| Turnout | 76.94% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton, and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine. Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]
Clinton won the state by 13.64%, a smaller margin of victory than outgoingPresidentBarack Obama's 17.33% in2012.[2] Clinton carried six of the state's eight counties; however, Trump was the first Republican presidential candidate to winWindham County sinceGeorge H. W. Bush in1988. This is the first election since1940 in which Connecticut did not vote the same asMichigan, something that would be seen again in2024.
Trump's strongest county in the state was ruralLitchfield County, while Clinton's biggest win was in adjacent, more urbanHartford County.[3] Areas that swung in Clinton's favor were mainly concentrated in suburbanFairfield County, in towns likeGreenwich,Darien,New Canaan, andWestport.[4][3] This area is home to manyNew York City commuters. Other Democratic swings happened in suburbs outsideHartford, such asAvon,Granby,East Granby, andGlastonbury, as well as outsideNew Haven, in towns likeGuilford,Madison, andWoodbridge.[4][3] This was the first time since1888 that Darien and the first time since1912 thatEaston voted Democratic, largely due to opposition to the populist Trump among historically Republican affluent and educated voters. By contrast, areas that swung hard for Trump were mainly located inWindham County and northernNew London County, in towns likeKillingly,Sterling,Plainfield, andVoluntown.[5] This mirrored a national trend of Trump gaining White working-class support.
Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[6]
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 170,045 | 51.80% | 28 | 15 | 43 |
| Bernie Sanders | 152,379 | 46.42% | 27 | 0 | 27 |
| Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 960 | 0.29% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 4,871 | 1.48% | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 328,255 | 100% | 55 | 16 | 71 |
| Source:[7][8] | |||||
Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[6]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 123,523 | 57.86% | 28 | 0 | 28 |
| John Kasich | 60,522 | 28.35% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ted Cruz | 24,987 | 11.70% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 2,728 | 1.28% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson(withdrawn) | 1,733 | 0.81% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 213,493 | 100.00% | 28 | 0 | 28 |
| Source:The Green Papers | |||||
Clinton won every pre-election poll conducted. An average of the final 3 polls showed Clinton leading 49% to 38%, and the final poll showed Clinton leading Trump 50% to 35%.[9]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[10] | Safe D | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[11] | Safe D | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report[12] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com[13] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[14] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[16] | Lean D | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[17] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | 897,572 | 54.57% | |
| Republican | Donald Trump | 673,215 | 40.93% | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 48,676 | 2.96% | |
| Green | Jill Stein | 22,841 | 1.39% | |
| Independent | Evan McMullin (write-in) | 2,108 | 0.13% | |
| Write-in | 361 | 0.02% | ||
| Constitution | Darrell Castle (write-in) | 147 | 0.01% | |
| Total votes | 1,644,920 | 100.00% | ||
| County | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Gary Johnson Libertarian | Jill Stein Green | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Fairfield | 243,852 | 57.89% | 160,077 | 38.00% | 11,691 | 2.78% | 4,866 | 1.16% | 723 | 0.18% | 83,775 | 19.89% | 421,209 |
| Hartford | 240,403 | 59.09% | 148,173 | 36.42% | 11,997 | 2.95% | 5,680 | 1.40% | 611 | 0.15% | 92,230 | 22.67% | 406,864 |
| Litchfield | 39,775 | 40.82% | 53,051 | 54.44% | 3,004 | 3.08% | 1,441 | 1.48% | 171 | 0.17% | -13,276 | -13.62% | 97,442 |
| Middlesex | 45,357 | 51.18% | 38,867 | 43.86% | 2,760 | 3.11% | 1,497 | 1.69% | 143 | 0.16% | 6,490 | 7.32% | 88,624 |
| New Haven | 205,609 | 54.25% | 159,048 | 41.96% | 9,119 | 2.41% | 4,757 | 1.26% | 473 | 0.13% | 46,561 | 12.29% | 379,006 |
| New London | 62,278 | 50.42% | 54,058 | 43.76% | 4,744 | 3.84% | 2,220 | 1.80% | 228 | 0.19% | 8,220 | 6.66% | 123,528 |
| Tolland | 38,506 | 49.73% | 34,194 | 44.16% | 3,181 | 4.11% | 1,370 | 1.77% | 173 | 0.23% | 4,312 | 5.57% | 77,424 |
| Windham | 21,792 | 42.88% | 25,747 | 50.66% | 2,180 | 4.29% | 1,010 | 1.99% | 94 | 0.18% | -3,955 | -7.78% | 50,823 |
| Total | 897,572 | 54.57% | 673,215 | 40.93% | 48,676 | 2.96% | 22,841 | 1.39% | 2,616 | 0.16% | 224,357 | 13.64% | 1,644,920 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Clinton won all five congressional districts.[19]
| District | Clinton | Trump | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 59% | 36% | John B. Larson |
| 2nd | 49% | 46% | Joe Courtney |
| 3rd | 56% | 40% | Rosa DeLauro |
| 4th | 60% | 37% | Jim Himes |
| 5th | 50% | 46% | Elizabeth Esty |
According to Connecticut's Secretary of State Elections Night Reporting website, voter turnout was 76.94% with 1,675,934 voters checked reported out of 2,178,169 Registered Voters Reported.[20]