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2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

← 2014
November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)
2018 →

All 4 Iowa seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election31
Seats won31
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote813,153673,969
Percentage53.65%44.47%
SwingIncrease 0.46%Decrease 0.98%

District results
County results

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%

Elections in Iowa
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The2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the fourU.S. representatives from thestate ofIowa, one from each of the state's fourcongressional districts. The elections coincided with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries were held on June 7.

District 1

[edit]
2016 Iowa's 1st congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeRod BlumMonica Vernon
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote206,903177,403
Percentage53.8%46.2%

County results
Blum:     50–60%     60–70%
Vernon:     50–60%

U.S. Representatives before election

Rod Blum
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Rod Blum
Republican

See also:Iowa's 1st congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanRod Blum, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 51% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of D+5.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRod Blum (incumbent)13,41199.4
Write-in880.6
Total votes13,499100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Pat Murphy, former Speaker of the Iowa House of Representatives and nominee for this seat in2014[3][4]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
Endorsements
[edit]
Gary Kroeger

State legislators

Monica Vernon

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMonica Vernon21,03267.5
DemocraticPat Murphy10,09032.4
Write-in380.1
Total votes31,160100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rod
Blum (R)
Monica
Vernon (D)
OtherUndecided
The Polling Company Inc./WomanTrend (R-Blum)[23]October 29–31, 2016400± 4.9%52%41%6%
Normington, Petts and Associates (D-HMP)[24]October 10–11, 2016400± 4.9%45%44%11%
Lake Research Partners (D)[25]September 30 – October 3, 2016439± 4.7%48%46%
The Polling Company Inc./WomanTrend (R-Blum)[26]September 29 – October 1, 2016400± 4.9%52%36%
Loras College[27]September 20–22, 2016368± 5.1%45%38%1%16%
The Polling Company Inc./WomanTrend (R-Blum)[28]August 14–16, 2016400± 4.9%50%43%8%
DFM Research[29]November 4–11, 2015328± 5.4%46%38%2%13%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rod
Blum (R)
Pat
Murphy (D)
OtherUndecided
DFM Research[29]November 4–11, 2015328± 5.4%45%42%2%10%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]TossupNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[31]TossupNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[32]TossupNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33]Lean RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[34]TossupOctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 1st congressional district, 2016[35]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRod Blum (incumbent)206,90353.7
DemocraticMonica Vernon177,40346.1
Write-in6710.2
Total votes384,977100.0
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
2016 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeDave LoebsackChristopher Peters
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote198,571170,933
Percentage53.7%46.3%

County results
Loebsack:     50–60%     60–70%
Peters:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Dave Loebsack
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Dave Loebsack
Democratic

See also:Iowa's 2nd congressional district

Incumbent DemocratDave Loebsack, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 52% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of D+4.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDave Loebsack (incumbent)23,73899.0
DemocraticWrite-ins2381.0
Total votes23,976100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Christopher Peters, thoracic surgeon[36]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanChristopher Peters14,98799.3
Write-in1070.7
Total votes15,094100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[31]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[32]Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
RCP[34]Likely DOctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 2nd congressional district, 2016[35]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDavid Loebsack (incumbent)198,57153.7
RepublicanChristopher Peters170,93346.2
Write-in5280.1
Total votes370,032100.0
Democratichold

District 3

[edit]
2016 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeDavid YoungJim Mowrer
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote208,598155,002
Percentage53.5%39.8%

County results
Young:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Mowrer:     40–50%

U.S. Representative before election

David Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

David Young
Republican

See also:Iowa's 3rd congressional district

IncumbentDavid Young, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of EVEN.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Joe Grandanette, retired teacher and candidate for this seat in2014[40][41]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDavid Young (incumbent)17,97784.8
RepublicanJoe Grandanette3,14314.8
Write-in850.4
Total votes21,205100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Desmund Adams, executive recruiting firm owner and 2012 State Senate candidate[44][45][46][47]
  • Mike Sherzan, businessman from West Des Moines[36]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJim Mowrer13,02449.6
DemocraticMike Sherzan9,57336.4
DemocraticDesmund Adams3,65013.9
Write-in380.1
Total votes26,285100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Young (R)
Jim
Mowrer (D)
Undecided
GQR Research (D-DCCC)[55]October 2016400± 4.9%49%46%3%
Loras College[56]September 20–22, 2016327± 5.4%46%36%15%
The Tarrance Group (R-Young)[57]September 20–22, 2016400± 4.9%52%37%11%
RABA Research[58]September 6–8, 2016303± 5.6%50%35%16%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]Lean RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[31]Lean RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[32]Tilt RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33]Lean RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[34]Lean ROctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 3rd congressional district, 2016[35]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDavid Young (incumbent)208,59853.4
DemocraticJim Mowrer155,00239.7
LibertarianBryan Jack Holder15,3723.9
IndependentClaudia Addy6,3481.6
IndependentJoe Grandanette4,5181.2
Write-in4490.1
Total votes390,287100.0
Republicanhold

District 4

[edit]
2016 Iowa's 4th congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeSteve KingKim Weaver
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote226,719142,993
Percentage61.3%38.7%

County results
King:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Weaver:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve King
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve King
Republican

See also:Iowa's 4th congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanSteve King, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+5.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve King (incumbent)29,09864.6
RepublicanRick Bertrand15,87235.3
Write-in490.1
Total votes45,019100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKim Weaver12,73899.5
Write-in620.5
Total votes12,800100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[31]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[32]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[34]Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Iowa's 4th congressional district, 2016[35]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve King (incumbent)226,71961.2
DemocraticKim Weaver142,99338.6
Write-in5470.2
Total votes370,259100.0
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcdefgh"Official Results"(PDF). Iowa Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 21, 2016.
  2. ^Noble, Jason (January 15, 2015)."Monica Vernon announces run for Congress".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2015.
  3. ^abRynard, Pat (May 24, 2015)."Monday Power Ranking: 1st District – Democrats".Iowa Starting Line. RetrievedJune 10, 2015.
  4. ^Cahn, Emily (June 30, 2015)."Murphy to Announce He'll Seek Rematch With Blum".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on July 2, 2015. RetrievedJune 30, 2015.
  5. ^Pat Kinney (January 20, 2015)."Gary Kroeger mulling run for Congress". WCF Courier. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2015.
  6. ^Rynard, Pat (January 19, 2015)."Vernon's In. Former SNL Actor and More May Join Race for Congress in IA-01". Iowa Starting Line. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2015.
  7. ^Morain, Michael (February 13, 2015)."'SNL' alum from Cedar Falls may run for Congress".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2015.
  8. ^"Former SNL cast member running for Congress in Iowa".The Des Moines Register. April 7, 2015. RetrievedApril 7, 2015.
  9. ^Crippes, Christinia; Lynch, James (March 2, 2016)."Kroeger shifts sights from U.S. House to Statehouse".The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier. RetrievedMarch 2, 2016.
  10. ^Noble, Jason (February 16, 2015)."Hotel executive Ravi Patel to run for Congress in Iowa's 1st district".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2015.
  11. ^Petroski, William (June 23, 2015)."Patel withdraws in 1st District congressional race".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedJune 24, 2015.
  12. ^abObradovich, Kathie (January 22, 2015)."Culver making a run for Congress?".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2015.
  13. ^abEmily Cahn (January 15, 2015)."First Democrat Jumps Into Targeted Iowa Race". Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on January 16, 2015. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2015.
  14. ^Springer, Richard (March 9, 2015)."Swati Dandekar May Run for Congress in Iowa's 1st District".India-West. Archived fromthe original on March 9, 2016. RetrievedMarch 19, 2015.
  15. ^"Where are they now? Swati Dandekar edition".Bleeding Heartland. November 20, 2015. RetrievedNovember 24, 2015.
  16. ^"Where are they now? Anesa Kajtazovic edition".Bleeding Heartland. September 3, 2015. RetrievedNovember 24, 2015.
  17. ^Barton, Thomas J. (January 16, 2015)."2 weeks into Blum's term, Monica Vernon offers 2016 challenge".Telegraph Herald. RetrievedJune 10, 2015.
  18. ^Rynard, Pat (June 23, 2015)."Gary Kroeger Nabs State Legislator Endorsement in 1st District Race".Iowa Starting Line. RetrievedJune 26, 2015.
  19. ^Crippes, Christinia (June 24, 2015)."Bustos endorses Vernon for Iowa's 1st District".Quad-City Times. RetrievedJune 26, 2015.
  20. ^Lynch, James Q. (June 24, 2015)."Loebsack endorses Vernon for 1st District nomination".Muscatine Journal. RetrievedJune 26, 2015.
  21. ^abcdefghijklmn"IA-01: More than a dozen Democratic legislators endorse Monica Vernon". Bleeding Heartland. January 16, 2015. Archived fromthe original on January 22, 2015. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2015.
  22. ^Lynch, James (March 27, 2015)."Vernon gets Emily's List backing in Iowa 1st District race".The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier. RetrievedJune 26, 2015.
  23. ^The Polling Company Inc./WomanTrend (R-Blum)
  24. ^Normington, Petts and Associates (D-HMP)
  25. ^Lake Research Partners (D)
  26. ^The Polling Company Inc./WomanTrend (R-Blum)
  27. ^Loras CollegeArchived October 2, 2016, at theWayback Machine
  28. ^The Polling Company Inc./WomanTrend (R-Blum)
  29. ^abDFM Research
  30. ^abcd"2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016".House: Race Ratings.Cook Political Report. RetrievedNovember 12, 2016.
  31. ^abcd"Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedNovember 7, 2016.
  32. ^abcd"2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016)".House Ratings.The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016.
  33. ^abcd"2016 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 7, 2016.
  34. ^abcd"Battle for the House 2016".Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 31, 2016.
  35. ^abcd"Official Results General Election". Iowa Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on December 24, 2016. RetrievedDecember 12, 2016.
  36. ^ab"2016 Candidate list"(PDF).
  37. ^Rynard, Pat (July 2, 2015)."Sources Report Mark Chelgren Planning Run Against Loebsack in 2nd".Iowa Starting Line. RetrievedAugust 17, 2015.
  38. ^"State Senator Mark Chelgren "seriously" considering IA-02 campaign".Bleeding Heartland. July 31, 2015. Archived fromthe original on August 10, 2015. RetrievedAugust 17, 2015.
  39. ^Riley, Roger (October 15, 2015)."Congressman David Young Plans To Run For Re-election".WHO-DT. RetrievedOctober 21, 2015.
  40. ^"Republican lines up to primary Young in Third District".The Iowa Statesman. July 28, 2015. RetrievedOctober 21, 2015.
  41. ^abPetroski, William (October 1, 2015)."Zaun won't challenge Young for Congress".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedOctober 21, 2015.
  42. ^Petroski, William (March 15, 2015)."Zaun not ruling out primary challenge to Young".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedMarch 19, 2015.
  43. ^Jacobs, Jennifer (August 16, 2015)."Iraq vet Jim Mowrer running for Congress again".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedAugust 17, 2015.
  44. ^Rynard, Pat (February 27, 2015)."Rumor Roundup: Statehouse Retirements and 2016 Runs".Iowa Starting Line. RetrievedMarch 10, 2015.
  45. ^abcdRynard, Pat (March 30, 2015)."Sizing Up the 3rd District Race: Which Democrats Will Run?".Iowa Starting Line. RetrievedApril 8, 2015.
  46. ^abRynard, Pat (June 8, 2015)."Monday Power Ranking: 3rd District – Democrats".Iowa Starting Line. RetrievedJune 10, 2015.
  47. ^Noble, Jason (July 21, 2015)."Desmund Adams announces bid for Congress".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedJuly 21, 2015.
  48. ^Noble, Jason (February 27, 2015)."Staci Appel 'considering' 2016 bid for Congress".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedMarch 10, 2015.
  49. ^Jacobs, Jennifer (June 9, 2015)."Staci Appel opts against another bid for Congress".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedJune 10, 2015.
  50. ^Cahn, Emily (April 8, 2015)."Democrats Down on Potential Iowa Candidate".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on April 12, 2015. RetrievedApril 8, 2015.
  51. ^Pathé, Simone (August 14, 2015)."Democrats Courting 'Gold Standard' to Unseat Young in Iowa (Updated)".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on March 5, 2016. RetrievedAugust 17, 2015.
  52. ^Rodgers, Grant (October 21, 2015)."Klinefeldt resigning U.S. Attorney post".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedNovember 24, 2015.
  53. ^Noble, Jason (August 12, 2015)."Iowa state Sen. Matt McCoy declines congressional bid".The Des Moines Register. RetrievedAugust 17, 2015.
  54. ^"IA-03: Mike Sherzan sounds ready to seek Democratic nomination".Bleeding Heartland. November 10, 2015. RetrievedNovember 24, 2015.
  55. ^GQR Research (D-DCCC)
  56. ^Loras CollegeArchived October 2, 2016, at theWayback Machine
  57. ^The Tarrance Group (R-Young)
  58. ^RABA Research
  59. ^"US Republican Congress Candidate Says It's Time for a Change in Washington DC".Raccoon Valley Radio. May 5, 2016. RetrievedMay 5, 2016.
  60. ^Hayworth, Bret (August 14, 2015)."Weaver announces bid to defeat King in Iowa 4th District".Sioux City Journal. RetrievedAugust 17, 2015.

External links

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