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2012 United States presidential election in Ohio

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Main article:2012 United States presidential election
2012 United States presidential election in Ohio

← 2008
November 6, 2012
2016 →
Turnout70.54%[1]
 
NomineeBarack ObamaMitt Romney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisMassachusetts
Running mateJoe BidenPaul Ryan
Electoral vote180
Popular vote2,827,7092,661,437
Percentage50.67%47.69%

County results
Congressional district results

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  80–90%

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Ohio
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant Governor elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
State Auditor elections
State Treasurer elections
State Supreme Court elections
State House elections
State Senate elections
2012 U.S. presidential election
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Minor parties
Related races
← 2008
2016 →

The2012 United States presidential election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Ohio voters chose 18 electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan. This election continued Ohio's bellwether streak, as the state voted for the winner of the presidency in every election from1964 to2016.

President Obama won the popular vote in Ohio with 50.67% of the vote over Mitt Romney in second place at 47.69%, a Democratic victory margin of 2.98%. A number of media outlets called Ohio for Obama, declared him re-elected for a second term.[2][3] Obama's performance was a decline from 2008 when he won the state by a 4.59% margin over U.S. SenatorJohn McCain, and he narrowly lost five counties that he won in 2008.[4] However, he narrowly improved his margins inCuyahoga County andFranklin County, home to the second largest city,Cleveland, and the state's capital and largest city,Columbus, respectively, allowing him to carry the state. Obama became the first Democrat to win the White House withoutBelmont County sinceGrover Cleveland in1892, as well as the first to win without neighboringJefferson County sinceWoodrow Wilson in1916 and the first to win withoutMonroe orTuscarawas Counties sinceJohn F. Kennedy in1960. Ohio is also one of only three states that backed Obama twice that would go on to vote against his vice president Joe Biden in2020, the other two beingFlorida andIowa.

As of the2024 United States presidential election, this is the last time the Democratic presidential nominee won Ohio, as well as the last timeAshtabula County,Erie County,Ottawa County,Portage County,Sandusky County,Stark County,Trumbull County, andWood County, have voted Democratic in a presidential election. This was also the last time the state voted for the winner of the national popular vote until2024.

Primaries

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

The Democratic primary was held on March 6, 2012, the same day as the Republican primary. Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed, and thus won all 151 of the state's delegates.

Republican primary

[edit]
2012Ohio Republican presidential primary

← 2008
March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06)
2016 →
 
CandidateMitt RomneyRick Santorum
Home stateMassachusettsPennsylvania
Delegate count3825
Popular vote456,513446,255
Percentage37.9%37.1%

 
CandidateNewt GingrichRon Paul
Home stateGeorgiaTexas
Delegate count00
Popular vote175,556111,238
Percentage14.6%9.2%

Ohio results by county
  Mitt Romney
  Rick Santorum

The 2012 Ohio Republican presidential primary took place on March 6, 2012.[5]

Ohio has 66 delegates to theRepublican National Convention. Three party officials (also known as "superdelegates") are not bound by the primary result. Forty-eight delegates are generally awarded winner-take-all by Congressional district. Another 15 delegates are awarded to the candidate who gets an outright majority statewide, or are allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 20% of the vote if no candidate wins a majority.[6]

2012 Ohio Republican presidential primary[7]
CandidateVotesPercentageEstimated national delegates
Mitt Romney460,83137.9%38
Rick Santorum448,58037.1%25
Newt Gingrich177,18314.6%0
Ron Paul113,2569.3%0
Rick Perry7,5390.6%0
Jon Huntsman, Jr.6,4900.5%0
Unprojected delegates7
Totals1,213,879100.0%66

Despite an early lead in the vote count and having won most counties, Santorum's lead was reduced and overcome by Romney asHamilton andCuyahoga County results came in.[8] Romney also won areas such asAkron,Youngstown,Dayton andColumbus. These and other highly populated counties would eventually go to Obama in November.

Key:Withdrew
prior to contest

Notes:

1. In the six congressional districts where Rick Santorum submitted only a partial slate of district delegates and district alternates by the late December 2011 deadline, he will be automatically awarded only the number of delegates he submitted, assuming he wins the particular district. The Ohio Republican Party said on March 2, 2012, that the remaining delegates in such districts will be "considered unbound" until a panel composed of three members of the Ohio GOP's central committee decides which campaign (if any) is permitted to appoint such delegates.[9]

2. In three congressional districts (OH-6,OH-9 andOH-13), Rick Santorum did not make the district-specific portion of the ballot.

3. In every district, each of the 6 candidates listed above appears on the "at-large" portion of the ballot. The results of the at-large ballot will determine the allocation of fifteen national convention delegates.

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Ohio was considered a key battleground state throughout the general election campaign, and both Barack Obama and Mitt Romney campaigned extensively in the state.[10] Romney visited the state 51 times, while Obama visited 22 times.[11] Ohio had the most political ads run during the election, with 41,162 ads run by the Romney campaign and 100,674 by the Obama campaign.[11]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[12]Lean DNovember 6, 2012
CNN[13]TossupNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[14]TossupNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[15]TossupNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[16]TossupNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Lean DNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[18]Solid DNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in Ohio[19]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack Obama(incumbent)Joe Biden(incumbent)2,827,70950.58%18
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan2,661,43747.60%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray49,4930.89%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala18,5730.33%0
IndependentRichard DuncanRicky Johnson12,5020.22%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer8,1520.15%0
SocialistStewart AlexanderAlex Mendoza2,9670.05%0
Others230.00%0
Totals5,590,934100.00%18
Voter turnout (registered voters)70.54%

By county

[edit]
County[20]Barack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Gary Johnson[21]
Libertarian
Jill Stein[21]
Green
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Adams3,97635.76%6,86561.75%980.87%550.49%1241.11%-2,889-25.99%11,118
Allen17,91437.06%29,50261.03%4640.96%1640.34%2970.61%-11,588-23.97%48,341
Ashland8,28134.02%15,51963.76%2210.91%1150.47%2040.84%-7,238-29.74%24,340
Ashtabula23,80355.10%18,29842.36%4331.00%2240.52%4421.03%5,50512.74%43,200
Athens18,30766.02%8,54330.81%4341.57%1880.68%2560.92%9,76435.21%27,728
Auglaize5,83124.87%17,16973.22%2090.89%830.35%1570.67%-11,338-48.35%23,449
Belmont14,15644.67%16,75852.88%2320.73%1780.56%3641.15%-2,602-8.21%31,688
Brown7,10736.65%11,91661.45%1910.98%680.35%1100.57%-4,809-24.80%19,392
Butler62,38836.58%105,17661.68%1,6540.97%4130.24%8990.52%-42,788-25.10%170,530
Carroll5,54341.73%7,31555.07%1731.30%710.53%1821.37%-1,772-13.34%13,284
Champaign7,04438.14%11,04559.81%1590.86%660.36%1540.83%-4,001-21.67%18,468
Clark31,29748.67%31,82049.49%5090.79%2140.33%4610.72%-523-0.82%64,301
Clermont30,45831.55%64,20866.52%1,0691.11%2480.26%5420.56%-33,750-34.97%96,525
Clinton5,79131.85%12,00966.05%1951.07%560.31%1320.73%-6,218-34.20%18,183
Columbiana19,82142.90%25,25154.66%4340.94%2160.47%4771.03%-5,430-11.76%46,199
Coshocton6,94043.97%8,39053.16%1570.99%960.61%2011.28%-1,450-9.19%15,784
Crawford7,50737.82%11,85259.72%1860.94%1080.54%1940.98%-4,345-21.90%19,847
Cuyahoga447,27369.32%190,66029.55%3,4480.53%1,5640.24%2,3170.36%256,61339.77%645,262
Darke6,82626.84%18,10871.21%2120.83%860.34%1980.78%-11,282-44.37%25,430
Defiance7,73242.16%10,17655.49%1871.02%640.35%1800.99%-2,444-13.33%18,339
Delaware37,29237.71%60,19460.86%8510.86%2050.21%3570.36%-22,902-23.15%98,899
Erie21,79355.17%16,95242.92%3000.76%1580.40%2970.75%4,84112.25%39,500
Fairfield29,89041.39%41,03456.82%6240.86%2100.29%4620.64%-11,144-15.43%72,220
Fayette4,24938.49%6,62059.97%870.79%180.16%640.58%-2,371-21.48%11,038
Franklin346,37360.53%215,99737.75%5,5350.97%1,6590.29%2,6240.46%130,37622.78%572,188
Fulton9,07342.58%11,73855.08%2481.16%820.38%1690.80%-2,665-12.50%21,310
Gallia4,55736.10%7,75061.40%790.63%690.55%1671.32%-3,193-25.30%12,622
Geauga19,65938.46%30,58959.85%3860.76%1820.36%2970.58%-10,930-21.39%51,113
Greene32,25638.57%49,81959.57%9331.12%2450.29%3730.45%-17,563-21.00%83,626
Guernsey7,45044.22%8,99353.37%1741.03%700.42%1620.96%-1,543-9.15%16,849
Hamilton219,92752.50%193,32646.15%3,7560.90%1,0120.24%8730.21%26,6016.35%418,894
Hancock12,56435.11%22,44362.72%3520.98%1300.36%2940.82%-9,879-27.61%35,783
Hardin4,61937.04%7,48960.06%1721.38%680.55%1220.98%-2,870-23.02%12,470
Harrison2,95041.24%4,01956.19%620.87%470.66%751.05%-1,069-14.95%7,153
Henry5,65839.69%8,25757.92%1691.19%550.39%1180.83%-2,599-18.23%14,257
Highland6,05433.86%11,41363.83%1760.98%670.37%1690.95%-5,359-29.97%17,879
Hocking6,15748.22%6,28549.22%1331.04%570.45%1361.06%-128-1.00%12,768
Holmes2,60822.55%8,70275.23%930.80%430.37%1211.05%-6,094-52.68%11,567
Huron11,00644.54%13,06052.85%2601.05%1150.47%2701.10%-2,054-8.31%24,711
Jackson5,16638.54%7,90458.97%940.70%1010.75%1391.04%-2,738-20.43%13,404
Jefferson15,38546.37%17,03451.34%2480.75%1570.47%3531.06%-1,649-4.97%33,177
Knox10,47036.78%17,26660.66%3061.08%1140.40%3071.07%-6,796-23.88%28,463
Lake57,68048.61%58,74449.50%1,0730.90%4360.37%7320.62%-1,064-0.89%118,665
Lawrence10,74441.43%14,65156.50%1710.66%930.36%2731.05%-3,907-15.07%25,932
Licking34,20141.94%45,50355.80%8171.00%3110.38%7180.88%-11,302-13.86%81,550
Logan7,06233.31%13,63364.31%2141.01%800.38%2100.99%-6,571-31.00%21,199
Lorain81,46456.87%59,40541.47%1,2750.89%5540.39%5550.39%22,05915.40%143,253
Lucas136,61664.86%69,94033.21%2,3181.10%6520.31%1,0950.52%66,67631.65%210,621
Madison6,84538.99%10,34258.91%1670.95%670.38%1360.77%-3,497-19.92%17,557
Mahoning77,05963.38%42,64135.07%7440.61%3700.30%7700.63%34,41828.31%121,584
Marion12,50445.61%14,26552.03%2851.04%1320.48%2320.85%-1,761-6.42%27,418
Medina38,78542.65%50,41855.45%8380.92%3260.36%5640.62%-11,633-12.80%90,931
Meigs4,02739.41%5,89557.69%1111.09%700.69%1151.13%-1,868-18.28%10,218
Mercer4,74521.89%16,56176.40%1420.66%830.38%1450.67%-11,816-54.51%21,676
Miami16,38331.50%34,60666.53%5541.07%1440.28%3270.63%-18,223-35.03%52,014
Monroe3,03544.75%3,54852.31%480.71%470.69%1041.54%-513-7.56%6,782
Montgomery137,13951.42%124,84146.81%2,5480.96%7750.29%1,4040.53%12,2984.61%266,707
Morgan2,81445.86%3,17951.81%420.68%270.44%741.21%-365-5.95%6,136
Morrow5,93336.59%9,86560.83%1741.07%790.49%1661.02%-3,932-24.24%16,217
Muskingum17,00245.73%19,26451.81%3520.95%1850.50%3761.00%-2,262-6.08%37,179
Noble2,13136.17%3,56360.48%621.05%440.75%911.54%-1,432-24.31%5,891
Ottawa11,50351.11%10,53846.83%2200.98%970.43%1470.65%9654.28%22,505
Paulding3,53838.67%5,35458.51%1011.10%480.52%1091.19%-1,816-19.84%9,150
Perry7,03346.82%7,62750.78%1200.80%760.51%1641.10%-594-3.96%15,020
Pickaway9,68440.09%14,03758.11%2060.85%740.31%1530.63%-4,353-18.02%24,154
Pike5,68449.02%5,68549.03%770.66%440.38%1060.91%-1-0.01%11,596
Portage39,45351.65%35,24246.14%8441.10%3160.41%5290.70%4,2115.51%76,384
Preble6,21130.71%13,53566.92%2301.14%820.41%1670.83%-7,324-36.21%20,225
Putnam4,31823.47%13,72174.57%1600.87%710.39%1300.71%-9,403-51.10%18,400
Richland22,68739.25%33,86758.59%5030.87%2450.42%5040.87%-11,180-19.34%57,806
Ross14,56948.31%15,00849.76%2230.74%1050.35%2550.85%-439-1.45%30,160
Sandusky14,54149.98%13,75547.28%3241.11%1620.56%3131.07%7862.70%29,095
Scioto15,07748.23%15,49249.56%2110.67%1540.49%3281.04%-415-1.33%31,262
Seneca11,35344.80%13,24352.26%3161.25%1360.54%2951.17%-1,890-7.46%25,343
Shelby6,34326.54%17,14271.71%1780.74%750.31%1650.69%-10,799-45.17%23,903
Stark89,43249.21%88,58148.74%1,5880.87%7320.40%1,4130.78%8510.47%181,746
Summit153,04157.03%111,00141.36%2,0590.77%7640.28%1,4930.56%42,04015.67%268,358
Trumbull61,67260.48%38,27937.54%7390.72%4320.42%8410.83%23,39322.94%101,963
Tuscarawas18,40744.15%22,24253.35%4351.04%1750.42%4341.03%-3,835-9.20%41,693
Union8,80534.36%16,28963.57%2801.09%830.32%1660.65%-7,484-29.21%25,623
Van Wert4,02928.99%9,58568.97%950.68%650.47%1240.89%-5,556-39.98%13,898
Vinton2,43644.37%2,85652.02%621.13%410.75%951.72%-420-7.65%5,490
Warren32,90929.60%76,56468.85%1,0110.91%2200.20%4930.44%-43,655-39.25%111,197
Washington11,65139.36%17,28458.39%2350.79%1340.45%2981.01%-5,633-19.03%29,602
Wayne19,80838.71%30,25159.12%4510.88%1840.36%4710.93%-10,443-20.41%51,165
Williams7,26641.04%10,04756.74%1480.84%950.54%1500.84%-2,781-15.70%17,706
Wood32,80251.21%29,70446.37%9401.47%2790.44%3340.52%3,0984.84%64,059
Wyandot4,13739.02%6,18058.29%990.93%680.64%1181.11%-2,043-19.27%10,602
Totals2,827,70950.58%2,661,43747.60%49,4930.89%18,5730.33%33,7220.60%166,2722.98%5,590,934
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Despite losing the state, Romney won 12 of 16 congressional districts.[22]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st52.4%46.26%Steve Chabot
2nd54.75%43.66%Brad Wenstrup
3rd28.9%69.65%Joyce Beatty
4th55.98%42%Jim Jordan
5th53.88%44.1%Bob Latta
6th55.2%42.67%Bill Johnson
7th53.71%44.23%Bob Gibbs
8th61.9%36.45%John Boehner
9th30.87%67.55%Marcy Kaptur
10th50.14%48.23%Mike Turner
11th16.55%82.74%Marcia Fudge
12th54.37%43.9%Pat Tiberi
13th35.42%62.95%Tim Ryan
14th50.89%47.58%David Joyce
15th51.86%46.34%Steve Stivers
16th53.35%45.19%Jim Renacci

Analysis

[edit]

Obama's victory in Ohio was enough to push him over the 270 electoral vote line allowing him to win the election. At first the Romney campaign contested the call, but conceded at about 1:00 A.M. President Obama's victory in the state can be attributed to several factors; he only won 17 out of Ohio's 88 counties. However, those 17 counties combined account for 56.56% of its total population.[23] Romney did do well in most rural areas of the state, particularly in western Ohio. Romney also won all but one county in theAppalachia region, becoming the first Republican sinceRichard Nixon’s 2,900-plus-county landslide in1972 to carryBelmont,Jefferson andMonroe Counties, and losing onlyAthens County, home ofOhio University. He also managed to flip the swing counties ofLake andTuscarawas. Romney also did well in the northern Columbus suburbs. For Romney, most of his wins came from smaller populated counties. Obama won by comfortable margins inFranklin,Hamilton, andLucas counties, home to the cities ofColumbus,Cincinnati, andToledo, respectively. Obama's greatest support came from northeast Ohio, centered inCuyahoga andSummit counties, home to the cities ofCleveland andAkron, respectively, the second and fourth largest cities in the state. The surrounding Cleveland–Akron–Canton metropolitan area and the Lake Erie shore went mostly to Obama, allowing him to carry the state as a whole by a modest 2.98% margin.

In February 2013, nineteen cases ofvoter fraud were investigated inHamilton County.[24] Three individuals were charged with voter fraud the following month, with one individual alleged to have voted six times.[25] These incidents would not have affected the outcome of the Ohio race as President Obama ultimately carried the state by 166,272 votes. Some experts believe that the popularity of theauto industry bailout put in place under President Obama helped him take the state.[10][26]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"2012 ELECTIONS RESULTS". Ohio Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2020. RetrievedJune 25, 2020.
  2. ^"Ohio Decides 2012 – Candidates for President". Ohio Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on December 24, 2012.
  3. ^"Obama wins re-election; Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin prove pivotal".NBC News. November 7, 2012. RetrievedDecember 9, 2024.
  4. ^"Ohio - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times".www.nytimes.com. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.
  5. ^"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2012.
  6. ^Silver, Nate (March 4, 2012)."State-by-State Analysis: Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedMarch 5, 2012.
  7. ^"Election 2012: Ohio Republican Primary".The New York Times. March 8, 2012.Archived from the original on September 8, 2024. A spreadsheet of the results can be downloaded directly from theOhio Secretary of Statewebsite.
  8. ^Exclusive Super Tuesday Numbers from Hamilton County, CNN, March 6, 2012, retrievedApril 26, 2016
  9. ^Falcone, Michael (March 2, 2012)."Rick Santorum's Ohio Delegate Problems Pile Up".ABC News.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012. RetrievedMarch 26, 2012.
  10. ^abZeleny, Jeff; Sussman, Dalia (October 31, 2012)."Ohio Working Class May Offer Key to Obama's Re-election".The New York Times.
  11. ^ab"Election 2012: The Campaigns by the Numbers".ABC News. November 5, 2012.
  12. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  13. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  14. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  15. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  16. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  17. ^Skelley, Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and Geoffrey (November 5, 2012)."PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  18. ^Griffin, Leeanne (November 7, 2012)."Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".masslive.
  19. ^"2012 Elections Results - Ohio Secretary of State".www.ohiosos.gov. Archived fromthe original on September 8, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.
  20. ^"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". RetrievedFebruary 20, 2021.
  21. ^ab"OH US President November 06, 2012".Our Campaigns.
  22. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.
  23. ^"County Population Totals: 2010-2019".The United States Census Bureau. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.
  24. ^Emily Maxwell (February 6, 2013)."Poll worker accused of voter fraud in Hamilton County speaks out".WCPO. Archived fromthe original on February 8, 2013. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2013.
    "Possible Ohio voter fraud investigation heats up".San Francisco Chronicle. Associated Press. February 6, 2013. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2013.
  25. ^Eric Shawn (March 11, 2013)."Cincinnati poll worker charged with voting half dozen times in November".Fox News. RetrievedMarch 12, 2013.
    "Nun, Poll Worker, Widower Charged With Voter Fraud".WKRC. Sinclair Broadcast Group. March 11, 2013. Archived fromthe original on October 21, 2013. RetrievedMarch 12, 2013.
  26. ^"How Obama Took The Battleground States". NPR.

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  • Nominee: Stephen Durham
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