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2012 United States presidential election in Louisiana

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Main article:2012 United States presidential election
2012United States presidential election in Louisiana

← 2008
November 6, 2012
2016 →
 
NomineeMitt RomneyBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateMassachusettsIllinois
Running matePaul RyanJoe Biden
Electoral vote80
Popular vote1,152,262809,141
Percentage57.78%40.58%

Parish results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Louisiana
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← 2008
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The2012 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose eight electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan.

Romney carried Louisiana's eight electoral votes with 57.78% of the popular vote. Louisiana was one of six states where Obama did better in 2012 than in 2008, with his margin of loss decreasing from 18.63% to 17.20%.[a] As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time that a Democrat has won over 40% of the vote in the state. Obama is the only Democrat to ever win two terms without carrying the state at least once.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
2012Louisiana Democratic presidential primary

← 2008
March 24, 2012 (2012-03-24)
2016 →
 
CandidateBarack ObamaJohn Wolfe, Jr.
Home stateIllinoisTennessee
Delegate count604
Popular vote115,15017,804
Percentage76.46%11.82%

 
CandidateBob ElyDarcy Richardson
Home stateIllinoisFlorida
Delegate count00
Popular vote9,8977,750
Percentage6.57%5.15%

Louisiana results by parish
  Barack Obama
  John Wolfe, Jr.

PresidentBarack Obama received little serious opposition in the 2012 Democratic primaries, handily winning overall with over 76% of the vote. However, Tennessee attorney and perennial political candidateJohn Wolfe Jr. challenged President Obama in the primaries, and received nearly 12% of the vote. EntrepreneurBob Ely and historian Darcy Richardson also participated, and received a little over 6% and 5% of the vote, respectively. On the date of the primary, President Obama swept nearly every parish in the state, with Wolfe winning LaSalle, Grant, and Cameron parishes. Although Wolfe qualified for four delegates, the Louisiana Democratic Party announced that they would not award the delegates to Wolfe on technical grounds.[1]

2012 Louisiana Democratic
presidential primary[2]
CandidateVotes%Pledged
delegates[3]
Barack Obama(incumbent)115,15076.4660
John Wolfe, Jr.17,80411.824
Bob Ely9,8976.570
Darcy Richardson7,7505.150
Total150,601100%64

Republican primary and caucuses

[edit]
2012Louisiana Republican primary and caucuses

← 2008
March 24, 2012 (2012-03-24)
2016 →
 
CandidateRick SantorumMitt Romney
Home statePennsylvaniaMassachusetts
Delegate count105
Popular vote91,32149,758
Percentage49.0%26.7%

 
CandidateNewt GingrichRon Paul
Home stateGeorgiaTexas
Delegate count00
Popular vote29,65611,467
Percentage15.9%6.2%

Louisiana results by parish
  Rick Santorum
  Mitt Romney

The 2012 Louisiana Republican primary took place on Saturday, March 24, 2012. Additionally, caucuses were held on April 28.[4][5]

Louisiana had 46 delegates to theRepublican National Convention. 20 were awarded based on the primary outcome, and the other 26 by the caucuses.

Primary

[edit]

The 20 delegate allocation was proportional among candidates who received at least 25% of the statewide vote. Candidates who did not reach the 25% threshold lost the delegates they otherwise would have won, and those delegates became uncommitted then.[6]

On March 24,Rick Santorum was declared the winner of the state's primary.[7]

2012 Louisiana Republican primary
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected delegate count
GP
[8]
CNN
[9]
MSNBC
[10]
Rick Santorum91,32148.99%101010
Mitt Romney49,75826.69%556
Newt Gingrich29,65615.91%000
Ron Paul11,4676.15%000
Buddy Roemer2,2031.18%000
Rick Perry9550.51%000
Michele Bachmann6220.33%000
Jon Huntsman, Jr.2420.13%000
Randy Crow1860.10%000
Unprojected delegates:554
Total:186,410100.00%202020

[11]

Caucuses, delegate dispute, and ultimate agreement

[edit]

AlthoughRon Paul won just 6% of the vote in the primary on March 24 (in which almost 190,000 voters cast ballots), he carried four of Louisiana's sixcongressional districts in the congressional district caucuses held the following month (in which fewer than 10,000 people took part).[12]

Paul's showing in the April district caucuses "guaranteed him 12 of the state's 46 national convention delegates and, as important, gave his forces 111 of the 180 delegates to the state convention," which chose the actual delegates to the2012 Republican National Convention inTampa, Florida.[13][12]

In advance of the June 2 Louisiana State Republican Convention inShreveport, pro-Paul delegates and others clashed with officials and loyalists of the state Republican Party, which "issued supplemental rules on the eve of the convention to keep the Paul forces from wresting more than the 17 delegates which, in their view, was their due."[12] The convention itself was described as a "riotous" and chaotic scene, as the police removed two Paul supporters, arresting one, and the convention devolved into two separate conventions, "as the Paul delegates turned their chairs around and conducted their convention facing one way, while the state party and its loyalists conducted their parallel convention facing the other."[12]

The split convention resulted in two rival slates of 46 delegates.[12][14] The national Republican Party accepted the slate submitted by Louisiana Republican Party chairman Roger Villere as the official slate.[14] In late July, however, Paul's campaign announced that it would challenge all the Louisiana delegates, asserting that "our rump convention is the legitimate delegation and they have a right to be seated at the Republican National Convention."[15] In its official challenge to the delegate slate filed in August, Paul's campaign likened Villere to the leader of "a North Korean politburo"; in response, the executive director of the Louisiana Republican Party said that Paul's challenge was "full of personal attacks, hyperbole and unfounded assumption."[16] The dispute was to be adjudicated by the Contest Committee of the national Republican Party, with a possible appeal to the full Republican National Committee and then to the Credential Committee of the convention.[12] However, in late August—one week prior to the convention—the Paul campaign made an agreement with the Republican Party of Louisiana in which Paul would get 17 of the state's 46 delegates, with the rest of the state's delegates supporting then-presumptive nominee Mitt Romney.[17]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[18]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
CNN[19]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[20]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[21]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[22]Solid RNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23]Solid RNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[24]Solid RNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in Louisiana[25]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan1,152,26257.78%8
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)809,14140.58%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray18,1570.91%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala6,9780.35%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer2,5080.13%0
Others1,7660.09%0
JusticeRocky AndersonLuis J. Rodriguez1,3680.07%0
Socialism and LiberationPeta LindsayYari Osorio6220.03%0
Prohibition PartyJack FellureToby Davis5190.03%0
Socialist WorkersJames HarrisAlyson Kennedy3890.02%0
Socialist EqualityJerry WhitePhyllis Scherrer3550.02%0
Totals1,994,065100.00%8
Voter turnout (registered voters)67.26%

By parish

[edit]
ParishMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Acadia19,93174.27%6,56024.45%3441.28%13,37149.82%26,835
Allen6,49569.79%2,61728.12%1952.09%3,87841.67%9,307
Ascension33,85666.29%16,34932.01%8681.70%17,50734.28%51,073
Assumption6,08355.34%4,75443.25%1551.41%1,32912.09%10,992
Avoyelles10,67062.65%6,07735.68%2851.67%4,59326.97%17,032
Beauregard11,11278.12%2,82824.45%2852.00%8,28453.67%14,225
Bienville3,64150.55%3,49048.45%721.00%1512.10%7,203
Bossier34,98872.05%12,95626.68%6181.27%22,03245.37%48,562
Caddo52,45946.94%58,04251.93%1,2641.13%-5,583-4.99%111,765
Calcasieu51,85063.44%28,35934.70%1,5171.86%23,49128.74%81,726
Caldwell3,64077.18%1,01621.54%601.28%2,62455.64%4,716
Cameron3,26087.07%40810.90%762.03%2,85276.17%3,744
Catahoula2,74465.44%1,40833.58%410.98%1,33631.86%4,193
Claiborne3,64954.20%3,01444.77%691.03%6359.43%6,732
Concordia5,45058.10%3,83340.86%971.04%1,61717.24%9,380
DeSoto7,35356.34%5,55342.55%1451.11%1,80013.79%13,051
East Baton Rouge92,29246.57%102,65651.80%3,2231.63%-10,364-5.23%198,171
East Carroll1,50837.62%2,47861.83%220.55%-970-24.21%4,008
East Feliciana5,39752.87%4,64845.53%1641.60%7497.34%10,209
Evangeline10,18164.56%5,33033.80%2591.64%4,85130.76%15,770
Franklin6,29467.42%2,92131.29%1211.29%3,37336.13%9,336
Grant7,08281.71%1,42216.41%1631.88%5,66065.30%8,667
Iberia20,89262.56%12,13236.33%3731.11%8,76026.23%33,397
Iberville7,27142.74%9,54856.12%1951.14%-2,277-13.38%17,014
Jackson5,13268.16%2,30530.61%921.23%2,82737.55%7,529
Jefferson102,53658.15%70,38439.91%3,4231.94%32,15218.24%176,343
Jefferson Davis10,01472.91%3,48425.37%2361.72%6,53047.54%13,734
Lafayette64,99265.89%31,76832.21%1,8821.90%33,22433.68%98,642
Lafourche28,59273.17%9,62324.63%8602.20%18,96948.54%39,075
LaSalle5,72687.13%76411.63%821.24%4,96275.50%6,572
Lincoln10,73956.54%7,95641.89%2981.57%2,78314.65%18,993
Livingston45,51384.19%7,45113.78%1,0982.03%38,06270.41%54,062
Madison2,00038.56%3,15460.81%330.63%-1,154-22.25%5,187
Morehouse6,59152.25%5,88846.68%1351.07%7035.57%12,614
Natchitoches9,07752.60%7,94246.02%2391.38%1,1356.58%17,258
Orleans28,00317.74%126,72280.30%3,0881.96%-98,719-62.56%157,813
Ouachita40,94859.80%26,64538.91%8811.29%14,30320.89%68,474
Plaquemines6,47163.20%3,59935.15%1691.65%2,87228.05%10,239
Pointe Coupee6,54853.91%5,43644.75%1631.34%1,1129.16%12,147
Rapides37,19364.10%20,04534.55%7811.35%17,14829.55%58,019
Red River2,48351.65%2,25346.87%711.48%2304.78%4,807
Richland5,84662.66%3,38736.31%961.03%2,45926.35%9,329
Sabine7,73876.97%2,19421.82%1211.21%5,54455.15%10,053
St. Bernard8,50160.92%5,05936.25%3952.83%3,44224.67%13,955
St. Charles15,93762.91%8,89635.12%5001.97%7,04127.79%25,333
St. Helena2,52939.55%3,78059.12%851.33%-1,251-19.57%6,394
St. James5,20942.03%7,05956.95%1271.02%-1,850-14.92%12,395
St. John the Baptist7,62036.07%13,17962.39%3241.54%-5,559-26.32%21,123
St. Landry21,47551.56%19,66847.23%5041.21%1,8074.33%41,647
St. Martin15,65361.55%9,42237.05%3581.40%6,23124.50%25,433
St. Mary13,88558.74%9,45039.97%3051.29%4,43518.77%23,640
St. Tammany84,72375.04%25,72822.79%2,4512.17%58,99552.25%112,902
Tangipahoa31,59063.06%17,72235.37%7871.57%13,86827.69%50,099
Tensas1,23043.74%1,56455.62%180.64%-334-11.88%2,812
Terrebonne29,50369.68%12,07428.52%7641.80%17,42941.16%42,341
Union7,56170.23%3,07528.56%1301.21%4,48641.67%10,766
Vermilion18,91075.68%5,72022.89%3571.43%13,19052.79%24,987
Vernon12,15077.83%3,17320.33%2871.84%8,97757.50%15,610
Washington11,79863.49%6,46634.80%3171.71%5,33228.69%18,581
Webster11,40061.90%6,80236.94%2141.16%4,59824.96%18,416
West Baton Rouge6,92254.19%5,69244.56%1601.25%1,2309.63%12,774
West Carroll3,62879.77%85318.76%671.47%2,77561.01%4,548
West Feliciana3,25756.38%2,44142.25%791.37%81614.13%5,777
Winn4,54169.50%1,91929.37%741.13%2,62240.13%6,534
Totals1,152,26257.78%809,14140.58%32,6621.64%343,12117.20%1,994,065

By congressional district

[edit]

Romney won five of six congressional districts.[26]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st70.85%26.86%Steve Scalise
2nd22.81%75.84%Cedric Richmond
3rd66.1%32.26%Charles Boustany
4th59%39.66%John Fleming
5th61%37.66%Rodney Alexander
6th66.15%31.96%Bill Cassidy

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^As Louisiana was also one of only five states in which McCain did better in 2008 than Bush did in 2004, it is the only state to swing toward McCain in 2008 and Obama in 2012.

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Louisiana Democratic Party denies 3 delegates to fringe candidate".NOLA.com. Archived fromthe original on April 19, 2012. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2017.
  2. ^"Louisiana Secretary of State - Election Results".voterportal.sos.la.gov. RetrievedMarch 28, 2020.
  3. ^"Louisiana Democratic Delegation 2012".www.thegreenpapers.com. RetrievedMarch 28, 2020.
  4. ^"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2012.
  5. ^"Presidential Primary Dates"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2012.
  6. ^Nate Silver (March 24, 2012)."G.O.P. Campaign Could End Soon — But Not in Louisiana".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedMarch 25, 2012.
  7. ^Rick Santorum wins Louisiana primary
  8. ^The Green Papers, "2012 Louisiana Republican Primary" . The Green Papers.
  9. ^CNN, "Republican Primary" . CNN.
  10. ^MSNBC, "Republican Primary" . MSNBC.
  11. ^"Unofficial Election Results". LA Secretary of State. RetrievedMarch 25, 2012.
  12. ^abcdefJonathan Tilove,Louisiana Republican convention devolves into separate meetings,The Times-Picayune (June 10, 2012).
  13. ^Tilove, Jonathan (April 28, 2012)."Ron Paul supporters dominate Louisiana's Republican presidential caucuses".The Times-Picayune. Archived fromthe original on April 29, 2012.
  14. ^abMelina Deslatte,Dispute over La. delegates to GOP convention goes national, Associated Press (August 1, 2012).
  15. ^Adam Levy,Ron Paul campaign to challenge all Louisiana delegates, CNN (July 27, 2012).
  16. ^Jonathan TiloveRon Paul supporters won't back down in Louisiana GOP dispute,The Times-Picayune (August 6, 2012).
  17. ^Stephen Ohlemacher,Paul adds delegates in Louisiana compromise, Associated Press (August 21, 2012).
  18. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  19. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  20. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  21. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  22. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  23. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  24. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  25. ^"Louisiana Secretary of State". Louisiana Secretary of State.
  26. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

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