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2012 United States presidential election in Montana

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Main article:2012 United States presidential election
2012 United States presidential election in Montana

← 2008
November 6, 2012
2016 →
 
NomineeMitt RomneyBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateMassachusettsIllinois
Running matePaul RyanJoe Biden
Electoral vote30
Popular vote267,928201,839
Percentage55.30%41.66%

County results

Romney

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Montana
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
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2016
2020
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The2012 United States presidential election in Montana took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Montana voters chose three electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan.

Romney carried Montana with 55.30% of the vote to Obama's 41.66%, with a 13.64% margin of victory. Montana was the second-best state performance forLibertarian candidateGary Johnson, carrying about 3% of the vote. Montana in 2012 and2016 had a larger than ever margin for theLibertarian Party.

Romney performed much better thanJohn McCain had in2008, when he narrowly won over Obama with only a 2.38% margin of victory. Romney also won over five counties that voted for Obama in 2008. Most of the counties Obama won were either majorityNative American (such asBig Horn,Blaine,Glacier, andRoosevelt) or have some of Montana's most populous cities and towns, such asMissoula County (containing itsnamesake city, the second largest in the state and home of theUniversity of Montana) andSilver Bow County (home toButte andMontana Tech).As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time that a Republican has wonGallatin County or that a Democrat has wonHill County orRoosevelt County.

Obama remains the only Democrat since statehood to win two terms in the White House without carrying Montana either time.[1]

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
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This section is empty. You can help byadding to it.(June 2022)

Republican primary

[edit]
2012Montana Republican presidential caucuses

← 2008
June 16, 2012 (2012-06-16)
2016 →
 
CandidateMitt RomneyRon PaulRick Santorum
Home stateMassachusettsTexasPennsylvania

Montana results by county
  Mitt Romney
(Note:Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)
Members of the Montana delegation at the2012 Republican National Convention

The Republican caucuses took place on June 14 to 16, 2012 as the Montana state convention. Ten days before, the state delegates were selected by the central committee in each county[2][3][4] 23 delegates were to have been chosen, for a total of 26 delegates to go to the national convention. Prior to selecting delegates, a non-binding primary election was held June 5, 2012. Results were announced before theRepublican National Convention in August.

2012 Montana Republican presidential primary[5]
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Mitt Romney96,12168.4%
Ron Paul20,22714.4%
Rick Santorum12,5468.9%
Newt Gingrich6,1074.3%
No Preference5,4563.9%
Unpledged delegates:25
Total:140,45726
Key:Withdrew prior to contest

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[6]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
CNN[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[8]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[9]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[10]Solid RNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]Solid RNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[12]Solid RNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in Montana[13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMitt Romney267,92855.30
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)201,83941.66
LibertarianGary Johnson14,1652.93
OthersOthers1160.02
Total votes484,048100.0

By county

[edit]
CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Beaverhead3,28968.35%1,37128.49%1523.16%1,91839.86%4,812
Big Horn1,66736.04%2,88262.30%771.66%-1,215-26.26%4,626
Blaine1,17841.20%1,61656.52%652.28%-438-15.32%2,859
Broadwater2,15271.47%76425.37%953.16%1,38846.10%3,011
Carbon3,53360.42%2,14636.70%1682.88%1,38723.72%5,847
Carter67885.18%9612.06%222.76%58273.12%796
Cascade18,34553.06%15,23244.05%9992.89%3,1139.01%34,576
Chouteau1,75862.32%97834.67%853.01%78027.65%2,821
Custer3,37362.87%1,83334.17%1592.96%1,54028.70%5,365
Daniels74073.49%23723.54%302.97%50349.95%1,007
Dawson3,02968.48%1,21927.56%1753.96%1,81040.92%4,423
Deer Lodge1,44832.47%2,86064.13%1523.40%-1,412-31.66%4,460
Fallon1,12880.23%23716.86%412.91%89163.37%1,406
Fergus4,25770.12%1,64027.01%1742.87%2,61743.11%6,071
Flathead28,30964.47%13,89231.64%1,7083.89%14,41732.83%43,909
Gallatin24,35850.84%21,96145.84%1,5893.32%2,3975.00%47,908
Garfield62288.73%669.42%131.85%55679.31%701
Glacier1,41531.76%2,92465.63%1162.61%-1,509-33.87%4,455
Golden Valley35173.28%11022.96%183.76%24150.32%479
Granite1,10764.93%53331.26%653.81%57433.67%1,705
Hill3,16446.36%3,40349.86%2583.78%-239-3.50%6,825
Jefferson4,05562.18%2,27234.84%1942.98%1,78327.34%6,521
Judith Basin85470.29%33727.74%241.97%51742.55%1,215
Lake7,13553.63%5,80543.63%3642.74%1,33010.00%13,304
Lewis and Clark16,80350.43%15,62046.88%8952.69%1,1833.55%33,318
Liberty70270.34%25725.75%393.91%44544.59%998
Lincoln6,05768.13%2,55228.71%2813.16%3,50539.42%8,890
Madison3,13069.06%1,28928.44%1132.50%1,84140.62%4,532
McCone74575.03%22322.46%252.51%52252.57%993
Meagher67068.93%26927.67%333.40%40141.26%972
Mineral1,21660.17%70034.64%1055.19%51625.53%2,021
Missoula22,65239.58%32,82457.35%1,7563.07%-10,172-17.77%57,232
Musselshell1,83376.15%49220.44%823.41%1,34155.71%2,407
Park4,70953.71%3,78343.15%2763.14%92610.56%8,768
Petroleum24080.54%4916.44%93.02%19164.10%298
Phillips1,68875.76%47121.14%693.10%1,21754.62%2,228
Pondera1,67361.53%97535.86%712.61%69825.67%2,719
Powder River83381.11%17016.55%242.34%66364.56%1,027
Powell1,80665.03%88831.98%832.99%91833.05%2,777
Prairie52073.97%16723.76%162.27%35350.21%703
Ravalli14,30764.41%7,28532.80%6202.79%7,02231.61%22,212
Richland3,51075.52%1,00221.56%1362.92%2,50853.96%4,648
Roosevelt1,51441.23%2,08656.81%721.96%-572-15.58%3,672
Rosebud2,00456.88%1,42240.36%1522.76%58216.52%3,523
Sanders3,98067.45%1,72029.15%2013.40%2,26038.30%5,901
Sheridan1,20762.60%66534.49%562.91%54228.11%1,928
Silver Bow5,43032.41%10,85764.79%4692.80%-5,427-32.38%16,756
Stillwater3,33770.97%1,24826.54%1172.49%2,08944.43%4,702
Sweet Grass1,59475.30%47522.44%482.26%1,11952.86%2,117
Teton2,11364.40%1,08232.98%862.62%1,03131.42%3,281
Toole1,44068.51%58227.69%803.80%85840.82%2,102
Treasure31970.11%11425.05%224.84%20545.06%455
Valley2,33760.56%1,38535.89%1373.55%95224.67%3,859
Wheatland69369.86%27227.42%272.72%42142.44%992
Wibaux42177.39%9818.01%254.60%32359.38%544
Yellowstone40,50058.86%26,40338.37%1,9042.77%14,09720.49%68,807
Totals267,92855.30%201,83941.66%14,7173.04%66,08913.64%484,484
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated, the At-Large District. This district covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
At-large55.35%41.7%Steve Daines

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Leip, Dave."Montana Election Results".US Election Atlas. RetrievedOctober 2, 2022.
  2. ^"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2012.
  3. ^"Presidential Primary Dates"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2012.
  4. ^"Montana Republican Delegation 2012".
  5. ^unofficial election resultsArchived 2014-10-21 at theWayback Machine. Secretary of State. June 22, 2012. Retrieved July 2, 2012.
  6. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  7. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  8. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  9. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  10. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  11. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  12. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  13. ^Election results

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