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2014 Oregon gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

See also:2014 Oregon state elections

2014 Oregon gubernatorial election

← 2010November 4, 20142016 (special) →
 
NomineeJohn KitzhaberDennis Richardson
PartyDemocraticRepublican
AllianceWorking FamiliesIndependent Party
Popular vote733,230648,542
Percentage49.89%44.13%

County results

Kitzhaber:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

Richardson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

John Kitzhaber
Democratic

ElectedGovernor

John Kitzhaber
Democratic

Elections in Oregon
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The2014 Oregon gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect theGovernor of Oregon, concurrently with otherelections in Oregon andacross the United States.

IncumbentDemocratJohn Kitzhaber defeatedRepublican state legislatorDennis Richardson, winning his fourth overall, and second consecutive, four-year term as governor.[1] The race was closer than expected due to recent revelations of potential ethical violations involving his fiancée, Cylvia Hayes.[1] Most news outlets called the election in his favor by 9:00 p.m. on election night. Kitzhaber thanked his supporters for a successful race, while Richardson refused to concede due to the close tally.[2] Fourthird party candidates also appeared on the ballot, with each winning less than 2% of the vote.

Kitzhaber and Richardson were nominated in the primary election on May 20, 2014. As of 2022, this is the last gubernatorial election in Oregon whereClatsop County supported the Republican candidate, and the last one whereTillamook County supported the Democratic candidate.

If Kitzhaber had served his full term, he would have become the second longest-serving governor in U.S. history.[3] Kitzhaber, however, resigned as governor on February 18, 2015.[4]

This is the last time that a man was elected Governor of Oregon.

Background

[edit]
See also:John Kitzhaber andDennis Richardson (politician)

Physician and then-President of theOregon State SenateJohn Kitzhaber was first elected governor in1994, and was re-elected in1998.Term limits prevented him from running in2002. He considered running in2006, but decided not to; incumbent DemocratTed Kulongoski was re-elected. In September 2009, Kitzhaber announced that he would seek a third term as governorin 2010.[5] In May 2010, he won the Democratic primary with 65% of the vote, defeating former secretary of state of OregonBill Bradbury.[6] After a close general election campaign, Kitzhaber won the election with 49% to Republican nomineeChris Dudley's 48%.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Kitzhaber (incumbent)268,65489.0
DemocraticIfeanyichukwu C. Diru27,8339.22
write-ins5,3881.78
Total votes301,875100

Republican primary

[edit]

A Republican had not won a statewide race in Oregon since incumbent senatorGordon H. Smith was re-electedin 2002 and a Republican has not been elected governor sinceVictor G. Atiyeh was re-electedin 1982. At the annualDorchester Conference for activists in March 2013, Oregon Republicans acknowledged the difficulties they faced. At the Conference, "the lack of activity was so pronounced that the conference's Saturday night satirical show ran a video that began with an announcer intoning, "Now we go live to the 2014 Republican governor's debate." The camera then panned over a debate stage with two empty chairs, the monotony broken only by a broom-wielding janitor." High-profile Republicans have all passed on the election and while attendees split on whether the party needed to change its policies, they agreed that the party needed to be a "big tent" again.[10][11]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]
  • Jon Justesen, businessman and rancher[17]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Richardson
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDennis Richardson163,69565.86
RepublicanGordon Challstrom24,6939.93
RepublicanBruce Cuff23,9129.62
RepublicanMae Rafferty16,9206.8
RepublicanTim Carr14,8475.97
RepublicanDarren Karr2,4741.0
write-ins2,0110.8
Total votes248,552100

Third parties

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Additionally, under Oregon'sElectoral fusion law, Democratic nomineeJohn Kitzhaber was nominated by theWorking Families Party of Oregon, and Republican nomineeDennis Richardson was nominated by theIndependent Party of Oregon.[22]

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]Likely DNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]Likely DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[25]Safe DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[26]Lean DNovember 3, 2014

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Dennis
Richardson (R)
OtherUndecided
Elway Research[27]October 26–27, 2014403± 5%45%38%2%[28]9%
SurveyUSA[29]October 23–27, 2014552± 4.3%50%40%6%5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[30]October 16–23, 20141,421± 4%48%42%1%10%
SurveyUSA[31]October 16–19, 2014561± 4.2%51%38%6%6%
DHM Research[32]October 2014?± 4.3%50%29%6%15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[33]September 20–October 1, 20141,508± 3%49%42%0%8%
SurveyUSA[34]September 22–24, 2014568± 4.2%50%38%5%8%
Rasmussen Reports[35]September 2–3, 2014750± 4%48%38%4%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36]August 18–September 2, 20141,541± 4%48%42%1%8%
Moore Information^[37]August 5–9, 2014500± 4%45%41%13%
SurveyUSA[38]August 1–5, 2014564± 4.2%48%36%7%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[39]July 5–24, 20142,082± 2.6%52%42%1%5%
On Message, Inc.^[40]June 22–24, 2014600± 4%42%38%16%
SurveyUSA[41]June 5–9, 2014560± 4.2%48%35%10%7%
Public Policy Polling[42]May 22–27, 2014956± 3.2%49%36%15%
DHM Research[43]May 2014400± 4.9%48%36%16%
Harper Polling[44]April 1–2, 2014670± 3.91%46%43%11%
  • ^ Internal poll for Dennis Richardson campaign
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Allen
Alley (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[45]December 3–5, 2012614± 4%52%37%12%
Public Policy Polling[46]June 21–24, 2012686± 3.7%46%36%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Jason
Atkinson (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[46]June 21–24, 2012686± 3.7%45%30%24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Bruce
Hanna (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[45]December 3–5, 2012614± 4%52%33%15%
Public Policy Polling[46]June 21–24, 2012686± 3.7%46%33%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Gordon H.
Smith (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[45]December 3–5, 2012614± 4%47%42%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Bruce
Starr (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[45]December 3–5, 2012614± 4%53%31%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Kitzhaber (D)
Greg
Walden (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[45]December 3–5, 2012614± 4%49%40%11%
Public Policy Polling[46]June 21–24, 2012686± 3.7%42%41%17%

Results

[edit]
Oregon gubernatorial election, 2014[47]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticJohn Kitzhaber (incumbent)733,23049.89%+0.60%
RepublicanDennis Richardson648,54244.13%−3.63%
Pacific GreenJason Levin29,5612.01%N/A
LibertarianPaul Grad21,9031.49%+0.18%
ConstitutionAaron Auer15,9291.08%N/A
ProgressiveChris Henry13,8980.95%N/A
Write-in6,6540.45%+0.23%
Total votes1,469,717100.00%N/A
Democratichold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abGunderson, Laura (November 5, 2014)."John Kitzhaber asks Oregon lawmakers to leave behind 'difficult campaign,' start healing".The Oregonian.
  2. ^Gunderson, Laura (November 4, 2014)."Dennis Richardson refuses to concede, John Kitzhaber thanks voters for a fourth term: Oregon election results 2014".The Oregonian.
  3. ^Ostermeier, Eric (December 10, 2013)."Kitzhaber Launches Bid to Become 2nd Longest-Serving Governor in History".Smart Politics.
  4. ^Nakamura, Beth (February 13, 2015)."Oregon Governor John Kitzhaber resigns amid criminal investigation, growing scandal".The Oregonian. Portland, Oregon. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2015.
  5. ^Mapes, Jeff (September 2, 2009)."Kitzhaber files committee to run for governor". OregonLive.com.
  6. ^Kitzhaber, Dudley To Face Off For Governor - Your Vote News Story - KPTV PortlandArchived 2010-07-04 at theWayback Machine
  7. ^abChristian Gaston (March 11, 2014)."Election 2014: Who filed for Oregon statewide and congressional office".The Oregonian. RetrievedMarch 13, 2014.
  8. ^Esteve, Harry (December 9, 2013)."John Kitzhaber announces for historic fourth term".The Oregonian. RetrievedDecember 9, 2013.
  9. ^ab"May 20, 2014 Primary Election Abstract of Votes: Governor". Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 7, 2014.
  10. ^Mapes, Jeff (March 10, 2013)."Republicans search for ways to revive GOP brand in Oregon".The Oregonian. RetrievedJuly 25, 2013.
  11. ^Mapes, Jeff (March 8, 2013)."At Dorchester Conference, Oregon Republicans ponder how to restore their party".The Oregonian. RetrievedJuly 25, 2013.
  12. ^Esteve, Harry (January 13, 2014)."Portland businessman becomes latest to join growing group of Republican candidates for governor".The Oregonian. Portland, Oregon. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2014.
  13. ^Esteve, Harry (January 9, 2014)."Another Republican files to run for Oregon governor".The Oregonian. Portland, Oregon. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2014.
  14. ^Esteve, Harry (January 6, 2014)."Salem-area real estate broker, Bruce Cuff, enters Republican primary for governor".The Oregonian. Portland, Oregon. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2014.
  15. ^abGaston, Christian (March 10, 2014)."Allen Alley, former gubernatorial hopeful, won't challenge Oregon Gov. John Kitzhaber".The Oregonian. RetrievedMarch 11, 2014.
  16. ^Gaston, Christian (July 24, 2013)."Oregon Rep. Dennis Richardson announces run for governor".The Oregonian. RetrievedJuly 25, 2013.
  17. ^Mapes, Jeff (January 30, 2014)."Republican Jon Justesen, questioning his party's priorities, drops bid for Oregon governorship".The Oregonian. RetrievedJanuary 31, 2014.
  18. ^"Chris Dudley, ending his political aspirations, says move to San Diego makes sense for his family".Oregon Live. April 7, 2012.
  19. ^"Bruce Hanna decides not to run for re-election -- or, for now, another seat: Oregon politics today".Oregon Live. September 20, 2013.
  20. ^"Gordon Smith finds happiness in private sector, has no plans to seek office".Oregon Live. August 6, 2012.
  21. ^"Republicans Pick Walden as New NRCC Chairman".Roll Call. November 14, 2012.
  22. ^abcde"Oregon Secretary Of State". RetrievedSeptember 23, 2014.
  23. ^"2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  24. ^"The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  25. ^"2014 Gubernatorial Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  26. ^"2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2018.
  27. ^Elway Research
  28. ^Aaron Auer (C)
  29. ^SurveyUSA
  30. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  31. ^SurveyUSA
  32. ^DHM ResearchArchived October 17, 2014, at theWayback Machine
  33. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  34. ^SurveyUSA
  35. ^Rasmussen Reports
  36. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  37. ^Moore Information^
  38. ^SurveyUSA
  39. ^CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  40. ^On Message, Inc.^
  41. ^SurveyUSA
  42. ^Public Policy Polling
  43. ^DHM Research
  44. ^Harper PollingArchived April 7, 2014, at theWayback Machine
  45. ^abcdePublic Policy Polling
  46. ^abcdPublic Policy Polling
  47. ^"November 4, 2014, General Election, Official Abstract of Votes: Governor". Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedDecember 6, 2014.

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