 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 59.10%[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton, and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
Although Kentucky was won twice by Southern DemocratBill Clinton in1992 and1996, Trump easily carried the state with 62.52% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's 32.68%, a margin of 29.84%. Trump won Kentucky by the largest margin of any Republican up to that point, and he swept counties across the state.[3] Clinton's performance was also the worst for any Democratic nominee as of 2016, until Trump won the state by a larger margin in 2024. She carried only the state's two most urban and populous counties:Jefferson County, home toLouisville; andFayette County, home toLexington, both of which traditionally vote Democratic. Kentucky was also one of eleven states to have twice voted for Bill Clinton but against his wife Hillary in 2016.
Trump's victory in Kentucky made it his fifth-strongest state in the 2016 election afterWest Virginia,Wyoming,Oklahoma, andNorth Dakota.[4] Most notably, Trump endedElliott County's nearly 150-year tradition of voting Democratic in every presidential election, winning with 2,000 votes to Clinton's 740, or 70%–26%. Nevertheless, he became the first Republican sinceWarren G. Harding in1920 to win theWhite House without carrying Fayette County.
Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 5% or more of the vote proportionally.
In order to avoid a local law forbidding one candidate to run for two offices in the same primary,Rand Paul paid to have a presidential caucus, which took place on March 5. Paul dropped out prior to this.[5]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 82,493 | 35.92% | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| Ted Cruz | 72,503 | 31.57% | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| Marco Rubio | 37,579 | 16.36% | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| John Kasich | 33,134 | 14.43% | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Ben Carson(withdrawn) | 1,951 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul(withdrawn) | 872 | 0.38% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 496 | 0.22% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush(withdrawn) | 305 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee(withdrawn) | 174 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie(withdrawn) | 65 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina(withdrawn) | 64 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum(withdrawn) | 31 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 229,667 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Source:The Green Papers,Republican Party of Kentucky | |||||
Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
| Kentucky Democratic primary, May 17, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 212,534 | 46.76% | 28 | 2 | 30 |
| Bernie Sanders | 210,623 | 46.33% | 27 | 0 | 27 |
| Martin O'Malley(withdrawn) | 5,713 | 1.26% | |||
| Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 1,594 | 0.35% | |||
| Uncommitted | 24,104 | 5.30% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Total | 454,568 | 100% | 55 | 5 | 60 |
| Source:[6][7] | |||||
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Kentucky as of Election Day.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[9] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| NBC[11] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[12] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| ABC[14] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump | 1,202,971 | 62.52% | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | 628,854 | 32.68% | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 53,752 | 2.79% | |
| Independent | Evan McMullin | 22,780 | 1.18% | |
| Green | Jill Stein | 13,913 | 0.72% | |
| Write-in | 1,879 | 0.10% | ||
| Total votes | 1,924,149 | 100.00% | ||
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adair | 6,637 | 80.61% | 1,323 | 16.07% | 273 | 3.32% | 5,314 | 64.54% | 8,233 |
| Allen | 6,466 | 79.87% | 1,349 | 16.66% | 281 | 3.47% | 5,117 | 63.21% | 8,096 |
| Anderson | 8,242 | 72.16% | 2,634 | 23.06% | 546 | 4.78% | 5,608 | 49.10% | 11,422 |
| Ballard | 3,161 | 77.08% | 816 | 19.90% | 124 | 3.02% | 2,345 | 57.18% | 4,101 |
| Barren | 13,483 | 72.93% | 4,275 | 23.12% | 730 | 3.95% | 9,208 | 49.81% | 18,488 |
| Bath | 3,082 | 67.19% | 1,361 | 29.67% | 144 | 3.14% | 1,721 | 37.52% | 4,587 |
| Bell | 7,764 | 79.89% | 1,720 | 17.70% | 234 | 2.41% | 6,044 | 62.19% | 9,718 |
| Boone | 39,082 | 67.83% | 15,026 | 26.08% | 3,510 | 6.09% | 24,056 | 41.75% | 57,618 |
| Bourbon | 5,569 | 63.26% | 2,791 | 31.71% | 443 | 5.03% | 2,778 | 31.55% | 8,803 |
| Boyd | 13,591 | 66.45% | 6,021 | 29.44% | 842 | 4.11% | 7,570 | 37.01% | 20,454 |
| Boyle | 8,040 | 62.10% | 4,281 | 33.07% | 625 | 4.83% | 3,759 | 29.03% | 12,946 |
| Bracken | 2,711 | 76.86% | 705 | 19.99% | 111 | 3.15% | 2,006 | 56.87% | 3,527 |
| Breathitt | 3,991 | 69.55% | 1,537 | 26.79% | 210 | 3.66% | 2,454 | 42.76% | 5,738 |
| Breckinridge | 6,484 | 73.90% | 1,960 | 22.34% | 330 | 3.76% | 4,524 | 51.56% | 8,774 |
| Bullitt | 26,210 | 72.67% | 8,255 | 22.89% | 1,604 | 4.44% | 17,955 | 49.78% | 36,069 |
| Butler | 4,428 | 79.41% | 947 | 16.98% | 201 | 3.61% | 3,481 | 62.43% | 5,576 |
| Caldwell | 4,507 | 75.43% | 1,260 | 21.09% | 208 | 3.48% | 3,247 | 54.34% | 5,975 |
| Calloway | 10,367 | 64.60% | 4,749 | 29.59% | 933 | 5.81% | 5,618 | 35.01% | 16,049 |
| Campbell | 25,050 | 58.93% | 14,658 | 34.48% | 2,802 | 6.59% | 10,392 | 24.45% | 42,510 |
| Carlisle | 2,094 | 80.51% | 432 | 16.61% | 75 | 2.88% | 1,662 | 63.90% | 2,601 |
| Carroll | 2,588 | 67.13% | 1,106 | 28.69% | 161 | 4.18% | 1,482 | 38.44% | 3,855 |
| Carter | 7,587 | 73.82% | 2,276 | 22.14% | 415 | 4.04% | 5,311 | 51.68% | 10,278 |
| Casey | 5,482 | 85.14% | 767 | 11.91% | 190 | 2.95% | 4,715 | 73.23% | 6,439 |
| Christian | 14,108 | 63.89% | 7,188 | 32.55% | 787 | 3.56% | 6,920 | 31.34% | 22,083 |
| Clark | 10,710 | 66.09% | 4,706 | 29.04% | 789 | 4.87% | 6,004 | 37.05% | 16,205 |
| Clay | 5,861 | 86.61% | 752 | 11.11% | 154 | 2.28% | 5,109 | 75.50% | 6,767 |
| Clinton | 3,809 | 85.37% | 547 | 12.26% | 106 | 2.37% | 3,262 | 73.11% | 4,462 |
| Crittenden | 3,290 | 81.50% | 617 | 15.28% | 130 | 3.22% | 2,673 | 66.22% | 4,037 |
| Cumberland | 2,502 | 81.60% | 459 | 14.97% | 105 | 3.43% | 2,043 | 66.63% | 3,066 |
| Daviess | 28,907 | 63.11% | 14,163 | 30.92% | 2,737 | 5.97% | 14,744 | 32.19% | 45,807 |
| Edmonson | 4,135 | 78.85% | 979 | 18.67% | 130 | 2.48% | 3,156 | 60.18% | 5,244 |
| Elliott | 2,000 | 70.05% | 740 | 25.92% | 115 | 4.03% | 1,260 | 44.13% | 2,855 |
| Estill | 4,236 | 76.39% | 1,108 | 19.98% | 201 | 3.63% | 3,128 | 56.41% | 5,545 |
| Fayette | 56,894 | 41.74% | 69,778 | 51.19% | 9,643 | 7.07% | -12,884 | -9.45% | 136,315 |
| Fleming | 4,722 | 75.43% | 1,348 | 21.53% | 190 | 3.04% | 3,374 | 53.90% | 6,260 |
| Floyd | 11,993 | 72.51% | 4,015 | 24.27% | 532 | 3.22% | 7,978 | 48.24% | 16,540 |
| Franklin | 11,819 | 49.52% | 10,717 | 44.91% | 1,329 | 5.57% | 1,102 | 4.61% | 23,865 |
| Fulton | 1,549 | 65.03% | 774 | 32.49% | 59 | 2.48% | 775 | 32.54% | 2,382 |
| Gallatin | 2,443 | 73.19% | 749 | 22.44% | 146 | 4.37% | 1,694 | 50.75% | 3,338 |
| Garrard | 5,904 | 77.45% | 1,453 | 19.06% | 266 | 3.49% | 4,451 | 58.39% | 7,623 |
| Grant | 7,268 | 76.03% | 1,910 | 19.98% | 381 | 3.99% | 5,358 | 56.05% | 9,559 |
| Graves | 12,671 | 76.30% | 3,308 | 19.92% | 627 | 3.78% | 9,363 | 56.38% | 16,606 |
| Grayson | 8,219 | 77.71% | 1,959 | 18.52% | 398 | 3.77% | 6,260 | 59.19% | 10,576 |
| Green | 4,372 | 81.98% | 832 | 15.60% | 129 | 2.42% | 3,540 | 66.38% | 5,333 |
| Greenup | 11,546 | 70.93% | 4,146 | 25.47% | 585 | 3.60% | 7,400 | 45.46% | 16,277 |
| Hancock | 2,788 | 64.91% | 1,244 | 28.96% | 263 | 6.13% | 1,544 | 35.95% | 4,295 |
| Hardin | 26,971 | 62.50% | 13,944 | 32.31% | 2,241 | 5.19% | 13,027 | 30.19% | 43,156 |
| Harlan | 9,129 | 84.87% | 1,372 | 12.75% | 256 | 2.38% | 7,757 | 72.12% | 10,757 |
| Harrison | 5,435 | 69.85% | 2,031 | 26.10% | 315 | 4.05% | 3,404 | 43.75% | 7,781 |
| Hart | 5,320 | 73.24% | 1,730 | 23.82% | 214 | 2.94% | 3,590 | 49.42% | 7,264 |
| Henderson | 12,159 | 61.69% | 6,707 | 34.03% | 844 | 4.28% | 5,452 | 27.66% | 19,710 |
| Henry | 4,944 | 69.16% | 1,828 | 25.57% | 377 | 5.27% | 3,116 | 43.59% | 7,149 |
| Hickman | 1,657 | 76.82% | 449 | 20.82% | 51 | 2.36% | 1,208 | 56.00% | 2,157 |
| Hopkins | 15,277 | 75.09% | 4,310 | 21.18% | 758 | 3.73% | 10,967 | 53.91% | 20,345 |
| Jackson | 4,889 | 88.87% | 482 | 8.76% | 130 | 2.37% | 4,407 | 80.11% | 5,501 |
| Jefferson | 143,768 | 40.72% | 190,836 | 54.05% | 18,496 | 5.23% | -47,068 | -13.33% | 353,100 |
| Jessamine | 15,474 | 66.34% | 6,144 | 26.34% | 1,708 | 7.32% | 9,330 | 40.00% | 23,326 |
| Johnson | 8,043 | 84.03% | 1,250 | 13.06% | 279 | 2.91% | 6,793 | 70.97% | 9,572 |
| Kenton | 42,958 | 59.67% | 24,214 | 33.63% | 4,826 | 6.70% | 18,744 | 26.04% | 71,998 |
| Knott | 4,357 | 75.60% | 1,245 | 21.60% | 161 | 2.80% | 3,112 | 54.00% | 5,763 |
| Knox | 9,885 | 82.29% | 1,761 | 14.66% | 366 | 3.05% | 8,124 | 67.63% | 12,012 |
| LaRue | 4,799 | 75.37% | 1,278 | 20.07% | 290 | 4.56% | 3,521 | 55.30% | 6,367 |
| Laurel | 20,592 | 82.92% | 3,440 | 13.85% | 801 | 3.23% | 17,152 | 69.07% | 24,833 |
| Lawrence | 4,816 | 79.71% | 1,045 | 17.30% | 181 | 2.99% | 3,771 | 62.41% | 6,042 |
| Lee | 2,151 | 80.65% | 444 | 16.65% | 72 | 2.70% | 1,707 | 64.00% | 2,667 |
| Leslie | 4,015 | 89.38% | 400 | 8.90% | 74 | 1.72% | 3,615 | 80.48% | 4,492 |
| Letcher | 7,293 | 79.84% | 1,542 | 16.88% | 299 | 3.28% | 5,751 | 62.96% | 9,134 |
| Lewis | 4,363 | 82.35% | 785 | 14.82% | 150 | 2.83% | 3,578 | 67.53% | 5,298 |
| Lincoln | 7,338 | 76.75% | 1,865 | 19.51% | 358 | 3.74% | 5,473 | 57.24% | 9,561 |
| Livingston | 3,570 | 76.86% | 887 | 19.10% | 188 | 4.04% | 2,683 | 57.76% | 4,645 |
| Logan | 7,778 | 71.36% | 2,755 | 25.28% | 366 | 3.36% | 5,023 | 46.08% | 10,899 |
| Lyon | 2,789 | 70.39% | 1,045 | 26.38% | 128 | 3.23% | 1,744 | 44.01% | 3,962 |
| McCracken | 20,774 | 66.36% | 9,134 | 29.18% | 1,399 | 4.46% | 11,640 | 37.18% | 31,307 |
| McCreary | 5,012 | 86.77% | 664 | 11.50% | 100 | 1.73% | 4,348 | 75.27% | 5,776 |
| McLean | 3,381 | 74.05% | 988 | 21.64% | 197 | 4.31% | 2,393 | 52.41% | 4,566 |
| Madison | 23,431 | 62.70% | 11,793 | 31.56% | 2,147 | 5.74% | 11,638 | 31.14% | 37,371 |
| Magoffin | 3,824 | 74.75% | 1,172 | 22.91% | 120 | 2.34% | 2,652 | 51.84% | 5,116 |
| Marion | 5,122 | 63.15% | 2,679 | 33.03% | 310 | 3.82% | 2,443 | 30.12% | 8,111 |
| Marshall | 12,322 | 73.79% | 3,672 | 21.99% | 704 | 4.22% | 8,650 | 51.80% | 16,698 |
| Martin | 3,503 | 88.62% | 363 | 9.18% | 87 | 2.20% | 3,140 | 79.44% | 3,953 |
| Mason | 4,944 | 68.49% | 1,970 | 27.29% | 305 | 4.22% | 2,974 | 41.20% | 7,219 |
| Meade | 8,660 | 70.80% | 3,026 | 24.74% | 545 | 4.46% | 5,634 | 46.06% | 12,231 |
| Menifee | 2,010 | 72.33% | 700 | 25.19% | 69 | 2.48% | 1,310 | 47.14% | 2,779 |
| Mercer | 7,740 | 73.12% | 2,395 | 22.63% | 450 | 4.25% | 5,345 | 50.49% | 10,585 |
| Metcalfe | 3,491 | 75.56% | 976 | 21.13% | 153 | 3.31% | 2,515 | 54.43% | 4,620 |
| Monroe | 4,278 | 85.71% | 601 | 12.04% | 112 | 2.25% | 3,677 | 73.67% | 4,991 |
| Montgomery | 7,856 | 68.60% | 3,158 | 27.58% | 438 | 3.82% | 4,698 | 41.02% | 11,452 |
| Morgan | 3,628 | 75.98% | 1,006 | 21.07% | 141 | 2.95% | 2,622 | 54.91% | 4,775 |
| Muhlenberg | 9,393 | 71.92% | 3,272 | 25.05% | 395 | 3.03% | 6,121 | 46.87% | 13,060 |
| Nelson | 13,431 | 64.57% | 6,434 | 30.93% | 937 | 4.50% | 6,997 | 33.64% | 20,802 |
| Nicholas | 1,957 | 68.88% | 787 | 27.70% | 97 | 3.42% | 1,170 | 41.18% | 2,841 |
| Ohio | 7,942 | 76.38% | 2,080 | 20.00% | 376 | 3.62% | 5,862 | 56.38% | 10,398 |
| Oldham | 20,469 | 62.30% | 10,268 | 31.25% | 2,116 | 6.45% | 10,201 | 31.05% | 32,853 |
| Owen | 3,745 | 74.89% | 1,062 | 21.24% | 194 | 3.87% | 2,683 | 53.65% | 5,001 |
| Owsley | 1,474 | 83.80% | 256 | 14.55% | 29 | 1.65% | 1,218 | 69.25% | 1,759 |
| Pendleton | 4,604 | 76.64% | 1,164 | 19.38% | 239 | 3.98% | 3,440 | 57.26% | 6,007 |
| Perry | 8,158 | 77.17% | 2,136 | 20.20% | 278 | 2.63% | 6,022 | 56.97% | 10,572 |
| Pike | 19,747 | 80.06% | 4,280 | 17.35% | 638 | 2.59% | 15,467 | 62.71% | 24,665 |
| Powell | 3,513 | 70.87% | 1,272 | 25.66% | 172 | 3.47% | 2,241 | 45.21% | 4,957 |
| Pulaski | 22,902 | 81.67% | 4,208 | 15.01% | 931 | 3.32% | 18,694 | 66.66% | 28,041 |
| Robertson | 759 | 74.93% | 222 | 21.92% | 32 | 3.15% | 537 | 53.01% | 1,013 |
| Rockcastle | 5,609 | 83.83% | 915 | 13.68% | 167 | 2.49% | 4,694 | 70.15% | 6,691 |
| Rowan | 5,174 | 58.48% | 3,295 | 37.24% | 379 | 4.28% | 1,879 | 21.24% | 8,848 |
| Russell | 6,863 | 83.96% | 1,093 | 13.37% | 218 | 2.67% | 5,770 | 70.59% | 8,174 |
| Scott | 15,052 | 62.20% | 7,715 | 31.88% | 1,433 | 5.92% | 7,337 | 30.32% | 24,200 |
| Shelby | 13,196 | 64.12% | 6,276 | 30.50% | 1,108 | 5.38% | 6,920 | 33.62% | 20,580 |
| Simpson | 5,077 | 67.41% | 2,144 | 28.47% | 310 | 4.12% | 2,933 | 38.94% | 7,531 |
| Spencer | 7,196 | 75.63% | 1,921 | 20.19% | 398 | 4.18% | 5,275 | 55.44% | 9,515 |
| Taylor | 8,320 | 73.59% | 2,553 | 22.58% | 433 | 3.83% | 5,767 | 51.01% | 11,306 |
| Todd | 3,612 | 75.58% | 1,042 | 21.80% | 125 | 2.62% | 2,570 | 53.78% | 4,779 |
| Trigg | 4,931 | 73.04% | 1,587 | 23.51% | 233 | 3.45% | 3,344 | 49.53% | 6,751 |
| Trimble | 2,771 | 72.96% | 879 | 23.14% | 148 | 3.90% | 1,892 | 49.82% | 3,798 |
| Union | 4,701 | 75.69% | 1,331 | 21.43% | 179 | 2.88% | 3,370 | 54.26% | 6,211 |
| Warren | 28,673 | 59.18% | 16,966 | 35.01% | 2,815 | 5.81% | 11,707 | 24.17% | 48,454 |
| Washington | 4,013 | 71.20% | 1,420 | 25.20% | 203 | 3.60% | 2,593 | 46.00% | 5,636 |
| Wayne | 6,371 | 79.72% | 1,431 | 17.91% | 190 | 2.37% | 4,940 | 61.81% | 7,992 |
| Webster | 4,397 | 75.75% | 1,240 | 21.36% | 168 | 2.89% | 3,157 | 54.39% | 5,805 |
| Whitley | 11,312 | 82.13% | 2,067 | 15.01% | 395 | 2.86% | 9,245 | 67.12% | 13,774 |
| Wolfe | 1,804 | 68.46% | 753 | 28.58% | 78 | 2.96% | 1,051 | 39.88% | 2,635 |
| Woodford | 7,697 | 56.75% | 4,958 | 36.56% | 908 | 6.69% | 2,739 | 20.19% | 13,563 |
| Totals | 1,202,971 | 62.52% | 628,854 | 32.68% | 92,325 | 4.80% | 574,117 | 29.84% | 1,924,150 |
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
|
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Trump won five of six congressional districts.[16]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 72% | 24% | Ed Whitfield |
| James Comer | |||
| 2nd | 68% | 28% | Brett Guthrie |
| 3rd | 40% | 55% | John Yarmuth |
| 4th | 65% | 29% | Thomas Massie |
| 5th | 80% | 17% | Hal Rogers |
| 6th | 55% | 39% | Andy Barr |
State and district results of the2016 United States presidential election | ||
|---|---|---|
|  | |
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
See also:Political party strength in Kentucky | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
