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2012 United States presidential election in Illinois

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2012 United States presidential election in Illinois

← 2008
November 6, 2012
2016 →
Turnout69.70%Decrease
 
NomineeBarack ObamaMitt Romney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisMassachusetts
Running mateJoe BidenPaul Ryan
Electoral vote200
Popular vote3,019,5122,135,216
Percentage57.60%40.73%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Illinois
U.S. Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Secretary of State elections
Comptroller elections
Treasurer elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Judicial elections
County Executive elections
County Executive elections
2012 U.S. presidential election
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Minor parties
Related races
← 2008
2016 →

The2012 United States presidential election in Illinois took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Illinois voters chose 20 electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan. The Obama/Biden ticket won Illinois with 57.60% of the popular vote to Romney/Ryan's 40.73%, thus winning the state's twenty electoral votes by a margin of 16.87%.[1]

Obama's victory continued a Democratic winning streak in the state — with the Democratic candidate having carried Illinois through six consecutive elections. However, despite Obama's win in 2008 and popularity in the state due to being its former U.S. Senator, his performance significantly worsened, with his margin of victory decreasing from 25.10% to 16.87% and losing 23 counties to Romney that he had won four years prior. Obama further became the first ever Democrat to win the White House without carryingGallatin orMacoupin counties, as well as the first sinceWoodrow Wilson in1916 to win the White House without carryingMadison County.

As of the2024 election, this is the last time that a Democrat carriedAlexander,Carroll,Fulton,Henderson,Henry,Jo Daviess,Knox,Mercer,Putnam,Warren, andWhiteside counties. It is also the last time a Democrat won more than 15 counties in the state.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
2012Illinois Democratic presidential primary

← 2008
March 20, 2012 (2012-03-20)
2016 →

212Democratic National Convention delegates (189 pledged, 26 unpledged)
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
 
CandidateBarack Obama
Home stateIllinois
Delegate count189
Popular vote652,583
Percentage99.98%

  Barack Obama

The 2012 Illinois Democratic presidential primary was held on March 20, 2012, in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of theRepublican Party's state primaries ahead of the 2012 presidential election. Incumbent president Barack Obama won the primary. Obama was running for reelection without a major opponent.

Obama won all 189 of the state's bound delegates (the state also had 26superdelegates).[2]

2012 Illinois Democratic presidential primary[2][3]
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Barack Obama(incumbent)652,58399.98%189
Randall Terry1340.02%0
Totals652,717100.00%189

Republican primary

[edit]
2012Illinois Republican presidential primary

← 2008
March 20, 2012 (2012-03-20)
2016 →
 
CandidateMitt RomneyRick Santorum
Home stateMassachusettsPennsylvania
Delegate count4212
Popular vote435,859326,778
Percentage46.69%35.01%

 
CandidateRon PaulNewt Gingrich
Home stateTexasGeorgia
Delegate count00
Popular vote87,04474,482
Percentage9.32%7.98%

County results
Romney:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%
Santorum:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

The 2012 Illinois Republican presidential primary was held on March 20, 2012, in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of theRepublican Party's state primaries ahead of the 2012 presidential election.[4][5] For the state-run primaries (Democratic and Republican), turnout was 21.72%, with 1,586,171 votes cast.[3]

2012 Illinois Republican presidential primary[3]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected delegate count
NYTCNN
[6]
FOX
Mitt Romney435,85946.69%424142
Rick Santorum326,77835.01%121012
Ron Paul87,0449.32%000
Newt Gingrich74,4827.98%000
Rick Perry (withdrawn)5,5680.60%000
Buddy Roemer (withdrawn)3,7230.40%000
Unprojected delegates:030
Total:933,454100.00%545454

Green

[edit]
2012Illinois Green Party convention

← 2008
February 24, 2012 (2012-02-24)
2016 →

31Green National Convention delegates
 
CandidateJill SteinRoseanne BarrKent Mesplay
PartyGreenGreenGreen
Home stateMassachusettsHawaiiCalifornia
Delegate count2222
Popular vote109278
Percentage71.24%17.65%5.23%

The 2012 Illinois Green Party Convention was held on February 24, and saw a binding presidential preference vote cast, awarding delegates, as part of theGreen Party's state primaries ahead of the 2012 presidential election.[7]

Unlike the primaries for the major parties, this primary was run by theGreen Party of Illinois itself, rather than by the state.

Illinois Green Party Primary, February 24, 2012[7][8]
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
Jill Stein10971.24%22
Roseanne Barr (write-in)2717.65%5
Kent Mesplay85.23%2
Uncommitted85.23%2
Others10.65%0
Total153100%31

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
CNN[10]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[11]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[12]Safe DNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[13]Solid DNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14]Solid DNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[15]Solid DNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in Illinois[1]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack Obama(Incumbent)Joe Biden(Incumbent)3,019,51257.60%20
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan2,135,21640.73%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJames P. Gray56,2291.07%0
GreenJill SteinHowie Hawkins30,2220.58%0
Write-insWrite-ins8350.02%0
Totals5,242,014100.00%20

By county

[edit]
Chicago results by community area:
Obama:
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Romney:
  •   50–60%
CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Adams9,64831.43%20,41666.51%6332.06%-10,768-35.08%30,697
Alexander1,96556.13%1,48742.47%491.40%47813.66%3,501
Bond3,02040.95%4,09555.53%2603.52%-1,075-14.58%7,375
Boone9,88346.09%11,09651.75%4622.16%-1,213-5.66%21,441
Brown78733.29%1,51364.00%642.71%-726-30.71%2,364
Bureau8,13448.75%8,16448.93%3882.32%-30-0.18%16,686
Calhoun1,08041.93%1,44055.90%562.17%-360-13.97%2,576
Carroll3,66549.49%3,55548.00%1862.51%1101.49%7,406
Cass2,05342.09%2,70755.49%1182.42%-654-13.40%4,878
Champaign40,83151.94%35,31244.92%2,4663.14%5,5197.02%78,609
Christian5,49437.31%8,88560.33%3482.36%-3,391-23.02%14,727
Clark2,59132.86%5,14465.23%1511.91%-2,553-32.37%7,886
Clay1,58426.81%4,19070.92%1342.27%-2,606-44.11%5,908
Clinton5,59633.95%10,52463.86%3612.19%-4,928-29.91%16,481
Coles9,26243.21%11,63154.26%5442.53%-2,369-11.05%21,437
Cook1,488,53773.88%495,54224.59%30,7401.53%992,99549.29%2,014,819
Crawford2,85833.11%5,58564.69%1902.20%-2,727-31.58%8,633
Cumberland1,64130.99%3,50966.27%1452.74%-1,868-35.28%5,295
DeKalb21,20751.42%18,93445.91%1,1002.67%2,2735.51%41,241
DeWitt2,60135.30%4,57962.15%1882.55%-1,978-26.85%7,368
Douglas2,43030.68%5,33467.34%1571.98%-2,904-36.66%7,921
DuPage199,46049.73%195,04648.63%6,5751.64%4,4141.10%401,081
Edgar2,56532.74%5,13265.50%1381.76%-2,567-32.76%7,835
Edwards75423.36%2,40574.50%692.14%-1,651-51.14%3,228
Effingham3,86123.24%12,50175.25%2511.51%-8,640-52.01%16,613
Fayette2,85331.66%5,95166.03%2082.31%-3,098-34.37%9,012
Ford1,65627.49%4,22970.20%1392.31%-2,573-42.71%6,024
Franklin7,25440.49%10,26757.31%3932.20%-3,013-16.82%17,914
Fulton8,32854.04%6,63243.03%4512.93%1,69611.01%15,411
Gallatin1,02939.99%1,49257.99%522.02%-463-18.00%2,573
Greene2,02335.89%3,45161.22%1632.89%-1,428-25.33%5,637
Grundy9,45144.34%11,34353.22%5192.44%-1,892-8.88%21,313
Hamilton1,26932.20%2,56665.11%1062.69%-1,297-32.91%3,941
Hancock3,65040.06%5,27157.85%1902.09%-1,621-17.79%9,111
Hardin74231.85%1,53565.88%532.27%-793-34.03%2,330
Henderson1,97855.44%1,54143.19%491.37%43712.25%3,568
Henry12,33250.53%11,58347.46%4902.01%7493.07%24,405
Iroquois3,41326.64%9,12071.19%2782.17%-5,707-44.55%12,811
Jackson13,31955.26%9,86440.92%9213.82%3,45514.34%24,104
Jasper1,43628.48%3,51469.68%931.84%-2,078-41.20%5,043
Jefferson6,08937.31%9,81160.12%4202.57%-3,722-22.81%16,320
Jersey3,66736.67%6,03960.38%2952.95%-2,372-23.71%10,001
Jo Daviess5,66749.58%5,53448.42%2282.00%1331.16%11,429
Johnson1,57227.61%3,96369.60%1592.79%-2,391-41.99%5,694
Kane90,33249.71%88,33548.61%3,0581.68%1,9971.10%181,725
Kankakee21,59547.30%23,13650.68%9232.02%-1,541-3.38%45,654
Kendall22,47147.39%24,04750.71%9001.90%-1,576-3.32%47,418
Knox13,45157.59%9,40840.28%4972.13%4,04317.31%23,356
Lake153,75753.48%129,76445.14%3,9721.38%23,9938.34%287,493
LaSalle23,07348.67%23,25649.06%1,0762.27%-183-0.39%47,405
Lawrence2,01133.58%3,85764.40%1212.02%-1,846-30.82%5,989
Lee6,93745.20%8,05952.51%3522.29%-1,122-7.31%15,348
Livingston5,02033.30%9,75364.69%3042.01%-4,733-31.39%15,077
Logan3,97832.91%7,84464.89%2662.20%-3,866-31.98%12,088
Macon22,78046.46%25,30951.62%9411.92%-2,529-5.16%49,030
Macoupin9,46444.89%10,94651.92%6733.19%-1,482-7.03%21,083
Madison58,92247.95%60,60849.32%3,3552.73%-1,686-1.37%122,885
Marion6,22539.35%9,24858.46%3472.19%-3,023-19.11%15,820
Marshall2,45541.83%3,29056.06%1242.11%-835-14.23%5,869
Mason2,86745.54%3,26551.86%1642.60%-398-6.32%6,296
Massac2,09232.21%4,27865.87%1251.92%-2,186-33.66%6,495
McDonough5,96747.91%6,14749.36%3402.73%-180-1.45%12,454
McHenry59,79744.55%71,59853.34%2,8422.11%-11,801-8.79%134,237
McLean31,88343.40%39,94754.37%1,6392.23%-8,064-10.97%73,469
Menard2,10034.14%3,94864.18%1031.68%-1,848-30.04%6,151
Mercer4,50752.60%3,87645.24%1852.16%6317.36%8,568
Monroe6,21535.53%10,88862.24%3912.23%-4,673-26.71%17,494
Montgomery5,05841.50%6,77655.60%3542.90%-1,718-14.10%12,188
Morgan5,80641.06%7,97256.37%3642.57%-2,166-15.31%14,142
Moultrie2,14435.29%3,78462.29%1472.42%-1,640-27.00%6,075
Ogle9,51440.72%13,42257.44%4311.84%-3,908-16.72%23,367
Peoria40,20951.28%36,77446.90%1,4281.82%3,4354.38%78,411
Perry3,81939.99%5,50757.67%2232.34%-1,688-17.68%9,549
Piatt3,09035.35%5,41361.92%2392.73%-2,323-26.57%8,742
Pike2,27831.20%4,86066.56%1642.24%-2,582-35.36%7,302
Pope65029.25%1,51268.05%602.70%-862-38.80%2,222
Pulaski1,38946.12%1,56451.93%591.95%-175-5.81%3,012
Putnam1,55949.60%1,50247.79%822.61%571.81%3,143
Randolph5,75939.89%8,29057.42%3892.69%-2,531-17.53%14,438
Richland2,36232.44%4,75665.31%1642.25%-2,394-32.87%7,282
Rock Island39,15760.04%24,93438.23%1,1261.73%14,22321.81%65,217
Saline3,70134.52%6,80663.49%2131.99%-3,105-28.97%10,720
Sangamon42,10744.65%50,22553.26%1,9652.09%-8,118-8.61%94,297
Schuyler1,72744.26%2,06953.02%1062.72%-342-8.76%3,902
Scott91035.44%1,58761.80%712.76%-677-26.36%2,568
Shelby3,34232.01%6,84365.55%2542.44%-3,501-33.54%10,439
St. Clair67,28556.15%50,12541.83%2,4172.02%17,16014.32%119,827
Stark1,09541.13%1,52857.40%391.47%-433-16.27%2,662
Stephenson10,16548.11%10,51249.75%4512.14%-347-1.64%21,128
Tazewell24,43839.88%35,33557.66%1,5092.46%-10,897-17.78%61,282
Union3,13737.71%4,95759.59%2242.70%-1,820-21.88%8,318
Vermilion12,87842.36%16,89255.57%6302.07%-4,014-13.21%30,400
Wabash1,59030.97%3,47867.74%661.29%-1,888-36.77%5,134
Warren4,04451.73%3,61846.28%1561.99%4265.45%7,818
Washington2,45032.95%4,79264.45%1932.60%-2,342-31.50%7,435
Wayne1,51419.67%5,98877.80%1952.53%-4,474-58.13%7,697
White2,18830.90%4,73166.80%1632.30%-2,543-35.90%7,082
Whiteside14,83357.43%10,44840.45%5472.12%4,38516.98%25,828
Will144,22951.85%128,96946.36%4,9671.79%15,2605.49%278,165
Williamson10,64736.40%17,90961.22%6982.38%-7,262-24.82%29,254
Winnebago61,73251.70%55,13846.18%2,5272.12%6,5945.52%119,397
Woodford5,57229.42%12,96168.44%4052.14%-7,389-39.02%18,938
Totals3,019,51257.50%2,135,21640.66%96,7041.84%884,29616.84%5,251,432

[16]

County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Obama won 12 of 18 congressional districts.[17]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st20.25%78.94%Bobby Rush
2nd18.53%80.7%Jesse Jackson Jr.
3rd42.98%55.93%Dan Lipinski
4th17.06%80.9%Luis Gutierrez
5th31.81%66%Mike Quigley
6th53.31%45.1%Peter Roskam
7th11.79%87.22%Danny K. Davis
8th40.94%57.39%Tammy Duckworth
9th33.29%65%Jan Schakowsky
10th41.14%57.52%Brad Schneider
11th40.64%57.82%Bill Foster
12th48.13%49.74%William Enyart
13th48.95%48.64%Rodney Davis
14th54.2%44.18%Randy Hultgren
15th63.94%34.06%John Shimkus
16th52.89%45.17%Adam Kinzinger
17th40.64%57.58%Cheri Bustos
18th60.66%37.4%Aaron Schock

Analysis

[edit]

While Obama only won 23% of the counties in Illinois, most of the counties he won were heavily populated. His 17-point victory is attributed to his landslide performance inCook County where he received 73.88% of the vote and victories in the once Republican-favored collar counties (DuPage,Will andLake). He also performed well in theEast St. Louis area. Cook County, which encompasses theChicago Metropolitan Area, provides a crucial advantage for the Democratic Party. If Cook County's vote were excluded, Romney would have won the state with 1,639,684 to Obama's 1,530,975.

As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time a Democrat has wonAlexander,Carroll,Fulton,Henderson,Henry,Jo Daviess,Knox,Mercer,Putnam,Warren andWhiteside counties. Also, as a result of this election,Clark,Clay,Effingham,Edwards,Iroquois,Jasper,Massac,Richland,Wabash andWayne are the only counties in the state that never voted for Obama in his two runs for the presidency or in hislandslide election to the Senate.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abBorgsmiller, Rupert T. (Executive Director) (December 12, 2012).Official Canvass of the Illinois 2012 General Election.Springfield, Illinois:Illinois State Board of Elections. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2024.
  2. ^ab"Illinois Democratic Delegation 2012".www.thegreenpapers.com. The Green Papers. RetrievedMarch 24, 2020.
  3. ^abcBorgsmiller, Rupert T. (Executive Director) (March 20, 2012).Official Canvass of the Illinois 2012 Primary Election.Springfield, Illinois:Illinois State Board of Elections. RetrievedJanuary 16, 2024.
  4. ^"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2012.
  5. ^"Presidential Primary Dates"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2012.
  6. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: Results - Illinois".CNN. Archived fromthe original on July 29, 2012. RetrievedJuly 19, 2012.
  7. ^ab"2012 Illinois Green Primary". February 24, 2012. Archived from the original on October 29, 2013. RetrievedAugust 6, 2020.
  8. ^"2012 Illinois Green Primary results". Archived from the original on November 16, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  9. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  10. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  11. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  12. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  13. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  14. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  15. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  16. ^"2012 Presidential General Election Data Graphs - Illinois".uselectionatlas.org.
  17. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

External links

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