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2012 United States presidential election in Minnesota

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2012 United States presidential election
2012 United States presidential election in Minnesota

← 2008
November 6, 2012
2016 →
Turnout76.42%[1]Decrease
 
NomineeBarack ObamaMitt Romney
PartyDemocratic (DFL)Republican
Home stateIllinoisMassachusetts
Running mateJoe BidenPaul Ryan
Electoral vote100
Popular vote1,546,1671,320,225
Percentage52.65%44.96%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic (DFL)

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic (DFL)

Elections in Minnesota
Presidential elections
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← 2008
2016 →

The2012 United States presidential election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated. State voters chose ten electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDFLPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan.

Minnesota backed Obama for re-election, giving him 52.65% of the vote, while Republican challenger Mitt Romney took 44.96%, a victory margin of 7.69%. With ten Democratic wins in a row, Minnesota has the longest current streak of voting for the Democratic candidate in presidential elections of any state, having not voted Republican sinceRichard Nixon in1972. This is the longest streak for the Democrats in history amongst non-Southern states.[2]

However, Romney was able to significantly improve on McCain's performance in Minnesota, as he did nationally. Fourteen counties that voted for Obama in2008 flipped and voted for the Republican Party in 2012, while many Democratic counties had a margin of victory much narrower than in 2008.Big Stone County voted Republican for the first time since 1980, and Pine County since 1972. Obama thus became the first Democrat to win theWhite House without carrying Big Stone County sinceGrover Cleveland in1892.[3] Obama also became the first ever Democrat to win the White House without carryingRed Lake County, as well as the first to do so without carryingLincoln,Marshall,Pennington, orPolk Counties sinceWoodrow Wilson in1912, the first to do so without carryingGrant orPine Counties sinceWoodrow Wilson in1916.

As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time the Democratic candidate won the following counties:Beltrami,Chippewa,Fillmore,Freeborn,Houston,Itasca,Kittson,Koochiching,Lac qui Parle,Mahnomen,Mower,Norman,Rice,Swift, andTraverse, or won a majority of congressional districts in the state.

Caucuses

[edit]

Democratic caucuses

[edit]
Main article:2012 Democratic Party presidential primaries
2012Minnesota Democratic presidential caucus

← 2008
February 7, 2012 (2012-02-07)
2016 →
 
CandidateBarack Obama
Home stateIllinois
Delegate count91
Popular vote16,733
Percentage96.3%

County results
  Barack Obama
  No votes
2012 Minnesota Democratic caucus[4]
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Barack Obama(incumbent)16,73396.30%91
Uncommitted6433.70%0

Republican caucuses

[edit]
Main article:2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
2012Minnesota Republican presidential caucus

← 2008
February 7, 2012 (2012-02-07)
2016 →
← MO
ME →
 
CandidateRick SantorumRon Paul
Home statePennsylvaniaTexas
Popular vote21,98813,282
Percentage44.95%27.15%

 
CandidateMitt RomneyNewt Gingrich
Home stateMassachusettsGeorgia
Popular vote8,2405,263
Percentage16.85%10.76%

County results
Santorum:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Paul:     30–40%     50–60%Tie:     30–40%

The Republican caucuses were held on February 7, 2012.[5] The events coincided with theColorado Republican caucuses as well as theMissouri Republican primary.Minnesota has a total of 40 delegates, 37 of which are tied to the caucuses while 3 are unpledged RNC delegates. The non-binding straw poll was won byRick Santorum, butRon Paul won 32 of the 40 delegates to theRepublican National Convention.

Election Reporting[6][7][8][9][10]
CandidateVotesDelegates
TotalPercentageTotalPercentage
Rick Santorum21,98844.95%25%
Ron Paul13,28227.15%3280%
Mitt Romney8,24016.85%12.5%
Newt Gingrich5,26310.76%00%
Write-in1430.29%00%
Unpledged delegates:512.5%
Total:48,916100.0%40100.0%

Conventions

[edit]

There is no formal system of allocating delegates to candidates in any step of the election process. At each meeting the participants decides what the best course of action is. The state convention can vote to bind the 13 at-large delegates to a candidate. The 24 delegates elected at the CD conventions and the 3 automatic (RNC) delegates are not legally bound to vote for a candidate.

  • 17 February - 31 March: BPOU conventions elect delegates to the state convention and the congressional district conventions.
  • 14–21 April: Eight congressional conventions elect 3 National Convention delegates each.
  • 18–19 May: State convention elect 13 National Convention delegates.[11]
Convention Results[7][9][10]
Candidate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8thStateParty
leaders
Total
Ron Paul2333331212032
Rick Santorum00000020002
Mitt Romney00000000101
Unknown1135
Total2413340

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[12]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
CNN[13]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[14]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[15]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[16]Lean DNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Likely DNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[18]Solid DNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in Minnesota[19]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic (DFL)Barack Obama(incumbent)Joe Biden(incumbent)1,546,16752.65%10
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan1,320,22544.96%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray35,0981.20%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala13,0230.44%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer3,7220.13%0
GrassrootsJim CarlsonGeorge McMahon3,1490.11%0
JusticeRocky AndersonLuis J. Rodriguez1,9960.07%0
Constitutional GovernmentDean MorstadJosh Franke-Hyland1,0920.04%0
Socialist WorkersJames HarrisMaura DeLuca1,0510.04%0
Socialism and LiberationPeta LindsayYari Osorio3970.01%0
Write-Ins10,6410.36%0
Totals2,936,561100.00%10
Voter turnout (eligible voters)75.74%

By county

[edit]
CountyBarack Obama
DFL
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Aitkin4,41248.26%4,53349.58%1972.16%-121-1.32%9,142
Anoka88,61447.52%93,43050.11%4,4212.37%-4,816-2.59%186,465
Becker6,82941.69%9,20456.18%3492.13%-2,375-14.49%16,382
Beltrami11,81853.59%9,63743.70%5962.71%2,1819.89%22,051
Benton8,17341.66%10,84955.30%5973.04%-2,676-13.64%19,619
Big Stone1,34548.23%1,38549.66%592.11%-40-1.43%2,789
Blue Earth18,16453.00%14,91643.52%1,1943.48%3,2489.48%34,274
Brown5,63040.42%7,93856.99%3612.59%-2,308-16.57%13,929
Carlton11,38961.78%6,58635.72%4612.50%4,80326.06%18,436
Carver20,74539.22%31,15558.90%9991.88%-10,410-19.68%52,899
Cass6,85842.49%8,95755.49%3262.02%-2,099-13.00%16,141
Chippewa3,08349.72%2,96747.85%1512.43%1161.87%6,201
Chisago12,52442.54%16,22755.12%6902.34%-3,703-12.58%29,441
Clay15,20852.65%12,92044.73%7582.62%2,2887.92%28,886
Clearwater1,75341.77%2,35956.21%852.02%-606-14.44%4,197
Cook1,99359.99%1,22136.75%1083.26%77223.24%3,322
Cottonwood2,43341.50%3,31656.57%1131.93%-883-15.07%5,862
Crow Wing14,76042.27%19,41555.60%7452.13%-4,655-13.33%34,920
Dakota116,25550.37%109,51647.45%5,0502.18%6,7392.92%230,821
Dodge4,48743.45%5,52253.47%3183.08%-1,035-10.02%10,327
Douglas8,65341.30%11,88456.72%4161.98%-3,231-15.42%20,953
Faribault3,40744.17%4,10453.21%2022.62%-697-9.04%7,713
Fillmore5,71352.45%4,91345.11%2662.44%8007.34%10,892
Freeborn9,32655.82%6,96941.72%4112.46%2,35714.10%16,706
Goodhue12,21247.33%12,98650.33%6032.34%-774-3.00%25,801
Grant1,64747.23%1,74850.13%922.64%-101-2.90%3,487
Hennepin423,98262.34%240,07335.30%16,0102.36%183,90927.04%680,065
Houston5,28150.56%4,95147.40%2142.04%3303.16%10,446
Hubbard4,67640.59%6,62257.48%2221.93%-1,946-16.89%11,520
Isanti8,02439.69%11,67557.75%5182.56%-3,651-18.06%20,217
Itasca12,85253.73%10,50143.90%5662.37%2,3519.83%23,919
Jackson2,26841.77%3,04456.06%1182.17%-776-14.29%5,430
Kanabec3,59344.09%4,32853.10%2292.81%-735-9.01%8,150
Kandiyohi9,80545.68%11,24052.36%4201.96%-1,435-6.68%21,465
Kittson1,24151.28%1,09545.25%843.47%1466.03%2,420
Koochiching3,45153.44%2,84143.99%1662.57%6109.45%6,458
Lac qui Parle1,97449.55%1,93848.64%721.81%360.91%3,984
Lake4,04359.28%2,61038.27%1672.45%1,43321.01%6,820
Lake of the Woods85938.45%1,30658.46%693.09%-447-20.01%2,234
Le Sueur6,75345.64%7,71552.15%3272.21%-962-6.51%14,795
Lincoln1,42945.80%1,59551.12%963.08%-166-5.32%3,120
Lyon5,46544.12%6,59453.23%3292.65%-1,129-9.11%12,388
Mahnomen1,27658.48%87139.92%351.60%40518.56%2,182
Marshall1,99842.53%2,56954.68%1312.79%-571-12.15%4,698
Martin4,05436.96%6,65760.69%2572.35%-2,603-23.73%10,968
McLeod6,96837.56%11,06959.66%5162.78%-4,101-22.10%18,553
Meeker4,96940.68%6,91356.60%3322.72%-1,944-15.92%12,214
Mille Lacs5,82944.53%6,95153.10%3112.37%-1,122-8.57%13,091
Morrison6,15336.81%10,15960.78%4022.41%-4,006-23.97%16,714
Mower11,12960.03%6,93837.42%4722.55%4,19122.61%18,539
Murray2,16045.31%2,50452.53%1032.16%-344-7.22%4,767
Nicollet9,65252.58%8,21444.75%4912.67%1,4387.83%18,357
Nobles3,79344.52%4,58153.77%1461.71%-788-9.25%8,520
Norman1,73053.94%1,38443.16%932.90%34610.78%3,207
Olmsted39,33850.23%36,83247.03%2,1462.74%2,5063.20%78,316
Otter Tail12,16538.41%18,86059.55%6452.04%-6,695-21.14%31,670
Pennington3,02446.40%3,30550.71%1882.89%-281-4.31%6,517
Pine6,75048.34%6,84549.02%3702.64%-95-0.68%13,965
Pipestone1,72537.13%2,82660.83%952.04%-1,101-23.70%4,646
Polk6,77346.10%7,61551.83%3052.07%-842-5.73%14,693
Pope2,98147.73%3,14250.30%1231.97%-161-2.57%6,246
Ramsey184,93866.33%86,80031.13%7,0842.54%98,13835.20%278,822
Red Lake92846.99%97849.52%693.49%-50-2.53%1,975
Redwood3,00838.61%4,57058.66%2122.73%-1,562-20.05%7,790
Renville3,39444.02%4,14953.81%1672.17%-755-9.79%7,710
Rice17,05452.85%14,38444.58%8292.57%2,6708.27%32,267
Rock1,94640.16%2,81057.99%901.85%-864-17.83%4,846
Roseau2,77237.70%4,40959.97%1712.33%-1,637-22.27%7,352
St. Louis73,37863.48%39,13133.85%3,0852.67%34,24729.63%115,594
Scott29,71241.47%40,32356.28%1,6122.25%-10,611-14.81%71,647
Sherburne17,59737.84%27,84859.88%1,0642.28%-10,251-22.04%46,509
Sibley2,91637.31%4,69360.05%2062.64%-1,777-22.74%7,815
Stearns33,55142.75%43,01554.81%1,9112.44%-9,464-12.06%78,477
Steele8,70645.52%9,90351.78%5152.70%-1,197-6.26%19,124
Stevens2,74248.51%2,76648.94%1442.55%-24-0.43%5,652
Swift2,75153.74%2,24843.91%1202.35%5039.83%5,119
Todd4,81940.83%6,71956.93%2652.24%-1,900-16.10%11,803
Traverse94351.06%86146.62%432.32%824.44%1,847
Wabasha5,41546.03%6,04951.42%2992.55%-634-5.39%11,763
Wadena2,49236.70%4,14361.01%1562.29%-1,651-24.31%6,791
Waseca4,37044.83%5,11652.49%2612.68%-746-7.66%9,747
Washington70,20349.39%69,13748.64%2,7931.97%1,0660.75%142,133
Watonwan2,49448.48%2,51748.93%1332.59%-23-0.45%5,144
Wilkin1,25839.04%1,88458.47%802.49%-626-19.43%3,222
Winona14,98055.01%11,48042.16%7722.83%3,50012.85%27,232
Wright25,74137.96%40,46659.67%1,6092.37%-14,725-21.71%67,816
Yellow Medicine2,46545.53%2,80651.83%1432.64%-341-6.30%5,414
Totals1,546,16752.65%1,320,22544.96%70,1692.39%225,9427.69%2,936,561
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Obama won six of eight congressional districts, including two held by Republicans. Romney won two, including one held by a Democrat.[20]

DistrictObamaRomneyRepresentative
1st49%48%Tim Walz
2nd48.9%48.8%John Kline
3rd49.5%48.7%Erik Paulsen
4th62%35%Betty McCollum
5th73%24%Keith Ellison
6th41%56%Michele Bachmann
7th44%54%Collin Peterson
8th51%46%Rick Nolan

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Office of the State Of Minnesota Secretary of State".www.sos.state.mn.us. RetrievedJuly 22, 2017.
  2. ^"Will Vermont's 27-Cycle GOP Presidential Streak Ever Be Broken?".Smart Politics. April 30, 2012. RetrievedJune 22, 2021.
  3. ^"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".uselectionatlas.org. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2020.
  4. ^"Presidential Preference by County". Minnesota Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 9, 2016. RetrievedOctober 7, 2016.
  5. ^Scheck, Tom (September 30, 2011)."MNGOP keeping Feb. 7 Caucus date".Capitol View. Minnesota Public Radio.
  6. ^"Election Reporting System: Statewide Results for Republican Party". Minnesota Secretary of State. RetrievedMarch 1, 2012.
  7. ^ab"Paul supporters chosen as delegates in three congressional districts".Pierce County Herald. April 15, 2012. Archived fromthe original on April 19, 2012. RetrievedApril 17, 2012.
  8. ^Anderson, Pat (April 21, 2012)."Ron Paul gets 20/24 Congressional District delegates. CD4 3, CD2 3, CD8 2, CD1 2 #mngop #mnleg".twitter.com. Twitter. RetrievedApril 22, 2012.
  9. ^ab"Rep. Paul supporters elected to half of Minnesota GOP convention delegation".Pierce County Herald. April 22, 2012. Archived fromthe original on April 25, 2012. RetrievedApril 22, 2012.
  10. ^ab"Ron Paul Wins Minnesota State Convention". RetrievedMay 20, 2012.
  11. ^"Republican Party of Minnesota Events". Archived fromthe original on May 17, 2012. RetrievedMay 4, 2012.
  12. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  13. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  14. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  15. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  16. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  17. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  18. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  19. ^"Minnesota Secretary of State".Archived from the original on November 10, 2012. RetrievedNovember 10, 2012.
  20. ^"Home - Election Results".

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