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2016 United States Senate election in Idaho

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States Senate election in Idaho

← 2010November 8, 20162022 →
 
NomineeMike CrapoJerry SturgillRay Writz
PartyRepublicanDemocraticConstitution
Popular vote449,017188,24941,677
Percentage66.13%27.73%6.14%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Crapo:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Sturgill:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No data

U.S. senator before election

Mike Crapo
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Crapo
Republican

Elections in Idaho
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The2016 United States Senate election in Idaho was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent the State ofIdaho, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries were held May 17.

IncumbentRepublican SenatorMike Crapo won re-election to a fourth term in office.[1]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Results

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Republican primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Crapo (incumbent)119,633100.00%
Total votes119,633100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Jerry Sturgill, businessman[7]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJerry Sturgill26,471100.00%
Total votes26,471100.00%

Third Party and Independent Candidates

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Constitution Party

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Declared

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Results

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Results by county:
Writz
  •   Writz—100%
  •   Writz—80–90%
  •   Writz—70–80%
  •   Writz—60–70%
  •   Writz—50–60%
Writz/Pro-Life tie
  •   Writz & Pro-Life tie—50%
Pro-Life
  •   Pro-Life—50–60%
  •   Pro-Life—60–70%
  •   Pro-Life—100%
No votes
  •   No votes
Constitution primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
ConstitutionRay J. Writz13159.5%
ConstitutionPro-Life8940.5%
Total votes220100.0%

Independents

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Candidates

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Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Timothy Raty, paralegal and 2004 Libertarian State House candidate[10][12]

General election

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Debates

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DatesLocationCrapoSturgillLink
October 23, 2016Boise,IdahoParticipantParticipant[13]

Polling

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This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Crapo (R)
Jerry
Sturgill (D)
Ray
Writz (C)
OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey[14]November 1–7, 2016612± 4.6%58%39%3%
SurveyMonkey[15]October 31–November 6, 2016557± 4.6%58%36%4%
SurveyMonkey[16]October 28–November 3, 2016498± 4.6%61%35%4%
SurveyMonkey[17]October 27–November 2, 2016442± 4.6%60%34%6%
SurveyMonkey[18]October 26–November 1, 2016394± 4.6%61%32%7%
SurveyMonkey[19]October 25–31, 2016447± 4.6%61%34%5%
Emerson College[20]October 21–23, 20161,023± 3.0%57%24%12%7%
Dan Jones & Associates[21]August 18–31, 2016602± 4.0%57%20%4%4%15%
Dan Jones & Associates[22]July 5–16, 2016601± 4.0%57%20%4%4%15%
Lake Research Partners[23]July 5–10, 2016500± 4.4%37%35%2%25%
Dan Jones & Associates[24]May 18–June 4, 2016603± 4.0%48%25%7%9%10%
Dan Jones & Associates[25]April 8–19, 2016603± 4.0%53%17%5%5%20%

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[26]Safe RNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[28]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos[29]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[30]Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Results

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United States Senate election in Idaho, 2016[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanMike Crapo (incumbent)449,01766.13%−5.06%
DemocraticJerry Sturgill188,24927.73%+2.80%
ConstitutionRay J. Writz41,6776.14%+2.26%
Total votes678,943100.0%N/A
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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By congressional district

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Crapo won both congressional districts.[32]

DistrictCrapoSturgillRepresentative
1st69%25%Raúl Labrador
2nd63%30%Mike Simpson

References

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  1. ^Russell, Betsy Z. (August 18, 2014)."Crapo says he'll seek another term".The Spokesman-Review. RetrievedAugust 29, 2014.
  2. ^Russell, Betsy Z. (May 12, 2015)."Crapo announces he'll run for a fourth term in the U.S. Senate".The Spokesman-Review. RetrievedMay 29, 2015.
  3. ^abc"RRHElections Senate Rankings – April 2015".RRH Elections. April 18, 2015. RetrievedOctober 3, 2015.
  4. ^Russell, Betsy Z. (June 10, 2015)."Fulcher endorses Crapo for re-election".The Spokesman-Review. RetrievedOctober 3, 2015.
  5. ^Easley, Jonathan (February 13, 2015)."Labrador won't run for Senate".The Hill. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2015.
  6. ^abc"Official Primary Election Statewide Totals". Idaho Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 20, 2016.
  7. ^"Declaration for 2016"(PDF). RetrievedMarch 13, 2016.
  8. ^Malloy, Chuck (July 5, 2015)."Democrats Have Issues with Crapo, But No Candidate".Idaho Politics Weekly. RetrievedOctober 3, 2015.
  9. ^Brown, Nathan (May 13, 2015)."Crapo Announces Re-Election Bid, Campaign Team".Twin Falls Times-News. RetrievedOctober 7, 2015.
  10. ^abBrown, Nathan (August 12, 2015)."Federal Lands, Refugees and Regulations Drive Crapo Town Hall in Castleford".Twin Falls Times-News. RetrievedOctober 7, 2015.
  11. ^ab"Idaho primary: Who's running for county, state, federal office".Idaho Statesman. March 11, 2016. RetrievedMarch 24, 2016.
  12. ^"July Quarterly and Termination Report"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. July 6, 2015. RetrievedOctober 7, 2015.
  13. ^Full debate
  14. ^SurveyMonkey
  15. ^SurveyMonkey
  16. ^SurveyMonkey
  17. ^SurveyMonkey
  18. ^SurveyMonkey
  19. ^SurveyMonkey
  20. ^Emerson College
  21. ^Dan Jones & Associates
  22. ^Dan Jones & Associates
  23. ^Lake Research Partners
  24. ^Dan Jones & Associates
  25. ^Dan Jones & Associates
  26. ^"2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 26, 2021.
  27. ^"2016 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016.
  28. ^"2016 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016.
  29. ^"Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version".Daily Kos. RetrievedMarch 27, 2021.
  30. ^"Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2016.
  31. ^"Nov 08, 2016 General Election Results". Idaho Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 19, 2016.
  32. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 20, 2024.

External links

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Official campaign websites

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