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2014 Japanese general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2014 Japanese general election

← 2012
14 December 2014
2017 →

All 475 seats in theHouse of Representatives
238 seats needed for a majority
Turnout52.65% (Decrease6.67pp; Const. votes)
52.65% (Decrease6.66pp; PR votes)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderShinzō AbeBanri KaiedaToru Hashimoto
Kenji Eda
PartyLDPDemocraticInnovation
Leader since26 September 201225 September 20121 August 2014
Leader's seatYamaguchi 4thTokyo PR[a]
(lost re-election)
Did not stand
Last election294 seats57 seats54 seats[b]
Seats before2956242
Seats won2917341
Seat changeDecrease 3Increase 16Decrease 13
Constituency vote25,461,44911,916,8494,319,646
% and swing48.10% (Increase5.09pp)22.51% (Decrease0.30pp)8.16% (Decrease3.48pp)
Regional vote17,658,9169,775,9918,382,699
% and swing33.11% (Increase5.49pp)18.33% (Increase2.84pp)15.72% (Decrease4.66pp)

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
LeaderNatsuo YamaguchiKazuo ShiiTakeo Hiranuma
PartyKomeitoJCPFuture Generations
Leader since8 September 200924 November 20001 August 2014
Leader's seatDid not stand[c]Southern Kanto PROkayama 3rd
Last election31 seats8 seatsDid not exist
Seats before31819
Seats won35212
Seat changeIncrease 4Increase 13New
Constituency vote765,3907,040,170947,396
% and swing1.45% (Decrease0.04pp)13.30% (Increase5.42pp)1.79% (New)
Regional vote7,314,2366,062,9621,414,919
% and swing13.71% (Increase1.81pp)11.37% (Increase5.20pp)2.65% (New)

districts and PR districts, shaded according to winners' vote strength

Prime Minister before election

Shinzō Abe
LDP

ElectedPrime Minister

Shinzō Abe
LDP

This article is part ofa series on






flagJapan portal

General elections were held inJapan on 14 December 2014. Voting took place in allRepresentatives constituencies ofJapan including proportional blocks to elect themembers of theHouse of Representatives, thelower house of theNational Diet of Japan. As thecabinet resigns in the first post-election Diet session after a general House of Representatives election (Constitution, Article 70), the lower house election also led to a newelection of the prime minister in the Diet, won by incumbentShinzō Abe, and the appointment of a new cabinet (with some ministers re-appointed). The voter turnout in this election remains the lowest in Japanese history.

Background

[edit]

In 2012, theDemocratic Party government underYoshihiko Noda decided to raise the Japanese consumption tax. This unpopular move allowed theLiberal Democratic Party underShinzo Abe to regain control of the Japanese government in the2012 Japanese general election. Abe proceeded to implement a series of economic programs known as "Abenomics" in a bid to stimulate the economy. Despite these programs, Japan entered a technicalrecession in mid-2014, which Abe blamed on the consumption tax hike, even though many members of the LDP supported the hike. Abe called a snap election on November 18, in part for the purpose of winning LDP backing to postpone the hike and pursue the Abenomics package.[1][2]

The LDP government was widely expected to win the election in a landslide, and many observers viewed the snap election as a mechanism for Abe to entrench his government at a time of relative popularity.[3]

Under 2013 changes to the electoral law designed to reducemalapportionment, district boundaries in 17 prefectures were redrawn and five districts are eliminated without replacement (one each inFukui,Yamanashi,Tokushima,Kōchi andSaga). The number of first-past-the-post seats is reduced to 295, the total number of seats decreases to 475.[4]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Parties' approval ratings from 2013 to 2014

(Source:NHK)

DateLDPDPJJRPPFGNKPYPPLPJCPSDPGWNRPUPJIPOth.Und.No
Answer
Lead
5–7 December38.1%11.7%0.1%5.9%0.3%4.3%0.9%0.0%3.7%0.1%26.3%8.5%11.8%
7–9 November36.6%7.9%0.2%2.2%0.0%0.0%3.5%0.6%1.2%0.1%40.0%7.7%3.4%
11–13 October40.2%5.6%0.1%4.1%0.5%0.1%3.3%0.9%1.4%0.1%35.0%8.8%5.2%
5–7 September40.4%5.4%0.7%0.1%4.3%0.0%0.2%3.3%0.5%0.1%0.4%36.9%7.8%3.5%
8–10 August36.7%6.4%1.0%0.3%3.0%0.2%0.3%3.2%0.7%0.0%0.0%39.4%8.8%2.7%
11–13 July34.3%4.8%1.7%3.6%0.5%0.3%3.4%0.9%0.1%0.3%42.5%7.6%8.2%
6–8 June36.9%5.1%1.1%4.0%0.4%0.1%2.8%0.6%0.0%0.1%42.4%6.7%5.5%
9–11 May41.4%5.6%1.1%3.7%0.2%0.3%2.4%0.9%0.2%0.1%37.2%6.9%4.2%
11–13 April38.1%7.4%1.3%3.4%0.9%0.2%3.6%0.6%0.1%0.2%37.2%5.2%0.9%
7–9 March38.7%6.5%1.1%2.2%0.8%0.1%3.3%0.8%0.4%0.1%40.0%5.2%1.3%
7–9 February36.2%5.8%1.3%3.9%1.1%0.3%3.3%1.4%0.5%0.2%41.0%5.2%4.8%
11–13 January40.4%5.8%1.6%2.8%0.8%0.1%1.6%0.7%0.1%0.3%40.3%5.5%0.1%
2014
6–8 December36.7%7.8%2.1%2.8%1.2%0.2%3.1%0.6%0.0%38.7%6.8%2.0%
8–10 November41.9%5.2%1.8%4.4%1.9%0.3%3.3%0.4%0.3%35.1%5.6%6.8%
12–14 October36.1%5.2%2.1%3.8%1.2%0.2%4.0%0.5%0.3%41.8%4.9%5.7%
6–8 September40.3%5.5%2.2%4.4%2.1%0.0%3.2%0.7%0.2%34.6%6.8%5.7%
9–11 August37.9%7.3%4.6%4.6%3.2%0.2%3.5%0.8%0.9%30.8%6.2%7.1%
5–7 July42.5%8.0%2.7%5.3%3.1%0.5%3.7%0.9%0.1%0.0%0.3%24.5%8.4%18.0%
7–9 June41.7%5.8%1.5%5.1%1.5%0.1%2.2%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.2%34.6%7.0%7.1%
10–12 May43.4%5.3%2.4%3.7%2.3%0.3%2.0%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%33.3%6.1%10.1%
5–7 April43.6%6.1%2.1%3.7%1.3%0.4%2.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%34.5%5.6%9.1%
8–10 March40.1%7.0%3.9%4.4%3.1%0.3%2.1%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.1%31.8%6.6%8.3%
10–12 February40.4%7.0%5.3%3.1%2.6%0.3%2.1%0.8%0.1%0.0%0.3%31.7%6.3%8.7%
12–14 January37.8%7.6%6.5%4.0%3.7%0.5%2.7%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.3%30.8%5.4%7.0%
2013
Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings
Approval (blue) and Disapproval (red) Ratings forSecond andThird Abe Cabinet
DatePMApprovalDisapproval
5–7 DecemberShinzo Abe47%38%
7–9 NovemberShinzo Abe44%38%
11–13 OctoberShinzo Abe52%34%
5–7 SeptemberShinzo Abe58%28%
8–10 AugustShinzo Abe51%33%
11–13 JulyShinzo Abe47%38%
6–8 JuneShinzo Abe52%32%
9–11 MayShinzo Abe56%29%
11–13 AprilShinzo Abe52%31%
7–9 MarchShinzo Abe51%30%
7–9 FebruaryShinzo Abe52%33%
11–13 JanuaryShinzo Abe54%31%
2014
21–22 December[5]Shinzo Abe49%34%
6–8 DecemberShinzo Abe50%35%
8–10 NovemberShinzo Abe60%25%
12–14 OctoberShinzo Abe58%26%
6–8 SeptemberShinzo Abe59%23%
9–11 AugustShinzo Abe57%29%
5–7 JulyShinzo Abe57%25%
7–9 JuneShinzo Abe62%20%
10–12 MayShinzo Abe65%18%
5–7 AprilShinzo Abe66%19%
23–24 March[6]Shinzo Abe69%6%
9–10 March[7]Shinzo Abe76%22%
8–10 MarchShinzo Abe66%18%
10–12 FebruaryShinzo Abe64%20%
8–10 February[8]Shinzo Abe71%18%
12–14 JanuaryShinzo Abe64%22%
11–13 January[8]Shinzo Abe68%24%
2013

Results

[edit]
Main articles:Results of the 2014 Japanese general election andList of members of the House of Representatives of Japan, 2014–2017
Constituency Cartogram

The LDP lost a small number of seats but slightly enlarged its majority coalition withKomeito. Turnout was a record low, and many voters viewed the election as a waste of time and money. DPJ presidentBanri Kaieda lost his seat in Tokyo while theJapanese Communist Party doubled in strength.[9][10] The right-leaningJapan Innovation Party andParty for Future Generations lost seats.[11]

PartyProportionalConstituencyTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Liberal Democratic Party17,658,91633.116825,461,44948.10223291−3
Democratic Party of Japan9,775,99118.333511,916,84922.513873+16
Japan Innovation Party8,382,69915.72304,319,6468.161141−13
Komeito7,314,23613.7126765,3901.45935+4
Japanese Communist Party6,062,96211.37207,040,17013.30121+13
Party for Future Generations1,414,9192.650947,3961.7922New
Social Democratic Party1,314,4412.461419,3470.79120
People's Life Party1,028,7211.930514,5750.9722−7
Happiness Realization Party260,1110.49000
Shiji Seitō Nashi104,8540.2000New
New Renaissance Party16,5970.03000
Genzei Nippon32,7590.0600New
Future Party4,8830.0100New
Katsuko Inumaru and Republican Party4,6680.01000
World Economic Community Party1,4160.00000
Independents1,511,2422.8588+3
Total53,334,447100.0018052,939,790100.00295475−5
Valid votes53,334,44797.4552,939,79096.71
Invalid/blank votes1,398,2832.551,801,5623.29
Total votes54,732,730100.0054,741,352100.00
Registered voters/turnout103,962,78552.65103,962,78452.65
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications,[12] CLEA[13]

By prefecture

[edit]
PrefectureTotal
seats
Seats won
LDPDPJJIPKomeiPFGPLPJCPSDPInd.
Aichi15861
Akita33
Aomori44
Chiba13112
Ehime44
Fukui22
Fukuoka1111
Fukushima5311
Gifu55
Gunma55
Hiroshima761
Hokkaido12831
Hyōgo1271121
Ibaraki7511
Ishikawa33
Iwate4121
Kagawa321
Kagoshima541
Kanagawa18132111
Kōchi22
Kumamoto541
Kyoto642
Mie532
Miyagi651
Miyazaki33
Nagano5311
Nagasaki44
Nara431
Niigata651
Ōita321
Okayama541
Okinawa41111
Osaka199154
Saga211
Saitama151221
Shiga44
Shimane22
Shizuoka862
Tochigi541
Tokushima22
Tokyo2522111
Tottori22
Toyama33
Wakayama321
Yamagata33
Yamaguchi44
Yamanashi211
Total2952233811922118

By PR block

[edit]
PR blockTotal
seats
Seats won
LDPDPJJIPKomeiJCPSDP
Chūgoku1152121
Hokkaido832111
Hokuriku–Shinetsu1153111
Kinki (Kansai)2994844
Kyushu21833421
Northern Kanto2084332
Shikoku63111
Southern Kanto2284433
Tohoku1454221
Tōkai2185332
Tokyo1763323
Total18068353026201

Notable losses

[edit]

The most high-profile LDP candidate to lose re-election is Agriculture MinisterKoya Nishikawa, who lost by 199 votes (0.2%) to former Governor of TochigiAkio Fukuda.[14] He was questioned in October after allegedly receiving financial support from a fraudulent company.[15]

Amongst the DPJ members to lose their seats were party leaderBanri Kaieda.[16]Party for Future Generations leaderShintaro Ishihara was also unsuccessful in his attempt to win a seat after receiving a low position on his party's representative ballot.[16]

Former leader of the now-dissolvedYour Party and six-term representative for Tochigi-3rd districtYoshimi Watanabe was also defeated.[17]

The JCP gained its firstsingle-seat constituency seat since the1996 election. Amidst a growinganti-base movement inOkinawa, JCP candidateSeiken Akamine unseated LDP incumbentKōnosuke Kokuba in a night marked with a nationwide JCP surge.[18]

Aftermath

[edit]

In November 2015 the Grand Bench of the Supreme Court ruled that the inequality in vote weight due to malapportionment was still in an unconstitutional state(iken jōtai); however, as in previous such rulings, it dismissed the demand to invalidate the election.[19][20]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^At last election, Kaieda ran inTokyo 1st district but lost, re-elected in Tokyo PR block
  2. ^asJapan Restoration Party
  3. ^Sits in the House of Councillors for the Tokyo at-large district

References

[edit]
  1. ^Wakatabe, Masazumi."Election With A Cause: Why Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe Must Call General Election Now".Forbes. Retrieved2016-07-14.
  2. ^McCurry, Justin (2014-11-18)."Japan calls snap election".the Guardian. Retrieved2016-07-14.
  3. ^Boyd, John."Japan's unwanted election: Why now?".www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved2016-07-14.
  4. ^Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications:衆議院小選挙区の区割りの改定等について
  5. ^"Approval rating for Abe Cabinet falls below 50% for 1st time since inauguration: Mainichi poll (in English)".Mainichi Shimbun. 24 December 2013. Archived fromthe original on 6 January 2014. Retrieved5 January 2014.
  6. ^"【産経・FNN合同世論調査】安倍内閣支持69・6%に上昇 鳩山内閣発足時を超える".MSN産経ニュース. Archived fromthe original on 2013-03-03. Retrieved2013-03-24.
  7. ^TBS/JNN
  8. ^ab内閣支持率71%、2回連続上昇...読売世論調査
  9. ^"Abe coalition secures big Japan election win with record low turnout".Reuters. 2014-12-15. Retrieved2016-07-14.
  10. ^"Japan election: Voters back Shinzo Abe as PM wins new term - BBC News".BBC News. 14 December 2014. Retrieved2016-07-14.
  11. ^"Romping home".The Economist.ISSN 0013-0613. Retrieved2016-07-14.
  12. ^"衆 議 院 議 員 総 選 挙 ・ 最 高 裁 判 所 裁 判 官 国 民 審 査 結 果 調"(PDF).Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications.
  13. ^"CLEA Lower Chamber Elections Archive".The Elections Archive.
  14. ^NHK(Japan Broadcasting Corporation)."NHK2014衆院選".
  15. ^"Sukyandaru: Shinzo Abe's plan to raise the profile of women in his cabinet is in tatters".The Economist. 25 October 2014.
  16. ^ab"Abe tightens grip on power as ruling coalition wins 325 seats in Lower House election".The Japan Times. 15 December 2014.
  17. ^"Ex-Your Party leader Watanabe, ex-Tokyo Gov. Ishihara to lose seats".mainichi.jp. Archived fromthe original on 2014-12-15.
  18. ^Aoki, Mizuho (15 December 2014)."Resurgent JCP has night to remember".Japan Times. Retrieved11 December 2017.
  19. ^14年衆院選、1票の格差は「違憲状態」 最高裁大法廷Nihon Keizai Shimbun, 25 November 2015
  20. ^Supreme Court says December election 'in state of unconstitutionality,' but won't nullify resultsThe Japan Times, 25 November 2015

External links

[edit]

Media related toJapanese general election, 2014 at Wikimedia Commons

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