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2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

See also:2014 United States gubernatorial elections

2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
November 4, 2014
2018 →
Turnout54.5% (Decrease 3.3%)
 
NomineeScott WalkerMary Burke
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Running mateRebecca KleefischJohn Lehman
Popular vote1,259,7061,122,913
Percentage52.26%46.59%
County results
Congressional district results
Walker:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Burke:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Scott Walker
Republican

ElectedGovernor

Scott Walker
Republican

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The2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to determine thegovernor andlieutenant governor of theU.S. state ofWisconsin. It occurred concurrently withelections to theUnited States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections.

This was one of nine Republican-held governorships up for election in a state thatBarack Obama won in the2012 presidential election. IncumbentRepublican governorScott Walker won re-election to a second term in office, defeatingDemocratic businesswoman andMadison school board memberMary Burke and two minor party candidates in the general election.

Walker, who was electedin 2010, survived an attempted recallin 2012, the first governor in United States history to do so, defeating DemocratTom Barrett both times. Wisconsin voters have elected a governor from a different political party than the sitting president in 27 of the last 31 elections since 1932; only once has a Democratic candidate been elected governor in Wisconsin in the last 18 contests when a Democrat was in the White House.[1] Eleven of the last twelve Wisconsin governors, dating back to RepublicanVernon Wallace Thomson in the late 1950s, had, unlike Burke, previously won an election to state government, the exception being RepublicanLee S. Dreyfus in 1978.[2]

The polling leading up to the election was very close, with no candidate clearly in the lead. The consensus among most analysts was that the race was either a tossup or leaning Republican. As of 2026, this is the last time a Republican was elected governor of Wisconsin, and the last time that a candidate was elected Governor of Wisconsin while winning a majority of counties.

Republican primary

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican gubernatorial primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanScott Walker (incumbent)238,71599.42%
RepublicanSteve R. Evans (write-in)940.04%
RepublicanScattering1,2930.54%
Total votes240,102100.00%

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican lieutenant gubernatorial primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRebecca Kleefisch (incumbent)228,86499.69%
RepublicanScattering7040.31%
Total votes229,568100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Disqualified

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mary Burke

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mary
Burke		Brett
Hulsey		Marcia Mercedes
Perkins		Hari
Trivedi		OtherUndecided
Marquette University[26]May 15–18, 2014?± ?66%3%1%1%—24%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Burke—>90%
  Burke—80–90%
  Burke—70–80%
Democratic gubernatorial primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMary Burke259,92683.28%
DemocraticBrett Hulsey51,83016.61%
DemocraticScattering3500.11%
Total votes312,106100.00%

Lieutenant governor

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic lieutenant gubernatorial primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Lehman144,59155.24%
DemocraticMary Jo Walters116,51844.52%
DemocraticScattering6310.24%
Total votes261,740100.00%

Minor parties

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Running mate: Joseph Brost

Disqualified

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[31]TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32]Lean RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[33]Tilt RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[34]TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Mary
Burke (D)		OtherUndecided
YouGov[35]October 25–31, 20141,494± 3.4%45%43%1%11%
Public Policy Polling[36]October 28–30, 20141,814± 3%48%47%—5%
Marquette University[37]October 23–26, 20141,164 LV± 3%50%43%1%7%
1,409 RV± 2.7%46%45%1%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[38]October 16–23, 20143,308± 3%46%45%0%10%
Rasmussen Reports[39]October 20–21, 2014973± 3%48%49%1%2%
WPR/St. Norbert College[40]October 18–21, 2014525± 4.4%47%46%—6%
Public Policy Polling[41]October 17–18, 2014860± ?47%46%—7%
Marquette University[42]October 9–12, 2014803 LV± 3.5%47%47%0%5%
1,004 RV± 3.2%48%45%1%6%
Gravis Marketing[43]October 3–4, 2014837± 3%50%46%—4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[44]September 20–October 1, 20141,444± 3%48%49%0%3%
Marquette University[45]September 25–28, 2014585 LV± 4.1%51%45%1%4%
801 RV± 3.5%46%45%1%8%
Gravis Marketing[46]September 22–23, 2014908± 3%45%50%—4%
Rasmussen Reports[39]September 15–16, 2014650± 4%48%46%3%3%
Marquette University[47]September 11–14, 2014589 LV± 4.1%49%46%1%4%
800 RV± 3.5%46%46%1%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[48]August 18–September 2, 20141,473± 4%49%45%0%5%
We Ask America[49]September 3, 20141,170 LV± 3%44%48%2%6%
Marquette University[50]August 21–24, 2014609 LV± 4.1%47%49%1%4%
815 RV± 3.5%48%44%1%8%
Rasmussen Reports[39]August 13–14, 2014750± 4%48%47%—5%
Gravis Marketing[51]July 31–August 2, 20141,346± 3%47%47%—6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[52]July 5–24, 20141,968± ?47%46%1%5%
Marquette University[53]July 17–20, 2014549 LV± 4.3%46%47%1%8%
804 RV± 3.5%46%45%1%8%
Marquette University[26]May 15–18, 2014805± 3.5%46%46%—6%
Public Policy Polling[54]April 17–20, 20141,144± 2.9%48%45%—7%
Magellan Strategies[55]April 14–15, 2014851± 3.36%47%47%2%4%
St. Norbert College[56]March 24–April 3, 2014401± 5%55%40%—5%
Marquette University[57]March 20–23, 2014801± 3.5%48%41%—11%
Gravis Marketing[58]March 17, 2014988± 4%49%44%—7%
Rasmussen Reports[39]March 10–11, 2014500± 4.5%45%45%5%5%
Marquette University[59]January 20–23, 2014802± 3.5%47%41%—8%
Marquette University[60]October 21–24, 2013800± 3.5%47%45%—8%
Public Policy Polling[61]September 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9%48%42%—10%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Jon
Erpenbach (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[62]February 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%48%42%—9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Russ
Feingold (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[62]February 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%47%49%—4%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Mahlon
Mitchell (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[62]February 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%48%39%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Brett
Hulsey (D)		OtherUndecided
Marquette University[26]May 15–18, 2014805± 3.5%48%39%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Steve
Kagen (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[62]February 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%48%41%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Tom
Nelson (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[61]September 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9%47%40%—12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Ron
Kind (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[62]February 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%46%42%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Kathleen
Vinehout (D)		OtherUndecided
Marquette University[60]October 21–24, 2013800± 3.5%47%44%—9%
Public Policy Polling[61]September 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9%47%41%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Scott
Walker (R)		Peter W.
Barca (D)		OtherUndecided
Marquette University[60]October 21–24, 2013800± 3.5%48%42%—10%
Public Policy Polling[61]September 13–16, 20131,180± 2.9%47%43%—10%
Public Policy Polling[62]February 21–24, 20131,799± 2.3%48%43%—9%

Results

[edit]
2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial election[63]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanScott Walker (incumbent)1,259,70652.26%−0.82%
DemocraticMary Burke1,122,91346.59%+0.31%
IndependentRobert Burke18,7200.78%
IndependentDennis Fehr7,5300.31%
IndependentMary Jo Walters (write-in)1080.00%
IndependentBrett D. Hulsey (write-in)520.00%
ConstitutionJumoka A. Johnson (write-in)150.00%
RepublicanSteve R. Evans (write-in)90.00%
RepublicanSusan P. Resch (write-in)80.00%
IndependentJessica Nicole Perry (write-in)50.00%
Scattering1,2480.05%
Majority136,7935.68%
Total votes2,410,314100.00%
RepublicanholdSwing-1.13%

By county

[edit]
County[63]Scott Walker
Republican		Mary Burke
Democratic		All Others
Various		MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Adams4,29752.50%3,76245.96%1261.54%5356.54%8,185
Ashland2,33335.53%4,15063.20%831.26%-1,817-27.67%6,566
Barron9,69657.89%6,83240.79%2211.32%2,86417.10%16,749
Bayfield3,07538.33%4,88860.92%600.75%-1,813-22.60%8,023
Brown58,40858.24%40,75140.63%1,1321.13%17,65717.61%100,291
Buffalo3,16957.58%2,26741.19%681.24%90216.39%5,504
Burnett3,86859.17%2,61540.00%540.83%1,25319.17%6,537
Calumet14,08665.17%7,28533.71%2431.12%6,80131.47%21,614
Chippewa13,76556.17%10,40242.45%3391.38%3,36313.72%24,506
Clark7,40965.04%3,84833.78%1341.18%3,56131.26%11,391
Columbia11,83747.92%12,52750.72%3361.36%-690-2.79%24,700
Crawford2,97447.41%3,22551.41%741.18%-251-4.00%6,273
Dane73,67629.18%175,93769.69%2,8561.13%-102,261-40.50%252,469
Dodge23,71564.38%12,73234.56%3911.06%10,98329.81%36,838
Door8,16053.79%6,84245.10%1681.11%1,3188.69%15,170
Douglas6,00138.11%9,59060.91%1540.98%-3,589-22.79%15,745
Dunn8,22953.02%7,06645.53%2251.45%1,1637.49%15,520
Eau Claire20,30448.22%21,23950.44%5621.33%-935-2.22%42,105
Florence1,34967.42%62931.43%231.15%72035.98%2,001
Fond du Lac27,48564.02%15,01434.97%4301.00%12,47129.05%42,929
Forest2,03256.57%1,51142.07%491.36%52114.50%3,592
Grant9,14950.36%8,70447.91%3131.72%4452.45%18,166
Green7,19346.90%7,94851.82%1971.28%-755-4.92%15,338
Green Lake5,33667.77%2,46431.29%740.94%2,87236.47%7,874
Iowa4,48042.34%5,93756.12%1631.54%-1,457-13.77%10,580
Iron1,75561.06%1,08537.75%341.18%67023.31%2,874
Jackson3,81250.52%3,63148.12%1021.35%1812.40%7,545
Jefferson21,44359.96%13,87638.80%4431.24%7,56721.16%35,762
Juneau4,81753.33%4,08045.17%1351.49%7378.16%9,032
Kenosha28,39850.28%27,36748.45%7171.27%1,0311.83%56,482
Kewaunee5,67662.14%3,37936.99%790.86%2,29725.15%9,134
La Crosse22,32146.10%25,42952.52%6721.39%-3,108-6.42%48,422
Lafayette3,19151.05%2,98247.70%781.25%2093.34%6,251
Langlade5,47664.59%2,92134.45%810.96%2,55530.14%8,478
Lincoln6,86656.52%5,10442.02%1781.47%1,76214.50%12,148
Manitowoc21,04461.83%12,56336.91%4261.25%8,48124.92%34,033
Marathon34,58361.19%21,30537.70%6251.11%13,27823.50%56,513
Marinette9,61060.87%6,02338.15%1550.98%3,58722.72%15,788
Marquette3,61157.08%2,62941.56%861.36%98215.52%6,326
Menominee21521.52%75375.38%313.10%-538-53.85%999
Milwaukee132,70636.05%231,31662.84%4,0711.11%-98,610-26.79%368,093
Monroe8,44655.98%6,39942.41%2431.61%2,04713.57%15,088
Oconto10,30063.84%5,65735.06%1781.10%4,64328.78%16,135
Oneida9,85256.90%7,19041.53%2721.57%2,66215.37%17,314
Outagamie44,54359.43%29,50339.37%8991.20%15,04020.07%74,945
Ozaukee32,69669.95%13,69629.30%3490.75%19,00040.65%46,741
Pepin1,79156.62%1,33342.14%391.23%45814.48%3,163
Pierce7,76053.02%6,66645.54%2111.44%1,0947.47%14,637
Polk9,34558.16%6,51640.55%2071.29%2,82917.61%16,068
Portage14,65048.26%15,28350.34%4251.40%-633-2.09%30,358
Price3,72557.29%2,70041.53%771.18%1,02515.76%6,502
Racine42,94453.96%35,76944.95%8681.09%7,1759.02%79,581
Richland3,43550.25%3,31548.49%861.26%1201.76%6,836
Rock24,99342.76%32,52355.64%9321.59%-7,530-12.88%58,448
Rusk3,50259.48%2,28638.82%1001.70%1,21620.65%5,888
Sauk12,22247.73%13,04150.92%3461.35%-819-3.20%25,609
Sawyer3,72154.51%3,02944.37%761.11%69210.14%6,826
Shawano10,93764.95%5,73034.03%1711.02%5,20730.92%16,838
Sheboygan31,72863.16%17,95535.74%5491.09%13,77327.42%50,232
St. Croix20,06659.44%13,23139.19%4631.37%6,83520.25%33,760
Taylor5,40669.81%2,24829.03%901.16%3,15840.78%7,744
Trempealeau5,61752.34%4,97446.35%1401.30%6435.99%10,731
Vernon5,68748.31%5,93250.40%1521.29%-245-2.08%11,771
Vilas6,94261.34%4,24037.47%1351.19%2,70223.88%11,317
Walworth25,41564.00%13,80934.77%4881.23%11,60629.23%39,712
Washburn3,94555.63%3,07443.34%731.03%87112.28%7,092
Washington50,27875.88%15,50723.40%4780.72%34,77152.47%66,263
Waukesha147,26672.46%54,50026.81%1,4820.73%92,76645.64%203,248
Waupaca13,13063.13%7,47135.92%1970.95%5,65927.21%20,798
Waushara6,10062.19%3,60936.79%1001.02%2,49125.40%9,809
Winnebago37,89454.75%30,25843.72%1,0611.53%7,63611.03%69,213
Wood17,82057.30%12,86141.35%4201.35%4,95915.94%31,101
Total1,259,70652.26%1,122,91346.59%27,6951.15%136,7935.68%2,410,314

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Walker won six of eight congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[64]

DistrictWalkerBurkeRepresentative
1st58.25%40.73%Paul Ryan
2nd33.35%65.51%Mark Pocan
3rd50.1%48.52%Ron Kind
4th27.35%71.65%Gwen Moore
5th67.64%31.53%Jim Sensenbrenner
6th60.71%38.17%Glenn Grothman
7th57.84%40.98%Sean Duffy
8th60.16%38.76%Reid Ribble

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Ostermeier, Eric (August 23, 2013)."Scott Walker's Ticket to Ride: Obama in the White House?".Smart Politics.
  2. ^Ostermeier, Eric (September 17, 2014)."Wisconsin Gubernatorial Pathways: How Does Burke's Measure Up?".Smart Politics.
  3. ^"8 firebrand GOP governors meet 2014's political reality".The Northwestern. June 5, 2013. RetrievedJanuary 5, 2021.
  4. ^abcd"Canvass Results for 2013 Fall Partisan Primary - 8/12/2014"(PDF). Wisconsin Government Accountability Board. RetrievedSeptember 16, 2024.
  5. ^Bauer, Scott (June 25, 2013)."Democrats testing potential candidacy of Mary Burke against Walker in 2014".Star Tribune. RetrievedJune 27, 2013.
  6. ^abcCraver, Jack (April 21, 2014)."Brett Hulsey running for Wisconsin governor: 'I promise you it will be very entertaining'".The Capital Times. RetrievedApril 21, 2014.
  7. ^Schultze, Steve (February 26, 2013)."Citing rapport with Gov. Walker, Abele says he's not contemplating 2014 Democratic run for governor".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. RetrievedAugust 8, 2013.
  8. ^abcdefStein, Jason (December 15, 2012)."Few Democrats lining up to challenge Walker in 2014".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. RetrievedDecember 19, 2012.
  9. ^abcdRoss, JR (June 9, 2012)."2014 Dem field unclear as party looks to next shot at Walker".Wispolitics.com. RetrievedDecember 18, 2012.
  10. ^Umhoefer, Dave (June 4, 2013)."Barrett: Will Walker run for governor again?".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. RetrievedJune 8, 2013.
  11. ^Kertscher, Tom (March 18, 2013)."Run for governor? Brewer Deb Carey prefers suds to hot oil".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. RetrievedAugust 8, 2013.
  12. ^abPenzenstadler, Nick; Opoien, Jessica (June 7, 2013)."Walker's next opponent could come from Northeastern Wisconsin".Green Bay Press-Gazette. Archived fromthe original on June 15, 2013. RetrievedJune 8, 2013.
  13. ^abcdefghCamp, Aaron (June 6, 2013)."Can a woman defeat Scott Walker in 2014? YES!!!".The Apollo Report. RetrievedAugust 15, 2013.
  14. ^abcdCamp, Aaron (August 12, 2013)."Is a competitive Democratic primary for Governor of Wisconsin inevitable?".The Prairie Badger. Archived fromthe original on February 20, 2014. RetrievedAugust 15, 2013.
  15. ^abcdefPenzenstadler, Nick; Opoien, Jessie (June 7, 2013)."Fox Valley's Nelson, Harris could present challenge to Walker in 2014".The Post-Crescent. Archived fromthe original on August 19, 2013. RetrievedAugust 8, 2013.
  16. ^abAdair, Paul (July 2, 2013)."Who Will be Elected Governor in 2014".Germantown Now. RetrievedAugust 26, 2013.
  17. ^Walker, Don (June 7, 2013)."Russ Feingold teases Democrats about 2016 Senate run".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. RetrievedJune 8, 2013.
  18. ^Glauber, Bill (August 30, 2013)."Winnebago County Exec Mark Harris declines run for governor".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. RetrievedAugust 30, 2013.
  19. ^"WI-Gov: Sara Johann considering run".Daily Kos. May 24, 2013. RetrievedAugust 8, 2013.
  20. ^Beckett, Andrew (June 8, 2013)."Kind says no plans to run for governor".Wisconsin Radio Network. RetrievedJune 8, 2013.
  21. ^Patrick Marley (January 17, 2014)."Kathleen Vinehout announces she won't run for governor".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. RetrievedJanuary 17, 2014.
  22. ^Stein, Jason (October 24, 2013)."EMILY's List endorses Mary Burke, could bring big campaign money".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. RetrievedOctober 24, 2013.
  23. ^"ENDORSED CANDIDATES".ppawi.com. Archived fromthe original on November 10, 2013. RetrievedNovember 7, 2013.
  24. ^DeFour, Matthew (October 22, 2013)."On Politics: Progressives United will support Mary Burke against Scott Walker".Wisconsin State Journal. RetrievedOctober 24, 2013.
  25. ^"Wisconsin League of Conservation Voters Endorses Mary Burke for Governor"(PDF). Wisconsin League of Conservation Voters. April 21, 2014. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on July 14, 2014. RetrievedApril 21, 2014.
  26. ^abcMarquette University
  27. ^Kertscher, Tom (February 14, 2014)."A Mary Burke and a Robert Burke running for governor?".Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. RetrievedApril 4, 2014.
  28. ^Aarik Woods (March 19, 2014)."Local man launches campaign for governor's race".wqow.com. Archived fromthe original on April 13, 2014. RetrievedApril 10, 2014.
  29. ^Wagman, Jen (October 23, 2014)."State Rep. Brad Hulsey launches write-in campaign for governor".The Daily Cardinal. RetrievedOctober 28, 2014.
  30. ^Horne, Michael (June 8, 2013)."Ahoy! Pirate Party Will Rally Downtown".Urban Milwaukee. RetrievedJune 13, 2013.
  31. ^"2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  32. ^"The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  33. ^"2014 Gubernatorial Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  34. ^"2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  35. ^YouGov
  36. ^Public Policy Polling
  37. ^Marquette University
  38. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  39. ^abcdRasmussen Reports
  40. ^WPR/St. Norbert CollegeArchived 2014-10-25 at theWayback Machine
  41. ^Public Policy Polling
  42. ^Marquette University
  43. ^Gravis Marketing
  44. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  45. ^Marquette University
  46. ^Gravis MarketingArchived March 4, 2016, at theWayback Machine
  47. ^Marquette University
  48. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  49. ^We Ask America
  50. ^Marquette University
  51. ^Gravis Marketing
  52. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  53. ^Marquette University
  54. ^Public Policy Polling
  55. ^Magellan Strategies
  56. ^St. Norbert College
  57. ^Marquette University
  58. ^Gravis Marketing
  59. ^Marquette University
  60. ^abcMarquette University
  61. ^abcdPublic Policy Polling
  62. ^abcdefPublic Policy Polling
  63. ^ab"Canvass Summary 2014 General Election"(PDF). Wisconsin Government Accountability Board. RetrievedSeptember 16, 2024.
  64. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

External links

[edit]

Official campaign websites (archived)

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