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2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana

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Main article:2016 United States presidential election
2016United States presidential election in Louisiana

← 2012
November 8, 2016
2020 →
Turnout67.79%Decrease[1]
 
NomineeDonald TrumpHillary Clinton
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateNew YorkNew York
Running mateMike PenceTim Kaine
Electoral vote80
Popular vote1,178,638780,154
Percentage58.09%38.45%

Parish results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Clinton

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  80–90%
  90–100%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by parish.
Elections in Louisiana
Presidential elections
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The2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton, and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Trump won the state with 58.09% of the vote, while Clinton received 38.45%. Trump performed slightly better in the state thanMitt Romney in2012, but also slightly worse thanJohn McCain in2008. In contrast, Clinton's vote share in the state was a decrease fromBarack Obama's vote shares in 2012 and 2008, where he earned 40.58% and 39.93%, respectively. Louisiana is also one of 11 states whose electoral votes went toBill Clinton twice, but which Hillary Clinton did not win.[3] Six of those states, including Louisiana, have not supported any Democratic presidential candidate since Bill Clinton (The other five being Arkansas, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Missouri), while an additional five (Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania) had all voted Democratic at least twice since Bill Clinton's re-election in 1996.[4]

Primary elections

[edit]

Twenty-four candidates were on the ballot.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]
Main article:2016 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary
This sectionshould include a summary of2016 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary. SeeWikipedia:Summary style for information on how to incorporate it into this article's main text.(July 2016)
Louisiana Democratic primary, March 5, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton221,73371.12%37744
Bernie Sanders72,27623.18%14014
Steve Burke4,7851.53%
John Wolfe Jr.4,5121.45%
Martin O'Malley(withdrawn)2,5500.82%
Willie Wilson1,4230.46%
Keith Russell Judd1,3570.44%
Rocky De La Fuente1,3410.43%
Michael Steinberg9930.32%
Henry Hewes8060.26%
UncommittedN/a011
Total311,776100%51859
Source:[6][7]

Republican primary

[edit]
Main article:2016 Louisiana Republican presidential primary
Republican primary results by parish.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz


Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Louisiana Republican primary, March 5, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump124,85441.45%25025
Ted Cruz113,96837.83%18018
Marco Rubio33,81311.22%000
John Kasich19,3596.43%000
Ben Carson(withdrawn)4,5441.51%000
Jeb Bush(withdrawn)2,1450.71%000
Rand Paul(withdrawn)6700.22%000
Mike Huckabee(withdrawn)6450.21%000
Chris Christie(withdrawn)4010.13%000
Carly Fiorina(withdrawn)2430.08%000
Rick Santorum(withdrawn)1800.06%000
Lindsey Graham(withdrawn)1520.05%000
Unprojected delegates:303
Total:301,241100.00%46046
Source:The Green Papers

State Convention

[edit]

On March 24, the State Convention met in an attempt to reverse the results of the primary, giving Ted Cruz a clear majority.[8]After conflicting reporting of their support for Ted Cruz, four of Rubio's five delegates publicly rebuked the reporting and committed to staying undecided.[9] Rubio's five delegates and 2 uncommitted delegates committed to Trump after Kasich and Cruz dropped out of the race.[10][11] This gave Trump the majority of the delegates from the state.

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
See also:Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Louisiana

Predictions

[edit]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Louisiana as of Election Day.

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times[12]Safe RNovember 6, 2016
CNN[13]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
NBC[15]Likely RNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[16]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Fox News[17]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
ABC[18]Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Results

[edit]
State Senate district results:
Trump
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
Clinton
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
2016 U.S. presidential election in Louisiana, November 8, 2016[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDonald Trump1,178,63858.09%
DemocraticHillary Clinton780,15438.45%
LibertarianGary Johnson37,9781.87%
GreenJill Stein14,0310.69%
IndependentEvan McMullin8,5470.42%
IndependentDarrell Castle3,1290.15%
Write-inOthers2,3300.11%
IndependentChristopher Robert Keniston1,8810.09%
IndependentLaurence Kotlikoff1,0480.05%
IndependentAlyson Kennedy4800.02%
IndependentGloria La Riva4460.02%
IndependentJerry White3700.02%
Total votes2,029,032100.00%

Donald Trump carried the state, lengthening theRepublican streak in Louisiana to 5 straight contests.

By parish

[edit]
ParishDonald Trump
Republican
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Acadia21,16277.26%5,63820.58%5892.16%15,52456.68%27,389
Allen6,86774.28%2,10622.78%2722.94%4,76151.50%9,245
Ascension36,14366.10%16,47630.13%2,0593.77%19,66735.97%54,678
Assumption6,71461.57%3,93136.05%2592.38%2,78325.52%10,904
Avoyelles11,16567.32%5,03530.36%3862.32%6,13036.96%16,586
Beauregard12,23881.16%2,39315.87%4472.97%9,84565.29%15,078
Bienville3,75653.62%3,12944.67%1201.71%6278.95%7,005
Bossier35,47471.16%12,64125.36%1,7333.48%22,83345.80%49,848
Caddo49,00646.32%53,48350.55%3,3153.13%-4,477-4.23%105,804
Calcasieu54,19164.68%26,29631.39%3,2983.93%27,89533.29%83,785
Caldwell3,82281.46%78816.79%821.75%3,03464.67%4,692
Cameron3,25688.19%3238.75%1133.06%2,93379.44%3,692
Catahoula3,47971.64%1,32227.22%551.14%2,15744.42%4,856
Claiborne3,58555.83%2,71742.31%1191.86%86813.52%6,421
Concordia5,47761.73%3,27236.88%1231.39%2,20524.85%8,872
DeSoto8,06859.76%5,16538.26%2671.98%2,90321.50%13,500
East Baton Rouge84,66043.09%102,82852.33%9,0034.58%-18,168-9.24%196,491
East Carroll1,05936.03%1,83862.54%421.43%-779-26.51%2,939
East Feliciana5,56955.46%4,23542.17%2382.37%1,33413.29%10,042
Evangeline10,36069.61%4,20828.28%3142.11%6,15241.33%14,882
Franklin6,51471.10%2,50627.35%1421.55%4,00843.75%9,162
Grant7,40883.98%1,18113.39%2322.63%6,22770.59%8,821
Iberia20,90364.41%10,69832.96%8532.63%10,20531.45%32,454
Iberville7,32045.63%8,32451.89%3992.48%-1,004-6.26%16,043
Jackson5,16969.25%2,13928.66%1562.09%3,03040.59%7,464
Jefferson100,39855.27%73,67040.56%7,5714.17%26,72814.71%181,639
Jefferson Davis10,77575.47%3,08021.57%4222.96%7,69553.90%14,277
Lafayette68,19564.58%32,72630.99%4,6824.43%35,46933.59%105,603
Lafourche31,95976.74%8,42320.23%1,2633.03%23,53656.51%41,645
LaSalle5,83688.84%6059.21%1281.95%5,23179.63%6,569
Lincoln10,76157.64%7,10738.07%8014.29%3,65419.57%18,669
Livingston48,82484.57%6,95012.04%1,9563.39%41,87472.53%57,730
Madison1,92740.72%2,74457.99%611.29%-817-17.27%4,732
Morehouse6,50254.86%5,15543.49%1951.65%1,34711.37%11,852
Natchitoches8,96853.96%7,14442.98%5093.06%1,82410.98%16,621
Orleans24,29214.65%133,99680.81%7,5244.54%-109,704-66.16%165,812
Ouachita41,73461.36%24,42835.91%1,8552.73%17,30625.45%68,017
Plaquemines6,90065.26%3,34731.66%3263.08%3,55333.60%10,573
Pointe Coupee6,78957.72%4,76440.51%2081.77%2,02517.21%11,761
Rapides36,81664.77%18,32232.23%1,7063.00%18,49432.54%56,844
Red River2,39154.07%1,93843.83%932.10%45310.24%4,422
Richland6,28765.51%3,15732.90%1531.59%3,13032.61%9,597
Sabine7,87980.50%1,70317.40%2052.10%6,17663.10%9,787
St. Bernard10,23764.73%4,96031.36%6183.91%5,27733.37%15,815
St. Charles16,62163.46%8,55932.68%1,0123.86%8,06230.78%26,192
St. Helena2,49741.87%3,35356.22%1141.91%-856-14.35%5,964
St. James5,45645.15%6,41853.11%2111.74%-962-7.96%12,085
St. John the Baptist7,56936.49%12,66161.04%5132.47%-5,092-24.55%20,743
St. Landry21,97154.96%17,20943.05%7971.99%4,76211.91%39,977
St. Martin16,87365.53%8,26632.10%6112.37%8,60733.43%25,750
St. Mary14,35962.77%8,05035.19%4682.04%6,30927.58%22,877
St. Tammany90,91573.09%27,71722.28%5,7604.63%63,19850.81%124,392
Tangipahoa33,95964.79%16,87832.20%1,5793.01%17,08132.59%52,416
Tensas1,18246.39%1,33252.28%341.33%-150-5.89%2,548
Terrebonne31,90272.68%10,66524.30%1,3293.02%21,23748.38%43,896
Union7,97273.18%2,69124.70%2312.12%5,28148.48%10,894
Vermilion20,06378.27%4,85718.95%7122.78%15,20659.32%25,632
Vernon13,47180.99%2,66516.02%4972.99%10,80664.97%16,633
Washington12,55667.40%5,69230.56%3802.04%6,86436.84%18,628
Webster11,54263.61%6,26034.50%3431.89%5,28229.11%18,145
West Baton Rouge6,92754.49%5,38342.35%4023.16%1,54412.14%12,712
West Carroll3,97083.42%71515.02%741.56%3,25568.40%4,759
West Feliciana3,39058.46%2,24838.77%1612.77%1,14219.69%5,799
Winn4,60872.32%1,64425.80%1201.88%2,96446.52%6,372
Totals1,178,63858.09%780,15438.45%70,2403.46%398,48419.64%2,029,032
Swing by parish
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
Trend relative to the state by parish
Legend
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%

By congressional district

[edit]

Trump won five of the six congressional districts in Louisiana.[20]

DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
1st69%27%Steve Scalise
2nd22%75%Cedric Richmond
3rd67%29%Clay Higgins
4th61%37%Mike Johnson
5th63%34%Ralph Abraham
6th65%31%Garret Graves

Analysis

[edit]

Donald Trump won the election in Louisiana with 58.1% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 38.4% of the vote.[21] Of the 2,029,032 total votes cast, Trump had 1,178,638 while Clinton had 780,154 votes.[22] All of Louisiana's parishes voted for the same party they voted for in 2012 and 2008. As a result, this marked the first time since 1992 thatEast Baton Rouge Parish backed the losing candidate of the election, and the first time since 1948 that East Baton Rouge Parish voted for the Democratic candidate three elections in a row; Trump also became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying this parish sinceRichard Nixon in1968.

Louisiana was one of eleven states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in1992 and1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Voter Statistics for November 8, 2016". Louisiana Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 23, 2020.
  2. ^"Distribution of Electoral Votes".National Archives and Records Administration. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2019.
  3. ^"Historical U.S. Presidential Elections 1789-2020 - 270toWin".270toWin.com. RetrievedMarch 22, 2022.
  4. ^"Historical U.S. Presidential Elections 1789-2020 - 270toWin".270toWin.com. RetrievedMarch 22, 2022.
  5. ^"Twenty-Four Presidential Candidates Qualify for Louisiana Presidential Primaries | Ballot Access News".Ballot-access.org. December 4, 2015. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  6. ^The Green Papers
  7. ^Louisiana Secretary of States
  8. ^Epstein, Reid J. (March 24, 2016)."Ted Cruz Gains in Louisiana After Loss There to Donald Trump".WSJ.com. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  9. ^"Rubio Louisiana Delegates Under Fire: No, We Haven't Backed Ted Cruz".Talking Points Memo. April 15, 2016. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  10. ^Katiana Krawchenko (May 4, 2016)."Louisiana's five Rubio delegates back Trump, call for Rubio as VP".CBS News. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  11. ^"BREAKING: Trump Gains Seven More Delegates From Louisiana After Rubio Delegates Finally Switch". The Hayride. May 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  12. ^"Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours".Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  13. ^"Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com".Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  14. ^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President".Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  15. ^Todd, Chuck (November 7, 2016)."NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead".NBC News. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  16. ^"2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  17. ^"Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge".Fox News. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  18. ^"The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election".Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  19. ^"Louisiana Results".The New York Times. August 2017. RetrievedJuly 21, 2020.
  20. ^"Dra 2020".
  21. ^"Louisiana Election Results 2016".The New York Times. November 8, 2016. RetrievedNovember 13, 2016.
  22. ^"2016 Presidential General Election Results".

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