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| Turnout | 74.2% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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| Elections in Arizona | ||||||||
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The2016 United States presidential election in Arizona was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Arizona voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote, pitting theRepublican nominee, businessmanDonald Trump, and running mateIndiana GovernorMike Pence againstDemocratic nominee, formerSecretary of StateHillary Clinton, and her running mate VirginiaSenatorTim Kaine. Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]
Despite the country at-large swinging to the right, Arizona's Republican margin of victory decreased from 9.0% in2012[2] to only 3.5% in 2016, thus making it one of 11 states (along with the District of Columbia) to swing toward the Democratic Party in this election.
As of 2024, Trump's 2016 margin of victory in Arizona remains the smallest for any Republican who won the presidency since Arizona's statehood in 1912. This was the last time Arizona voted to the right of Florida.
Notably,Maricopa County, the state's most populous county, went more Democratic than the state as a whole for the first time in state history; it has done so in every election since. The county had not voted for a Democrat sinceHarry S. Truman in1948. Maricopa County and Arizona as a whole both voted Democratic in2020 and then flipped back to the Republican presidential column in2024.
Six candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[3]
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 262,459 | 56.3% | 42 | 6 | 48 |
| Bernie Sanders | 192,962 | 41.4% | 33 | 1 | 34 |
| Martin O'Malley(withdrawn) | 3,877 | 0.8% | |||
| Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 2,797 | 0.6% | |||
| Michael Steinberg | 2,295 | 0.5% | |||
| Henry Hewes | 1,845 | 0.4% | |||
| Uncommitted | N/a | 3 | 3 | ||
| Total | 466,235 | 100% | 75 | 10 | 85 |
| Source:[4][5] | |||||
Detailed results per congressional district
| District | Total | Hillary Clinton | Bernie Sanders | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | Delegates | Votes | % | Delegates | Votes | % | Delegates | |
| 1st district | 63,863 | 6 | 35,445 | 55.5% | 3 | 26,267 | 41.1% | 3 |
| 2nd district | 78,237 | 8 | 42,797 | 54.7% | 4 | 33,891 | 43.3% | 4 |
| 3rd district | 51,520 | 5 | 30,298 | 58.8% | 3 | 20,091 | 39.0% | 2 |
| 4th district | 37,273 | 4 | 15,289 | 55.4% | 2 | 20,662 | 41.0% | 2 |
| 5th district | 40,847 | 5 | 22,973 | 56.2% | 3 | 16,982 | 41.6% | 2 |
| 6th district | 50,465 | 6 | 29,266 | 58.0% | 4 | 20,259 | 40.1% | 2 |
| 7th district | 42,199 | 5 | 24,245 | 57.5% | 3 | 17,173 | 40.7% | 2 |
| 8th district | 46,491 | 5 | 27,672 | 59.5% | 3 | 17,651 | 38.0% | 2 |
| 9th district | 55,340 | 6 | 29,101 | 52.6% | 3 | 25,359 | 45.8% | 3 |
| At-large delegates | 466,235 | 16 | 262,459 | 56.3% | 9 | 192,962 | 41.4% | 7 |
| Pledged PLEOs | 466,235 | 9 | 262,459 | 56.3% | 5 | 192,962 | 41.4% | 4 |
| Total | 466,235 | 75 | 262,464 | 56.3% | 42 | 192,965 | 41.4% | 33 |
Fourteen candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[8]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 286,743 | 45.95% | 58 | 0 | 58 |
| Ted Cruz | 172,294 | 27.61% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Rubio(withdrawn) | 72,304 | 11.59% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 65,965 | 10.57% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson(withdrawn) | 14,940 | 2.39% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush(withdrawn) | 4,393 | 0.70% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul(withdrawn) | 2,269 | 0.36% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee(withdrawn) | 1,300 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina(withdrawn) | 1,270 | 0.20% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie(withdrawn) | 988 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum(withdrawn) | 523 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham(withdrawn) | 498 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Pataki(withdrawn) | 309 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Timothy Cook(withdrawn) | 243 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 624,039 | 100.00% | 58 | 0 | 58 |
| Source:The Green Papers | |||||
TheArizona Green Party held its primary on March 22. Jill Stein won with 82% of the vote, and the overall number of voters that took place in the primary saw an increase from 561 in 2012 to 770 in 2016.[9] Only two candidates qualified for the primary:[10]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
 Jill Stein | 666 | 82% | 5 |
| Kent Mesplay | 151 | 18% | 1 |
| Write-in/Blank | 18 | 0% | - |
| Total | 817 | 100.0% | 6 |
The first poll conducted in March 2016 showed a tie between Clinton and Trump. From March 2016 to October, the polling in this normally Republican state was quite close, with neither candidate seriously leading. In late October, Trump gained momentum and won every pre-election poll in the weeks leading up to the election. The final poll showed Trump leading Clinton 46% to 41% and the average of the final 3 polls showed Trump leading 47% to 43%, which was accurate compared to the results.[12]
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Arizona as of Election Day.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[13] | Lean D(flip) | November 6, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[14] | Tilt R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
| CNN[16] | Tossup | November 8, 2016 |
| NBC[17] | Tossup | November 8, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[18] | Tossup | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[19] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
| ABC[20] | Tossup | November 7, 2016 |
| 2016 United States presidential election in Arizona[21] | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Popular vote | Electoral vote | Swing | ||||
| Count | % | Count | % | ||||||
| Republican | Donald Trump ofNew York | Mike Pence ofIndiana | 1,252,401 | 48.67% | 11 | 100.0% |  5.4% | ||
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton ofNew York | Tim Kaine ofVirginia | 1,161,167 | 45.13% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | ||
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson ofNew Mexico | Bill Weld ofMassachusetts | 106,327 | 4.13% | 0 | 0.0% | 2.7% | ||
| Green | Jill Stein ofMassachusetts | Ajamu Baraka ofIllinois | 34,345 | 1.33% | 0 | 0.0% | 1.0% | ||
| Independent | Evan McMullin (write-in) ofUtah | Nathan Johnson ofCalifornia | 17,449 | 0.68% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.7% | ||
| Constitution | Darrell L. Castle (write-in) ofTennessee | Scott N. Bradley ofUtah | 1,058 | 0.04% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||
| Independent | Tom Hoefling (write-in) ofIowa | Steve Schulin ofSouth Carolina | 85 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.0% |  | ||
| Independent | Mike Smith (write-in) ofTennessee | Daniel L. White ofTexas | 62 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.0% | | ||
| Independent | Laurence Kotlikoff (write-in) ofMassachusetts | Edward E. Leamer ofCalifornia | 52 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.0% | | ||
| Reform | Rocky De La Fuente (write-in) ofCalifornia | Michael Steinberg ofFlorida | 29 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.0% | | ||
| Independent | Joseph Allen Maldonado (write-in) ofOklahoma | Douglas Terranova ofTexas | 20 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.0% | | ||
| Total | 2,604,657 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | |||||
| County[22] | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Apache | 8,240 | 29.79% | 17,083 | 61.76% | 2,338 | 8.45% | -8,843 | -31.97% | 27,661 |
| Cochise | 28,092 | 56.17% | 17,450 | 34.89% | 4,473 | 8.94% | 10,642 | 21.28% | 50,015 |
| Coconino | 21,108 | 35.31% | 32,404 | 54.20% | 6,272 | 10.49% | -11,296 | -18.89% | 59,784 |
| Gila | 14,182 | 62.99% | 7,003 | 31.10% | 1,330 | 5.91% | 7,179 | 31.89% | 22,515 |
| Graham | 8,025 | 65.34% | 3,301 | 26.88% | 955 | 7.78% | 4,724 | 38.46% | 12,281 |
| Greenlee | 1,892 | 57.33% | 1,092 | 33.09% | 316 | 9.58% | 800 | 24.24% | 3,300 |
| La Paz | 4,003 | 67.27% | 1,575 | 26.47% | 373 | 6.27% | 2,428 | 40.80% | 5,951 |
| Maricopa | 747,361 | 47.67% | 702,907 | 44.83% | 117,566 | 7.50% | 44,454 | 2.84% | 1,567,834 |
| Mohave | 58,282 | 72.90% | 17,455 | 21.83% | 4,206 | 5.26% | 40,827 | 51.07% | 79,943 |
| Navajo | 20,577 | 51.07% | 16,459 | 40.85% | 3,258 | 8.09% | 4,118 | 10.22% | 40,294 |
| Pima | 167,428 | 39.71% | 224,661 | 53.28% | 29,551 | 7.01% | -57,233 | -13.57% | 421,640 |
| Pinal | 72,819 | 56.21% | 47,892 | 36.97% | 8,835 | 6.82% | 24,927 | 19.24% | 129,546 |
| Santa Cruz | 3,897 | 23.71% | 11,690 | 71.14% | 846 | 5.15% | -7,793 | -47.43% | 16,433 |
| Yavapai | 71,330 | 62.32% | 35,590 | 31.10% | 7,530 | 6.58% | 35,740 | 31.22% | 114,450 |
| Yuma | 25,165 | 47.47% | 24,605 | 46.42% | 3,240 | 6.11% | 560 | 1.05% | 53,010 |
| Totals | 1,252,401 | 48.08% | 1,161,167 | 44.58% | 191,089 | 7.34% | 91,234 | 3.50% | 2,604,657 |
Swing by county
Trend relative to the state by countyTrump won five of nine congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Clinton. Each candidate won a district that elected a representative of the other party.[23]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 47% | 46% | Ann Kirkpatrick |
| Tom O'Halleran | |||
| 2nd | 44% | 49% | Martha McSally |
| 3rd | 32% | 62% | Raúl Grijalva |
| 4th | 67% | 27% | Paul Gosar |
| 5th | 56% | 36% | Matt Salmon |
| Andy Biggs | |||
| 6th | 52% | 42% | David Schweikert |
| 7th | 22% | 71% | Ruben Gallego |
| 8th | 57% | 36% | Trent Franks |
| 9th | 38% | 53% | Kyrsten Sinema |
Voter Turnout was 74.2% with 2,661,497 ballots cast out of 3,588,466 voters.[24]
Donald Trump won Arizona with a margin of 3.5%, a reduced margin fromMitt Romney's 9.0% margin in2012.[25] Arizona was among the eleven states in which Hillary Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's margin in 2012,[26] primarily due to an increase in Hispanic voter turnout in southern Arizona, including heavily populatedMaricopa County. This was the weakest performance for a Republican in the state since 1992. Trump also lost the 2nd congressional district that Romney had won four years earlier.
Maricopa County, in particular, went from a 10.7% margin of victory for Romney in 2012 to a 2.8% margin of victory for Trump, making this the first time since1996 that the county was held to single digits. Clinton also came the closest of any Democrat to winningYuma County sinceLa Paz County broke off from it in the 1980s, as the county was last carried by a Democrat in 1964. Other rural counties that Bill Clinton had won in the 1990s continued to trend in a Republican direction, namely the formerly union-heavy Gila, Graham, and Greenlee counties. In terms of percentage of the vote, Trump's strongest support was in the northwest of the state, including Mohave County, which was the only county to give him over 70% of the vote. Clinton did best in the southern-central region along the US-Mexico border. Santa Cruz and Pima counties (home toTucson) were among her strongest and among the places in the state where she outperformed Barack Obama in 2012.
Arizona had 11 electors in 2016. All of them voted forDonald Trump for president andMike Pence for vice president.
The electors were
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