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 County results Municipality results Congressional district results Precinct resultsMarkey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Herr: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The2014 United States Senate election in Massachusetts was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theCommonwealth of Massachusetts, concurrently with theelection of theGovernor of Massachusetts,other elections to the United States Senate in other states andelections to theUnited States House of Representatives and variousstate andlocal elections.
IncumbentDemocratic SenatorEd Markey ran for re-election to a first full term in office.[1] Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014. Markey was unopposed for the Democratic nomination;HopkintonSelectman Brian Herr was also unopposed for the Republican nomination.
IncumbentDemocratic SenatorJohn Kerry, serving since 1985, had planned to run for re-election to a sixth term, but on December 15, 2012, it was announced that the long-time Massachusetts senator and2004 presidential nominee would be nominated asUnited States Secretary of State under PresidentBarack Obama. Massachusetts GovernorDeval Patrick appointedMo Cowan as a temporary replacement for Kerry, after he was confirmed as secretary of state and therefore resigned his senate seat. There was aspecial election on June 25, 2013, to finish the term, which was won by Ed Markey, the 37-year Democratic incumbent fromMassachusetts's 5th congressional district.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[18] | Solid D | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[20] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[21] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Brian Herr (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[22] | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,846 | ± 4.9% | 61% | 34% | 2% | 3% |
| Boston Globe[23] | September 14–16, 2014 | 407 | ± 4.85% | 53% | 27% | — | 21% |
| Rasmussen Reports[24] | September 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 49% | 31% | 5% | 15% |
| WBUR/MassINC[25] | September 16–21, 2014 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 30% | 1% | 11% |
| WNEU[26] | September 20–28, 2014 | 416 LV | ± 5% | 56% | 34% | — | 10% |
| 536 RV | ± 4% | 52% | 34% | — | 14% | ||
| Suffolk University[27] | September 25–28, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 54% | 30% | — | 16% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[28] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 2,389 | ± 2% | 54% | 31% | 1% | 14% |
| WBUR/MassINC[29] | October 1–4, 2014 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 56% | 30% | 1% | 13% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[28] | October 16–23, 2014 | 2,218 | ± 3% | 54% | 32% | 0% | 14% |
| WBUR/MassINC[30] | October 22–25, 2014 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 1% | 9% |
| Umass Amherst[31] | October 20–27, 2014 | 591 LV | ± 4.4% | 53% | 37% | — | 9% |
| 800 RV | ± 3.8% | 52% | 32% | — | 15% | ||
| Suffolk University[32] | October 27–29, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 34% | — | 17% |
| WNEU[33] | October 21–30, 2014 | 430 LV | ± 5% | 54% | 34% | — | 12% |
| 522 RV | ± 4% | 53% | 31% | — | 17% | ||
| Public Policy Polling[34] | October 30 – November 2, 2014 | 887 | ± 3.3% | 52% | 38% | — | 10% |
With Markey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Frank Addivinola (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[22] | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,901 | ± 4.9% | 59% | 34% | 2% | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[28] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 3,361 | ± 2% | 53% | 28% | 2% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Scott Brown (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassInc[35] | July 17–20, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 38% | 2% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling[36] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 46% | 45% | — | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Gabriel Gomez (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[36] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 53% | 35% | — | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Richard Tisei (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[36] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 54% | 27% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Bill Weld (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[36] | September 20–23, 2013 | 616 | ± 4% | 47% | 41% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ed Markey (D) | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBUR/MassINC[37] | March 14–16, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 29% | — | 21% |
With Kerry
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Kerry (D) | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[38] | September 13–16, 2012 | 1,051 | ± 3.3% | 54% | 33% | — | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling[39] | October 9–11, 2012 | 1,051 | ± 3.0% | 53% | 32% | — | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling[40] | November 1–2, 2012 | 1,089 | ± 3.0% | 54% | 30% | — | 15% |
Shift by county
Trend by county
County flipsDemocratic Hold Gain from Republican | Republican Hold
|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ed Markey (incumbent) | 1,289,944 | 61.87% | +7.07% | |
| Republican | Brian Herr | 791,950 | 37.98% | −6.62% | |
| Write-in | 3,078 | 0.15% | -0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 2,084,972 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratichold | |||||
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
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Markey won all nine congressional districts.[43]
| District | Markey | Herr | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 62% | 38% | Richard Neal |
| 2nd | 58% | 42% | Jim McGovern |
| 3rd | 58% | 42% | Niki Tsongas |
| 4th | 59% | 41% | Joe Kennedy III |
| 5th | 69% | 31% | Katherine Clark |
| 6th | 58% | 42% | John F. Tierney |
| 7th | 84% | 16% | Michael Capuano |
| 8th | 61% | 39% | Stephen Lynch |
| 9th | 55% | 45% | Bill Keating |
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