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2012 United States presidential election in Oregon

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Main article:2012 United States presidential election
2012United States presidential election in Oregon

← 2008November 6, 20122016 →
 
NomineeBarack ObamaMitt Romney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisMassachusetts
Running mateJoe BidenPaul Ryan
Electoral vote70
Popular vote970,488754,175
Percentage54.24%42.15%

County results
Congressional district results

Obama

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Oregon
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Presidential primaries
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2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2004
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← 200820122016 →

The2012 United States presidential election in Oregon took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Oregon voters chose seven electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,RepresentativePaul Ryan.

Obama carried Oregon with 54.24% of the vote to Romney's 42.15%, a Democratic victory margin of 12.09%. The Democrats have won the state in every presidential election since1988, and the Republicans would never seriously contest the state after the2004 election. Though Romney won a majority of counties, his best performances were in the most sparsely populated regions of the state. Obama's win came from strong support in the densely populated northwestern region of the state, home to Oregon's largest metropolitan areas. Obama won over 75% of the vote inMultnomah County, containingPortland, as well as its surrounding counties, enough to deliver the state to the Democrats by a strong margin. However, the Republican Party managed to improve on their 2008 loss of 16.35%[1] and flipped the counties ofJackson (home toMedford),Marion (home toSalem), andWasco back into the Republican column.

Obama was the first Democrat since 1948 to win without Wasco County. As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time whereColumbia County andTillamook County backed the Democratic candidate.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

The Democratic primary was held on May 15, 2012. Barack Obama ran unopposed for the nomination.

2012 Oregon Democratic presidential primary[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)309,35894.79%
Democraticwrite-ins16,9985.21%
Total votes326,358100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]
2012Oregon Republican presidential primary

← 2008May 15, 2012 (2012-05-15)2016 →
 
CandidateMitt RomneyRon Paul
Home stateMassachusettsTexas
Delegate count183
Popular vote204,17636,810
Percentage70.91%12.78%

 
CandidateRick SantorumNewt Gingrich
Home statePennsylvaniaGeorgia
Delegate count31
Popular vote27,04215,451
Percentage9.39%5.37%

Oregon results by county
  Mitt Romney
(Note:Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)

The Republican primary was held on May 15, 2012.[3][4] The only two candidates still in the race wereMitt Romney andU.S. Representative fromTexas,Ron Paul. In addition, formerSenator fromPennsylvaniaRick Santorum and formerSpeaker of the HouseNewt Gingrich had withdrawn prior to the election, but their names still appeared on the Oregon ballot.

In order to participate in the primary, voters were required to register to vote by April 24, 2012.[5] Aclosed primary was used to elect thepresidential, legislative, and local partisan offices. A semi-closed primary, which allowednon-affiliated voters to participate, was used to elect theAttorney General,Secretary of State andTreasurer.[6]

2012 Oregon Republican presidential primary[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMitt Romney204,17670.91%
RepublicanRon Paul36,81012.78%
RepublicanRick Santorum(withdrew)27,0429.39%
RepublicanNewt Gingrich(withdrew)15,4515.37%
Republicanwrite-ins4,4761.55%
Total votes287,955100.00%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
CNN[8]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[10]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[11]Lean DNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]Likely DNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[13]Solid DNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in Oregon[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)970,48854.24%
RepublicanMitt Romney754,17542.15%
LibertarianGary Johnson24,0891.35%
Pacific GreenJill Stein19,4271.09%
ConstitutionWill Christensen4,4320.25%
ProgressiveRocky Anderson3,3840.19%
write-ins13,2750.74%
Total votes1,789,270100.00%

By county

[edit]
CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Baker2,36928.04%5,70267.50%3774.46%-3,333-39.46%8,448
Benton27,77662.00%14,99133.46%2,0354.54%12,78528.54%44,802
Clackamas95,49350.44%88,59246.79%5,2472.77%6,9013.65%189,332
Clatsop9,86155.34%7,24940.68%7083.98%2,61214.66%17,818
Columbia12,00450.28%10,77245.12%1,0994.60%1,2325.16%23,875
Coos12,84544.78%14,67351.15%1,1684.07%-1,828-6.37%28,686
Crook3,10430.34%6,79066.37%3363.29%-3,686-36.03%10,230
Curry4,62539.60%6,59856.50%4553.90%-1,973-16.90%11,678
Deschutes36,96145.13%42,46351.85%2,4763.02%-5,502-6.72%81,900
Douglas17,14534.43%30,77661.80%1,8823.77%-13,631-27.37%49,803
Gilliam37134.97%63960.23%514.80%-268-25.26%1,061
Grant85321.81%2,92674.81%1323.38%-2,073-53.00%3,911
Harney83223.22%2,60772.76%1444.02%-1,775-49.54%3,583
Hood River6,05861.58%3,42934.85%3513.57%2,62926.73%9,838
Jackson44,46845.78%49,02050.47%3,6393.75%-4,552-4.69%97,127
Jefferson3,30140.38%4,64256.78%2322.84%-1,341-16.40%8,175
Josephine14,95337.16%23,67358.83%1,6124.01%-8,720-21.67%40,238
Klamath8,30229.49%18,89867.13%9523.38%-10,596-37.64%28,152
Lake77020.75%2,80875.69%1323.56%-2,038-54.94%3,710
Lane102,65259.73%62,50936.37%6,6893.90%40,14323.36%171,850
Lincoln13,40158.31%8,68637.79%8973.90%4,71520.52%22,984
Linn20,37839.63%28,94456.28%2,1044.09%-8,566-16.65%51,426
Malheur2,75927.71%6,85168.81%3463.48%-4,092-41.10%9,956
Marion56,37646.83%60,19050.00%3,8103.17%-3,814-3.17%120,376
Morrow1,20230.96%2,53265.22%1483.82%-1,330-34.26%3,882
Multnomah274,88775.37%75,30220.65%14,5333.98%199,58554.72%364,722
Polk16,29246.21%17,81950.54%1,1463.25%-1,527-4.33%35,257
Sherman31931.09%67866.08%292.83%-359-34.99%1,026
Tillamook6,29350.27%5,68445.40%5424.33%6094.87%12,519
Umatilla8,58434.38%15,49962.07%8863.55%-6,915-27.69%24,969
Union3,97332.92%7,63663.26%4613.82%-3,663-30.34%12,070
Wallowa1,25329.80%2,80466.68%1483.52%-1,551-36.88%4,205
Wasco5,21147.93%5,22948.09%4333.98%-18-0.16%10,873
Washington135,29157.08%93,97439.65%7,7583.27%41,31717.43%237,023
Wheeler26631.00%54563.52%475.48%-279-32.52%858
Yamhill19,26044.89%22,04551.38%1,6023.73%-2,785-6.49%42,907
Total970,48854.24%754,17542.15%64,6073.61%216,31312.09%1,789,270
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Obama won four of five congressional districts.[15]

DistrictObamaRomneyRepresentative
1st57.28%40.01%Suzanne Bonamici
2nd40.46%56.83%Greg Walden
3rd72.03%24.68%Earl Blumenauer
4th51.74%44.98%Peter DeFazio
5th50.49%47.11%Kurt Schrader

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Oregon - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times".www.nytimes.com. RetrievedNovember 9, 2020.
  2. ^ab"May 15, 2012, Primary Election Abstracts of Votes: United States President". Oregon Elections Division. RetrievedDecember 5, 2012.
  3. ^"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2012.
  4. ^"Presidential Primary Dates"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2012.
  5. ^Mickler, Lauren (March 6, 2012)."Oregon Primary Two Months Away". Eugene, OR: KEZI 9 News.[permanent dead link]
  6. ^Mapes, Jeff (February 6, 2012)."Oregon Republican Party opens three statewide primaries to non-affiliated voters".The Oregonian.
  7. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  8. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  9. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  10. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  11. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  12. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  13. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  14. ^"Official Results November 6, 2012 General Election". Oregon Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016.
  15. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

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