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2012 United States presidential election in Vermont

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Main article:2012 United States presidential election
2012 United States presidential election in Vermont

← 2008
November 6, 2012
2016 →
 
NomineeBarack ObamaMitt Romney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisMassachusetts
Running mateJoe BidenPaul Ryan
Electoral vote30
Popular vote199,23992,698
Percentage66.57%30.97%

County results
Municipality results
Precinct results

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Romney

  50–60%

No data

  


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Vermont
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The2012 United States presidential election in Vermont took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Vermont voters chose three electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,U.S. RepresentativePaul Ryan.

A veryliberalNortheastern state, and a former bastion of progressive Republicanism until the realignment election of1992, Vermont was the second most Democratic state in the nation, weighing in as a whopping 31.74% more Democratic than the national average in the 2012 election. Repeating his success from2008, Obama again carried Vermont in a landslide, taking 66.57% of the vote to Romney's 30.97%, a Democratic victory margin of 35.60%. Though this was slightly worse than his 2008 performance, when he received 67.46% of the vote to Republican SenatorJohn McCain's 30.45%, a margin of 37.01%, this was still the second best performance for a Democrat in Vermont history, surpassingLyndon B. Johnson's1964 performance.[1]

Vermont historically was a bastion of northeastern Republicanism, voting Republican in every single election but one between1856 and1988, interrupted only in1964. It also elected solely Republicangovernors from 1854 to1962 and solely Republican Senators from 1855 to 1968. However, after migration from liberal northeastern cities such asBoston andNew York to Vermont in the 1960s and 70s, it shifted sharply towards the Democratic Party withBill Clinton's landslide victory in 1992, and has been part of the "Blue Wall" – the 19 jurisdictions, worth 238 electoral votes, that voted Democratic six times in a row from 1992 through 2012 – ever since.[2] Vermont also has one of the greenest economies in the country, with its own Clean Air Act and a state trust that buys farmland to support local farming. This, and a virtual nonexistence of party loyalty in the state, guaranteed Obama's landslide victory.[3]

Obama's best performance was inWindham County, where he received 73.05% of the vote, though he also racked up great margins inChittenden,Rutland, andWashington Counties, the state's three largest counties and home to Burlington,Rutland, and the state capital ofMontpelier, respectively. The only county where he won by a margin of less than 20% is inEssex County in theNortheast Kingdom, generally the most conservative region in the state, where he won by 13.40%.

The results of the 2012 election made Vermont the second most Democratic state in the nation, only surpassed by the 42.71% margin in Obama's birth state ofHawaii. As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time in which the Democratic nominee wonEssex County, and by extension, every county in the state.

To date, this is the last time that the towns ofBaltimore,Belvidere,Benson,Berkshire,Bloomfield,Brighton,Brownington,Brunswick,Canaan,Charleston,Clarendon,Concord,Coventry,Danby,Derby,Eden,Fair Haven,Franklin,Granby,Groton,Guildhall,Highgate,Holland,Ira,Irasburg,Lowell,Lunenburg,Newport,Norton,Orange,Readsboro,Richford,Searsburg,Sheldon,Stamford,Sutton,Topsham,Troy,Victory,Wells,West Rutland, andWilliamstown voted Democratic.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

The Democratic primary took place onSuper Tuesday, March 6, 2012.IncumbentPresidentBarack Obama ran unopposed. According to theSecretary of State of Vermont's office, he received 40,247 votes (97.28%) and all of the 27 delegates attending the2012 Democratic National Convention inCharlotte, North Carolina pledged to support his re-nomination. The remaining 2.72% of the vote was made up of 675 write-ins (1.63%) and 450 blank votes (1.09%).[4]

Republican primary

[edit]
2012Vermont Republican primary

← 2008
March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06)
2016 →
 
CandidateMitt RomneyRon Paul
Home stateMassachusettsTexas
Delegate count94
Popular vote24,00815,391
Percentage39.45%25.29%

 
CandidateRick SantorumNewt Gingrich
Home statePennsylvaniaGeorgia
Delegate count40
Popular vote14,3684,949
Percentage23.61%8.13%

County results
Municipality results
  Mitt Romney
  Ron Paul
  Rick Santorum

The Republican primary also took place onSuper Tuesday, March 6, 2012.[5][6]

Vermont has 17 delegates to the2012 Republican National Convention. Threesuperdelegates are bound by the primary results and awarded on a winner-take-all basis. The remaining 14 are awarded winner-take-all to the candidate who wins at least 50% of the vote statewide, or allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 20% of the vote statewide if no one gets a majority.[7]

FormerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney won the primary with a plurality, receiving 24,008 votes (39.45%) and 9 delegates. He won every single county.Representative fromTexas's 14th districtRon Paul placed in second with 15,391 votes, or 25.29%, while formerSenator fromPennsylvaniaRick Santorum received 14,368 votes, or 23.61%. Both were awarded 4 delegates. The only other candidate to receive over 5% of the vote was formerSpeaker of the HouseNewt Gingrich, with 8.13% of the vote.[8]

Vermont Republican presidential primary, March 6, 2012[9][10]
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Mitt Romney24,00839.45%9
Ron Paul15,39125.29%4
Rick Santorum14,36823.61%4
Newt Gingrich4,9498.13%0
Jon Huntsman1,1981.97%0
Rick Perry5440.89%0
Write-in3920.64%0
Unprojected delegates:0
Total:60,850100.00%17

General election

[edit]
2012 U.S. presidential election
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Minor parties
Related races
← 2008
2016 →

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[11]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
CNN[12]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[13]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[14]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[15]Solid DNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Solid DNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[17]Solid DNovember 6, 2012

Candidate ballot access

[edit]

The following candidates had write-in ballot access:

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in Vermont[18]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack Obama(incumbent)Joe Biden(incumbent)199,23966.57%3
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan92,69830.97%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray3,4871.17%0
Write-ins*Write-ins2,0430.68%0
JusticeRocky AndersonLuis J. Rodriguez1,1280.38%0
Socialism and LiberationPeta LindsayYari Osorio6950.23%0
Totals299,290100.00%3

By county

[edit]
CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Addison12,25768.44%5,20329.05%4502.51%7,05439.39%17,910
Bennington11,51465.45%5,68732.33%3922.22%5,82733.12%17,593
Caledonia8,19259.97%5,08837.24%3812.79%3,10422.73%13,661
Chittenden53,62669.57%21,57127.99%1,8832.44%32,05541.58%77,080
Essex1,53955.00%1,16441.60%953.40%37513.40%2,798
Franklin12,05760.62%7,40537.23%4262.15%4,65223.39%19,888
Grand Isle2,53162.11%1,47136.10%731.79%1,06026.01%4,075
Lamoille8,37169.83%3,34227.88%2752.29%5,02941.95%11,988
Orange9,07664.58%4,58832.65%3892.77%4,48831.93%14,053
Orleans7,11760.87%4,30636.83%2692.30%2,81124.04%11,692
Rutland17,08859.73%10,83537.87%6862.40%6,25321.86%28,609
Washington20,35169.44%8,09327.61%8632.95%12,25841.83%29,307
Windham16,02673.05%5,34724.37%5642.58%10,67948.68%21,937
Windsor19,49467.93%8,59829.96%6072.11%10,89637.97%28,699
Totals199,23966.57%92,69830.97%7,3532.46%106,54135.60%299,290
Shift by county
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Republican — +7.5−10%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%

By congressional district

[edit]

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
At-large30.97%66.57%Peter Welch

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Vermont Presidential Election Voting History".270toWin. RetrievedDecember 4, 2020.
  2. ^Moskowitz, Seth (January 20, 2020)."The Road to 270: Vermont".270toWin. RetrievedDecember 4, 2020.
  3. ^Cohen, Micah (October 1, 2012)."'New' Vermont Is Liberal, but 'Old' Vermont Is Still There".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedDecember 4, 2020.
  4. ^"2012 President Democratic Primary".Vermont Elections Database.Vermont Secretary of State. March 6, 2012. RetrievedDecember 4, 2020.
  5. ^"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2012.
  6. ^"Presidential Primary Dates"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2012.
  7. ^Nate Silver (March 4, 2012)."Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedMarch 5, 2012.
  8. ^"2012 President Republican Primary".Vermont Elections Database.Vermont Secretary of State. March 6, 2012. RetrievedDecember 4, 2020.
  9. ^Official Report of the Canvassing CommitteeArchived 2012-08-22 at theWayback Machine, Retrieved March 22, 2012
  10. ^The Green Papers, January 14, 2012
  11. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  12. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  13. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  14. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  15. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  16. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  17. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  18. ^"Vermont Secretary of State". Archived fromthe original on September 3, 2014. RetrievedNovember 24, 2012.
  19. ^n/a, Jason (2013)."Our Campaigns - VT US President Race - Nov 06, 2012".ourcampaigns.com. RetrievedAugust 25, 2015.

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