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2012 United States Senate election in Virginia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2012 United States Senate election in Virginia
← 2006
November 6, 2012
2018 →
Turnout66.4% (voting eligible)[1]
 
NomineeTim KaineGeorge Allen
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote2,010,0671,785,542
Percentage52.83%46.92%
County and independent city results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Kaine:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Allen:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
U.S. senator before election

Jim Webb
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tim Kaine
Democratic

Elections in Virginia
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Governor
Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Senate
House of Delegates
State elections
Commonwealth's Attorney

The2012 United States Senate election in Virginia took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to theUnited States Senate andHouse of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. SenatorJim Webb retired instead of running for reelection to a second term, and former Democraticgovernor of VirginiaTim Kaine won the open seat over Republican former senator and governorGeorge Allen.[2][3] Kaine was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans nominated Allen through a primary on June 12, 2012.[4] Allen had previously held this seat for one term before narrowly losing reelection to Webb in2006. This was the first open seat held at this seat since1988.

Democratic Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

In Virginia, parties have the option of whether to hold a primary or to nominate their candidate through a party convention. In November 2010, the Virginia GOP announced that it had chosen to hold a primary.[7]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in Primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Tim Donner, founder of Horizons Television and LibertyNation.com[12]
  • David McCormick, attorney[13]

Declined

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Three debates between Republican candidates were announced before the primary on June 12, 2012. The debates took place in Richmond, Northern Virginia, and Hampton Roads.[18]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		George
Allen		Other
candidates		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[19]February 24–27, 2011400±4.9%52%25%23%
Public Policy Polling[20]July 21–24, 2011400±4.9%58%23%19%
Public Policy Polling[21]December 11–13, 2011350±5.2%53%25%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		George
Allen		E. W.
Jackson		Bob
Marshall		David
McCormick		Jamie
Radtke		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[20]July 21–24, 2011400±4.9%68%2%2%0%6%22%
Public Policy Polling[21]December 11–13, 2011350±5.2%67%2%3%2%5%21%
Public Policy Polling[22]April 26–29, 2012400±4.9%66%2%8%—3%20%
The Washington Post[23]April 28 – May 2, 20121,101±3.5%62%3%12%—5%18%

Endorsements

[edit]
George Allen
Jamie Radtke
  • Bob Arment,Louisa County Republican Party Chairman
  • Steve Arrington,Bedford County Supervisor
  • James Fisher,Fauquier County Commonwealth's Attorney
  • Jeff Frederick, former Virginia House of Delegates member
  • Joe Glover, Family Policy Network president
  • Jack Reid, former Virginia House of Delegates member
  • Eva Scott, Former Virginia state senator
  • John Sharp, Bedford County Supervisor
  • Richard Viguerie, conservative activist

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[29]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGeorge Allen167,60765.5
RepublicanJamie Radtke59,00523.0
RepublicanBob Marshall17,3026.8
RepublicanE. W. Jackson12,0834.7
Total votes255,997100

Hank the Cat

[edit]

On February 27, 2012, aMaine Coon cat namedHank the Cat was announced to be running awrite-in campaign as ajoke candidate.[30] Hank's campaign raisedUS$16,000 for animal charities throughout the world.[31]

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Only Allen and Kaine qualified for the ballot.

Debates

[edit]

David Gregory moderated a debate between Kaine and Allen on September 20, 2012. Topics included partisan gridlock in Washington policy making, job creation, tax policy, and Middle East unrest.[34]

External links

Campaign

[edit]

Once incumbent U.S. Senator Jim Webb decided to retire, many Democratic candidates were speculated. These included U.S. CongressmenRick Boucher,[35]Gerry Connolly,[36]Glenn Nye,[37]Tom Perriello[38] andBobby Scott.[39] However, they all declined and encouraged Kaine to run for the seat, believing he would be by far the most electable candidate. Courtney Lynch, former Marine Corps Officer and Fairfax business consultant[40] and Julien Modica, former CEO of the Brain Trauma Recovery & Policy Institute,[40] eventually withdrew from the election, allowing Kaine to be unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Tim Kaine (D)$10,390,929$7,666,452$2,724,476$0
George Allen (R)$8,015,948$4,678,004$3,337,942$0
Kevin Chisholm (I)$24,165$24,162$0$0
Terrence Modglin (I)$5,655$5,389$266$0
Source:Federal Election Commission[41][42][43][44]

Top contributors

[edit]

[45]

Tim KaineContributionGeorge AllenContributionKevin ChisholmContribution
League of Conservation Voters$76,568McGuireWoods LLP$76,950Valu Net$2,475
Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld$51,650Altria Group$64,749Geolq Inc$1,500
University of Virginia$42,075Alpha Natural Resources$38,000
McGuireWoods LLP$38,550Elliott Management Corporation$35,913
Covington & Burling$36,700Koch Industries$35,000
DLA Piper$31,750Lorillard Tobacco Company$34,715
Bain Capital$30,000Alliance Resource Partners$33,500
Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom$28,250Dominion Resources$31,800
Patton Boggs LLP$26,750Norfolk Southern$31,550
Norfolk Southern$26,000Boeing$23,750

Top industries

[edit]

[46]

Tim KaineContributionGeorge AllenContributionKevin ChisholmContributionTerrence ModglinContribution
Lawyers/Law Firms$1,297,792Retired$709,693Misc Energy$250Lawyers/Law Firms$200
Retired$762,722Real Estate$384,038
Financial Institutions$477,700Lawyers/Law Firms$348,459
Business Services$373,900Financial Institutions$299,115
Real Estate$372,829Leadership PACs$277,000
Lobbyists$287,545Lobbyists$275,600
Education$282,475Mining$197,206
Misc Finance$218,600Oil & Gas$196,400
Leadership PACs$201,500Insurance$159,065
Entertainment industry$156,279Misc Finance$157,963

Independent expenditures

[edit]

In early October 2012,Crossroads GPS announced it would launch a $16 million advertising buy in national races, of which four were this and three other Senate elections.[47]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[48]TossupNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49]Lean DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[50]TossupNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[51]TossupNovember 5, 2012

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tim
Kaine (D)		George
Allen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[52]November 10–13, 2010551±4.2%50%44%—6%
Public Policy Polling[53]February 24–27, 2011524±3.5%47%47%—6%
The Washington Post[54]April 28 – May 4, 20111,040±3.5%46%46%—6%
Public Policy Polling[55]May 5–8, 2011547±4.2%46%44%—10%
Quinnipiac[56]June 21–27, 20111,434±2.6%43%42%2%11%
Public Policy Polling[57]July 21–24, 2011500±4.4%46%43%—11%
Quinnipiac[58]September 7–12, 20111,368±4.0%44%45%1%9%
Rasmussen Reports[59]September 28, 2011500±4.5%46%45%3%7%
CNU/Times-Dispatch[60]October 3–8, 20111,027±3.1%44%42%3%12%
Quinnipiac[61]October 3–9, 20111,459±2.6%45%44%1%9%
Public Policy Polling[62]December 10–12, 2011600±4.0%47%42%—11%
Quinnipiac[63]December 13–19, 20111,135±2.9%42%44%1%12%
Mason-Dixon[64]January 16–18, 2012625±3.9%46%46%—8%
Quinnipiac[65]February 1–6, 20121,544±2.5%45%44%1%9%
CNU/Times-Dispatch[66]February 4–13, 20121,018±3.1%40%42%2%16%
Rasmussen Reports[67]February 21, 2012500±4.5%46%46%3%5%
Roanoke College[68]February 13–26, 2012607±4.0%37%45%—19%
NBC News/Marist[69]February 29 – March 2, 20122,518±2%48%39%—14%
Quinnipiac[70]March 13–18, 20121,034±3.1%47%44%1%8%
Rasmussen Reports[71]March 20, 2012500±4.5%44%46%3%7%
Roanoke College[72]March 26 – April 5, 2012537±4.2%39%46%—15%
Rasmussen Reports[73]April 23, 2012500±4.5%45%46%4%5%
Public Policy Polling[22]April 26–29, 2012680±3.8%46%45%—9%
The Washington Post[74]April 28 – May 2, 2012964±4%46%46%—8%
Marist[75]May 17–20, 20121,076±3%49%43%—9%
Rasmussen Reports[76]June 3, 2012500±4.5%46%44%3%6%
Quinnipiac[77]May 30 – June 4, 20121,282±2.7%44%43%2%10%
We Ask America[78]June 25, 20121,106±2.95%35%44%—21%
Public Policy Polling[79]July 5–8, 2012647±3.9%46%44%—11%
Quinnipiac[80]July 10–16, 20121,673±2.4%44%46%1%10%
Rasmussen Reports[76]July 16–17, 2012500±4.5%46%45%5%5%
Quinnipiac[81]July 31 – August 6, 20121,412±2.6%48%46%—6%
Rasmussen Reports[82]August 7, 2012500±4.5%46%46%2%6%
Public Policy Polling[83]August 16–19, 2012855±3.4%46%46%—9%
Rasmussen Reports[84]August 23, 2012500±4.5%45%45%2%8%
Gravis Marketing[85]September 8–9, 20122,238±2.2%43%48%—10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll[86]September 9–11, 2012996±3.1%46%46%—8%
Rasmussen Reports[87]September 13, 2012500±4.5%47%45%2%6%
The Washington Post[88]September 12–16, 2012847±4%51%43%3%4%
Public Policy Polling[89]September 13–16, 20121,021±3.1%47%46%—7%
CBS/The New York Times/Quinnipiac[90]September 11–17, 20121,485±2.5%51%44%—5%
FOX NEWS Poll[91]September 16–18, 20121,006±3%47%43%1%9%
Gravis Marketing[92]September 17, 20122,238±2.2%43%48%—9%
Huffpost Politics[93]September 20, 20121,000±3%46%45%—9%
Suffolk University[94]September 24–26, 2012600±4%44%44%—12%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll[95]September 30 – October 1, 2012969±3.1%49%44%1%7%
Rasmussen Reports[96]October 4, 2012500±4.5%52%45%—3%
Public Policy Polling[97]October 4–7, 2012725±3.6%51%44%—5%
CBS/The New York Times/Quinnipiac[98]October 4–9, 20121,288±2.7%51%44%—5%
We Ask America[99]October 7–9, 20121,296±2.9%41%46%—13%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll[100]October 7–9, 2012981±3.1%47%46%—7%
Rasmussen Reports[101]October 11, 2012750±4.0%48%47%1%4%
Old Dominion University[102]September 19 – October 17, 2012465±3.4%50%43%—6%
Rasmussen Reports[103]October 18, 2012500±4.0%49%48%3%—
Rasmussen Reports[104]October 24, 2012750±4.0%49%48%3%—
The Washington Post[105]October 22–26, 20121,228±3.5%51%44%—5%
Roanoke College[106]October 23–26, 2012638±4.0%42%47%—10%
Gravis Marketing[107]October 26, 2012645±3.9%46%48%—5%
CBS/The New York Times/Quinnipiac[108]October 23–28, 20121,074±3%50%46%—4%
Reuters/Ipsos[109]October 29–31, 2012703±4.2%47%45%1%7%
855±3.8%50%38%1%11%
WeAskAmerica[110]October 30 – November 1, 20121,069±3%50%50%——
NBC/WSJ/Marist[111]November 1–2, 20121,165±2.9%49%46%—4%
Public Policy Polling[112]November 3–4, 2012975±3.1%52%46%—2%
Rasmussen Reports[103]November 4, 2012750±4%49%47%1%4%
Hypothetical polling

Democratic primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Boucher		Tim
Kaine		Tom
Perriello		Gerry
Connolly		Glenn
Nye		Bobby
Scott		Doug
Wilder		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[113]February 24–27, 2011400±4.9%9%53%9%3%1%9%8%9%
11%65%15%N/A9%

General election

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tim
Kaine (D)		Bob
Marshall (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 24–27, 2011524±3.5%49%35%—16%
CNU/Times-Dispatch[66]February 4–13, 20121,018±3.1%39%28%4%29%
Public Policy Polling[22]April 26–29, 2012680±3.8%49%36%—15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tim
Kaine (D)		Jamie
Radtke (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 24–27, 2011524±3.5%49%33%—17%
The Washington Post[54]April 28 – May 4, 20111,040±3.5%57%31%1%9%
Public Policy Polling[55]May 5–8, 2011547±4.2%49%33%—18%
Public Policy Polling[57]July 21–24, 2011500±4.4%47%31%—22%
CNU/Times-Dispatch[60]October 3–8, 20111,027±3.1%46%32%3%19%
Public Policy Polling[62]December 10–12, 2011600±4.0%49%33%—19%
CNU/Times-Dispatch[66]February 4–13, 20121,018±3.1%40%26%3%31%
Public Policy Polling[22]April 26–29, 2012680±3.8%50%35%—15%

with Rick Boucher

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Boucher (D)		George
Allen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 24–27, 2011524±3.542%47%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Boucher (D)		Bob
Marshall (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 24–27, 2011524±3.5%40%32%—28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Rick
Boucher (D)		Jamie
Radtke (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 24–27, 2011524±3.5%40%29%—31%

with Tom Perriello

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Perriello (D)		George
Allen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[52]November 10–13, 2010551±4.2%42%47%—11%
Public Policy Polling[53]February 24–27, 2011524±3.5%41%48%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Perriello (D)		Bob
Marshall (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 24–27, 2011524±3.5%39%35%—26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Tom
Periello (D)		Jamie
Radtke (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[53]February 24–27, 2011524±3.5%40%32%—28%

with Bobby Scott

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bobby
Scott (D)		George
Allen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[55]May 5–8, 2011547±4.2%39%44%—17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bobby
Scott (D)		Jamie
Radtke (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[55]May 5–8, 2011547±4.2%39%34%—27%

with Jim Webb

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jim
Webb (D)		George
Allen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[114]July 31 – August 3, 2009579—43%44%—13%
Public Policy Polling[52]November 10–13, 2010551±4.2%49%45%—6%
Clarus Research Group[115]December 7–9, 2010600±4.0%41%40%—19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jim
Webb (D)		Bill
Bolling (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[52]November 10–13, 2010551±4.2%48%39%—12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jim
Webb (D)		Bob
McDonnell (R)		OtherUndecided
Clarus Research Group[115]December 7–9, 2010600±4.0%39%42%—19%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Virginia, 2012[116]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticTim Kaine2,010,06752.83%+3.24%
RepublicanGeorge Allen1,785,54246.92%−2.28%
Write-in9,4100.25%+0.15%
Total votes3,805,019100.00%N/A
Democratichold

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Kaine won six of 11 congressional districts, including three held by Republicans.[117]

DistrictAllenKaineRepresentative
1st52.75%47.25%Rob Wittman
2nd47.94%52.06%Scott Rigell
3rd20.65%79.35%Robert C. Scott
4th49.92%50.08%Randy Forbes
5th52.96%47.04%Robert Hurt
6th59.04%40.96%Bob Goodlatte
7th55.17%44.83%Eric Cantor
8th30.54%69.46%Jim Moran
9th61.86%38.14%Morgan Griffith
10th49.55%50.45%Frank Wolf
11th36.24%63.76%Gerry Connolly

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^McDonald, Michael (February 9, 2013)."2012 General Election Turnout Rates".George Mason University. Archived fromthe original on April 24, 2013. RetrievedMarch 4, 2013.
  2. ^"Kaine hits the road to tout economic plan",The Washington Post.
  3. ^Trygstad, Kyle (February 9, 2011)."Webb Won't Seek Re-Election".Roll Call. RetrievedFebruary 9, 2011.
  4. ^"Va. Dems will choose U.S. Senate nominee in June primary".The Pilot Online. September 20, 2011. Archived fromthe original on September 30, 2011. RetrievedFebruary 9, 2012.
  5. ^Cillizza, Chris (April 5, 2011)"Tim Kaine announces for Senate in Virginia",The Washington Post. Retrieved April 5, 2011.
  6. ^O'Brien, Michael (April 5, 2011)"Tim Kaine launches Virginia Senate bid",The Hill. Retrieved April 5, 2011
  7. ^Heiderman, Rosalind (November 20, 2010)."UPDATED: Virginia GOP chooses primary over convention for 2012 senate race".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on October 10, 2012.
  8. ^abCatanese, David (January 24, 2011)."Allen e-mails supporters; Webb reacts".Politico. RetrievedJanuary 24, 2011.
  9. ^Sherfinski, David (May 8, 2011)http://washingtonexaminer.com/local/virginia/2011/05/dark-horse-candidates-expand-gop-field-va-senate-race[permanent dead link] Retrieved May 9, 2011
  10. ^GOP State Delegate Bob Marshall to Enter Va. Senate Race : Roll Call Politics
  11. ^King, Neil (December 27, 2010)."Tea Party Organizer Jumps Into Va. Senate Race".The Wall Street Journal. RetrievedDecember 27, 2010.
  12. ^Cain, Andrew (December 28, 2011)."Donner drops out of Virginia's U.S. Senate race".WSLS. RetrievedDecember 28, 2011.[permanent dead link]
  13. ^Kumar, Anita (March 29, 2012)."McCormick fails to make GOP Senate primary ballot; four others submit signatures".The Washington Post. RetrievedMarch 30, 2012.
  14. ^Brown, Carrie (October 2, 2011)."Liz Cheney won't run for office in 2012".Politico. RetrievedOctober 2, 2011.
  15. ^Kumar, Anita (August 16, 2011)."Cuccinelli says he may challenge Warner for U.S. Senate in 2014".The Washington Post. RetrievedAugust 16, 2011.
  16. ^Goodin, Emily (December 13, 2010)."Former Rep. Davis said it's unlikely he'll run for Virginia Senate in 2012".The Hill. RetrievedDecember 14, 2010.
  17. ^Corey Stewart Endorses George Allen in Virginia : Roll Call Politics
  18. ^Pershing, Ben (November 10, 2011)."Virginia Republicans announce plans for three 2012 Senate primary debates".The Washington Post.
  19. ^Public Policy Polling
  20. ^abPublic Policy Polling[permanent dead link]
  21. ^abPublic Policy Polling
  22. ^abcdPublic Policy Polling
  23. ^Washington Post
  24. ^Bolling Backs Allen In U.S. Senate Race | Virginia Right!
  25. ^Pershing, Ben (April 20, 2012)."George Allen gets endorsement from tea party-backed Sen. Ron Johnson".The Washington Post. RetrievedApril 24, 2012.
  26. ^Camia, Catalina (November 11, 2011)."Va. Gov. McDonnell endorses George Allen for Senate".USA Today. RetrievedDecember 6, 2011.
  27. ^"Allen wins Rubio's backing in bid for U.S. Senate".The Washington Times. June 14, 2012. RetrievedJune 14, 2012.
  28. ^"George Allen Getting Corey Stewart's Endorsement".NBC Washington. November 1, 2011. RetrievedApril 9, 2012.
  29. ^"June 2012 Republican Primary Unofficial Results". Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2012. RetrievedJune 13, 2012.
  30. ^"Meow! Hank the cat running for Senate".NBC News. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2023.
  31. ^"Hank the cat third in senate race - Yahoo!7 News". November 12, 2012. Archived fromthe original on November 12, 2012. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2023.
  32. ^Cillizza, Chris (April 5, 2011)"Tim Kaine announces for Senate in Virginia",The Washington Post. Retrieved April 5, 2011.
  33. ^O'Brien, Michael (April 5, 2011)"Tim Kaine launches Virginia Senate bid",The Hill. Retrieved April 5, 2011
  34. ^"Va. Senate debate: Kaine open to minimum tax, Allen sidesteps Romney".CNN. September 20, 2012. Archived fromthe original on September 24, 2012. RetrievedOctober 5, 2012.
  35. ^Gruenwald, Juliana (March 2, 2011)."Boucher Appears Unlikely To Seek Senate Seat".National Journal. Archived fromthe original on January 25, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2012.
  36. ^D'Aprile, Shane (March 4, 2011)."Rep. Connolly rules out 2012 Senate run; hopes for Kaine".The Hill. RetrievedMarch 4, 2011.
  37. ^Catanese, David; Martin, Jonathan (February 11, 2011)."Nye has "no interest," Kaine wary of run".Politico. RetrievedFebruary 11, 2011.
  38. ^Pershing, Ben (February 16, 2011)."Ex-rep. Perriello might run for U.S. Senate in Va. if Kaine doesn't".The Washington Post. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2011.
  39. ^Wilson, Todd Allen (September 5, 2011)."Rep. Scott says he won't run for Senate".Newport News Daily Press. RetrievedSeptember 5, 2011.[permanent dead link]
  40. ^abHester, Wesley P. (March 25, 2012)."Allen to face host of GOP challengers; Kaine none".Richmond Times-Dispatch. Archived fromthe original on March 29, 2012. RetrievedMarch 30, 2012.
  41. ^Tim Kaine Campaign Finances
  42. ^George Allen Campaign Finances
  43. ^Kevin Chisholm Campaign Finances
  44. ^Terrence Modglin Campaign Finances
  45. ^[http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=vas1OpenSecrets
  46. ^Donors by industry (opensecrets.org)
  47. ^Haberman, Maggie (October 2, 2012)."Crossroads launches $16 million buy in Senate, presidential contests". Politico.com. RetrievedOctober 2, 2012.
  48. ^"2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".The Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on August 29, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  49. ^"2012 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  50. ^"2012 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  51. ^"2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  52. ^abcdPublic Policy Polling
  53. ^abcdefghiPublic Policy Polling
  54. ^abWashington Post
  55. ^abcdPublic Policy Polling
  56. ^Quinnipiac
  57. ^abPublic Policy Polling
  58. ^Quinnipiac
  59. ^Rasmussen Reports
  60. ^abCNU/Times-Dispatch
  61. ^Quinnipiac
  62. ^abPublic Policy Polling
  63. ^Quinnipiac
  64. ^Mason-Dixon
  65. ^QuinnipiacArchived September 13, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  66. ^abcCNU/Times-Dispatch
  67. ^Rasmussen Reports
  68. ^Roanoke College
  69. ^NBC News/Marist
  70. ^QuinnipiacArchived March 20, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  71. ^Rasmussen Reports
  72. ^Roanoke College
  73. ^Rasmussen Reports
  74. ^Washington Post
  75. ^Marist
  76. ^abRasmussen Reports
  77. ^QuinnipiacArchived June 6, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  78. ^We Ask America
  79. ^Public Policy Polling
  80. ^QuinnipiacArchived September 25, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  81. ^QuinnipiacArchived September 13, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  82. ^Rasmussen Reports
  83. ^Public Policy Polling
  84. ^Rasmussen Reports
  85. ^Gravis Marketing
  86. ^NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll
  87. ^Rasmussen Reports
  88. ^Washington Post
  89. ^Public Policy Polling
  90. ^CBS/NYT/QuinnipiacArchived September 27, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  91. ^FOX NEWS Poll
  92. ^Gravis Marketing
  93. ^Huffpost PoliticsArchived September 4, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  94. ^Suffolk University
  95. ^NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll
  96. ^Rasmussen Reports
  97. ^Public Policy Polling
  98. ^CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
  99. ^We Ask America
  100. ^NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll
  101. ^Rasmussen Reports
  102. ^Old Dominion University
  103. ^abRasmussen Reports
  104. ^Rasmussen Reports
  105. ^Washington Post
  106. ^Roanoke College
  107. ^Gravis MarketingArchived October 30, 2012, at theWayback Machine
  108. ^CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
  109. ^Reuters/Ipsos
  110. ^WeAskAmerica
  111. ^NBC/WSJ/Marist
  112. ^Public Policy Polling
  113. ^Public Policy Polling
  114. ^Public Policy Polling[permanent dead link]
  115. ^abClarus Research Group
  116. ^"Virginia Elections Database » Search Elections".
  117. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

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