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All 2 New Hampshire seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 District results County results
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The2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the twoU.S. representatives from the state ofNew Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate, and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries were held on September 13.
Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 162,080 | 44.29% | 157,176 | 42.95% | 46,728 | 12.77% | 365,984 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 2 | 174,495 | 49.74% | 158,973 | 45.32% | 17,324 | 4.94% | 350,792 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 336,575 | 46.96% | 316,149 | 44.11% | 64,052 | 8.94% | 716,776 | 100.0% | |
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The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: GreaterManchester, theSeacoast and theLakes Region. Incumbent RepublicanFrank Guinta, who had represented the district since 2015 and previously from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2014, defeating Democratic incumbentCarol Shea-Porter. The district had aPVI of R+1.
In May 2015, Guinta settled a case with theFederal Election Commission involving $355,000 that had been donated to him by his parents during his first House campaign in 2010. The settlement required him to return the donation and pay a $15,000 fine to the FEC.[1] New Hampshire politicians including Republican U.S. SenatorKelly Ayotte called on Guinta to resign his House seat, but he refused.[2]
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Richard Ashooh | Frank Guinta | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 13, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV | Josh McElveen | [8] | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Frank Guinta (incumbent) | 26,400 | 46.5 | |
| Republican | Richard Ashooh | 25,678 | 45.2 | |
| Republican | Michael Callis | 2,243 | 4.0 | |
| Republican | Robert Risley | 1,347 | 2.4 | |
| Republican | Jamieson Gradert | 1,031 | 1.8 | |
| Write-in | 111 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 56,810 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carol Shea-Porter | 32,409 | 98.8 | |
| Write-in | 386 | 1.2 | ||
| Total votes | 32,795 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
State legislators
Organizations
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Independent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
| Frank Guinta | Carol Shea-Porter | Shawn O'Conner | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 24, 2016 | NH1-TV | Paul Steinhauser Keke Vencill | [20] | P | P | P |
| 2 | Nov. 3, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV | Josh McElveen | [21] | P | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Frank Guinta (R) | Carol Shea-Porter (D) | Robert Lombardo (L) | Shawn O' Connor (I) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Amherst/YouGov[22] | October 17–21, 2016 | 380 | ± ?% | 37% | 41% | 9% | − | 3% | 10% |
| Normington Petts (D-House Majority PAC)[23] | September 18–21, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 34% | 44% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 10% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R-NRCC)[24] | September 14–18, 2016 | 427 | ± ?% | 41% | 38% | 4% | 8% | − | 9% |
| University of New Hampshire[25] | August 20–28, 2016 | 211 | ± 6.7% | 29% | 48% | − | − | 5% | 19% |
| University of New Hampshire[26] | July 9–18, 2016 | 215 | ± 6.7% | 37% | 43% | − | − | 7% | 10% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[29] | Lean D(flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[30] | Lean D(flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[31] | Tilt D(flip) | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Lean D(flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[33] | Lean D(flip) | October 31, 2016 |
Shea-Porter narrowly flipped the seat Democratic. This, along with the narrow victory by DemocratMaggie Hassan in theconcurrent Senate election, made it the first time since 1854 that New Hampshire's congressional delegation was fully represented by Democrats.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Carol Shea-Porter | 162,080 | 44.3 | |
| Republican | Frank Guinta (incumbent) | 157,176 | 42.9 | |
| Independent | Shawn O' Connor | 34,735 | 9.5 | |
| Independent | Brendan Kelly | 6,074 | 1.7 | |
| Libertarian | Robert Lombardo | 5,507 | 1.5 | |
| Write-in | 412 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 365,984 | 100.0 | ||
| Democraticgain fromRepublican | ||||
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The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities ofNashua andConcord. Incumbent DemocratAnn McLane Kuster, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of D+3.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) | 36,683 | 99.3 | |
| Write-in | 249 | 0.7 | ||
| Total votes | 36,932 | 100 | ||
Newspapers
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Jack Flanagan | Jim Lawrence | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 8, 2016 | New Hampshire Union Leader Saint Anselm College WMUR | Josh McElveen | [37] | P | P |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Lawrence | 17,180 | 39.7 | |
| Republican | Jack B. Flanagan | 12,046 | 27.8 | |
| Republican | Walter W. Kelly | 4,287 | 9.9 | |
| Republican | Andy Martin | 3,145 | 7.3 | |
| Republican | Eric Estevez | 2,443 | 5.6 | |
| Republican | Jay Mercer | 2,113 | 4.9 | |
| Republican | Casey Newell | 1,839 | 4.3 | |
| Write-in | 232 | 0.5 | ||
| Total votes | 43,285 | 100.0 | ||
Organizations
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
| Annie McLane Kuster | Jim Lawrence | |||||
| 1 | Nov. 4, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV | Josh McElveen | [39] | P | P |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ann McLane Kuster (D) | Jim Lawrence (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[25] | August 20–28, 2016 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 40% | 34% | 3% | 22% |
| University of New Hampshire[26] | July 9–18, 2016 | 254 | ± 6.1% | 38% | 32% | 4% | 26% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[29] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[30] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[31] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[33] | Safe D | October 31, 2016 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) | 174,495 | 49.7 | |
| Republican | Jim Lawrence | 158,973 | 45.3 | |
| Independent | John Babiarz | 17,088 | 4.9 | |
| Write-in | 236 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 350,792 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratichold | ||||
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