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2012 United States presidential election in Iowa

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2012 United States presidential election in Iowa

← 2008November 6, 20122016 →
 
NomineeBarack ObamaMitt Romney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisMassachusetts
Running mateJoe BidenPaul Ryan
Electoral vote60
Popular vote822,544730,617
Percentage51.99%46.18%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie

  


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Iowa
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The2012 United States presidential election in Iowa took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Iowa voters chose six electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan.

Obama won Iowa with 51.99% of the vote to Romney's 46.18%, a Democratic victory margin of 5.81% – a markedly closer result than in2008, when the Democrats won Iowa with a margin of 9.54%. Romney picked up wins in 16 counties that Obama had won in 2008, most of which were in the western half of the state, while only one county, (Woodbury), flipped in the opposite direction. Obama became the first Democrat to win the White House without winningPalo Alto County sinceGrover Cleveland in1892 and the first to win without winningCarroll County sinceFranklin D. Roosevelt in1944. Iowa is also one of only three states that backed Obama twice that would go on to vote against his vice president Joe Biden in2020, the other two beingFlorida andOhio.

As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time that a Democratic presidential nominee has carried Iowa, any of its congressional districts, or the following counties:Allamakee,Boone,Bremer,Buchanan,Cedar,Cerro Gordo,Chickasaw,Clarke,Clayton,Clinton,Des Moines,Dubuque,Fayette,Floyd,Howard,Jackson,Jasper,Jefferson,Jones,Lee,Louisa,Marshall,Mitchell,Muscatine,Poweshiek,Tama,Union,Wapello,Webster,Winneshiek,Woodbury, andWorth.

Caucuses

[edit]

Democratic caucuses

[edit]
Main article:2012 Democratic Party presidential primaries
2012Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses

← 2008January 3, 2012 (2012-01-03)2016 →
 
CandidateBarack ObamaUncommitted
Home stateIllinoisN/A
Delegate count623
SDEs8,06587
Percentage (of SDEs)95%5%

On January 3, 2012, theIowa Democratic Party held statewidecaucuses to select delegates to the county conventions.[1] IncumbentBarack Obama ran unopposed.[1] However, caucus goers also had the option of voting "uncommitted" rather than supporting Obama, and someOccupy movement andanti-war activists urged Democrats to vote "uncommitted" in protest of theObama administration.[2][3][4] Of the 8,152 county convention delegates that were elected by the caucuses, 8,065 (99%) were for Obama and 87 (1%) were uncommitted.[5] In the floor vote taken at theDemocratic National Convention, 62 Iowa state delegates voted for Obama.[6] The other 3 of the state's 65 allocated votes were not announced.[6]

Republican caucuses

[edit]
Main article:2012 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses
2012Iowa Republican presidential caucuses

← 2008January 3, 2012 (2012-01-03)2016 →
 
CandidateRon PaulMitt RomneyRick Santorum
Home stateTexasMassachusettsPennsylvania
Delegate count2260
Popular vote26,03629,80529,839
Percentage21.43%24.53%24.56%

 
CandidateNewt GingrichRick Perry
Home stateGeorgiaTexas
Delegate count00
Popular vote16,16312,557
Percentage13.30%10.33%

Santorum:     20–30%     30–40%     60–70%
Romney:     20–30%     30–40%
Paul:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%
Perry:     20–30%     30–40%
Tie:     20–30%

The 2012 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on January 3, 2012.

Using the media's generally accepted definition of the Iowa Republican caucus as the non-binding secret polling at caucus sites and using the incomplete data available, the 2012 Iowa Republican caucus was the closest race inIowa caucus history with only a thirty-four vote margin (about3100th of a percent) separating formerSenatorRick Santorum ofPennsylvania, who received 29,839 votes (24.56%), and formerMassachusetts governorMitt Romney, who received 29,805 votes (24.53%).RepresentativeRon Paul ofTexas ran a close third, receiving 26,036 votes (21.43%).

Trailing were formerSpeaker of the HouseNewt Gingrich (16,163 votes, 13.30%),Texas governorRick Perry (12,557 votes, 10.33%), and RepresentativeMichele Bachmann (6,046 votes, 4.98%). FormerUtah governor andambassador to ChinaJon Huntsman, Jr., who skipped campaigning in Iowa to focus on theNew Hampshire primary,[7] received 739 votes (0.61%).[8]

In total, 121,501 votes were recorded,[8] setting a record for Iowa Republican caucusturnout;[9] this record was broken in the 2016 election by more than 60,000 votes.[10] However, this total was still far less than the all-time Iowa caucus record in the2008 Democratic Iowa caucuses, in which 239,000 Democrats voted. The 121,501 votes represent 19.8 percent of active registered Republicans in the state[11] and just 5.4 percent of all Iowans eligible to vote.[12]

However, the vote totals of eight precincts were never counted, so the vote totals are not really known.

The secret polling results at Republican caucus sites were unrelated to the delegate selection process in 2012, although that has been changed for the 2016 election cycle.

If the Iowa 2012 Republican caucuses were regarded as the start of the Republican delegate selection process for the2012 United States presidential election, the real caucus process was the election of Republican delegates to the county conventions, who would eventually determine the delegates at the state convention in June 2012. This would, in turn, determine the Iowa delegates who would attend theRepublican National Convention in August, 2012.

This process rewarded campaign organizations that could not only get supporters to the caucus sites, but get supporters who would be willing to serve as delegates to county conventions and beyond. As a result, Ron Paul was ultimately able to win 22 of the 28 delegates to the national convention and Mitt Romney won the other six.[8]

The 2011–2012 pre-caucus poll results for Iowa had highly volatile results;Gallup polls showed the leading candidate in Iowa change seven times from May 2011 until the caucuses.[13] The 2012 caucuses also set a new record for political expenditures, with $12 million being spent, two-thirds of it from "super PACs" which dominated the campaigns by running highly negativeattack ads.[14]

In the August 13Ames Straw Poll, a traditionalstraw poll held in Iowa Republican caucuses, Bachmann narrowly defeated Paul, withMinnesota governorTim Pawlenty trailing in third. Following his disappointing showing, Pawlenty dropped out of the race.[15][16]

Three candidates' debates were held in Iowa over the course the campaign: one on August 11 in Ames ahead of the straw poll; one on December 10, 2011, inDes Moines, and one on December 15 inSioux City. Several other joint candidates' appearances took place during the caucus campaign outside Iowa.[17]

The day after her unsatisfactory sixth-place performance in Iowa, Bachmann announced she was dropping out of the presidential race.[18][19] Following his low fifth-place finish, Perry initially announced he was "reassessing" his campaign "to determine whether there is a path forward," but subsequently stated that he would continue on to New Hampshire and South Carolina.[20][21][22][23]

Iowa Republican caucuses, January 3, 2012[8]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected delegate countActual
delegates
CNN
[24]
FOX
[25]
Rick Santorum29,83924.56%7120
Mitt Romney29,80524.53%7126
Ron Paul26,03621.43%7022
Newt Gingrich16,16313.30%200
Rick Perry12,55710.33%000
Michele Bachmann6,0464.98%000
Jon Huntsman7390.61%000
Herman Cain(write-in)450.04%000
Sarah Palin(write-in)230.02%000
Buddy Roemer(write-in)170.01%000
Fred Karger(write-in)100.01%000
Gary Johnson(write-in)80.01%000
Donald Trump(write-in)50.00%000
Paul Ryan(write-in)30.00%000
Rudy Giuliani(write-in)20.00%000
Mike Huckabee(write-in)20.00%000
Ben Lange(write-in)20.00%000
Roy Moore(write-in)20.00%000
Tim Pawlenty(write-in)20.00%000
Condoleezza Rice(write-in)20.00%000
Jared Blankenship(write-in)10.00%000
Pat Buchanan(write-in)10.00%000
John McCain(write-in)10.00%000
Ralph Nader(write-in)10.00%000
Robert Ray(write-in)10.00%000
Scott Walker(write-in)10.00%000
No Preference1470.12%000
Other400.03%000
Unprojected delegates:54
Total:121,501100.00%282828

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

There were eight candidates on the Iowa ballot in thegeneral election: the twomajor-party candidates (Barack Obama and Mitt Romney) and six minor candidates.[26]

Polling

[edit]

Analysts considered Iowa to be atoss-up state—one which either major candidate could plausibly win.[30] A majority ofstatewide opinion polls had shown Obama tied with or leading Romney.[31] As of October 22, 2012[update], polling aggregatorFiveThirtyEight estimated that there was a 66% likelihood that Obama would win Iowa's electoral votes.[32] Up until September 2012, polling showed a close race with Obama narrowly leading. In late September 2012, Obama gained momentum and this continued through the first three weeks of October 2012, where he won almost every poll in that time period. In October, when Romney gained momentum in other states, Obama won the majority of the polls conducted. Romney ended up winning the second to last poll, but other than that, Obama won every poll in the last week. The final poll showed Obama leading 50% to 48%, while an average of the last 3 polls showed Obama leading 48% to 46%.[33]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[34]TossupNovember 6, 2012
CNN[35]TossupNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[36]TossupNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[37]TossupNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[38]TossupNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39]Lean DNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[40]Likely DNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in Iowa[41]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack Obama(incumbent)Joe Biden(incumbent)822,54451.99%6
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan730,61746.18%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray12,9260.82%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala3,7690.24%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer3,0380.19%0
IndependentJerry LitzelJim Litzel1,0270.06%0
Socialist WorkersJames HarrisAlyson Kennedy4450.03%0
Socialism and LiberationGloria La RivaStefanie Beacham3720.02%0
OthersOthersWrite-Ins7,4420.53%0
Totals1,582,180100.00%6

By county

[edit]

Obama won 38 counties and Romney won 61 counties. Obama won majorities in terms of the popular vote percentages in 35 counties and won pluralities in terms of the popular vote percentages in 3 counties. Romney won majorites in terms of the popular vote percentages in 57 counties and won pluralities in terms of the popular vote percentages in 4 counties.

CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Adair1,79044.79%2,11452.90%922.31%-324-8.11%3,996
Adams1,02847.05%1,10850.71%492.24%-80-3.66%2,185
Allamakee3,55351.24%3,26447.07%1171.69%2894.17%6,934
Appanoose2,95147.25%3,16150.62%1332.13%-210-3.37%6,245
Audubon1,61146.60%1,80252.13%441.27%-191-5.53%3,457
Benton6,86248.93%6,94049.49%2211.58%-78-0.56%14,023
Black Hawk39,82159.31%26,23539.07%1,0851.62%13,58620.24%67,141
Boone7,51252.21%6,55645.57%3202.22%9566.64%14,388
Bremer6,76350.67%6,40547.99%1781.34%3582.68%13,346
Buchanan5,91156.11%4,45042.24%1741.65%1,46113.87%10,535
Buena Vista3,70044.14%4,55454.32%1291.54%-854-10.18%8,383
Butler3,32944.12%4,10654.42%1101.46%-777-10.30%7,545
Calhoun2,23842.79%2,89155.28%1011.93%-653-12.49%5,230
Carroll4,94746.35%5,60152.47%1261.18%-654-6.12%10,674
Cass2,85839.67%4,21758.53%1301.80%-1,359-18.86%7,205
Cedar4,97251.53%4,52946.94%1481.53%4434.59%9,649
Cerro Gordo13,31655.89%10,12842.51%3801.60%3,18813.38%23,824
Cherokee2,63441.06%3,66257.08%1191.86%-1,028-16.02%6,415
Chickasaw3,55454.81%2,83643.74%941.45%71811.07%6,484
Clarke2,18949.41%2,12447.95%1172.64%651.46%4,430
Clay3,38539.81%4,95158.23%1661.96%-1,566-18.42%8,502
Clayton4,80652.59%4,16445.57%1681.84%6427.02%9,138
Clinton15,14160.56%9,43237.73%4271.71%5,70922.83%25,000
Crawford3,06645.41%3,59553.24%911.35%-529-7.83%6,752
Dallas16,57643.49%20,98855.06%5521.45%-4,412-11.57%38,116
Davis1,52040.29%2,13856.67%1153.04%-618-16.38%3,773
Decatur1,79146.73%1,94750.80%952.47%-156-4.07%3,833
Delaware4,61649.22%4,63649.43%1261.35%-20-0.21%9,378
Des Moines11,88858.32%8,13639.91%3611.77%3,75218.41%20,385
Dickinson4,09540.31%5,91258.19%1521.50%-1,817-17.88%10,159
Dubuque28,76856.53%21,28041.81%8461.66%7,48814.72%50,894
Emmet2,09944.78%2,50753.49%811.73%-408-8.71%4,687
Fayette5,73255.30%4,49243.33%1421.37%1,24011.97%10,366
Floyd4,68056.68%3,47242.05%1051.27%1,20814.63%8,257
Franklin2,26643.69%2,82354.44%971.87%-557-10.75%5,186
Fremont1,63744.63%1,97253.76%591.61%-335-9.13%3,668
Greene2,37549.01%2,38049.11%911.88%-5-0.10%4,846
Grundy2,63537.85%4,21560.54%1121.61%-1,580-22.69%6,962
Guthrie2,56943.63%3,17153.86%1482.51%-602-10.23%5,888
Hamilton3,78247.71%3,99150.35%1541.94%-209-2.64%7,927
Hancock2,52142.55%3,31755.98%871.47%-796-13.43%5,925
Hardin4,07545.80%4,67052.48%1531.72%-595-6.68%8,898
Harrison3,13642.83%4,06555.52%1211.65%-929-12.69%7,322
Henry4,46045.99%5,03551.92%2022.09%-575-5.93%9,697
Howard2,76859.59%1,79538.64%821.77%97320.95%4,645
Humboldt1,97238.23%3,09960.08%871.69%-1,127-21.85%5,158
Ida1,32136.06%2,28662.41%561.53%-965-26.35%3,663
Iowa4,14446.74%4,56951.53%1531.73%-425-4.79%8,866
Jackson5,90757.67%4,17740.78%1581.55%1,73016.89%10,242
Jasper10,25752.56%8,87745.49%3811.95%1,3807.07%19,515
Jefferson4,79856.25%3,43640.28%2963.47%1,36215.97%8,530
Johnson50,66666.69%23,69831.19%1,6132.12%26,96835.50%75,977
Jones5,53452.96%4,72145.18%1941.86%8137.78%10,449
Keokuk2,30343.73%2,84353.99%1202.28%-540-10.26%5,266
Kossuth3,85043.15%4,93755.33%1361.52%-1,087-12.18%8,923
Lee10,71456.65%7,78541.17%4122.18%2,92915.48%18,911
Linn68,58157.90%47,62240.20%2,2501.90%20,95917.70%118,453
Louisa2,45249.36%2,42048.71%961.93%320.65%4,968
Lucas1,98745.96%2,25452.14%821.90%-267-6.18%4,323
Lyon1,42321.86%4,97876.48%1081.66%-3,555-54.62%6,509
Madison3,63042.92%4,63854.84%1902.24%-1,008-11.92%8,458
Mahaska4,21338.71%6,44859.25%2222.04%-2,235-20.54%10,883
Marion7,50742.44%9,82855.57%3521.99%-2,321-13.13%17,687
Marshall10,25753.80%8,47244.44%3351.76%1,7859.36%19,064
Mills2,84839.49%4,21658.46%1482.05%-1,368-18.97%7,212
Mitchell2,83150.68%2,64347.31%1122.01%1883.37%5,586
Monona2,10144.31%2,55753.92%841.77%-456-9.61%4,742
Monroe1,73145.20%2,02652.90%731.90%-295-7.70%3,830
Montgomery1,92238.25%3,00159.72%1022.03%-1,079-21.47%5,025
Muscatine11,32357.00%8,16841.12%3741.88%3,15515.88%19,865
O'Brien1,96926.82%5,26671.73%1061.45%-3,297-44.91%7,341
Osceola91228.55%2,23069.82%521.63%-1,318-41.27%3,194
Page2,61336.91%4,34861.42%1181.67%-1,735-24.51%7,079
Palo Alto2,13943.77%2,66054.43%881.80%-521-10.66%4,887
Plymouth4,16432.15%8,59766.39%1891.46%-4,433-34.24%12,950
Pocahontas1,52337.77%2,39659.42%1132.81%-873-21.65%4,032
Polk128,46556.13%96,09641.98%4,3211.89%32,36914.15%228,882
Pottawattamie19,64446.44%21,86051.68%7971.88%-2,216-5.24%42,301
Poweshiek5,35753.70%4,42444.35%1941.95%9339.35%9,975
Ringgold1,18645.63%1,36852.64%451.73%-182-7.01%2,599
Sac2,12240.11%3,09458.48%751.41%-972-18.37%5,291
Scott50,65256.12%38,25142.38%1,3601.50%12,40113.74%90,263
Shelby2,46938.08%3,91160.33%1031.59%-1,442-22.25%6,483
Sioux2,70015.60%14,40783.24%2011.16%-11,707-67.64%17,308
Story26,19255.55%19,66841.71%1,2902.74%6,52413.84%47,150
Tama4,76852.88%4,09845.45%1511.67%6707.43%9,017
Taylor1,26242.14%1,68356.19%501.67%-421-14.05%2,995
Union3,04351.08%2,81347.22%1011.70%2303.86%5,957
Van Buren1,40239.28%2,06457.83%1032.89%-662-18.55%3,569
Wapello8,66354.93%6,78943.05%3182.02%1,87411.88%15,770
Warren12,55148.14%13,05250.06%4691.80%-501-1.92%26,072
Washington5,11546.48%5,56250.55%3272.97%-447-4.07%11,004
Wayne1,25143.14%1,58354.59%662.27%-332-11.45%2,900
Webster9,53752.14%8,46946.30%2861.56%1,0685.84%18,292
Winnebago2,90349.05%2,90649.10%1091.85%-3-0.05%5,918
Winneshiek6,25656.44%4,62241.70%2061.86%1,63414.74%11,084
Woodbury22,30249.54%21,84148.52%8761.94%4611.02%45,019
Worth2,35056.33%1,74441.80%781.87%60614.53%4,172
Wright2,83645.17%3,34953.35%931.48%-513-8.18%6,278
Total822,54451.99%730,61746.18%29,0191.83%91,9275.81%1,582,180
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Obama won three of four congressional districts, including one held by a Republican.[42]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st42.53%56.2%Bruce Braley
2nd42.74%55.78%Dave Loebsack
3rd47.16%51.45%Tom Latham
4th53.42%45.26%Steve King

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abEspo, David; Beaumont, Thomas (January 4, 2012).The Virginian-Pilot. Associated Press. p. A1.{{cite news}}:Missing or empty|title= (help)
  2. ^Nichols, John (December 20, 2011)."Iowa Challenge for Obama: Dem Caucus Votes for 'Uncommitted' Slate".The Nation.Archived from the original on February 10, 2012. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  3. ^Grote, Dora."Iowa City doves urge Democrats not to caucus for Obama".The Daily Iowan. Archived fromthe original on July 29, 2012. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  4. ^Pearce, Matt (January 4, 2012)."The complete failure (and unnoticed success) of Occupy Iowa Caucus".Salon.Archived from the original on October 22, 2012. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  5. ^"Caucus Night Reporting". Iowa Democratic Party. 2012. Archived fromthe original on April 15, 2013. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  6. ^ab"2012 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Iowa Democrat".The Green Papers. 2012. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  7. ^Holly Ramer, "Huntsman: Republican race wide open in Iowa's wake" (January 4, 2012). Associated Press.
  8. ^abcd"2012 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Iowa Republican".The Green Papers. 2012. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  9. ^Boshart, Rod (January 19, 2012)."No 'official' Iowa caucus winner, but Santorum got most votes".Iowa Caucus. Cedar Rapids, Iowa:The Gazette. Archived fromthe original on November 3, 2012. RetrievedOctober 23, 2012.
  10. ^"Iowa Caucus Results - Election 2016".The New York Times. RetrievedFebruary 2, 2016.
  11. ^"Jan. 3, 2012 Iowa Caucus Results".P2012. Democracy in Action. 2012. Archived fromthe original on May 13, 2012. RetrievedOctober 23, 2012.
  12. ^An estimated 2,250,423 Iowans were eligible to vote. Michael McDonald, "2012 Presidential Nomination Contest Turnout RatesArchived 2012-01-10 at theWayback Machine" (January 4, 2012). United States Elections Project, George Mason University.
  13. ^Jedd Rosche, "Iowa Caucuses 2012: By the numbers" (January 2, 2012).
  14. ^"|newswell|text|FRONTPAGE|p Editorial: In Iowa, a plague of stealth spending[permanent dead link]" (January 4, 2012).Detroit Free Press.
  15. ^Peter Hamby,Pawlenty drops out of presidential race" (August 14, 2011). CNN.
  16. ^Michael D. Shear and Jeff Zeleny, "Pawlenty Drops Out of Republican Race" (August 14, 2011).New York Times.
  17. ^"2011-2012 Primary Debates -- ScheduleArchived 2012-01-07 at theWayback Machine.
  18. ^Sarah Wheaton, "Bachmann Says She Will Not Continue in the Race" (January 4, 2012).New York Times.
  19. ^"Michele Bachmann drops out of GOP race after Iowa caucuses" (January 4, 2012).Washington Post.
  20. ^Chris Tomlinson, "Perry leaving 'quirky' Iowa for South Carolina" (January 4, 2012). Associated Press.
  21. ^Dave Montgomery and Maria Recio, "Texas Gov. Rick Perry decides to stay in presidential race" (January 4, 2012). McClatchy Newspapers.
  22. ^Associated Press and Philip Elliott, "Perry: Reassessing Bid After Iowa CaucusesArchived 2012-01-05 at theWayback Machine (January 4, 2012).
  23. ^Nicholas Confessore and Katharine Q. Seelye, "Assessment Complete — Perry to Stay in Race" (January 4, 2012),New York Times.
  24. ^"Results Iowa CNN". Archived fromthe original on January 5, 2012.
  25. ^"- Fox News".Fox News. Archived fromthe original on January 8, 2012. RetrievedJanuary 4, 2012.
  26. ^"Candidate List: November 6, 2012 General Election"(PDF). Iowa Secretary of State. October 18, 2012. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  27. ^"PSL gains ballot access in 13 states". Party for Socialism and Liberation. 2012. Archived fromthe original on October 22, 2012. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  28. ^Hicks, Nancy (September 2, 2012)."Third-party V.P. candidate finds home in Lincoln".Lincoln Journal Star. RetrievedOctober 23, 2012.
  29. ^Malloy, Mike (August 31, 2012)."Ames man gets his name on the ballot".Ames Tribune.Archived from the original on October 1, 2012. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  30. ^The Washington Post,CNN, andThe Cook Political Report all label Iowa "toss-up".
  31. ^"Iowa: Romney vs. Obama".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  32. ^Silver, Nate."FiveThirtyEight".The New York Times. RetrievedOctober 22, 2012.
  33. ^"2012 - Iowa: Romney vs. Obama | RealClearPolitics".www.realclearpolitics.com.
  34. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  35. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  36. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  37. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  38. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  39. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  40. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  41. ^"Iowa Secretary of State General Election Results". Archived fromthe original on December 29, 2012. RetrievedNovember 8, 2012.
  42. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

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