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2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

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2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
← 2012
November 4, 2014
2016 →
All 2 New Hampshire seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election20
Seats won11
Seat changeDecrease 1Increase 1
Popular vote247,469232,379
Percentage51.46%48.38%
SwingIncrease 1.50%Increase 2.72%
District results
County results
Municipality results

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  90–100%

Tie

  40–50%

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The2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the twoU.S. representatives from the state ofNew Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, includinggovernor of New Hampshire andU.S. senator. This election marked the first time since 1992 that New Hampshire elected members of two parties into the House of Representatives, and is to date the only time since 2010 that Republicans won any congressional election in New Hampshire.

Overview

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Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:[1]

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1116,76948.11%125,50851.71%4590.19%242,736100.0%Republican gain
District 2130,70055.54%106,87142.18%6132.27%238,184100.0%Democratic hold
Total247,46951.46%232,37948.32%1,0720.22%480,920100.0%

District 1

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See also:New Hampshire's 1st congressional district

The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: GreaterManchester, theSeacoast and theLakes Region. The incumbent DemocratCarol Shea-Porter, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously from 2007 to 2011, ran for re-election. She was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012, defeating Republican incumbentFrank Guinta, and the district has aPVI of R+1.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCarol Shea-Porter (incumbent)16,95698.1
DemocraticWrite-ins3271.9
Total votes17,283100

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeff
Chidester		Frank
Guinta		Dan
Innis		Undecided
New England College[14]October 7–9, 2013409± 4.8%7%54%6%33%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanFrank Guinta29,24649.0
RepublicanDan Innis24,34240.8
RepublicanBrendan Kelly4,9998.4
RepublicanEverett Jabour9961.7
RepublicanWrite-ins1230.2
Total votes59,706100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Carol
Shea-Porter (D)		Frank
Guinta (R)		OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNH[16]October 29–November 2, 2014405± 4.9%47%47%1%6%
New England College[17]October 31–November 1, 2014778± 3.51%43%52%2%3%
WMUR/UNH[18]October 22–26, 2014261± 6.1%44%40%1%15%
New England College[19]October 24, 2014556± 4.16%43%49%4%4%
New England College[20]October 16, 2014461± 4.56%46%47%3%3%
UMass Amherst[21]October 10–15, 2014160 LV–54%37%3%6%
197 RV–50%38%3%9%
New England College[22]October 9, 2014536± 4.23%44%46%6%5%
WMUR/UNH[23]September 29–October 5, 2014258± 6.1%42%39%3%16%
New England College[24]October 3, 2014626± 3.92%47%44%5%4%
New England College[25]September 26, 2014629± 3.91%41%51%4%4%
New England College[26]September 19–20, 2014715± 3.66%45%45%6%4%
New England College[27]September 10–11, 2014607± 3.98%46%42%6%6%
Normington Petts[28]September 3–7, 2014800± 3.5%45%43%—12%
WMUR/UNH[29]August 7–17, 2014297± 5.7%41%45%—14%
WMUR/UNH[30]June 19–July 1, 2014263± 6%43%46%2%10%
WMUR/UNH[31]April 1–9, 2014259± 6.1%44%35%0%21%
WMUR/UNH[32]January 21–26, 2014304± 5.6%39%45%2%15%
WMUR/UNH[33]October 7–16, 2013330± 5.4%48%32%1%18%
New England College[14]October 7–9, 2013882± 3.29%43%42%—15%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Carol
Shea-Porter (D)		Dan
Innis (R)		OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNH[29]August 7–17, 2014297± 5.7%44%37%1%18%
WMUR/UNH[30]June 19–July 1, 2014263± 6%45%38%1%16%
WMUR/UNH[31]April 1–9, 2014259± 6.1%45%29%0%25%
WMUR/UNH[32]January 21–26, 2014304± 5.6%43%33%2%23%
WMUR/UNH[33]October 7–16, 2013330± 5.4%43%32%0%25%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[34]TossupNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg[35]Tilt DOctober 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36]Lean R(flip)October 30, 2014
RCPTossupNovember 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections[37]TossupNovember 4, 2014

Results

[edit]
New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2014[38]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanFrank Guinta125,50851.7
DemocraticCarol Shea-Porter (incumbent)116,76948.1
n/aWrite-ins4590.2
Total votes242,736100.0
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 2

[edit]
See also:New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities ofNashua andConcord. The incumbent DemocratAnn McLane Kuster, who has represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012, defeating Republican incumbentCharles Bass, and the district has aPVI of D+3.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAnn McLane Kuster (incumbent)21,26998.6
DemocraticWrite-ins3001.4
Total votes21,569100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Marilinda
Garcia		Gary
Lambert		Jim
Lawrence		Mike
Little		Undecided
Magellan Strategies[48]July 29–30, 2014800± 3.44%36%13%2%4%45%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[49]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMarilinda Garcia27,28549.2
RepublicanGary Lambert15,19627.4
RepublicanJim Lawrence10,32718.6
RepublicanMike Little2,4894.5
RepublicanWrite-ins1650.12
Total votes55,462100.0

General election

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ann McLane
Kuster (D)		Marilinda
Garcia (R)		OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNH[16]October 29–November 2, 2014352± 5.2%49%38%1%12%
New England College[17]October 31–November 1, 2014748± 3.58%53%42%3%2%
WMUR/UNH[50]October 22–26, 2014295± 5.7%53%30%1%16%
New England College[19]October 24, 2014576± 4.08%49%42%4%5%
New England College[20]October 16, 2014460± 4.57%49%43%4%4%
UMass Amherst[21]October 10–15, 2014162 LV± ?43%48%4%5%
198 RV± ?45%43%4%8%
New England College[22]October 9, 2014545± 4.2%46%43%7%5%
WMUR/UNH[23]September 29–October 5, 2014275± 5.9%37%41%3%19%
New England College[24]October 3, 2014660± 3.81%50%38%6%5%
New England College[25]September 26, 2014702± 3.7%50%39%5%6%
New England College[26]September 19–20, 2014779± 3.51%49%38%7%6%
New England College[27]September 10–11, 2014627± 3.98%50%37%6%8%
Normington Petts[28]September 3–7, 2014800± 3.5%44%38%—18%
WMUR/UNH[29]August 7–17, 2014312± 5.5%39%36%1%25%
WMUR/UNH[30]June 19–July 1, 2014246± 6.2%49%35%1%15%
WMUR/UNH[31]April 1–9, 2014248± 6.2%34%33%1%32%
WMUR/UNH[32]January 21–26, 2014280± 5.9%36%30%4%30%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ann McLane
Kuster (D)		Gary
Lambert (R)		OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNH[29]August 7–17, 2014312± 5.5%41%35%1%24%
WMUR/UNH[30]June 19–July 1, 2014246± 6.2%45%36%1%18%
WMUR/UNH[31]April 1–9, 2014248± 6.2%38%31%1%30%
WMUR/UNH[32]January 21–26, 2014280± 5.9%38%34%2%26%
WMUR/UNH[33]October 7–16, 2013333± 5.4%33%34%2%31%
New England College[14]October 7–9, 2013569± 4.13%46%26%—28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ann McLane
Kuster (D)		Jim
Lawrence (R)		OtherUndecided
WMUR/UNH[29]August 7–17, 2014312± 5.5%40%32%2%26%
WMUR/UNH[30]June 19–July 1, 2014246± 6.2%47%35%1%17%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[34]Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg[35]Lean DOctober 24, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36]Lean DOctober 30, 2014
RCPLean DNovember 2, 2014
Daily Kos Elections[37]Lean DNovember 4, 2014

Results

[edit]
New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2014[38]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAnn McLane Kuster (incumbent)130,70054.9
RepublicanMarilinda Garcia106,87144.9
n/aWrite-ins6130.2
Total votes238,184100.0
Democratichold

See also

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References

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  1. ^Haas, Karen L. (March 9, 2015)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2014".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedOctober 28, 2019.
  2. ^"Shea-Porter Files for Reelection in New Hampshire's First District". sheaporter.com. June 2014. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2014.
  3. ^"2014 United States Senate - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2014.
  4. ^Cahn, Emily (September 24, 2013)."Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on September 25, 2013. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2013.
  5. ^Leubsdorf, Ben (October 9, 2013)."Republican Dan Innis announces run for Congress in N.H.'s 1st District".Concord Monitor. RetrievedOctober 9, 2013.
  6. ^abTuohy, Dan (June 13, 2014)."Candidates Set: Meet the GOP Avengers".Salem Patch. Archived fromthe original on July 14, 2014. RetrievedJuly 9, 2014.
  7. ^Holroyd, Corinne (April 22, 2014)."Former Seabrook Selectman Kelly swaps parties in congressional bid".The Portsmouth Herald. RetrievedJuly 9, 2014.
  8. ^Leubsdorf, Ben (September 3, 2013)."N.H. Senate leader Jeb Bradley won't run for U.S. Senate in 2014".Concord Monitor. RetrievedOctober 16, 2013.
  9. ^Pindell, James (December 3, 2013)."Bedford GOP state Rep considering Congressional run".WMUR-TV. RetrievedDecember 5, 2013.
  10. ^Pindell, James (February 27, 2014)."Cebrowski still 'chewing' over a run for higher office".WMUR-TV. RetrievedMarch 5, 2014.
  11. ^abDiStaso, John (July 18, 2013)."John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council".New Hampshire Union Leader. Archived fromthe original on August 22, 2013. RetrievedJuly 19, 2013.
  12. ^Cresta, Joey (September 5, 2013)."Tucker waiting on Guinta for Congress bid".The Portsmouth Herald. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2013.
  13. ^"Guinta Begins March of Endorsements".Guinta for Congress. March 3, 2014. Archived fromthe original on July 11, 2014. RetrievedJuly 9, 2014.
  14. ^abcNew England College
  15. ^"2014 Representative In Congress - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2014.
  16. ^abWMUR/UNH
  17. ^abNew England College
  18. ^WMUR/UNH
  19. ^abNew England College
  20. ^abNew England College
  21. ^abUMass Amherst
  22. ^abNew England College
  23. ^abWMUR/UNH
  24. ^abNew England College
  25. ^abNew England College
  26. ^abNew England College
  27. ^abNew England College
  28. ^abNormington Petts
  29. ^abcdeWMUR/UNH
  30. ^abcdeWMUR/UNH
  31. ^abcdWMUR/UNH
  32. ^abcdWMUR/UNH
  33. ^abcWMUR/UNH
  34. ^ab"2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2014.
  35. ^ab"2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014)".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 24, 2014.
  36. ^ab"2014 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. April 10, 2014. RetrievedApril 11, 2014.
  37. ^ab"Daily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014". Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedNovember 4, 2014.
  38. ^ab"Representative in Congress - 2014 General Election". NH Secretary of State. November 4, 2014. RetrievedNovember 16, 2014.
  39. ^"Congresswoman Annie Kuster Files Papers, Declares Candidacy for Reelection". kusterforcongress.com. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2014.
  40. ^"2014 United States Senate - Democratic Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2014.
  41. ^Trygstad, Kyle (November 25, 2013)."GOP Rising Star Launches House Bid in New Hampshire".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on November 28, 2013. RetrievedNovember 25, 2013.
  42. ^"Former NH state GOP sen. Gary Lambert to announce House bid against Democrat Annie Kuster". Daily Journal.Associated Press. September 4, 2013. Archived fromthe original on September 4, 2013. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2013.
  43. ^"First-ever NH African-American to run for Congress emerges". WMUR. June 9, 2014. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2014.
  44. ^"Hemingway being talked about for governor's race".WMUR.com. December 12, 2013. RetrievedDecember 13, 2013.
  45. ^Ronayne, Kathleen (January 30, 2014)."Entrepreneur, political activist Andrew Hemingway to challenge Hassan for governor".Concord Monitor. RetrievedJanuary 31, 2014.
  46. ^Kevin Brennan (February 8, 2013)."Former N.H. House Speaker Mulling Kuster Challenge".National Journal. Archived fromthe original on October 19, 2014. RetrievedApril 20, 2014.
  47. ^Ben Leubsdorf (August 24, 2013)."Ex-N.H. House speaker Bill O'Brien takes new job, ends nascent campaign for U.S. Congress".Concord Monitor. RetrievedApril 20, 2014.
  48. ^Magellan Strategies
  49. ^"2014 United States Senate - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2014.
  50. ^WMUR/UNH

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