The2016 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Indiana . The election was held alongside thepresidential election and2016 Indiana elections .
Republican incumbentDan Coats , who had served in the Senate since 2011 and previously from 1989 to 1999, ultimately chose to not seek reelection.[ 1] Todd Young won the May 3 Republican primary to succeed him, with former U.S. RepresentativeBaron Hill winning the Democratic nomination. However, Hill withdrew from the race on July 11, with former senatorEvan Bayh entering the race to regain the seat, which he held from 1999 to 2011.
TheIndiana Democratic Party formally chose Bayh as Hill's replacement on July 22. Following his entry, Bayh was initially seen as the frontrunner in the race. However, during the campaign, he faced heavy criticism over his post-Senate career as a lobbyist, as well as questions about his residency in the state. Young ultimately won by a comfortable margin, defeating Bayh in the general election by 10 points.[ 2]
Republican SenatorDan Coats , who had served in the Senate since 2011, and previously from 1989 to 1999, stated that he planned to run for re-election,[ 3] [ 4] [ 5]
On March 24, 2015, Coats announced that he would not run for re-election, citing that he would be of advanced age (just under 80 years old) by the end of the 2017–2023 term, should he complete it.[ 1]
Greg Ballard , formermayor ofIndianapolis [ 1] [ 6] Jim Banks , state senator (running for IN-03 )[ 5] [ 12] Brian Bosma ,speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives [ 13] Susan Brooks , U.S. representative and formerUnited States attorney for theSouthern District of Indiana (running for re-election)[ 1] [ 6] [ 14] Larry Bucshon , U.S. representative (running for re-election)[ 13] [ 15] Dan Coats , incumbent U.S. senator[ 3] [ 5] [ 16] Mitch Daniels , president ofPurdue University and formergovernor of Indiana [ 17] Mike Delph , state senator[ 5] [ 18] [ 19] Richard Lugar , former U.S. senator[ 20] Jim Merritt , state senator[ 18] [ 21] Luke Messer , U.S. representative (running for re-election)[ 1] [ 6] Mike Pence ,governor of Indiana and former U.S. representative (running forvice president of the United States )[ 22] Todd Rokita , U.S. representative and formersecretary of state of Indiana (running for re-election)[ 23] Jackie Walorski , U.S. representative (running for re-election)[ 1] [ 24] Greg Zoeller ,Indiana attorney general (running for IN-09 )[ 13] [ 25] Results by county: Young—80–90%
Young—70–80%
Young—60–70%
Young—50–60%
Stutzman—50–60%
Stutzman—60–70%
Stutzman—70–80%
Baron Hill , former U.S. representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in1990 (withdrew after winning primary)John Dickerson, former nonprofit organization director[ 32] [ 33] Democratic State Central Committee selection [ edit ] On July 11, 2016,CNN 's Tom LoBianco announced that Bayh would enter the race to regain his old Senate seat and Hill would drop out and withdraw his name from the November ballot.[ 44] [ 45] [ 45] [ 46] [ 47] [ 45]
Evan Bayh
U.S. cabinet members and cabinet-level officials
Mayors
Organizations
Labor unions
Newspapers
Todd Young
Presidents of the United States
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Former state party chairs
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s) Sample Margin of Todd Evan Lucy Undecided SurveyMonkey [ 72] November 1–7, 2016 1,700 ± 4.6% 53% 42% — 5% SurveyMonkey [ 73] Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 1,383 ± 4.6% 52% 43% — 5% WTHR /Howey [ 74] November 1–3, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 46% 41% 6% 7% SurveyMonkey [ 75] Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 923 ± 4.6% 52% 43% — 5% SurveyMonkey [ 76] Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 790 ± 4.6% 51% 44% — 5% Gravis Marketing [ 77] Oct 30–Nov 1, 2016 399 ± 4.9% 37% 40% 7% 16% SurveyMonkey [ 78] Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 638 ± 4.6% 51% 46% — 3% SurveyMonkey [ 79] October 25–31, 2016 674 ± 4.6% 50% 46% — 4% Monmouth University [ 80] October 27–30, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 45% 45% 4% 5% Gravis Marketing [ 81] October 22–24, 2016 596 ± 2.3% 37% 39% 7% 17% WISH /Ball State Hoosier Survey [ 82] October 10–16, 2016 544 ± 3.9% 43% 49% — 6% Monmouth University [ 83] October 11–13, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 42% 48% 6% 4% Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young) [ 84] October 9–11, 2016 609 ± 4.0% 40% 39% 8% 13% The Times-Picayune /Lucid [ 85] October 7–10, 2016 1,123 ± 3.0% 43% 46% — 11% WTHR /Howey [ 86] October 3–5, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 41% 42% 8% 9% Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young) [ 84] October 3, 2016[ 87] – – 38% 42% 7% 13% Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young) [ 84] September 21, 2016[ 87] – – 39% 44% 9% 8% WTHR /Howey [ 88] September 6–8, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 40% 44% 5% 11% Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young) [ 84] September 1, 2016[ 87] – – 35% 44% 6% 15% Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Bayh) [ 89] August 15–18, 2016 801 ± 3.5% 39% 55% — 6% Monmouth University [ 90] August 13–16, 2016 403 ± 4.9% 41% 48% 4% 7% Global Strategy Group (D-SMP) [ 91] August 10–14, 2016 801 ± 3.5% 36% 54% — 10% Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young) [ 84] August 8, 2016[ 87] – – 35% 48% 7% 10% Expedition Strategies (R-Gregg) [ 92] August 1–3, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 32% 58% — 9% Garin-Hart-Yang (D-DSCC) [ 93] July 12–14, 2016 602 ± 4.1% 33% 54% — 13%
Hypothetical polling
with Baron Hill
Poll source Date(s) Sample Margin of Todd Baron Undecided Bellwether Research [ 94] May 11–15, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 36% 22% 30% WTHR /Howey [ 30] April 18–21, 2016 500 ± 4.3% 48% 30% 22%
with Marlin Stutzman
Poll source Date(s) Sample Margin of Marlin Baron Undecided WTHR /Howey [ 30] April 18–21, 2016 500 ± 4.0% 39% 36% 25%
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [ edit ] Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Young won seven of nine congressional districts.[ 96]
^a b c d e f g h i Joseph, Cameron (March 24, 2015)."Coats retirement in Indiana shakes up 2016 battle for Senate" .The Hill . RetrievedMarch 24, 2015 . ^ Maureen Groppe (July 12, 2016)."Few former senators have done what Bayh might do" .IndyStar . ^a b Bradner, Eric (December 8, 2012)."Coats preparing for re-election in 2016 » Evansville Courier & Press" . Courierpress.com. Archived fromthe original on September 21, 2013. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2013 . ^ Francisco, Brian (November 2, 2011)."Coats gets head start on 2016" . Journal Gazette. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2013 . ^a b c d "Tully: Dan Coats weighing another term in Senate" . IndyStar.com. March 4, 2014. RetrievedOctober 12, 2014 .^a b c d e Brian Howey (January 30, 2015)."If Sen. Coates doesn't run, who does?" . KokomoPerspective.com. Archived fromthe original on February 1, 2015. RetrievedFebruary 3, 2015 . ^ Cahn, Emily (May 9, 2015)."Marlin Stutzman Leaving House to Run for Senate" .Roll Call . Archived fromthe original on May 13, 2015. RetrievedMay 11, 2015 . ^ Francisco, Brian (August 18, 2015)."Candidate fields growing quietly" .Journal Gazette . Archived fromthe original on August 19, 2015. RetrievedAugust 18, 2015 . ^ "May 3, 2016 Primary Election Candidates" (PDF) . Indiana Secretary of State Election Division. RetrievedFebruary 4, 2016 .^ Joseph, Cameron (March 26, 2015)."Chief of staff launches Senate bid for Coats's seat" .The Hill . RetrievedMarch 26, 2015 . ^ "Eric Holcomb drops out of Indiana senate race" .WRTV . RetrievedFebruary 8, 2016 .^ Francisco, Brian (May 11, 2015)."Banks set for Congress run" .The Journal Gazette . RetrievedMay 11, 2015 . ^a b c Howey, Brian A.; Schoeff, Mark Jr. (March 24, 2015)."Coats decision sets off 2016 Senate mad scramble" .Howey Politics . RetrievedMarch 24, 2015 . ^ de la Bastide, Ken (April 20, 2015)."Brooks won't run for U.S. Senate" .The Herald Bulletin . RetrievedApril 20, 2015 . ^ Sullivan, Sean (March 24, 2015)."Cross Rep. Larry Bucshon's name off the list of possible GOP candidates for the Indiana Senate race. He tells me he is not interested" . Twitter. RetrievedMarch 24, 2015 . ^ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (March 24, 2015)."Coats Not Running For Re-Election" . Indy Politics. Archived fromthe original on March 26, 2015. RetrievedMarch 24, 2015 . ^ "TBangert: Governor run for Purdue's Mitch Daniels? 'Nope' .The Indianapolis Star ^a b Howey, Brian (May 26, 2015)."A fascinating U.S. Senate race is setting up" .News and Tribune . RetrievedJune 4, 2015 . ^ Carden, Dan (September 15, 2015)."UPDATE: Delph opts out of U.S. Senate race" .The Times of Northwest Indiana . RetrievedSeptember 15, 2015 . ^ Raju, Manu (March 25, 2015)."Dick Lugar won't be making a comeback, declines to run for Coats' seat in #INSEN, per @kyledcheney" . Twitter. RetrievedMarch 25, 2015 . ^ Helms, Aubrey (August 4, 2015)."Young locking in fundraising advantage for U.S. Senate race" .The Statehouse File . RetrievedSeptember 15, 2015 . ^ Eric Bradner; Dana Bash; MJ Lee (July 15, 2016)."Donald Trump selects Mike Pence as VP" .CNN . ^ Carden, Dan (June 10, 2015)."Rokita opts out of U.S. Senate race" .The Times of Northwest Indiana . RetrievedJune 10, 2015 . ^ Vandenack, Tim (April 15, 2015)."U.S. Rep. Walorski to seek third term in House, won't run for Senate after all" .The Elkhart Truth the original on April 15, 2015. RetrievedApril 15, 2015 . ^ Marturello, Mike (April 9, 2015)."Zoeller quiets talk of Senate run to replace Coats" .News and Tribune . RetrievedApril 9, 2015 . ^a b c Francisco, Brian (January 17, 2016)."GOP Senate hopefuls aim right" .The Journal Gazette . RetrievedFebruary 6, 2016 . ^ Francisco, Brian (March 22, 2016)."FreedomWorks endorses Stutzman in Senate race" .The Journal Gazette . RetrievedApril 3, 2016 . ^ NBC/WSJ/Marist ^ IPFW/Downs Center ^a b c WTHR/Howey ^a b "Indiana Primary Election, May 3, 2016" . Indiana Secretary of State. RetrievedMay 6, 2016 .^ Lewis, Olivia (August 15, 2015)."Dickerson kicks off campaign for U.S. Senate seat" .The Indianapolis Star . RetrievedAugust 17, 2015 . ^ "John Dickerson Drops Out of Race For U.S. Senate" .wfyi Indianapolis . January 21, 2016. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2016 .^ Howey, Brian A.; Butler, Matthew (June 25, 2015)."Gov. Pence prepares to pick a fight" (PDF) .Howey Politics Indiana .20 (39). RetrievedSeptember 17, 2019 . ^ Cahn, Emily; Levinson, Alexis (March 24, 2015)."Coats Retirement Sparks Hoosier State Free-for-All" .Roll Call the original on March 28, 2015. RetrievedMarch 24, 2015 . ^a b Livingston, Abby (June 19, 2013)."Ambitious Hoosiers Wait for Future Statewide Races Farm Team" .Roll Call . RetrievedSeptember 20, 2013 . ^ Bruggeman, Karyn (March 8, 2015)."Mike Pence and Indiana's Deep Freeze" .National Journal . RetrievedMarch 13, 2015 . ^ Smith, Brandon (May 25, 2016)."John Gregg Announces Rep. Christina Hale As Running Mate" .WFIU . Archived fromthe original on August 7, 2016. RetrievedJuly 13, 2016 . ^ Howey, Brian A. (March 24, 2015)."Sen. Coats will not seek reelection in 2016; won't endorse" .Howey Politics . RetrievedMarch 24, 2015 . ^ Howey, Brian (September 10, 2015)."U.S. Senate race: McDermott considers" (PDF) .Howey Politics . RetrievedSeptember 15, 2015 . ^ Joseph, Cameron (March 24, 2015)."GOP braces for free-for-all in Indiana" .The Hill . RetrievedMarch 24, 2015 . ^ Turner, Kris (June 4, 2015)."Glenda Ritz calls education 'catalyst for improvement' in run for governor" .The Indianapolis Star . RetrievedJune 4, 2015 . ^ Tester, Jon (March 8, 2016)."DSCC Endorses Baron Hill in Indiana Senate Race" .Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee the original on March 31, 2016. RetrievedApril 3, 2016 . ^a b Tom LoBianco (July 11, 2016)."First on CNN: Evan Bayh mounting Senate return" .CNN . ^a b c "Baron Hill withdraws from U.S. Senate race; Evan Bayh to enter race" .WTHR . July 11, 2016. Archived fromthe original on July 12, 2016. RetrievedJuly 11, 2016 .^a b "Bob Kern Senate filing" (PDF) .Indiana Secretary of State . July 12, 2016. Archived fromthe original (PDF) on August 20, 2016. RetrievedJuly 19, 2016 .^a b Tom LoBianco (July 13, 2016)."Bayh announces Senate bid, puts Indiana seat in play" .CNN . RetrievedJuly 14, 2016 . ^ Full debate ^ Rucker, Philip (October 23, 2016)."Clinton infuses cash into Senate, gubernatorial races, including Indiana and Missouri" .Chicago Tribune . RetrievedNovember 3, 2016 . ^ Roberts, Kelly (October 26, 2016)."Mayor Tom Henry campaigns for Evan Bayh" .WANE-TV . RetrievedNovember 3, 2016 . ^ "Daily News Bin endorses Democrat Evan Bayh in 2016 Senate race in Indiana" .Daily News Bin . July 12, 2016. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2016. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016 .^ Shella, Jim (September 8, 2016)."UAW endorses Bayh, attacks Young" .WISH-TV . RetrievedNovember 3, 2016 . ^ "Bayh best for Indiana, Senate" .The Journal Gazette . RetrievedNovember 3, 2016 .^ "Endorsements: A tough choice for U.S. Senate but Bayh is sensible pick for Indiana" .South Bend Tribune . RetrievedNovember 3, 2016 .^ Schneider, Chelsea."Bush campaigns for Todd Young in Indy, Elkhart" .The Indianapolis Star . ^ "Tom Cotton campaigns with Todd Young" .tomcotton.com . October 27, 2016. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2016. RetrievedNovember 2, 2016 .^ Roberts, Kelly (November 5, 2016)."Senator Ted Cruz makes final push for Todd Young" .WANE-TV . RetrievedOctober 31, 2018 . ^ Republican Party of Indiana (November 1, 2016)."I work with @ToddYoung closely- he's one of the most hardworking men in Congress. He's a servant leader.- @PRyan" .Twitter . RetrievedNovember 2, 2016 .^a b "Hubbard, Kittle Back Rep. Young to Get in Senate Race" . June 2015.^ Fiorina, Carly (October 27, 2016)."Why Indiana needs a conservative fighter like @ToddYoungIN in the U.S. Senate: facebook.com/CarlyFiorina/p..." Twitter . RetrievedOctober 29, 2016 . ^ "ACU Endorses Todd Young" .American Conservative Union . Archived fromthe original on July 30, 2018. RetrievedJuly 30, 2018 .^a b c "Endorsements" .toddyoung.org .^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Indiana" .NRAPVF . Archived from the original on October 3, 2016. RetrievedJuly 17, 2023 .^ DeFreeuw, Eric (September 21, 2016)."NRA ad takes aim at Bayh's gun control voting record" .WPTA . RetrievedNovember 3, 2016 . ^ Shella, Jim (March 30, 2016)."Todd Young wins business endorsements" .WISH-TV Archived from the original on April 5, 2016. RetrievedApril 3, 2016 . ^ "Editorial: Todd Young is best choice for Senate" .The Indianapolis Star . RetrievedOctober 29, 2016 .^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016" .The Cook Political Report . RetrievedMarch 26, 2021 .^ "2016 Senate" .Sabato's Crystal Ball . RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016 .^ "2016 Senate Ratings" .Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016 .^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version" .Daily Kos . RetrievedMarch 27, 2021 .^ "Battle for the Senate 2016" . Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2016 .^ SurveyMonkey ^ SurveyMonkey ^ WTHR/Howey ^ SurveyMonkey ^ SurveyMonkey ^ Gravis Marketing ^ SurveyMonkey ^ SurveyMonkey ^ Monmouth University ^ Gravis Marketing ^ WISH/Ball State Hoosier Survey ^ Monmouth University ^a b c d e Public Opinion Strategies (R-Young) ^ The Times-Picayune/Lucid ^ WTHR/Howey ^a b c d Date of polling memo, not field dates, which remain unreleased ^ WTHR/Howey Archived October 16, 2016, at theWayback Machine ^ Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Bayh) ^ Monmouth University ^ Global Strategy Group (D-SMP) ^ Expedition Strategies (R-Gregg) ^ Garin-Hart-Yang (D-DSCC) ^ Bellwether Research ^ "Indiana General Election, November 8, 2016" . Indiana Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 19, 2016 .^ "DRA 2020" .Daves Redistricting .Official campaign websites
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