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2016 Arizona Democratic presidential primary

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 Arizona Democratic presidential primary

← 2012
March 22, 2016 (2016-03-22)
2020 →
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CandidateHillary ClintonBernie Sanders
Home stateNew YorkVermont
Delegate count4233
Popular vote262,459[1]192,962
Percentage56.3%41.4%

Results by county:
Clinton:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%
Sanders:     50-60%
Elections in Arizona
Main article:2016 Arizona presidential primary

The2016 Arizona Democratic presidential primary was held on March 22 in the U.S. state ofArizona as one of theDemocratic Party's primaries ahead of the2016 presidential election.

On the same day, theDemocratic Party held caucuses inIdaho andUtah, while theRepublican Party held primaries in two states, including their ownArizona primary and a primary in American Samoa.

Voter suppression controversy

[edit]
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton at a campaign rally atCarl Hayden High School in Phoenix on March 21, 2016.
Senator Bernie Sanders at a campaign rally at thePhoenix Convention Center in Phoenix on March 15, 2016.
Former President Bill Clinton at a campaign rally for his wife atCentral High School in Phoenix on March 20, 2016.

There was controversy surrounding the Arizona primary elections of 2016, specifically having to do with the decrease in polling places inMaricopa County from 200 in 2012 to only 60 in 2016, enacted by Republican officials despite the number of registered voters having increased from 300,000 in 2012 to 800,000 in 2016.[2][3] This decrease in polling places was most pronounced in minority neighborhoods, most notablyLatino neighborhoods, with areas like Central Phoenix having only one polling place for 108,000 voters. There were also reports of voters who had been previously registered coming up as unregistered or registered as an independent, making them ineligible to vote in the closed primary.[2] Voters who did manage to vote had to stand in long lines to cast their ballots, some for as long as five hours.[4] Additionally, voters reported being required to vote with a provisional ballot.[5] In 2005, Arizona threw out 27,878 provisional ballots, counting only about 72.5% of the total provisional ballots reported.[6] This was the first election in the state of Arizona since the 2013Supreme Court decision to strike down Section 5 of theVoting Rights Act of 1965, which would have previously required states with a history of voter discrimination, including Arizona, to receive Federal approval before implementing any changes to voting laws and practices. In Maricopa County, Republican officials have conducted voter purges that disproportionately affected poor and minority areas.[7]

Within a day after the election took place on March 22, a petition went viral on the White House petitions site asking theDepartment of Justice to investigate voter suppression and election fraud in Arizona.[8] The petition reached 100,000 signatures in 40 hours,[9] and as of June 5, 2016, nearly 220,000 people had signed the petition. The White House responded on May 20, 2016. In addition, Phoenix mayorGreg Stanton asked the Justice Department to launch an investigation into the allegations of voter suppression.[10]

Both the Clinton and Sanders campaigns, as well as theDemocratic National Committee, sued the Arizona state government over the alleged voter suppression.[11] The Department of Justice has since launched a federal investigation into the primary.[12]

Opinion polling

[edit]
See also:Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
Poll sourceDate1st2ndOther
Official Primary results[13]March 22, 2016Hillary Clinton
56.3%
Bernie Sanders
41.4%
Others
2.3%
Merrill Poll[14]

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 300

March 7–11, 2016Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
24%
Others / Undecided
26%
MBQF Consulting and Marson Media[15]

Margin of error: ± 3.6%
Sample size: 739

Published February 29, 2016Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
22%
Others / Undecided
22%
Behavior Research Center[16]

Margin of error: ± 7.3%
Sample size: 186

October 24 – November 5, 2015Hillary Clinton
47%
Bernie Sanders
19%
Martin O'Malley 2%
Uncommitted 32%
One America News[17]

Margin of error: ± 4.7%
Sample size: 427

Published August 17, 2015Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
34%
Joe Biden 6%
Lincoln Chafee 2%
Jim Webb 1%
Martin O'Malley 1%
Public Policy Polling[18]

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 268

May 1–3, 2015Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
16%
Lincoln Chafee 5%
Jim Webb 5%
Martin O'Malley 4%
Not sure 12%

Results

[edit]
See also:Results of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries


e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Arizona
– Summary of results –
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton262,45956.3%42648
Bernie Sanders192,96241.4%33134
Martin O'Malley(withdrawn)3,8770.8%
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente2,7970.6%
Michael Steinberg2,2950.5%
Henry Hewes1,8450.4%
UncommittedN/a33
Total466,235100%751085
Source:[19][20]

Detailed results per congressional district

[edit]
Detailed results for the Arizona Democratic primary, April 5, 2016[21][22]
DistrictTotalHillary ClintonBernie Sanders
VotesDelegatesVotes%DelegatesVotes%Delegates
1st district63,863635,44555.5%326,26741.1%3
2nd district78,237842,79754.7%433,89143.3%4
3rd district51,520530,29858.8%320,09139.0%2
4th district37,273420,66255.4%215,28941.0%2
5th district40,847522,97356.2%316,98241.6%2
6th district50,465629,26658.0%420,25940.1%2
7th district42,199524,24557.5%317,17340.7%2
8th district46,491527,67259.5%317,65138.0%2
9th district55,340629,10152.6%325,35945.8%3
At-large delegates466,23516262,45956.3%9192,96241.4%7
Pledged PLEOs466,2359262,45956.3%5192,96241.4%4
Total466,23575262,46456.3%42192,96541.4%33

Results by county

[edit]
County[23]Clinton%Sanders%
Apache4,45066.4%1,93328.8%
Cochise4,65456.5%3,26539.7%
Coconino5,73844.1%6,94153.4%
Gila2,19659.2%1,30535.2%
Graham93749.1%85144.6%
Greenlee49754.6%32535.7%
La Paz30951.7%25943.3%
Maricopa126,98858.1%86,94239.8%
Mohave4,17056.4%2,84738.5%
Navajo4,41559.7%2,62135.4%
Pima56,31757.3%40,22840.9%
Pinal9,77162.1%5,41434.4%
Santa Cruz2,49665.8%1,20531.8%
Yavapai8,40152.9%7,10844.7%
Yuma4,35863.7%2,15631.5%
Total262,45956.3%192,96241.4%

Analysis

[edit]

A Clinton win in Arizona was expected; she had beatBarack Obama in the state eight years earlier by a similar wide margin, and she generally performed well with minority voters in the 2016 primaries. She won in counties with high populations ofHispanic voters, including the largest countyMaricopa where the capital city ofPhoenix is located, and she also performed well in counties with large populations ofNative Americans includingApache County andNavajo County. Sanders won only inCoconino County.[24]

Bernie Sanders made a late play for the state of Arizona, including airing Spanish-language ads featuring CongressmanRaúl Grijalva.[25] Hillary Clinton offset his efforts with advertising featuring former CongresswomanGabby Giffords,[25] and airing radio ads in theNavajo language.[26]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Arizona Secretary of State
  2. ^abEugene Scott (April 5, 2016)."DOJ looking into voter suppression claims in Arizona".CNN. RetrievedJune 5, 2016.
  3. ^"Arizona primary: Maricopa County had one polling site for every 21,000 voters".azcentral. RetrievedJune 5, 2016.
  4. ^"Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. RetrievedMarch 23, 2016.
  5. ^Sabato, Larry J. (May 11, 2015)."Clinton's Real Opponent: Barack Obama". Politico. Archived fromthe original on March 16, 2016. RetrievedMarch 25, 2016.
  6. ^Beal, Tom (January 29, 2005)."Counties inconsistent in provisional-vote rules".votersunite.org. Arizona Daily Star. Archived fromthe original on April 5, 2016. RetrievedMarch 26, 2016.
  7. ^Dianna M. Náñez and Agnel Philip (November 4, 2018)."Maricopa County residents purged from voter rolls more than 1 million times in past decade". Arizona Republic. RetrievedJune 2, 2019.
  8. ^"Petition to White House about Arizona 'voter suppression' hit goal in about 40 hours". Archived fromthe original on September 12, 2016. RetrievedMarch 27, 2016.
  9. ^TEGNA."Petition to White House about Arizona 'voter suppression' hit goal in about 40 hours".KPNX. Archived fromthe original on September 12, 2016. RetrievedJune 5, 2016.
  10. ^Cohn, Nate (January 16, 2015)."What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016".The New York Times. RetrievedMarch 25, 2016.
  11. ^Eugene Scott (April 14, 2016)."Clinton, Sanders campaigns join DNC suit over alleged Arizona voter suppression". CNN. RetrievedJune 2, 2019.
  12. ^Lachman, Samantha; Reilly, Ryan J. (April 4, 2016)."The DOJ Is Investigating Arizona's Election Mess".The Huffington Post. RetrievedApril 4, 2016.
  13. ^Official Primary results
  14. ^"New Arizona poll: Trump, Clinton lead but ample undecideds". March 15, 2016. RetrievedMarch 15, 2016.
  15. ^"Clinton dusting Sanders in Arizona poll". February 29, 2016.
  16. ^"Hillary Clinton Bests Bernie Sanders in Test Presidential Election by 47% to 19%"(PDF). November 19, 2015.
  17. ^"Arizona Polling Results"(PDF). One America News. RetrievedAugust 20, 2015.
  18. ^"Clinton Closely Matched With Most Republicans in Arizona"(PDF). Publicpolicypolling.com. RetrievedJuly 11, 2015.
  19. ^The Green Papers
  20. ^Arizona Secretary of State
  21. ^"Arizona Democratic Delegation 2016".thegreenpapers.com. RetrievedMay 21, 2016.
  22. ^"2016 Arizona District-Level Delegate Math"(PDF).Arizona Democratic Party. April 5, 2016. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on April 18, 2016. RetrievedApril 8, 2016.
  23. ^"2016 Election Center".CNN. RetrievedJune 4, 2018.
  24. ^"Arizona Primary Election Results".The New York Times. RetrievedAugust 7, 2016.
  25. ^ab"Arizona is Tuesday's biggest prize".MSNBC. RetrievedAugust 7, 2016.
  26. ^"Arizona Primary: Native Americans Could Be Key For Democrats".NPR.org. RetrievedAugust 7, 2016.
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