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2016 United States Senate election in Oregon

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States Senate election in Oregon

← 2010
November 8, 2016
2022 →
 
NomineeRon WydenMark Callahan
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,105,119651,106
Percentage56.60%33.35%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Wyden:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Callahan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ron Wyden
Democratic

Elections in Oregon
Presidential elections
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2000
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List of Oregon ballot measures

The2016 United States Senate election in Oregon was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofOregon, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections.

IncumbentDemocratic SenatorRon Wyden was re-elected to a fourth full term in office. This is the first senate election since 1998 in whichCoos County has not supported him. This election also marks the most recent time any candidate from either major party swept all of Oregon's existing congressional districts in any statewide election. Uniquely, this election is also one of two to have featured a tie in the number of counties won by each of the major party candidates. The only other tie in number of counties won was the2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin between Tammy Baldwin and Tommy Thompson.[1]

Democratic Party primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Wyden
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRonald Wyden (Incumbent)501,90383.20%
DemocraticKevin Stine78,28712.98%
DemocraticPaul Weaver20,3463.37%
write-ins2,7400.45%
Total votes603,276100.00%

Results by county

[edit]
CountyRon Wyden
Democratic
Paul Weaver
Democratic
Kevin Stine
Democratic
Other votesTotal
votes
%#%#%#%#
Baker78.42%1,2056.04%7914.15%1851.38%181,307
Benton82.47%15,0952.74%50214.57%2,6660.21%3918,302
Clackamas83.92%48,3553.27%1,88412.25%7,0600.56%32557,624
Clatsop84.51%5,1733.84%23511.29%6910.36%226,121
Columbia80.70%5,9715.95%44012.75%9430.61%457,399
Coos77.80%6,2846.90%55714.60%1,1790.71%578,077
Crook80.97%1,6137.28%14510.79%2150.95%191,992
Curry80.17%2,4175.41%16313.47%4060.96%293,015
Deschutes85.24%19,4892.92%66811.42%2,6110.42%9622,864
Douglas77.40%8,1597.48%78914.27%1,5040.85%9010,542
Gilliam84.31%1886.73%156.73%152.24%5223
Grant77.46%5196.12%4113.43%902.99%20670
Harney80.18%5427.25%4910.65%721.92%13676
Hood River84.57%3,3763.18%12712.05%4810.20%83,992
Jackson77.86%22,1523.34%94918.35%5,2210.46%13028,452
Jefferson81.59%1,4186.33%11011.34%1970.75%131,738
Josephine77.92%7,0654.73%42916.37%1,4840.98%899,067
Klamath78.52%4,1795.73%30514.60%7771.15%615,322
Lake76.74%4097.88%4214.45%770.94%5533
Lane83.64%58,0573.31%2,30012.70%8,8190.35%24169,417
Lincoln82.28%7,1444.60%39912.73%1,1050.40%358,683
Linn78.20%9,4356.31%76114.76%1,7810.74%8912,066
Malheur75.48%9488.20%10314.81%1861.51%191,256
Marion81.20%27,4094.63%1,56213.54%4,5690.64%21533,755
Morrow80.03%5418.28%5610.80%730.89%6676
Multnomah85.30%148,9802.04%3,55612.32%21,5100.35%603174,649
Polk81.64%8,1304.88%48612.96%1,2910.52%529,959
Sherman74.41%125 10.12%1711.91%203.57%6168
Tillamook83.24%3,4224.31%17712.16%5000.29%124,111
Umatilla82.40%3,6565.12%22711.97%5310.52%234,437
Union81.05%1,9725.67%13812.50%3040.78%192,433
Wallowa86.25%7342.12%1811.05%940.59%5851
Wasco81.63%2,5015.48%16812.40%3800.49%153,064
Washington84.21%65,5653.06%2,38512.43%9,6770.30%23277,859
Wheeler76.36%1264.85%812.73%216.06%10165
Yamhill82.37%9,7293.86%45613.14%1,5520.63%7411,811

Republican Party primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
  Callahan
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Carpenter
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Stewart
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMark Callahan123,47338.24%
RepublicanSam Carpenter104,49432.36%
RepublicanFaye Stewart57,39917.78%
RepublicanDan Laschober34,15710.58%
write-ins3,3571.04%
Total votes322,880100.00%

Independent Party primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Independent primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Independent PartySteven Reynolds10,49740.80%
Independent PartyMarvin Sandnes4,73318.40%
write-ins10,49640.80%
Total votes25,726100.00%

Working Families Party

[edit]

The Working Families Party of Oregon, which usuallycross-endorses Democratic candidates, nominated their own candidate in protest of Sen. Ron Wyden's support of theTrans-Pacific Partnership.[13][14][15]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Pacific Green Party and Oregon Progressive Party

[edit]

ThePacific Green Party and theOregon Progressive Partycross-endorsed Eric Navickas, former member of theAshland, Oregon City Council.[17][18][19]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Eric Navickas, former Ashland City Councilman[20][21]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[22]Safe DNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[24]Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos[25]Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[26]Safe DNovember 7, 2016

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ron
Wyden (D)
Mark
Callahan (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[27]November 1–7, 20161,595± 4.6%63%32%5%
SurveyMonkey[28]October 31–November 6, 20161,483± 4.6%64%32%4%
SurveyMonkey[29]October 28–November 3, 20161,150± 4.6%64%32%4%
SurveyMonkey[30]October 27–November 2, 2016934± 4.6%64%33%3%
SurveyMonkey[31]October 26–November 1, 2016809± 4.6%61%34%5%
SurveyMonkey[32]October 25–31, 2016743± 4.6%62%34%4%
KATU-TV/SurveyUSA[33]October 10–12, 2016654± 3.9%54%32%6%9%
Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart)[34]October 4, 20161,248± 2.8%52%33%15%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Oregon, 2016[35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticRonald Wyden (incumbent)1,105,11956.60%−0.62%
RepublicanMark Callahan651,10633.35%−5.90%
Working FamiliesShanti Lewallen61,9153.17%+1.86%
Independent PartySteven Reynolds59,5163.05%N/A
Pacific GreenEric Navickas48,8232.50%N/A
LibertarianJim Lindsay23,9411.23%+0.12
n/aWrite-ins2,0580.10%0.00%
Total votes1,952,478100.0%N/A
Democratichold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Wyden won all five congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[36]

DistrictWydenCallahanRepresentative
1st60%31%Suzanne Bonamici
2nd48%43%Greg Walden
3rd70%19%Earl Blumenauer
4th52%37%Peter DeFazio
5th53%38%Kurt Schrader

References

[edit]
  1. ^abEmily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015)."Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on January 29, 2015. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2015.
  2. ^Mann, Damian (September 21, 2015)."Medford Councilor Stine to challenge Sen. Ron Wyden".Mail Tribune. Archived fromthe original on October 1, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2015.
  3. ^Kullgren, Ian K. (November 17, 2015)."Who's running for president, Oregon governor, other seats? The latest on 2016 candidates".The Oregonian. RetrievedMarch 7, 2016.
  4. ^Gonzales, Nathan L. (April 10, 2015)."Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on October 1, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2015.
  5. ^abc"May 17, 2016 Primary Election Official Results". Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 21, 2016.
  6. ^abMapes, Jeff (September 10, 2015)."Republican Mark Callahan of 'blah, blah, blah' fame runs again for U.S. Senate".The Oregonian. RetrievedSeptember 11, 2015.
  7. ^Hubbard, Saul (April 27, 2016)."Four GOP candidates in primary vie for spot to face off against U.S. Sen. Ron Wyden".The Eugene Register-Guard. RetrievedMay 10, 2016.[permanent dead link]
  8. ^Jaquiss, Nigel (May 18, 2016)."Surprise Winners, Lousy Polls and Cheap Shots—Last Night's Primary Had It All".Willamette Week. RetrievedMay 21, 2016.
  9. ^Hammers, Scott (February 5, 2016)."Bend businessman Carpenter to run for Senate".The Bend Bulletin. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2016.
  10. ^Dubois, Steven (November 12, 2015)."Oregon county commissioner Faye Stewart to run for US Senate".KATU. RetrievedNovember 16, 2015.
  11. ^abKullgren, Ian (March 9, 2016)."Election 2016: Who's running for office in Oregon? Portland? We've got your list right here".The Oregonian. RetrievedApril 7, 2016.
  12. ^Bailey, Everton (May 17, 2016)."Ron Wyden to face Mark Callahan, Steven Reynolds for U.S. Senate seat in November (election results)".The Oregonian. RetrievedMay 18, 2016.
  13. ^"Oregon Working Families Party challenges free-trader Ron Wyden".NWLaborPress.org. August 2, 2016. RetrievedAugust 28, 2016.
  14. ^"Oregon Working Families Party challenges "fast-track" backer Ron Wyden".People's World. August 16, 2016. RetrievedAugust 28, 2016.
  15. ^Winger, Richard (August 24, 2016)."Oregon Working Families Party Runs its Own Member for U.S. Senate".Ballot Access News. RetrievedAugust 28, 2016.
  16. ^"Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Shanti Lewallen".Oregon Secretary of State. July 28, 2016. RetrievedAugust 28, 2016.
  17. ^Driscoll, Trisha (August 4, 2016)."2016 PACIFIC GREEN PARTY CANDIDATES".Pacific Green Party. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2016.
  18. ^Navickas, Eric (August 31, 2016)."I am proud to announce that in addition to receiving the Pacific Green Party nomination, our campaign has also won the nomination to run for U.S. Senate from the Progressive Party of Oregon".Eric Navickas for US Senate- Official Facebook. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2016.
  19. ^"The League responds with an event gathering signatures to get Jill Stein and Eric Navickas in the voters pamphlet. This will be at the Salem Wednesday Farmers market".Salem Weekly News. August 3, 2016. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2016.
  20. ^"Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Pacific Green Nomination)".Oregon Secretary of State. June 30, 2016. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2016.
  21. ^"Oregon Secretary of State Candidate Information- Eric Navickas (Oregon Progressive Nomination)".Oregon Secretary of State. August 30, 2016. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2016.
  22. ^"2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 26, 2021.
  23. ^"2016 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016.
  24. ^"2016 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016.
  25. ^"Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version".Daily Kos. RetrievedMarch 27, 2021.
  26. ^"Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2016.
  27. ^SurveyMonkey
  28. ^SurveyMonkey
  29. ^SurveyMonkey
  30. ^SurveyMonkey
  31. ^SurveyMonkey
  32. ^SurveyMonkey
  33. ^KATU-TV/SurveyUSA
  34. ^Gravis Marketing (R-Breitbart)
  35. ^"November 8, 2016, General Election Abstract of Votes". Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2017.
  36. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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