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2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(Redirected from2016 Kentucky's 1st congressional district special election)

Not to be confused with2016 Kentucky House of Representatives election.
2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

← 2014
November 8, 2016
2018 →

All 6 Kentucky seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election51
Seats won51
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote1,248,140516,904
Percentage70.70%29.28%
SwingIncrease 7.12%Decrease 7.14%

District results
County results

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Democratic

  60–70%

Elections in Kentucky
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The2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the sixU.S. representatives from thestate ofKentucky, one from each of the state's sixcongressional districts. The elections coincided with the2016 presidential election, as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate andlocal elections. The primaries were held on May 17.

Overview

[edit]
Popular vote
Republican
70.70%
Democratic
29.28%
Other
0.02%
House seats
Republican
83.33%
Democratic
16.67%

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:[1]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1216,95972.56%81,71027.33%3320.11%299,001100.0%Republican hold
District 2251,825100.0%00.00%00.00%251,825100.0%Republican hold
District 3122,09336.50%212,40163.50%00.00%334,494100.0%Democratic hold
District 4233,92271.32%94,06528.68%00.00%327,987100.0%Republican hold
District 5221,242100.0%00.00%00.00%221,242100.0%Republican hold
District 6202,09961.09%128,72838.91%00.00%330,827100.0%Republican hold
Total1,248,14070.70%516,90429.28%3320.02%1,765,376100.0%

District 1

[edit]
2016 Kentucky's 1st congressional district elections

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeJames ComerSam Gaskins
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Regular election216,959
72.6%
81,710
27.3%
Special election209,810
72.2%
80,813
27.8%

Regular election county results
Special election county results
Comer:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Ed Whitfield
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 1st congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanEd Whitfield, who had represented the district since 1995, did not run for re-election for a 12th term.[2] He was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+18.

Republican primary

[edit]

RepublicansJames Comer, the Agriculture Commissioner of Kentucky,[3] and Michael Pape, Witfield's district director,[4] ran for the Republican Party nomination. Other potential Republican candidates included formerLieutenant Governor of Kentucky nomineeRobbie Rudolph, businessman Todd P'Pool,George W. Bush administration officialJ. Scott Jennings, and Whitfield'schief of staff Cory Hicks.[5] State SenatorMax Wise also was considered a potential candidate, but he endorsed Comer.[6] In the May 17 primary, Comer won with 61% of the vote and went on to face Democrat Sam Gaskins in the general election.

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • James Comer, former Kentucky Agriculture Commissioner and candidate for governor in2015[7]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Results

[edit]
County results
Map legend
  •   Comer—>90%
  •   Comer—80–90%
  •   Comer—70–80%
  •   Comer—60–70%
  •   Comer—50–60%
  •   Comer—40–50%
  •   Pape—70–80%
  •   Pape—50–60%
  •   Pape—40–50%
  •   Batts—>90%
  •   Batts—70–80%
  •   Batts—50–60%
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJames Comer24,34260.6
RepublicanMike Pape9,35723.3
RepublicanJason Batts5,57813.9
RepublicanMiles A. Caughey, Jr.8962.2
Total votes40,173100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Tom Osborne, attorney[15]
Declined
[edit]

Special election

[edit]

Whitfield resigned on September 6, 2016. A special election was held on November 8, concurrently with the regularly scheduled election.[21]

Candidates

[edit]
Republican nominee
[edit]
Democratic nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 1st congressional district special election, 2016[22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJames Comer209,81072.2
DemocraticSam Gaskins80,81327.8
Total votes290,623100.0
Republicanhold

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[24]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[25]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[27]Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2016[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJames Comer216,95972.6
DemocraticSam Gaskins81,71027.3
IndependentTerry McIntosh (write-in)3320.1
Total votes299,001100.0
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
2016 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeBrett Guthrie
PartyRepublican
Popular vote251,825
Percentage100.0%

U.S. Representative before election

Brett Guthrie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 2nd congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanBrett Guthrie, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election.[9] He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+16.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

No Democrats filed to run.

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[24]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[25]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[27]Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District, 2016[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrett Guthrie (incumbent)251,825100.0
Total votes251,825100.0
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
2016 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeJohn YarmuthHarold Bratcher
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote212,401122,093
Percentage63.5%36.5%

County result
Yarmuth:     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

John Yarmuth
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

John Yarmuth
Democratic

See also:Kentucky's 3rd congressional district

Incumbent DemocratJohn Yarmuth, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election.[9][29] He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of D+4.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Harold Bratcher, business owner[9]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHarold Bratcher9,57844.6
RepublicanEverett Corley7,85736.5
RepublicanRobert DeVore, Jr.4,07518.9
Total votes21,510100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[24]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[25]Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
RCP[27]Safe DOctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2016[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Yarmuth (incumbent)212,40163.5
RepublicanHarold Bratcher122,09336.5
Total votes334,494100.0
Democratichold

District 4

[edit]
2016 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeThomas MassieCalvin Sidle
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote233,92294,065
Percentage71.3%28.7%

County results
Massie:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Thomas Massie
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 4th congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanThomas Massie, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election.[9] He was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+16.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Thomas Massie (R)

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Local officials

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[24]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[25]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[27]Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, 2016[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThomas Massie (incumbent)233,92271.3
DemocraticCalvin Sidle94,06528.7
Total votes327,987100.0
Republicanhold

District 5

[edit]
2016 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeHal Rogers
PartyRepublican
Popular vote221,242
Percentage100.0%

U.S. Representative before election

Hal Rogers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 5th congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanHal Rogers, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 78% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+25.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • John Burk Jr., insurance industry worker[9]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHal Rogers (incumbent)35,98482.4
RepublicanJohn Burk, Jr.7,66917.6
Total votes43,653100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

No Democrats filed to run.

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[24]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[25]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[27]Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2016[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanHal Rogers (Incumbent)221,242100.0
Total votes221,242100.0
Republicanhold

District 6

[edit]
2016 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
NomineeAndy BarrNancy Jo Kemper
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote202,099128,728
Percentage61.1%38.9%

County results
Barr:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Andy Barr
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican

See also:Kentucky's 6th congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanAndy Barr, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2014. The district had aPVI of R+9.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAndy Barr (Incumbent)25,21284.55
RepublicanRoger Brill4,60815.45
Total votes29,820100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Matt Jones, host and founder of Kentucky Sports Radio, considered challenging Representative Barr, but announced on November 23, 2015, that he would not do so.[33] Rev. Nancy Jo Kemper, a graduate ofYale Divinity School and former executive director of the Kentucky Council of Churches, announced she would run for the Democratic nomination on January 21, 2016.

Geoff Young, candidate for governor in Kentucky in 2014, and Michael Coblenz, a candidate for Kentucky state house in 2010 competed with Kemper for the chance to challenge Barr in the general election.[9] Michael Coblenz later withdrew, leaving Rev. Kemper and Young as the only Democratic candidates.[34]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Nancy Jo Kemper, former executive director of the Kentucky Council of Churches[35]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Michael Coblenz, attorney and former Air Force B-52 navigator
Declined
[edit]
  • Matt Jones, host and founder of Kentucky Sports Radio

Endorsements

[edit]
Nancy Jo Kemper

Statewide officials

State legislators

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticNancy Jo Kemper63,44080.1
DemocraticGeoff Young15,77219.9
Total votes79,212100

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[24]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg[25]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
RCP[27]Safe ROctober 31, 2016

Results

[edit]
Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2016[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAndy Barr (incumbent)202,09961.1
DemocraticNancy Jo Kemper128,72838.9
Total votes330,827100.0
Republicanhold

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Candidate forKentucky's 16th Senate district in2006; candidate forKentucky's 3rd congressional district in2008, and2012; candidate forKentucky's 46th House district in 2010; Republican nominee forMayor ofLouisville in2014

References

[edit]
  1. ^Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedApril 27, 2019.
  2. ^"Rep. Ed Whitfield will not seek re-election".The Courier-Journal. September 29, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2015.
  3. ^"Comer runs to replace Whitfield in Kentucky's 1st District".Lexington Herald Leader. Frankfort, Kentucky. September 30, 2015. Archived fromthe original on October 1, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2015.
  4. ^John Null, Rob Canning."Rep. Ed Whitfield Isn't Running in 2016, But His District Director Is".wkms.org. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2015.
  5. ^abYokley, Eli (September 30, 2015)."Two Republicans Launch Campaigns After Whitfield Retirement".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on October 1, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2015.
  6. ^abWise, Max (September 30, 2015)."Excited for my friend @KYComer in his announcement to run for the 1st Congressional District. Proud to endorse #comerforcongress".Twitter. RetrievedOctober 2, 2015.
  7. ^abBeam, Adam (September 30, 2015)."Comer runs to replace Whitfield in Kentucky's 1st District".Lexington Herald-Leader. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2015.
  8. ^"Hickman County Attorney to Run For Congress".West Kentucky Star. October 2, 2015. RetrievedOctober 2, 2015.
  9. ^abcdefghij"Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State".Secretary of State of Kentucky. Archived fromthe original on November 22, 2015. RetrievedDecember 4, 2015.
  10. ^abcdeYokley, Eli (September 29, 2015)."Kentucky's Whitfield Won't Seek 12th Term in Congress".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on October 2, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2015.
  11. ^P'Pool, Todd (October 1, 2015)."@ToddPPool: Friends, I will not be running for Congress in KY CD 1. I am humbled by the kind support. Shannon and I are excited for @KYGOP! #WeAreKY".Twitter. RetrievedOctober 21, 2015.
  12. ^abcde"Official Results"(PDF). Kentucky Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 12, 2016.
  13. ^abHancock, Brian (July 16, 2015)."Gaskins discusses platform in Franklin visit".Franklin Favorite. RetrievedOctober 2, 2015.
  14. ^ab"Christian County Native to Run for Congress".WKDZ-FM. October 2, 2015. Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2015. RetrievedOctober 6, 2015.
  15. ^"Osborne withdraws from Kentucky House District 1 race". WPSD Local 6. Archived fromthe original on April 18, 2016. RetrievedApril 20, 2016.
  16. ^abcdGerth, Joseph (October 2, 2015)."Both parties line up to replace Ed Whitfield".The Courier-Journal. RetrievedOctober 2, 2015.
  17. ^abNull, John (October 6, 2015)."State Sen. Dorsey Ridley Likely Joining Race for 1st Congressional District".WKMS-FM. RetrievedOctober 21, 2015.
  18. ^Null, John (December 16, 2015)."State Senator Dorsey Ridley Will Not Join 1st District Congressional Race".WKMS. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2016.
  19. ^Gerth, Joseph (December 10, 2015)."Bevin depletes House Dems with appointment".The Courier-Journal. RetrievedDecember 14, 2015.
  20. ^"State Rep. Gerald Watkins Won't Run for 1st District Congressional Seat".WKMS. October 28, 2015. RetrievedOctober 29, 2015.
  21. ^abcCallais, Krystle (September 6, 2016)."U.S. Congressman Ed Whitfield stepping down".WPSD-TV. Archived fromthe original on August 16, 2017. RetrievedSeptember 8, 2016.
  22. ^"Official Results"(PDF). Kentucky Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2023.
  23. ^abcdef"2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016".House: Race Ratings.Cook Political Report. RetrievedNovember 12, 2016.
  24. ^abcdef"Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedNovember 7, 2016.
  25. ^abcdef"2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016)".House Ratings.The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016.
  26. ^abcdef"2016 House".Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 7, 2016. RetrievedNovember 7, 2016.
  27. ^abcdef"Battle for the House 2016".Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 31, 2016.
  28. ^abcdef"Official Results"(PDF). Kentucky Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 12, 2016.
  29. ^Wheatley, Kevin (June 22, 2015)."Yarmuth announces he will seek re-election to Congress for sixth term".cn2 Pure Politics. RetrievedJune 22, 2015.
  30. ^"About Calvin Sidle". Calvin Sidle for Congress. January 21, 2016. Archived from the original on January 28, 2016. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2016.
  31. ^"Kentucky Secretary of State Election Candidate Filings- Calvin Sidle". Kentucky Secretary of State. January 21, 2016. Archived fromthe original on March 15, 2016. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2016.
  32. ^"Endorsements".thomasmassie.com. Thomas Massie for Congress. Archived fromthe original on October 29, 2016. RetrievedJuly 17, 2023.
  33. ^Storm, Nick (November 23, 2015)."Matt Jones will not run for Congress". CN2 Pure Politics. Archived fromthe original on December 22, 2015. RetrievedDecember 14, 2015.
  34. ^"Candidate forum scheduled for Sixth Congressional District primary race for April 3". Kentucky Forward. April 1, 2016. RetrievedApril 20, 2016.
  35. ^Youngman, Sam (January 21, 2016)."Democrat Nancy Jo Kemper files to run for U.S. Rep. Andy Barr's seat". Lexington Herald Leader. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2016.
  36. ^"Nancy Jo Kemper for Congress". Kemper for Congress. January 21, 2016. Archived fromthe original on January 17, 2016. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2016.

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