456 | -32.23% | 13,824 |
| Calhoun | 4,390 | 68.64% | 1,910 | 29.86% | 96 | 1.50% | 2,480 | 38.77% | 6,396 |
| Carroll | 3,799 | 68.72% | 1,680 | 30.39% | 49 | 0.89% | 2,119 | 38.33% | 5,528 |
| Chickasaw | 4,127 | 52.31% | 3,649 | 46.25% | 114 | 1.44% | 478 | 6.06% | 7,890 |
| Choctaw | 2,788 | 68.59% | 1,218 | 29.96% | 59 | 1.45% | 1,570 | 38.62% | 4,065 |
| Claiborne | 540 | 12.64% | 3,708 | 86.80% | 24 | 0.56% | -3,168 | -74.16% | 4,272 |
| Clarke | 5,137 | 65.94% | 2,585 | 33.18% | 69 | 0.89% | 2,552 | 32.76% | 7,791 |
| Clay | 4,150 | 41.49% | 5,722 | 57.20% | 131 | 1.31% | -1,572 | -15.72% | 10,003 |
| Coahoma | 2,426 | 27.22% | 6,378 | 71.57% | 108 | 1.21% | -3,952 | -44.34% | 8,912 |
| Copiah | 6,103 | 47.01% | 6,741 | 51.93% | 138 | 1.06% | -638 | -4.91% | 12,982 |
| Covington | 5,435 | 61.68% | 3,276 | 37.18% | 100 | 1.13% | 2,159 | 24.50% | 8,811 |
| DeSoto | 43,089 | 65.59% | 20,591 | 31.34% | 2,015 | 3.07% | 22,498 | 34.25% | 65,695 |
| Forrest | 15,461 | 55.09% | 11,716 | 41.75% | 887 | 3.16% | 3,745 | 13.34% | 28,064 |
| Franklin | 2,721 | 63.43% | 1,502 | 35.01% | 67 | 1.56% | 1,219 | 28.41% | 4,290 |
| George | 8,696 | 87.92% | 1,027 | 10.38% | 168 | 1.70% | 7,669 | 77.54% | 9,891 |
| Greene | 4,335 | 80.74% | 974 | 18.14% | 60 | 1.12% | 3,361 | 62.60% | 5,369 |
| Grenada | 5,970 | 56.79% | 4,424 | 42.08% | 119 | 1.13% | 1,546 | 14.71% | 10,513 |
| Hancock | 13,811 | 78.31% | 3,344 | 18.96% | 482 | 2.73% | 10,467 | 59.35% | 17,637 |
| Harrison | 40,354 | 63.74% | 21,169 | 33.44% | 1,790 | 2.83% | 19,185 | 30.30% | 63,313 |
| Hinds | 25,275 | 26.69% | 67,594 | 71.39% | 1,812 | 1.91% | -42,319 | -44.70% | 94,681 |
| Holmes | 1,309 | 16.21% | 6,689 | 82.83% | 78 | 0.97% | -5,380 | -66.62% | 8,076 |
| Humphreys | 1,151 | 27.06% | 3,071 | 72.21% | 31 | 0.73% | -1,920 | -45.14% | 4,253 |
| Issaquena | 298 | 42.63% | 395 | 56.51% | 6 | 0.86% | -97 | -13.88% | 699 |
| Itawamba | 8,470 | 86.99% | 1,117 | 11.47% | 150 | 1.54% | 7,353 | 75.52% | 9,737 |
| Jackson | 33,629 | 67.85% | 14,657 | 29.57% | 1,281 | 2.58% | 18,972 | 38.28% | 49,567 |
| Jasper | 4,038 | 47.65% | 4,368 | 51.54% | 69 | 0.81% | -330 | -3.89% | 8,475 |
| Jefferson | 490 | 12.69% | 3,337 | 86.45% | 33 | 0.85% | -2,847 | -73.76% | 3,860 |
| Jefferson Davis | 2,466 | 39.54% | 3,720 | 59.64% | 51 | 0.82% | -1,254 | -20.11% | 6,237 |
| Jones | 20,133 | 71.01% | 7,791 | 27.48% | 428 | 1.51% | 12,342 | 43.53% | 28,352 |
| Kemper | 1,778 | 38.33% | 2,827 | 60.94% | 34 | 0.73% | -1,049 | -22.61% | 4,639 |
| Lafayette | 10,872 | 55.35% | 7,969 | 40.57% | 802 | 4.08% | 2,903 | 14.78% | 19,643 |
| Lamar | 18,751 | 76.25% | 5,190 | 21.10% | 651 | 2.65% | 13,561 | 55.14% | 24,592 |
| Lauderdale | 17,741 | 60.13% | 11,269 | 38.19% | 496 | 1.68% | 6,472 | 21.93% | 29,506 |
| Lawrence | 4,091 | 64.28% | 2,195 | 34.49% | 78 | 1.23% | 1,896 | 29.79% | 6,364 |
| Leake | 4,782 | 56.60% | 3,584 | 42.42% | 83 | 0.98% | 1,198 | 14.18% | 8,449 |
| Lee | 22,220 | 67.51% | 10,029 | 30.47% | 664 | 2.02% | 12,191 | 37.04% | 32,913 |
| Leflore | 3,212 | 28.83% | 7,787 | 69.90% | 141 | 1.27% | -4,575 | -41.07% | 11,140 |
| Lincoln | 10,550 | 69.44% | 4,458 | 29.34% | 185 | 1.22% | 6,092 | 40.10% | 15,193 |
| Lowndes | 13,271 | 51.89% | 11,819 | 46.21% | 485 | 1.90% | 1,452 | 5.68% | 25,575 |
| Madison | 28,265 | 56.75% | 20,343 | 40.85% | 1,194 | 2.40% | 7,922 | 15.91% | 49,802 |
| Marion | 7,836 | 67.01% | 3,677 | 31.45% | 180 | 1.54% | 4,159 | 35.57% | 11,693 |
| Marshall | 6,587 | 44.39% | 8,023 | 54.07% | 229 | 1.54% | -1,436 | -9.68% | 14,839 |
| Monroe | 10,167 | 64.01% | 5,524 | 34.78% | 193 | 1.22% | 4,643 | 29.23% | 15,884 |
| Montgomery | 2,818 | 56.41% | 2,115 | 42.33% | 63 | 1.26% | 703 | 14.07% | 4,996 |
| Neshoba | 7,679 | 72.77% | 2,715 | 25.73% | 159 | 1.51% | 4,964 | 47.04% | 10,553 |
| Newton | 6,548 | 69.38% | 2,756 | 29.20% | 134 | 1.42% | 3,792 | 40.18% | 9,438 |
| Noxubee | 1,200 | 21.53% | 4,347 | 77.99% | 27 | 0.48% | -3,147 | -56.46% | 5,574 |
| Oktibbeha | 8,576 | 47.32% | 8,859 | 48.88% | 689 | 3.80% | -283 | -1.56% | 18,124 |
| Panola | 7,449 | 49.45% | 7,431 | 49.33% | 184 | 1.22% | 18 | 0.12% | 15,064 |
| Pearl River | 17,782 | 81.26% | 3,604 | 16.47% | 497 | 2.27% | 14,178 | 64.79% | 21,883 |
| Perry | 4,135 | 76.12% | 1,220 | 22.46% | 77 | 1.42% | 2,915 | 53.66% | 5,432 |
| Pike | 8,009 | 49.10% | 8,043 | 49.31% | 258 | 1.58% | -34 | -0.21% | 16,310 |
| Pontotoc | 10,336 | 79.61% | 2,386 | 18.38% | 262 | 2.02% | 7,950 | 61.23% | 12,984 |
| Prentiss | 7,648 | 77.47% | 2,067 | 20.94% | 157 | 1.59% | 5,581 | 56.53% | 9,872 |
| Quitman | 1,001 | 29.75% | 2,312 | 68.71% | 52 | 1.55% | -1,311 | -38.96% | 3,365 |
| Rankin | 47,178 | 75.16% | 14,110 | 22.48% | 1,480 | 2.36% | 33,068 | 52.68% | 62,768 |
| Scott | 6,122 | 58.18% | 4,268 | 40.56% | 132 | 1.25% | 1,854 | 17.62% | 10,522 |
| Sharkey | 692 | 31.60% | 1,479 | 67.53% | 19 | 0.87% | -787 | -35.94% | 2,190 |
| Simpson | 7,393 | 64.74% | 3,874 | 33.93% | 152 | 1.33% | 3,519 | 30.82% | 11,419 |
| Smith | 5,928 | 77.72% | 1,617 | 21.20% | 82 | 1.08% | 4,311 | 56.52% | 7,627 |
| Stone | 5,306 | 75.32% | 1,573 | 22.33% | 166 | 2.36% | 3,733 | 52.99% | 7,045 |
| Sunflower | 2,794 | 29.11% | 6,725 | 70.07% | 79 | 0.82% | -3,931 | -40.96% | 9,598 |
| Tallahatchie | 2,462 | 41.94% | 3,337 | 56.85% | 71 | 1.21% | -875 | -14.91% | 5,870 |
| Tate | 7,495 | 64.46% | 3,926 | 33.77% | 206 | 1.77% | 3,569 | 30.70% | 11,627 |
| Tippah | 7,240 | 78.40% | 1,842 | 19.95% | 153 | 1.66% | 5,398 | 58.45% | 9,235 |
| Tishomingo | 7,166 | 85.61% | 999 | 11.93% | 206 | 2.46% | 6,167 | 73.67% | 8,371 |
| Tunica | 853 | 23.91% | 2,667 | 74.77% | 47 | 1.32% | -1,814 | -50.86% | 3,567 |
| Union | 9,235 | 80.33% | 2,012 | 17.50% | 249 | 2.17% | 7,223 | 62.83% | 11,496 |
| Walthall | 4,056 | 58.62% | 2,790 | 40.32% | 73 | 1.06% | 1,266 | 18.30% | 6,919 |
| Warren | 9,767 | 50.30% | 9,284 | 47.82% | 365 | 1.88% | 483 | 2.49% | 19,416 |
| Washington | 5,244 | 31.17% | 11,380 | 67.64% | 201 | 1.19% | -6,136 | -36.47% | 16,825 |
| Wayne | 5,990 | 62.40% | 3,524 | 36.71% | 85 | 0.89% | 2,466 | 25.69% | 9,599 |
| Webster | 3,976 | 78.44% | 1,019 | 20.10% | 74 | 1.46% | 2,957 | 58.33% | 5,069 |
| Wilkinson | 1,318 | 31.25% | 2,857 | 67.73% | 43 | 1.02% | -1,539 | -36.49% | 4,218 |
| Winston | 4,910 | 55.29% | 3,850 | 43.35% | 121 | 1.36% | 1,060 | 11.94% | 8,881 |
| Yalobusha | 3,376 | 55.55% | 2,582 | 42.49% | 119 | 1.96% | 794 | 13.07% | 6,077 |
| Yazoo | 4,598 | 45.66% | 5,369 | 53.32% | 103 | 1.02% | -771 | -7.66% | 10,070 |
| Totals | 700,714 | 57.94% | 485,131 | 40.11% | 23,512 | 2.94% | 215,583 | 17.83% | 1,209,357 |
Trump won three of four congressional districts.[15]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 65% | 32% | Trent Kelly |
| 2nd | 35% | 64% | Bennie Thompson |
| 3rd | 61% | 37% | Gregg Harper |
| 4th | 69% | 28% | Steven Palazzo |

As expected, Trump won the state, with the state shifting rightward by 6%. The fiveDeep South states did not shift particularly hard towards Trump in 2016, and Georgia outright swung leftward. This was due to a combination of racial polarization and the state's white voters without college degrees already being extremely Republican. Mississippi is 38% Black, and most of the state's counties narrowly swung towards Trump due to extremely high racial polarization.
The regions of the country that swung the hardest towards Trump were instead theUpland South (i.e. West Virginia and Kentucky), the Midwest, and theNorthern United States.[16]