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| Turnout | 64.65% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Arkansas voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican Party's nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic Party nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton, and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine. Arkansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]
Although Clinton once served as the First Lady of Arkansas from 1979 to 1981 and from 1983 to 1992 as the wife of then-GovernorBill Clinton, Arkansas was considered to be a state Trump would win or otherwise a safe red state. Bill Clinton won the state twice in1992 and1996, but the state has trended Republican in every election since2000, and no Democrat has won a statewide election there since2010. Trump won the state with 60.57% of the vote, and Hillary Clinton received 33.65% of the vote.[2] The Republican candidate has carried Arkansas in every election starting in 2000. This is also the first election in which the state simultaneously voted for a Republican presidential candidate and a Republican Senate candidate. Arkansas was 1 of 11 states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.
Trump's 60.57% share of the vote is the best result for the Republicans in Arkansas sinceRichard Nixon in1972. TheProhibition Party candidate,James Hedges, also had the notable achievement of finishing third inArkansas County, ahead of major third-party candidatesGary Johnson andJill Stein, the only county in the country where he did so.
On March 1, 2016, in thepresidential primaries, Arkansas voters expressed their preferences for theDemocratic,Republican,Green,Libertarian,Constitution, andProhibition parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.
Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 37
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 146,057 | 66.08% | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| Bernie Sanders | 66,236 | 29.97% | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| Martin O'Malley(withdrawn) | 2,785 | 1.26% | |||
| John Wolfe Jr. | 2,556 | 1.16% | |||
| James Valentine | 1,702 | 0.77% | |||
| Rocky De La Fuente | 1,684 | 0.76% | |||
| Total | 221,020 | 100% | 32 | 5 | 37 |
| Sources:[3][4] | |||||
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[5][6]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 134,744 | 32.79% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| Ted Cruz | 125,340 | 30.50% | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| Marco Rubio | 101,910 | 24.80% | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| Ben Carson | 23,521 | 5.72% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 15,305 | 3.72% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee(withdrawn) | 4,792 | 1.17% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush(withdrawn) | 2,402 | 0.58% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul(withdrawn) | 1,151 | 0.28% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie(withdrawn) | 631 | 0.15% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina(withdrawn) | 411 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum(withdrawn) | 292 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham(withdrawn) | 252 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby Jindal(withdrawn) | 169 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 410,920 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Source:The Green Papers | |||||
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Arkansas as of Election Day.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[7] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[8] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[9] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| NBC[11] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[12] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| ABC[14] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| 2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas[15] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | % | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | Donald Trump | Mike Pence | 684,872 | 60.57% | 6 | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | Tim Kaine | 380,494 | 33.65% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | Bill Weld | 29,949 | 2.65% | 0 | |
| Independent | Evan McMullin | Nathan Johnson | 13,176 | 1.17% | 0 | |
| Green | Jill Stein | Ajamu Baraka | 9,473 | 0.84% | 0 | |
| Prohibition Party | Jim Hedges | Bill Bayes | 4,709 | 0.42% | 0 | |
| Constitution | Darrell L. Castle | Scott N. Bradley | 4,613 | 0.41% | 0 | |
| Independent | Lynn S. Kahn | Kathleen Monahan | 3,390 | 0.30% | 0 | |
| Total | 1,130,676 | 100.00% | 6 | |||
| County | Donald J. Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Arkansas | 3,826 | 61.59% | 1,939 | 31.21% | 447 | 7.20% | 1,887 | 30.38% | 6,212 |
| Ashley | 5,338 | 66.04% | 2,408 | 29.79% | 337 | 4.17% | 2,930 | 36.25% | 8,083 |
| Baxter | 14,682 | 74.28% | 4,169 | 21.09% | 915 | 4.63% | 10,513 | 53.19% | 19,766 |
| Benton | 60,871 | 62.87% | 28,005 | 28.92% | 7,948 | 8.21% | 32,866 | 33.95% | 96,824 |
| Boone | 12,235 | 75.94% | 2,926 | 18.16% | 950 | 5.90% | 9,309 | 57.78% | 16,111 |
| Bradley | 2,164 | 59.24% | 1,317 | 36.05% | 172 | 4.71% | 847 | 23.19% | 3,653 |
| Calhoun | 1,556 | 68.58% | 639 | 28.16% | 74 | 3.26% | 917 | 40.42% | 2,269 |
| Carroll | 6,786 | 63.08% | 3,342 | 31.07% | 630 | 5.85% | 3,444 | 32.01% | 10,758 |
| Chicot | 1,716 | 41.09% | 2,350 | 56.27% | 110 | 2.64% | -634 | -15.18% | 4,176 |
| Clark | 4,404 | 51.65% | 3,620 | 42.46% | 502 | 5.89% | 784 | 9.19% | 8,526 |
| Clay | 3,781 | 72.71% | 1,199 | 23.06% | 220 | 4.23% | 2,582 | 49.65% | 5,200 |
| Cleburne | 9,458 | 78.26% | 2,101 | 17.39% | 526 | 4.35% | 7,357 | 60.87% | 12,085 |
| Cleveland | 2,462 | 73.40% | 723 | 21.56% | 169 | 5.04% | 1,739 | 51.84% | 3,354 |
| Columbia | 5,456 | 61.39% | 3,140 | 35.33% | 291 | 3.28% | 2,316 | 26.06% | 8,887 |
| Conway | 4,849 | 61.17% | 2,656 | 33.51% | 422 | 5.32% | 2,193 | 27.66% | 7,927 |
| Craighead | 22,892 | 64.35% | 10,538 | 29.62% | 2,143 | 6.03% | 12,354 | 34.73% | 35,573 |
| Crawford | 16,686 | 74.33% | 4,488 | 19.99% | 1,276 | 5.68% | 12,198 | 54.34% | 22,450 |
| Crittenden | 6,964 | 43.66% | 8,410 | 52.72% | 578 | 3.62% | -1,446 | -9.06% | 15,952 |
| Cross | 4,584 | 66.69% | 1,999 | 29.08% | 291 | 4.23% | 2,585 | 37.61% | 6,874 |
| Dallas | 1,509 | 54.46% | 1,165 | 42.04% | 97 | 3.50% | 344 | 12.42% | 2,771 |
| Desha | 1,919 | 45.08% | 2,228 | 52.34% | 110 | 2.58% | -309 | -7.26% | 4,257 |
| Drew | 3,968 | 60.17% | 2,365 | 35.86% | 262 | 3.97% | 1,603 | 24.31% | 6,595 |
| Faulkner | 29,346 | 61.75% | 14,629 | 30.78% | 3,552 | 7.47% | 14,717 | 30.97% | 47,527 |
| Franklin | 5,039 | 74.43% | 1,376 | 20.32% | 355 | 5.25% | 3,663 | 54.11% | 6,770 |
| Fulton | 3,471 | 72.74% | 1,067 | 22.36% | 234 | 4.90% | 2,404 | 50.38% | 4,772 |
| Garland | 26,087 | 63.93% | 12,311 | 30.17% | 2,407 | 5.90% | 13,776 | 33.76% | 40,805 |
| Grant | 5,725 | 76.90% | 1,373 | 18.44% | 347 | 4.66% | 4,352 | 58.46% | 7,445 |
| Greene | 10,720 | 73.42% | 3,071 | 21.03% | 809 | 5.55% | 7,649 | 52.39% | 14,600 |
| Hempstead | 4,401 | 62.43% | 2,377 | 33.72% | 271 | 3.85% | 2,024 | 28.71% | 7,049 |
| Hot Spring | 8,172 | 68.42% | 3,149 | 26.36% | 623 | 5.22% | 5,023 | 42.06% | 11,944 |
| Howard | 3,157 | 67.54% | 1,351 | 28.90% | 166 | 3.56% | 1,806 | 38.64% | 4,674 |
| Independence | 9,936 | 72.98% | 2,881 | 21.16% | 797 | 5.86% | 7,055 | 51.82% | 13,614 |
| Izard | 4,042 | 74.19% | 1,113 | 20.43% | 293 | 5.38% | 2,929 | 53.76% | 5,448 |
| Jackson | 3,267 | 63.36% | 1,583 | 30.70% | 306 | 5.94% | 1,684 | 32.66% | 5,156 |
| Jefferson | 9,250 | 35.72% | 15,772 | 60.91% | 872 | 3.37% | -6,522 | -25.19% | 25,894 |
| Johnson | 6,091 | 66.85% | 2,427 | 26.64% | 594 | 6.51% | 3,664 | 40.21% | 9,112 |
| Lafayette | 1,758 | 61.47% | 1,032 | 36.08% | 70 | 2.45% | 726 | 25.39% | 2,860 |
| Lawrence | 4,064 | 71.49% | 1,263 | 22.22% | 358 | 6.29% | 2,801 | 49.27% | 5,685 |
| Lee | 1,229 | 40.61% | 1,735 | 57.34% | 62 | 2.05% | -506 | -16.73% | 3,026 |
| Lincoln | 2,455 | 64.17% | 1,252 | 32.72% | 119 | 3.11% | 1,203 | 31.45% | 3,826 |
| Little River | 3,605 | 68.97% | 1,397 | 26.73% | 225 | 4.30% | 2,208 | 42.24% | 5,227 |
| Logan | 5,746 | 72.54% | 1,715 | 21.65% | 460 | 5.81% | 4,031 | 50.89% | 7,921 |
| Lonoke | 19,958 | 73.65% | 5,664 | 20.90% | 1,478 | 5.45% | 14,294 | 52.75% | 27,100 |
| Madison | 4,928 | 72.04% | 1,588 | 23.21% | 325 | 4.75% | 3,340 | 48.83% | 6,841 |
| Marion | 5,336 | 75.08% | 1,434 | 20.18% | 337 | 4.74% | 3,902 | 54.90% | 7,107 |
| Miller | 11,294 | 70.19% | 4,273 | 26.56% | 524 | 3.25% | 7,021 | 43.63% | 16,091 |
| Mississippi | 7,061 | 53.48% | 5,670 | 42.94% | 473 | 3.58% | 1,391 | 10.54% | 13,204 |
| Monroe | 1,489 | 51.63% | 1,312 | 45.49% | 83 | 2.88% | 177 | 6.14% | 2,884 |
| Montgomery | 2,643 | 74.26% | 748 | 21.02% | 168 | 4.72% | 1,895 | 53.24% | 3,559 |
| Nevada | 2,000 | 61.61% | 1,157 | 35.64% | 89 | 2.75% | 843 | 25.97% | 3,246 |
| Newton | 2,875 | 76.61% | 699 | 18.63% | 179 | 4.76% | 2,176 | 57.98% | 3,753 |
| Ouachita | 5,351 | 53.86% | 4,321 | 43.49% | 263 | 2.65% | 1,030 | 10.37% | 9,935 |
| Perry | 3,008 | 69.86% | 1,049 | 24.36% | 249 | 5.78% | 1,959 | 45.50% | 4,306 |
| Phillips | 2,446 | 35.18% | 4,310 | 61.99% | 197 | 2.83% | -1,864 | -26.81% | 6,953 |
| Pike | 3,150 | 79.13% | 685 | 17.21% | 146 | 3.66% | 2,465 | 61.92% | 3,981 |
| Poinsett | 5,502 | 71.25% | 1,880 | 24.35% | 340 | 4.40% | 3,622 | 46.90% | 7,722 |
| Polk | 6,618 | 80.40% | 1,212 | 14.72% | 401 | 4.88% | 5,406 | 65.68% | 8,231 |
| Pope | 16,256 | 72.03% | 5,000 | 22.15% | 1,313 | 5.82% | 11,256 | 49.88% | 22,569 |
| Prairie | 2,505 | 72.74% | 814 | 23.64% | 125 | 3.62% | 1,691 | 49.10% | 3,444 |
| Pulaski | 61,257 | 38.34% | 89,574 | 56.06% | 8,945 | 5.60% | -28,317 | -17.72% | 159,776 |
| Randolph | 4,509 | 70.69% | 1,425 | 22.34% | 445 | 6.97% | 3,084 | 48.35% | 6,379 |
| St. Francis | 3,195 | 43.00% | 4,031 | 54.25% | 204 | 2.75% | -836 | -11.25% | 7,430 |
| Saline | 35,863 | 68.83% | 13,256 | 25.44% | 2,981 | 5.73% | 22,607 | 43.39% | 52,100 |
| Scott | 2,731 | 77.81% | 602 | 17.15% | 177 | 5.04% | 2,129 | 60.66% | 3,510 |
| Searcy | 2,955 | 79.27% | 601 | 16.12% | 172 | 4.61% | 2,354 | 63.15% | 3,728 |
| Sebastian | 29,127 | 65.25% | 12,300 | 27.56% | 3,210 | 7.19% | 16,827 | 37.69% | 44,637 |
| Sevier | 3,282 | 71.94% | 1,075 | 23.56% | 205 | 4.50% | 2,207 | 48.38% | 4,562 |
| Sharp | 5,407 | 74.59% | 1,472 | 20.31% | 370 | 5.10% | 3,935 | 54.28% | 7,249 |
| Stone | 4,113 | 73.21% | 1,203 | 21.41% | 302 | 5.38% | 2,910 | 51.80% | 5,618 |
| Union | 10,456 | 61.89% | 5,855 | 34.66% | 583 | 3.45% | 4,601 | 27.23% | 16,894 |
| Van Buren | 5,382 | 73.33% | 1,549 | 21.11% | 408 | 5.56% | 3,833 | 52.22% | 7,339 |
| Washington | 41,476 | 50.67% | 33,366 | 40.76% | 7,019 | 8.57% | 8,110 | 9.91% | 81,861 |
| White | 21,077 | 75.28% | 5,170 | 18.46% | 1,752 | 6.26% | 15,907 | 56.82% | 27,999 |
| Woodruff | 1,347 | 52.39% | 1,118 | 43.49% | 106 | 4.12% | 229 | 8.90% | 2,571 |
| Yell | 4,608 | 71.56% | 1,480 | 22.98% | 351 | 5.46% | 3,128 | 48.58% | 6,439 |
| Totals | 684,872 | 60.57% | 380,494 | 33.65% | 65,310 | 5.78% | 304,378 | 26.92% | 1,130,676 |
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic
|
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Trump won all four of the state's congressional districts.[16]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 65% | 30% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 52% | 42% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 62% | 30% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 64% | 31% | Bruce Westerman |
The voter turnout in Arkansas was 64.65% with 1,137,772 ballots cast out of 1,759,974 registered voters.[17]
State and district results of the2016 United States presidential election | ||
|---|---|---|
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