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2013 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2013 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts

← 2008
June 25, 2013
2014 →
 
NomineeEd MarkeyGabriel E. Gomez
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote645,429525,307
Percentage54.80%44.60%

County results
Municipality results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Markey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Gomez:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Mo Cowan[a]
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ed Markey
Democratic

Elections in
Massachusetts
U.S. President
Presidential Primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Governor
Attorney General
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flagMassachusetts portal

The2013 United States Senate special election in Massachusetts was held on June 25, 2013, in order to fill theMassachusettsClass 2 United States Senate seat for the remainder of the term ending January 3, 2015.

The vacancy that prompted the special election was created by the resignation of SenatorJohn Kerry, in order to becomeU.S. Secretary of State.[1] On January 30, 2013,GovernorDeval Patrick chose his former chief of staff,Mo Cowan, to serve as interim U.S. Senator. Cowan declined to participate in the election. A party primary election was held on April 30, to determinate the nominees of each party for the general election. TheMassachusetts Democrats nominated U.S. RepresentativeEd Markey, while theMassachusetts Republicans nominated Gabriel E. Gomez, a businessman and formerNavy SEAL.

The race drew remarks from the media, because of its potential similarity to the2010 special election, when Republican state senatorScott Brown upset the Democratic nominee,Massachusetts Attorney GeneralMartha Coakley.[2][3][4][5] However, Gomez trailed Markey in every opinion poll taken, and Markey defeated him by 120,122 votes, despite low turnout.[6]

Background

[edit]

The incumbent senator,John Kerry (Democratic), was nominated to serve asU.S. Secretary of State by PresidentBarack Obama on December 21, 2012.[7][8] He was confirmed by the Senate on January 29, 2013,[9][10] and in a letter to Massachusetts GovernorDeval Patrick, Kerry announced his resignation from the Senate, effective February 1.[11] Kerry was sworn in as secretary of state on the same day.[12]

Patrick's former chief of staff,Mo Cowan, was appointed to replace Kerry in the Senate on the same day, and immediately ruled himself out of the special election.[13] The special primary elections took place on April 30. Democratic U.S. RepresentativeEd Markey and Republican businessman Gabriel E. Gomez won their respective primaries.

Democratic primary

[edit]

U.S. Representatives Ed Markey andStephen F. Lynch both announced campaigns for the open seat. Markey was perceived as moreleft-wing than Lynch.[14]

Candidates

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Stephen F. Lynch

Politicians

  • Cheryl Coakley-Rivera, state representative from the 10th Hampden District[34]
  • Frank A. Moran, state representative from the 17th Essex District,[35]
  • Michael Finn, state representative from the 6th Hampden District[36]
  • John Sweeney, West Springfield city councilor[36]
  • George Kelley, West Springfield city councilor[36]
  • John Merrigan, Franklin County register of probate[37]
  • Johnathan Blodgett, district attorney of Essex County[38]
  • Susan Kay, mayor ofWeymouth[39]
  • Joe Connolly, treasurer of Norfolk County[39]
  • Arthur Matthews, Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • T.J. Lacey, Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • Jane Hackett, Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • Frank Burke, Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • Greg Shanahan, former Weymouth town councilor[39]
  • Linda M. Pereira, Fall River City Council president

Labor unions

Ed Markey

PoliticiansU.S. presidents and vice presidents

U.S. cabinet members

U.S. senators

Members of the U.S. House of Representatives

Governors

Other state constitutional officers

State legislators

County officials

  • Tom Bowler, sheriff of Berkshire County[52]
  • Dave Sullivan, district attorney of Northwestern County[52]

Mayors

City councilors

Celebrities and prominent individuals

Newspapers and publications

Labor unions

Business people

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Stephen
Lynch
Ed
Markey
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[80]January 29–30, 2013763±4.9%19%52%29%
Public Policy Polling[81]February 13–14, 2013426 LV±4.8%28%43%29%
WBUR/MassINC[82]March 19–21, 2013610 LV±4.1%24%35%0%41%
Public Policy Polling[83]March 26–27, 2013496 LV±4.4%32%49%0%19%
WNEU[84]April 11–18, 2013270 LV±6%34%44%0%21%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Capuano
Martha
Coakley
Vicki
Kennedy
Stephen
Lynch
Ed
Markey
Marty
Meehan
Deval
Patrick
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[85]December 16–18, 20121,053 RV±2.9%13%11%16%20%10%30%
WBUR/MassINC[86]December 17–18, 2012500 RV±3.3%8%21%5%5%3%36%3%19%

Results

[edit]
Results by Municipality:
  Markey
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Lynch
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
      Tie
Results by Municipality
Results by precinct:
  Markey
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90-100%
  Lynch
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90-100%
  Tie
  No data/No votes
Results by Precinct
2013 Democratic Senate primary[87]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEd Markey311,21957.35%
DemocraticStephen F. Lynch230,33542.44%
DemocraticAll others1,1500.21%
Total votes542,704100%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Gabriel E. Gomez

Politicians

Michael J. Sullivan

Politicians

Daniel Winslow

Social and political activists

  • Barbara Anderson, veteran anti-tax activist[107]

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gabriel
Gomez
Michael
Sullivan
Daniel
Winslow
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINC[82]March 19–21, 2013610 LV±4.1%8%28%10%3%50%
WNEU[84]April 11–18, 2013128 LV±9%33%27%9%30%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Baker
Scott
Brown
Bill
Weld
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[85]December 16–18, 20121,053 RV±2.9%80%7%5%7%
WBUR/MassINC[86]December 17–18, 2012500 RV±3.3%5%81%6%1%7%

Results

[edit]
Primary results by municipality
2013 Republican Senate primary[111]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGabriel E. Gomez96,05750.75%
RepublicanMichael J. Sullivan67,94635.89%
RepublicanDaniel Winslow24,66213.03%
RepublicanAll others6280.33%
Total votes189,293100%

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Ed Markey (D)$7,866,591$8,652,479$2,264,701$0
Gabriel Gomez (R)$3,304,338$2,307,217$997,120$900,100
Source:Federal Election Commission[115][116]

Top contributors

[edit]
Ed MarkeyContributionGabriel GomezContribution
League of Conservation Voters$147,518Advent International$38,850
Mintz, Levin, Cohn, Ferris, Glovsky, and Popeo$35,950Berkshire Partners$36,300
Dish Network$32,000Summit Partners$28,900
Bain Capital$26,000Bain Capital$11,400
Harvard University$24,400Easterly Capital$10,400
DLA Piper$24,400William Blair & Company$10,300
Comcast Corporation$23,350HarbourVest Partners$7,800
WilmerHale$23,000Power Financial Corporation$6,200
Berkshire Group$20,700BMO Capital Markets$5,200
American Cable Association$20,500Carlyle Group$5,200
Source:OpenSecrets[117]

Top industries

[edit]
Ed MarkeyContributionGabriel GomezContribution
Lawyers/Law Firms$528,470Financial Institutions$211,800
Financial Institutions$228,050Retired$37,250
Entertainment Industry$179,400Misc Finance$16,105
Environmental Organizations$171,568Lawyers/Law Firms$13,250
Real Estate$134,900Business Services$13,050
Lobbyists$134,900Commercial Banks$7,750
Retired$107,101Manufacturing & Distributing$6,200
Business Services$101,200High-Tech Industry$6,000
High-Tech Industry$65,450Retail Industry$5,600
Universities$65,150Misc Business$5,100
Source:OpenSecrets[118]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Markey (D)
Gabriel E.
Gomez (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald[119]March 2–5, 2013309 RV±4%47%28%7%19%
WBUR/MassINC[82]March 19–21, 2013610 LV±4.1%44%25%3%26%
WNEU[84]April 11–18, 2013480 LV±4.5%51%36%12%
Emerson College[120]May 1, 2013797 RV±2.5%42%36%16%
Public Policy Polling[121]May 1–2, 20131,539 LV±2.5%44%40%16%
WBUR/MassINC[122]May 5–6, 2013497 LV±4.4%41%35%0%23%
Suffolk[123]May 4–7, 2013500 LV±4.4%52%35%13%
Public Policy Polling[124]May 13–15, 2013880 LV±3.3%48%41%11%
Emerson College[125]May 20–22, 2013867 LV±3.26%45%33%22%
New England College[126]June 1–2, 2013734 RV±3.62%52%40%8%
UMass Amherst-YouGov America[127]May 30 – June 4, 2013357 RV±5.4%51%40%9%
Public Policy Polling[128]June 3–4, 2013560 LV±5.4%47%39%14%
WBUR[129]June 6–9, 2013500 LV±3.4%43%36%17%
Suffolk University[130]June 6–9, 2013500 LV±3.4%44%36%10%
Harper Polling[131]June 10–11, 2013498 RV±4.39%49%37%14%
Boston Globe[132]June 11–14, 2013508 LV±4.3%54%41%4%
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald[133]June 15–19, 2013608 RV±4%56%36%7%
WNEU[134]June 16–20, 2013566 LV±4.1%49%41%9%
Emerson College[135]June 19–20, 20131,422 RV±2.5%51%41%8%
Suffolk University[136]June 19–22, 2013500 LV±4.4%52%42%1%5%
Hypothetical polling

With Markey

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ed
Markey (D)
Michael
Sullivan (R)
Daniel
Winslow (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald[119]March 2–5, 2013309 RV±4%48%30%5%17%
49%26%5%20%
WBUR/MassINC[82]March 19–21, 2013610 LV±4.1%44%27%2%25%
44%22%3%29%
WNEU[84]April 11–18, 2013480 LV±4.5%52%34%15%
51%32%16%

With Lynch

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Stephen
Lynch (D)
Gabriel E.
Gomez (R)
Michael
Sullivan (R)
Daniel
Winslow (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass Lowell-Boston Herald[119]March 2–5, 2013309 RV±4%45%27%6%22%
45%28%7%21%
48%24%8%19%
WBUR/MassINC[82]March 19–21, 2013610 LV±4.1%55%17%1%26%
49%21%1%28%
52%15%1%31%
WNEU[84]April 11–18, 2013480 LV±4.5%58%26%14%
57%25%17%
59%23%16%

With Brown

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of errorMike
Capuano (D)
Martha
Coakley (D)
Vicki
Kennedy (D)
Stephen
Lynch (D)
Ed
Markey (D)
Marty
Meehan (D)
Deval
Patrick (D)
Generic
Democrat
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[85]December 16–18, 20121,053 RV±2.9%40%46%14%
48%43%9%
WBUR/MassINC[86]December 17–18, 2012500 RV±3.3%28%47%4%16%
36%51%3%8%
24%51%4%15%
30%48%4%15%
30%49%4%14%
40%47%3%7%
39%47%15%
David Paleologos Suffolk/NAGE[137]??±?33%42%25%
39%49%12%
[WBUR/MassINC]
[citation needed]
January 16–19, 2013435 RV±3.6%31%53%1%17%
36%44%3%12%
Public Policy Polling[80]January 29–30, 2013763 RV±3.6%39%48%12%
45%48%8%

With Weld

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Vicki
Kennedy (D)
Deval
Patrick (D)
Bill
Weld (R)
OtherUndecided
Emerson College[85]December 16–18, 20121,053 RV±2.9%40%37%23%
50%32%18%

Results

[edit]
Shift by county
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Republican — >15%
  •   Republican — +12.5−15%
  •   Republican — +10−12.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5−10%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +10−12.5%
  •   Democratic — +12.5−15%
  •   Democratic — >15%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

2013 U.S. Senate special election in Massachusetts[138]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticEd Markey645,42954.80%Decrease11.06
RepublicanGabriel Gomez525,30744.60%Increase13.67
Twelve VisionsRichard Heos4,5500.39%N/A
Write-in2,5040.21%N/A
Total votes1,177,790100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
County[139]Ed Markey
Democratic
Gabriel Gomez
Republican
All Others
#%#%#%
Barnstable27,98246.532,02053.22290.4
Berkshire15,80972.75,81726.81110.5
Bristol33,79149.034,72250.24670.7
Dukes2,96568.71,33831.0130.3
Essex65,33950.5'63,24848.97200.6
Franklin10,83066.85,27632.51170.7
Hampden30,89447.034,50452.43890.6
Hampshire23,81868.010,95231.31520.7
Middlesex186,65161.2116,71638.31,7700.6
Nantucket1,11455.887743.950.3
Norfolk72,56551.966,33947.58840.6
Plymouth38,58842.5861,64956.95460.6
Suffolk77,68374.525,92424.96930.7
Worcester57,40042.875,92556.68580.6
Totals645,42964.8525,30744.66,0540.21

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Markey won six of nine congressional districts, with the remaining three going to Gomez, all of which elected Democrats.[140]

DistrictMarkeyGomezRepresentative
1st53%47%Richard Neal
2nd51%49%Jim McGovern
3rd49%51%Niki Tsongas
4th55%45%Joe Kennedy III
5th65%35%Ed Markey
6th49%51%John F. Tierney
7th81%19%Mike Capuano
8th51%49%Stephen Lynch
9th46%53%Bill Keating

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^In February 2013, Cowan was appointed by GovernorDeval Patrick to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of SenatorJohn Kerry, who had becomeU.S. Secretary of State.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Zengerle, Patricia (January 29, 2013)."Senate votes to confirm Kerry as secretary of state".Reuters.Archived from the original on January 31, 2013. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2013.
  2. ^Trende, Sean (May 7, 2013)."Can Gabriel Gomez Win Mass. Senate Race?".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedMay 21, 2013.
  3. ^Trumbull, Mark (May 1, 2013)."Could Gabriel Gomez pull a "Scott Brown" and win Massachusetts Senate race?".The Christian Science Monitor. RetrievedMay 21, 2013.
  4. ^Silver, Nate (May 6, 2013)."Does Gomez Have a Real Chance in Massachusetts?".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 21, 2013.
  5. ^Horowitz, Jason (May 9, 2013)."Gabriel Gomez: GOP hope in Massachusetts".The Washington Post. RetrievedMay 21, 2013.
  6. ^Levenson, Michael; Phillips, Frank; Finucane, Martin (June 25, 2013)."Markey wins US Senate special election".The Boston Globe. RetrievedJune 25, 2013.
  7. ^Landler, Mark (December 21, 2012)."Kerry Is Pick for Secretary of State, Official Says".The New York Times. RetrievedDecember 21, 2012.
  8. ^"Remarks by the President at Nomination of Senator John Kerry as Secretary of State",TheWhite House, December 21, 2012.
  9. ^Curry, Tom (January 29, 2013)."Senate votes to confirm Kerry as secretary of state".NBC News. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2013.
  10. ^"Senate Roll Call Vote". January 29, 2013. RetrievedApril 3, 2013.
  11. ^Kerry, John (January 29, 2013)."Letter to Deval Patrick"(PDF).boston.com. RetrievedJanuary 30, 2013.
  12. ^"Clinton Out, Kerry In as Secretary of State". Associated Press. Archived fromthe original on February 4, 2013. RetrievedFebruary 1, 2013.
  13. ^Ring, Dan (January 30, 2013)."Gov. Deval Patrick to appoint William Cowan as temporary replacement for Sen. John Kerry".The Republican. RetrievedJanuary 30, 2013.
  14. ^Thys, Fred (February 14, 2013)."Senate Race Tale Of The Tape: Lynch Vs. Markey".WBUR. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2021.
  15. ^Ishkanian, Ellen; Levenson, Michael; Finucane, Martin (January 31, 2013)."A combative US Rep. Stephen Lynch launches campaign for Senate seat".Boston Globe. RetrievedJanuary 31, 2013.
  16. ^abcThys, Fred (December 20, 2012)."WBUR Poll: Brown Would Be In Strong Position For Special Election".WBUR. RetrievedDecember 20, 2012.
  17. ^Johnson, Glen (December 18, 2012)."Poll focus suggests Edward Markey has more than passing interest in Senate special election".Boston.com. RetrievedDecember 21, 2012.Arsenault, Mark (December 27, 2012)."US Rep. Markey to run in Senate special election".Boston.com. RetrievedDecember 27, 2012.
  18. ^abKillough, Ashley; Steinhauser, Paul (April 30, 2013)."Ed Markey, Gabriel Gomez win Massachusetts Senate primaries".CNN. Archived fromthe original on May 1, 2013. RetrievedApril 30, 2013.
  19. ^Keller, Jon (December 22, 2012)."Ben Affleck In A Massachusetts Senate Race?". WBZ News. RetrievedDecember 22, 2012.
  20. ^"Ben Affleck won't run for US Senate in Mass". Associated Press. December 24, 2012.
  21. ^Steinhauser, Paul (January 15, 2013)."Field to replace Kerry narrows, again".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 17, 2013. RetrievedJanuary 15, 2013.
  22. ^LeBlanc, Steve (December 22, 2012)."Mass. Braces For Senate Race If Kerry Leaves Seat".Boston.com. Associated Press. Archived fromthe original on April 10, 2013. RetrievedDecember 22, 2012.
  23. ^Battenfeld, Joe; Chabot, Hillary; Cassidy, Chris (January 30, 2013)."Gov names adviser Mo Cowan to interim Senate post".Boston Herald. RetrievedJanuary 30, 2013.
  24. ^Weiner, Rachel (January 11, 2013)."Ben Downing won't run for Senate in Mass".The Washington Post. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2013.
  25. ^Dalton, Tom (December 27, 2012)."Driscoll not running for US Senate seat".The Salem News. RetrievedDecember 29, 2012.
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  31. ^abZaremba, John (January 4, 2013)."Carmen Ortiz rules out gov, Senate Run". RetrievedJanuary 4, 2012.
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  34. ^Schoenberg, Shira."Springfield Rep. Cheryl Coakley-Rivera endorses Stephen Lynch".MassLive. RetrievedMarch 25, 2013.
  35. ^Moran endorses Lynch for Senate » Merrimack Valley » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA
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  40. ^abState House News Service (February 25, 2013)."AFL-CIO nod up in air as Lynch, Markey trade union endorsements".South Coast Today. Archived fromthe original on August 19, 2013. RetrievedFebruary 26, 2013.
  41. ^abChabot, Hillary; Johnson, O’Ryan (February 1, 2013)."Some unions already on Lynch's side".Boston Herald. RetrievedFebruary 1, 2013.
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