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 County results Precinct resultsZinke: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Juneau: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Montana | ||||||||
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The2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 8, 2016, to elect theU.S. representative fromMontana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the2016 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections.
At the time, Montana's congressional district had aPVI of R+7.RepublicanRyan Zinke, who was first elected in 2014, is the incumbent. Zinke was re-elected in 2016.[1][2] He faced no primary opposition.Denise Juneau, who at the time of the election was the Montana State Superintendent of Public Instruction, was the lone Democrat to file for election.[3][4] The primaries were held on June 7.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ryan Zinke (incumbent) | 144,660 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 144,660 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Denise Juneau | 112,821 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 112,821 | 100.0 | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections[7] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg[8] | Likely R | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP[10] | Likely R | October 31, 2016 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ryan Zinke (R) | Denise Juneau (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[11] | October 10–12, 2016 | 1,003 | ± 3.2% | 53% | 40% | 1%[12] | 6% |
| Montana State University Billings[13] | October 3–10, 2016 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 31% | — | 19% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ryan Zinke (incumbent) | 285,358 | 56.19% | +0.78% | |
| Democratic | Denise Juneau | 205,919 | 40.55% | +0.14% | |
| Libertarian | Rick Breckenridge | 16,554 | 3.26% | −0.92% | |
| Total votes | 507,831 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republicanhold | |||||
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