The2012 United States Senate election in Massachusetts was held inMassachusetts on November 6, 2012.Democrat Elizabeth Warren defeated incumbentRepublican SenatorScott Brown . This election was held concurrently with theU.S. presidential election and elections to theU.S. Senate in other states, as well as elections to theHouse of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Brown ran for re-election to a first full term. He was first elected in a2010 special election triggered by the death of incumbent Democratic senatorTed Kennedy . Brown was unopposed in the 2012 Republican primary. For the Democrats, an initial wide field of prospective candidates narrowed after the entry ofHarvard Law School professor Elizabeth Warren, the architect of theConsumer Financial Protection Bureau . Warren clinched near-unanimous party support, with all but one of the other Democratic candidates withdrawing following her entrance. After winning her party's nomination, she faced Brown in the general election.
The election was one of the most-followed races in 2012 and cost approximately $82 million, which made it the most expensive election in Massachusetts history and the second-most expensive in the entire2012 election cycle , next to the presidential race; this was despite the two candidates' having agreed not to allowoutside money to influence the race. Opinion polling indicated a close race for much of the campaign, though Warren opened up a small but consistent lead in the final few weeks. She went on to defeat Brown by over 236,000 votes, 54% to 46%. Despite his loss, Brown received 8.6% more of the state vote than Republican formergovernor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney did in theconcurrent presidential election and won 5 counties that voted Democratic in the concurrent presidential race: Barnstable, Essex, Norfolk, Plymouth, and Worcester.
This is the last Massachusetts U.S. Senate race that was decided by a single-digit margin or where the incumbent was defeated. Brown was the only incumbent U.S. senator to lose a general election in 2012. He later moved toNew Hampshire , where heran for the U.S. Senate and lost in 2014. Warren was sworn in on January 3, 2013.
Democratic U.S. SenatorTed Kennedy was re-elected in2006 , and died on August 25, 2009, from amalignant brain tumor .[ 1] On September 24, 2009,Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick appointed longtime friend of Kennedy and formerDemocratic National Committee chairmanPaul G. Kirk to succeed Kennedy until a special election could be held.[ 2] Kirk's appointment was especially controversial, as the governor's ability to appoint an interim senator was removed during theRomney administration by the Democratic-controlledlegislature , as a precaution if senator andpresidential nominee John Kerry was electedpresident in 2004 . Laws surrounding Senate appointment were quickly changed following Kennedy's death.[ 3] TheMassachusetts Republican Party sued in an attempt to halt Kirk's appointment, but it was rejected bySuffolk Superior Court Judge Thomas Connolly.[ 4]
In thespecial election held on January 19, 2010,Republican state senator Scott Brown defeated Democraticstate attorney general Martha Coakley in an upset victory.[ 5] Brown thus became the first Republican to be elected from Massachusetts to the United States Senate sinceEdward Brooke in1972 , and he began serving the remainder of Kennedy's term on February 4, 2010.[ 6] [ 7]
The National Republican TrustPAC , a group integral to Brown's 2010 election, vowed to draft a conservative opponent, citing dissatisfaction with his vote in support of theNew START nuclear arms treaty.[ 8] However, Brown went unopposed in the Republican primary.
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown More conservative challengerOther Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 10] September 16–18, 2011 255 ±6.1% 70% 21% — 9%
Republican primary results[ 11] Party Candidate Votes % Republican Scott Brown (incumbent) 133,860 99.46 Republican Write-ins 733 0.54 Total votes 134,593 100.00
TheMassachusetts Democratic Convention was held on June 2, 2012, where Warren received 95.77% of delegate votes.[ 12] As the only candidate with 15% of delegate votes necessary to qualify for the primary ballot, Warren eliminated her challenger Marisa DeFranco, becoming thede facto nominee. The Democratic primary was held on September 6, 2012, with Warren running unopposed.[ 13]
Tom Conroy , state representative (withdrew December 12, 2011)[ 16] Alan Khazei , founder ofCity Year (withdrew October 26, 2011)[ 17] James Coyne King, corporate lawyer (withdrew March 21, 2012)[ 18] Bob Massie , entrepreneur and nominee forLieutenant Governor of Massachusetts in1994 (withdrew October 7, 2011)[ 19] Herb Robinson, engineer (withdrew December 15, 2011)[ 20] Setti Warren , mayor ofNewton (withdrew September 29, 2011; endorsed E. Warren, no relation)[ 21] Mike Capuano , U.S. Representative[ 22] Kim Driscoll ,mayor of Salem [ 23] Barney Frank , U.S. Representative[ 24] Joseph P. Kennedy II , former U.S. Representative[ 25] Victoria Reggie Kennedy ,Ted Kennedy 's widow[ 26] Stephen Lynch , U.S. Representative[ 27] Rachel Maddow ,television host andpolitical commentator [ 28] Marty Meehan , former U.S. Representative[ 29] Thomas Menino ,mayor of Boston [ 30] Deval Patrick ,Governor of Massachusetts [ 31] John F. Tierney , U.S. Representative[ 32] Warren Tolman , former state senator and former state representative[ 33] Democratic convention vote[ 12] Party Candidate Votes % Democratic Elizabeth Warren 3,352 95.77 Democratic Marisa DeFranco 148 4.23 Total votes 3,500 100.00
Democratic primary vote[ 39] Party Candidate Votes % Democratic Elizabeth Warren 308,979 97.59 Democratic Write-ins 7,638 2.41 Total votes 316,617 100.00
On September 14, 2011, Warren declared her intention to run for theDemocratic nomination for the 2012 election in Massachusetts for theUnited States Senate . The seat had been won by RepublicanScott Brown in a 2010 special election after the death ofTed Kennedy .[ 40] [ 41]
Warren won the Democratic nomination on June 2, 2012, at the state Democratic convention with a record 95.77% of the votes of delegates.[ 12] She was endorsed by theGovernor of Massachusetts ,Deval Patrick .[ 42] Warren and her opponent Scott Brown agreed to engage in four televised debates, including one with a consortium of media outlets in Springfield and one onWBZ-TV in Boston.[ 43]
Brown campaigning in his truck Brown ran as a moderate, stressing his ability to cross party lines and highlighting his votes for theDodd-Frank financial reform law and to repeal "don't ask, don't tell ".[ 44] Warren campaigned on a platform championing themiddle class , and supportingWall Street regulation. Warren criticized Brown for continually voting with Republican leadership, and argued that he was not the bipartisan moderate he claimed to be.[ 45] [ 46] A staple of Brown's attack tactics against Warren was his consistent reference to her as "Professor Warren", in attempt to portray her as anelitist academic .[ 47] Brown faced blowback after the second debate, during which he claimed conservativeAntonin Scalia was a "model"Supreme Court Justice , prompting boos from the debate audience.[ 48]
Warren spoke at the2012 Democratic National Convention immediately beforeBill Clinton on the penultimate night of the convention. Warren contrasted President Obama's economic plan withMitt Romney 's in the2012 election and rebuked the Republican Party's economic policy stating: "Their vision is clear: 'I've got mine, and the rest of you are on your own.'" Warren positioned herself as a champion of a beleaguered middle class that, as she said, "has been chipped, squeezed and hammered."[ 49] [ 50] [ 51] According to Warren, "People feel like the system is rigged against them. And here's the painful part: They're right. The system is rigged." Warren said that Wall Street CEOs "wrecked our economy and destroyed millions of jobs" and that they "still strut around congress, no shame, demanding favors, and acting like we should thank them."[ 52] [ 53] [ 54] Brown attended the2012 Republican National Convention , but was not a speaker there. According to Brown, he had rejected an offer to play a larger role, and limited his attendance to a single day because of scheduling demands.[ 55] [ 56]
FollowingTodd Akin 's controversial"legitimate rape" comments , Brown was the first sitting senator to demand he drop out of theMissouri U.S. Senate race .[ 57] He also called on his party to "recognize in its platform that you can be pro-choice and still be a good Republican."[ 57] Brown's campaign had been endorsed by manyMassachusetts Democrats , many of whom were prominently featured in his campaign ads.[ 58]
Warren campaigning with retiring CongressmanBarney Frank (right) and his eventual successor,Joe Kennedy III (left) In September 2011, a video of Warren explaining her approach to economic policy gained popularity on the internet.[ 59] In the video, Warren rebuts the charge that asking the rich to pay more taxes is "class warfare", pointing out that no one grew rich in America without depending on infrastructure paid for by the rest of society, stating:[ 60] [ 61]
There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own. Nobody. ... You moved your goods to market on the roads the rest of us paid for; you hired workers the rest of us paid to educate; you were safe in your factory because of police forces and fire forces that the rest of us paid for. You didn't have to worry that marauding bands would come and seize everything at your factory, and hire someone to protect against this, because of the work the rest of us did. Now look, you built a factory and it turned into something terrific, or a great idea. God bless. Keep a big hunk of it. But part of the underlying social contract is, you take a hunk of that and pay forward for the next kid who comes along.
On July 13, 2012, President Obamasparked a controversy when he echoed her thoughts[ 62] [ 63] in a campaign speech saying, "Somebody helped to create this unbelievable American system that we have that allowed you to thrive. Somebody invested in roads and bridges. If you've got a business—you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."[ 64] [ 65]
Warren at a campaign event, November 2012 Warren encountered significant opposition from business interests. In August 2012, Rob Engstrom, political director for theUnited States Chamber of Commerce , claimed that "no other candidate in 2012 represents a greater threat to free enterprise than Professor Warren."[ 66] She nonetheless raised $39 million for her campaign, the most of any Senate candidate in 2012.[ 67]
Results by municipality Native American ancestry controversy [ edit ] In April 2012, theBoston Herald sparked an election controversy when it drew attention to Warren'sAssociation of American Law Schools (AALS) directory entries from 1986 to 1995, which listed her as a minority professor.[ 68] According to the AALS, the directory was compiled by information supplied by law school deans, based on questionnaires filled out by individual teachers.[ 69] Warren stated that she had self-identified as havingNative American ancestry in order to meet others with a similar background.[ 70] Harvard Law School had listed her as a minority professor in response to criticisms about a lack of faculty diversity, but Warren said that she was unaware of this until she read about it in a newspaper during the 2012 election.[ 68] [ 69] [ 71]
Her opponent Scott Brown speculated that she had fabricated a native ancestry to gain an advantage in the employment market; the Brown campaign used Warren's lineage in several attack ads.[ 72] [ 73] [ 74] In response, Warren's brothers issued a joint statement stating that they "grew up listening to our mother and grandmother and other relatives talk about our family's Cherokee and Delaware heritage".[ 75] [ 76] Brian Leiter of theChicago Law School dismissed the allegations against Warren, noting that law schools have "no pressure to hire Native Americans for affirmative action reasons", and that Warren's record of scholarship was "clearly sufficient to get her appointed at Harvard".[ 77] Several Brown staffers mocked Warren by doing the "tomahawk chop " at a Brown campaign rally, which Brown said he did not condone.[ 78]
According to the New England Historical Genealogical Society, several members of Warren's maternal family claim Cherokee heritage;[ 79] the society found a family newsletter that alluded to a marriage license application that listed Elizabeth Warren's great-great-great-grandmother as a Cherokee, but could not find the primary document and found no proof of Warren's Native American heritage.[ 74] [ 80] Some members of theCherokee Nation protested her claim to Native American ancestry and questioned whether she benefitted from it.[ 81] [ 82] Former colleagues and supervisors at the universities where she had worked (includingCharles Fried , former Solicitor General under President Ronald Reagan) said Warren's ancestry was either not mentioned, or played no role in her hiring.[ 69] [ 71] [ 74] [ 83]
The question of Warren's ancestry was pressed by the Brown campaign throughout the election. However, polls showed that most voters said that the controversy would not impact their vote in the election.[ 84] Warren's 2014 autobiography devoted a section to the allegations, describing them as untrue and hurtful.[ 85] In 2018, Warren released the results of aDNA test that strongly suggests that she had a Native American ancestor six to ten generations ago, and suggests Warren is between 1/64th and 1/1,024th Native American.[ 86]
Scott Brown
Politicians
Bob Ambler, Democratic former state representative[ 87] Robert A. Antonioni , Democratic former state senator[ 88] Kelly Ayotte , U.S. Senator (R-NH)[ 89] Michael Bloomberg ,mayor of New York City [ 90] Arthur Broadhurst , Democratic former state representative[ 91] Paul C. Casey, Democratic former state representative[ 92] Paul Cellucci , formergovernor of Massachusetts andU.S. Ambassador to Canada [ 93] Chris Christie ,Governor of New Jersey [ 94] Susan Collins , U.S. Senator (R-ME)[ 95] Robert Durand , Democratic former state representative[ 96] Lewis Evangelidis ,Worcester County Sheriff [ 97] Christopher Fallon , Democratic State Representative, 33rd Middlesex District[ 98] Kimberly Ferguson , State Representative, 1st Worcester District[ 99] Raymond Flynn , formermayor of Boston andU.S. Ambassador to the Holy See [ 100] Larry Giordano, Democratic former state representative[ 101] Rudy Giuliani , former mayor of New York City[ 102] Geoff Hall , Democratic former state representative[ 103] Bradley Jones, Jr. ,Minority Leader of the Massachusetts House of Representatives [ 87] Judith Flanagan Kennedy ,mayor of Lynn [ 104] Michael Knapik , State Senator, 2nd Hampden and Hampshire District[ 105] Richard Lugar , U.S. Senator (R-IN)[ 106] Konstantina Lukes , Democratic City Councilor and formermayor of Worcester [ 107] John McCain , U.S. Senator (R-AZ)[ 108] David Nangle , Democratic State Representative, 17th Middlesex District[ 109] Shaunna O'Connell , State Representative, 3rd Bristol District[ 110] Keiko Orrall , State Representative, 12th Bristol District[ 110] Marie Parente , Democratic former state representative[ 111] Karyn Polito , former state representative[ 112] Marco Rubio , U.S. Senator (R-FL)[ 113] Charles Ryan , Democratic former mayor ofSpringfield [ 114] Olympia Snowe , U.S. Senator (R-ME)[ 115] Philip Travis , Democratic former state representative[ 101] Anthony Verga , Democratic former state representative[ 116] William Weld , former Governor of Massachusetts[ 117] Christine Todd Whitman , former Governor of New Jersey[ 118] Donald Wong , State Representative, 9th Essex District[ 119] Labor unions
Military
Newspapers
Individuals
Organizations
Rescinded
Elizabeth Warren
Politicians
Sheila Bair , Republican former Chair of theFederal Deposit Insurance Corporation [ 149] Bill Bradley , former U.S. Senator (D-NJ)[ 150] Gary Christenson , mayor ofMalden [ 151] Max Cleland , former U.S. Senator (D-GA)[ 152] Bill Clinton , former president of the United States[ 153] Tom Conroy , State Representative, 13th Middlesex District[ 154] Joseph Curtatone , mayor ofSomerville [ 155] Howard Dean ,2004 Presidential Candidate and formergovernor of Vermont and Chairman of theDNC [ 156] Rosa DeLauro , member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Connecticut[ 157] Robert DeLeo ,Speaker of the Massachusetts House of Representatives , 19th Suffolk District[ 155] Michael Dukakis , former governor of Massachusetts[ 158] Russ Feingold , former U.S. Senator (D-WI)[ 159] Barney Frank , member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Massachusetts[ 160] Al Franken , U.S. Senator (D-MN)[ 161] Kamala Harris ,Attorney General of California [ 162] Patrick J. Kennedy , former U.S. Representative from Rhode Island and son ofTed Kennedy [ 163] John Kerry , U.S. Senator (D-MA)[ 164] Alan Khazei , social entrepreneur[ 165] John Lewis , member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Georgia[ 166] Raymond Mariano , former mayor of Worcester[ 167] Michael J. McGlynn , mayor ofMedford [ 168] Jim McGovern , member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Massachusetts[ 169] Thomas Menino ,mayor of Boston [ 170] Barbara Mikulski , U.S. Senator (D-MD)[ 171] Alex Morse , mayor ofHolyoke [ 172] Patrick O. Murphy , mayor ofLowell [ 173] Therese Murray ,President of the Massachusetts Senate , Plymouth and Barnstable District[ 155] Tim Murray ,lieutenant governor of Massachusetts [ 174] Richard Neal , member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Massachusetts[ 157] Barack Obama ,president of the United States [ 175] Joseph C. O'Brien , former mayor of Worcester[ 167] John Olver , member of theU.S. House of Representatives from Massachusetts[ 176] Deval Patrick ,governor of Massachusetts [ 177] Joseph Petty , mayor ofWorcester [ 174] Sharon Pollard , former mayor of Methuen[ 178] Ayanna Pressley , member of theBoston City Council [ 179] Stan Rosenberg , President Pro Tempore of the Massachusetts Senate, Hampshire and Franklin District[ 180] Bernie Sanders , U.S. Senator (I-VT)[ 181] John Scibak , State Representative, 2nd Hampshire District[ 180] Kathleen Sebelius ,U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services and formergovernor of Kansas [ 182] Jeanne Shaheen , U.S. Senator (D-NH)[ 183] Ellen Story , State Representative, 3rd Hampshire District[ 180] Niki Tsongas , member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Massachusetts[ 184] Setti Warren ,mayor of Newton [ 21] Labor unions
Newspapers
Individuals
Ben Affleck , actor[ 197] ArchbishopTimothy Paul Baymon , president of the Council of Churches of Greater Springfield[ 198] Cher , singer and actress[ 199] Sandra Fluke , women's rights activist[ 200] Jennifer Garner , actress[ 197] Caroline Kennedy , daughter ofJohn F. Kennedy [ 201] Edward M. Kennedy, Jr. , investment banker and son of Ted Kennedy[ 202] Joseph P. Kennedy III , candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives from Massachusetts[ 203] Bob Massie , priest, author, and social activist[ 165] ReverendEugene Rivers , co-founder of the Boston TenPoint Coalition[ 204] Bruce Springsteen , singer[ 205] James Taylor , singer[ 206] Organizations
Both candidates agreed to four televised debates, three of which were held. The candidates agreed to a fourth debate which was to be held on October 30 inWGBH-TV 's studio, hosted by a Boston mediaB consortium, and moderated byJohn King , but the day before both pulled out due toHurricane Sandy .[ 217] [ 218] Victoria Kennedy , widow of Ted Kennedy, had proposed an additional debate withTom Brokaw as moderator, but Brown would only accept the invitation if she pledged not to endorse Brown's opponent, which she refused.[ 219] [ 220]
Debate 1: September 20 atWBZ-TV studio, hosted by WBZ andWBZ Newsradio 1030 . Moderated by the station's political reporter Jon Keller.[ 221] [ 222]
Debate 2: October 1 atUMass Lowell , co-hosted by UMass and theBoston Herald . Moderated byDavid Gregory .[ 223]
Debate 3: October 10 atSpringfield Symphony Hall , hosted by a Western MassachusettsA consortium. Moderated byWGBY-TV 's Jim Madigan.[ 224]
The election cost approximately $82 million, making it the most expensive election in Massachusetts' history and of anyCongressional race in history up to that point, as well as the second-most expensive election in the2012 election cycle , behind only the2012 presidential election .[ 225] [ 226]
The People's Pledge[ edit ] Both Warren and Brown stated early in the race that they would not accept television advertisement assistance fromSuper PACs and interest groups. On January 23, 2012, both candidates signed the agreement, orPeople's Pledge . While no outside groups were obligated by the agreement, both candidates agreed to donate a sum equal to 50% of an advertisement run by any groups to a charity of the other candidate's choice.[ 227] The pledge was broken twice, by Brown supporters. In March theAmerican Petroleum Institute and Coalition of Americans for Political Equality launched ads supporting Brown, and as a result, the Brown campaign agreed to make donations of $1,000 and $34,545, respectively, to the charity of Warren's choice: the Autism Consortium.[ 228] [ 229]
Contributions by affiliationC Source:OpenSecrets 2012
Scott Brown Elizabeth Warren Contributor Contribution Contributor Contribution Fidelity Investments $289,455 EMILY's List $507,095 EMC Corporation $169,800 Moveon.org $448,517 Goldman Sachs $119,400 Harvard University $304,050 VoteSane PAC $113,250 MIT $77,200 State Street Corp $106,650 Boston University $73,700 MassMutual $106,198 Brown Rudnick LLP $68,077 Raytheon $89,350 University of California $63,600 Liberty Mutual $85,500 League of Conservation Voters $54,551 JPMorgan Chase $80,855 Ropes & Gray $52,950 PricewaterhouseCoopers $79,800 Thornton & Naumes $44,450
Contributions by industry Source:OpenSecrets 2012
Scott Brown Elizabeth Warren Industry Contribution Industry Contribution Retired $3,574,088 Retired $3,374,569 Securities & Investment $3,370,618 Lawyers/Law Firms $2,196,972 Lawyers/Law Firms $1,332,582 Women's Issues $1,588,383 Real Estate $1,192,258 Education $1,335,058 Insurance $914,504 Democratic/Liberal $1,253,375 Health Professionals $877,878 Securities & Investment $534,275 Misc Finance $828,501 TV/Movies/Music $476,814 Business Services $661,647 Health Professionals $456,006 Computer industry/Internet $637,825 Business Services $455,291 Republican/Conservative $616,158 Printing & Publishing $387,031
%Support Date 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 3/10/2011 4/28/2012 9/20/2012 10/28/2012 Warren Brown Other/Undecided Opinion polling for the 2012 United States S...
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown (R) Elizabeth Warren (D) Other Undecided W. New England U. [ 234] March 6–10, 2011 472 RV ±4.5% 51% 34% — 14% Public Policy Polling [ 235] June 2–5, 2011 957 RV ±3.2% 47% 32% — 21% WBUR MassInc [ 236] August 30 – September 1, 2011 500 ±4.4% 44% 35% 2% 19% Public Policy Polling [ 237] September 16–18, 2011 957 RV ±3.2% 44% 46% — 10% UMass Lowell [ 238] September 22–28, 2011 1,005 RV ±3.8% 41% 38% 3% 14% W. New England U. [ 239] September 29 – October 5, 2011 475 RV ±4.5% 47% 42% — 10% YouGov [ 240] forUMass Amherst November 9–22, 2011 433 RV ±4.4% 39% 43% 4% 14% UMass Lowell /Boston Herald [ 241] December 1–6, 2011 505 RV ±5.3% 42% 49% 3% 6% Opinion Dynamics [ 242] for Mass InsightJanuary 31 – February 4, 2012 456 RV ±4.6% 52% 42% — 6% MassINC [ 243] forWBUR February 6–9, 2012 505 LV ±4.4% 43% 46% 1% 11% Suffolk /WHDH [ 244] February 11–15, 2012 600 LV ±4% 49% 40% 2% 9% Rasmussen Reports [ 245] February 29, 2012 500 LV ±4.5% 49% 44% 2% 5% W. New England U. [ 246] February 23 – March 1, 2012 527 RV ±4.3% 49% 41% — 10% Public Policy Polling [ 247] March 16–18, 2012 936 RV ±3.2% 41% 46% — 13% Boston Globe [ 248] March 21–27, 2012 544 LV ±4.2% 37% 35% — 26% Rasmussen Reports [ 249] April 9, 2012 500 LV ±4.5% 45% 46% 1% 8% MassINC [ 250] forMassLive April 25–28, 2012 438 LV ±4.7% 41% 43% 1% 12% Rasmussen Reports [ 251] May 7, 2012 500 LV ±4.5% 45% 45% 2% 8% Suffolk /WHDH [ 252] May 20–22, 2012 600 LV ±4% 48% 47% — 5% Boston Globe [ 253] May 25–31, 2012 651 LV ±3.8% 39% 37% 2% 23% W. New England U. [ 254] May 29–31, 2012 504 RV ±4.4% 43% 45% — 11% Public Policy Polling [ 255] June 22–24, 2012 902 RV ±3.3% 46% 46% — 8% MassINC [ 256] July 19–22, 2012 445 RV ±4.4% 38% 40% — 16% Public Policy Polling [ 257] August 16–19, 2012 1,115 LV ±4.4% 49% 44% — 8% Kimball Political Consulting [ 258] August 21, 2012 1,500 RV ±4% 49% 43% — 9% Kimball Political Consulting [ 259] September 7–9, 2012 756 LV ±3.5% 46% 45% — 9% W. New England U. [ 260] September 6–13, 2012 444 LV ±4.6% 44% 50% — 6% Public Policy Polling [ 261] September 13–16, 2012 876 LV ±3.3% 46% 48% — 6% Suffolk /WHDH [ 262] September 13–16, 2012 600 LV ±4% 44% 48% — 8% UMass Lowell /Boston Herald [ 263] September 13–17, 2012 497 LV ±4% 49% 45% 1% 4% MassINC [ 264] forWBUR September 15–17, 2012 507 LV ±4.4% 40% 45% 2% 12% Kimball Political Consulting [ 265] September 20, 2012 868 LV ±3.25% 48% 47% 1% 3% UMass Lowell /Boston Herald [ 266] September 20, 2012 524 RV ±5.3% 50% 44% 1% 5% Rasmussen Reports [ 267] September 24, 2012 500 LV ±4.5% 48% 48% — 5% Boston Globe [ 268] September 21–27, 2012 502 LV ±4.4% 38% 43% 1% 18% WBUR [ 269] September 26–28, 2012 504 LV ±4.4% 45% 49% 1% 6% Opinion Dynamics [ 270] for Mass InsightSeptember 25–30, 2012 329 LV ±5.4% 44% 48% — 8% W. New England U. [ 271] September 28 – October 4, 2012 440 LV ±4.3% 45% 50% — 5% MassINC [ 272] forWBUR October 5–7, 2012 501 LV ±4.4% 48% 45% 1% 8% YouGov [ 273] forUMass Amherst October 2–8, 2012 436 LV ±5.4% 45% 48% — 6% Rasmussen Reports [ 274] October 10, 2012 500 LV ±4.5% 47% 49% — 4% YouGov [ 275] October 4–11, 2012 669 LV ±4.9% 39% 46% — 15% Public Policy Polling [ 276] October 9–11, 2012 1,051 LV ±3% 44% 50% — 6% Public Policy Polling [ 277] for theLCV October 15–16, 2012 709 LV ±3.5% 44% 53% — — Kimball Political Consulting [ 278] October 18–21, 2012 761 LV ±3.5% 45% 48% — 7% MassINC [ 279] forWBUR October 21–22, 2012 516 LV ±4.4% 44% 50% 1% 4% Rasmussen Reports [ 280] October 25, 2012 500 LV ±4.5% 47% 52% — — Boston Globe [ 281] October 24–28, 2012 583 LV ±4.1% 47% 47% — 6% Suffolk /WHDH [ 282] October 25–28, 2012 600 LV ±4% 46% 53% — 1% W. New England U. [ 283] October 26 – November 1, 2012 535 LV ±4% 46% 50% — 4% Public Policy Polling [ 284] November 1–2, 2012 1,089 LV ±3% 46% 52% — 2% UMass Lowell /Boston Herald [ 285] October 31 – November 3, 2012 800 LV ±4.1% 49% 48% 1% 1%
* RV= Registered voters; LV= Likely voters
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown (R) Martha Coakley (D) Other Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 235] June 2–5, 2011 957 ±3.2% 49% 40% — 10% UMass Lowell [ 289] September 22–28, 2011 1,005 ±3.8% 41% 40% 4% 15%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown (R) Tom Conroy (D) Other Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 237] September 16–18, 2011 957 ±3.2% 50% 31% — 18% UMass Lowell [ 290] September 22–28, 2011 499 ±5.4% 46% 25% 5% 24%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown (R) Marisa DeFranco (D) Other Undecided UMass Lowell [ 291] September 22–28, 2011 499 ±5.4% 48% 22% 4% 26% Suffolk /WHDH [ 292] February 11–15, 2012 600 ±4% 55% 22% 2% 22% Suffolk /WHDH [ 293] May 20–22, 2012 600 ±4% 49% 28% — 24%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown (R) Jim King (D) Other Undecided Suffolk /WHDH [ 300] February 11–15, 2012 600 ±4% 57% 21% 2% 20%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown (R) Stephen Lynch (D) Other Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 286] November 29 – December 1, 2010 500 ±4.4% 49% 30% — 20%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown (R) Rachel Maddow (D) Other Undecided Public Policy Polling [ 235] June 2–5, 2011 957 ±3.2% 49% 29% — 21%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown (R) Tim Murray (D) Other Undecided 7News /Suffolk University [ 304] April 3–5, 2011 500 ±4.4% 51% 23% 1% 24%
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Scott Brown (R) Herb Robinson (D) Other Undecided UMass Lowell [ 307] September 22–28, 2011 499 ±5.4% 51% 18% 5% 25%
Despite the Obama campaign's easy victory in the state, and winning all of the state's counties, Warren significantly underperformed Obama's margin. As expected, Warren performed very well inSuffolk County , which is home to the state's largest city and its capitalBoston . Brown performed well in the southern part of the state nearCape Cod . Warren made history by becoming the firstMassachusetts woman elected to the U.S. Senate.
By county
County Elizabeth Warren Democratic Scott Brown Republican All others # % # % # % Barnstable 63,277 47.6 69,597 52.4 42 0.01 Berkshire 45,256 70.7 18,683 29.2 32 0.1 Bristol 125,906 52.4 114,277 47.6 108 0.01 Dukes 7,387 67.7 3,520 32.3 5 0.01 Essex 180,861 49.5 184,225 50.4 189 0.1 Franklin 25,114 66.7 12,495 33.2 27 0.1 Hampden 108,414 54.4 90,538 45.5 216 0.1 Hampshire 52,417 65.7 27,827 34.2 75 0.1 Middlesex 420,142 55.9 331,004 44.0 545 0.1 Nantucket 3,435 56.4 2,653 43.6 3 0.01 Norfolk 174,269 49.0 181,187 50.9 2,584 0.1 Plymouth 111,643 43.6 144,172 56.3 137 0.1 Suffolk 208,779 72.6 78,469 27.3 293 0.1 Worcester 168,446 45.8 199,401 54.2 264 0.1 Totals 1,696,346 53.74 1,458,048 46.19 2,159 0.07
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district [ edit ] Warren won five of nine congressional districts, while Brown won four, which all elected Democrats.[ 312]
A report byCommon Cause found that the People's Pledge resulted in fewerattack ads on the airwaves.[ 313] A People's Pledge was implemented in the Democratic primary for the2013 Senate special election in Massachusetts [ 314] and the Democratic primary for the2014 Rhode Island gubernatorial election .[ 315]
Less than two months after the election, PresidentBarack Obama nominated SenatorJohn Kerry to becomeUnited States Secretary of State . Kerry was sworn in on February 1, making newly inaugurated Warren the state'ssenior Senator , and the Senate's most-junior senior senator.[ 316] In thespecial election to replace Kerry the following year, Democratic nomineeEd Markey asked his Republican rivalGabriel E. Gomez to sign a similar pledge with him, although Gomez refused.[ 317]
The election was a critical event in both candidates' political careers, with Warren becoming a political icon after entering the Senate, and being drafted to run for president in2016 and eventually running in2020 .[ 318] After the election loss, Brown was considered the most prominent Republican in Massachusetts and heavily favored to run in the special Senate election the following year or for governor in2014 ,[ 6] [ 319] though he declined to do either.[ 320] [ 321] He instead moved toNew Hampshire and ran for the Senate there in2014 against Democratic incumbentJeanne Shaheen .[ 322] He lost, 51% to 48%, becoming the first male candidate to lose two Senate races to female candidates.[ 323]
A.^ The Western Massachusetts consortium consists ofThe Republican ,Daily Hampshire Gazette , New England Public Radio, Valley Press Club, Springfield Public Forum,WSHM-LD ,WWLP-TV ,WGGB-TV ,WGBY-TV ,Western New England University , andUniversity of Massachusetts Amherst .[ 324] B.^ The Boston media consortium consists ofWGBH-TV /WGBH FM ,WBUR ,New England Cable News ,WCVB-TV ,WHDH , andThe Boston Globe .[ 218] C.^ The organizations themselves did not donate, rather the money came from the organizations'PACs , their individual members or employees or owners, and those individuals' immediate families. Organization totals include subsidiaries and affiliates. ^ "Ted Kennedy Dies of Brain Cancer at Age 77" .ABC News . August 26, 2009.Archived from the original on February 1, 2019. RetrievedAugust 26, 2009 .^ Kleefeld, Eric (September 24, 2009)."Patrick Officially Appoints Kirk As Interim Senator" .Talking Points Memo .Archived from the original on December 18, 2011. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2011 . ^ Louis Jacobson (September 24, 2009)."On whether the governor of Massachusetts should be able to appoint an interim U.S. senator" .PolitiFact.com .Archived from the original on December 31, 2013. RetrievedDecember 29, 2013 . ^ John R. Ellement & Andrew Ryan (September 25, 2009)."Judge rejects GOP bid to block Senate appointment" .The Boston Globe .Archived from the original on December 31, 2013. RetrievedDecember 29, 2013 . ^ Kane, Paul; Vick, Karl (January 20, 2010)."Republican Brown beats Coakley in special Senate election in Massachusetts" .The Washington Post .Archived from the original on January 22, 2011. RetrievedJanuary 21, 2011 . ^a b Silver, Nate (December 20, 2012)."For Scott Brown, a Third Round in the Battle Against Partisan Gravity" .FiveThirtyEight .Archived from the original on March 4, 2014. RetrievedFebruary 26, 2014 . ^ "Scott Brown sworn in as new U.S. senator from Massachusetts" .CNN . February 4, 2010. 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Archived fromthe original on January 18, 2013. RetrievedJuly 26, 2012 .^ Michael D. Shear (September 14, 2011)."Elizabeth Warren Posts Announcement Video for Senate Run" .The New York Times .Archived from the original on October 27, 2011. RetrievedSeptember 14, 2011 . ^ Roman, Jesse (February 8, 2012)."DeFranco unabashedly liberal in Senate run" .Salem News .Archived from the original on February 4, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 4, 2023 . ^ Conor Berry (December 12, 2011)."Tom Conroy abandons bid for U.S. Senate, narrowing Democratic challengers to Scott Brown" .The Republican (Springfield, Massachusetts) .Archived from the original on April 3, 2012. RetrievedDecember 12, 2011 . ^ Joshua Miller (October 26, 2011)."Alan Khazei to Give Up Massachusetts Senate Bid" .Roll Call .Archived from the original on December 30, 2013. RetrievedDecember 29, 2013 . ^ "Democrat James King drops out of U.S. Senate Race, pledges support for Elizabeth Warren" .The Republican (Springfield, Massachusetts) . March 21, 2012.Archived from the original on March 22, 2012. RetrievedMarch 21, 2012 .^ "Robert Massie drops out of Massachusetts Democratic U.S. Senate primary" .The Republican (Springfield, Massachusetts) . October 7, 2011.Archived from the original on July 2, 2013. RetrievedOctober 7, 2011 .^ Robert Rizzuto (December 16, 2011)."Newton Democrat Herb Robinson drops out of U.S. Senate race in Massachusetts" .The Republican (Springfield, Massachusetts) .Archived from the original on December 31, 2013. RetrievedDecember 29, 2013 . ^a b Gotsis, Chloe (October 27, 2011)."Mayor Warren officially endorses Elizabeth Warren for U.S. Senate" .Wicked Local Newton .Archived from the original on November 2, 2011. RetrievedApril 14, 2012 . ^ Miller, Joshua (September 2, 2011)."Mike Capuano Won't Challenge Scott Brown, Seeking Re-Election" .Roll Call .Archived from the original on December 19, 2011. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2011 . ^ Johnson, Glen (April 5, 2011)."Salem Mayor Driscoll skipping 2012 Senate race" .The Boston Globe .Archived from the original on April 17, 2011. RetrievedApril 5, 2011 . ^ O'Brien, Michael (February 3, 2011)."Barney Frank won't challenge Sen. Scott Brown in 2012" .The Hill .Archived from the original on February 5, 2011. RetrievedFebruary 3, 2011 . ^ Ballou, Brian R. (March 8, 2011)."Joseph P. Kennedy II reiterates he won't challenge Sen. Brown" .The Boston Globe .Archived from the original on March 11, 2011. RetrievedMarch 8, 2011 . ^ Lehigh, Scott (January 11, 2011)."A word with Kennedy" .The Boston Globe .Archived from the original on February 16, 2012. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2011 . ^ O'Sullivan, Jim (September 23, 2011)."Lynch Won't Make Senate Bid" .National Journal . Archived fromthe original on September 25, 2011. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2011 . ^ Blake, Aaron (March 26, 2010)."Maddow uses Globe ad to deny Senate run" .The Hill .Archived from the original on March 29, 2010. RetrievedMarch 26, 2010 . ^ Chabot, Hillary (November 9, 2010)."Eager Dems put bull's-eye on Scott Brown" .Boston Herald .Archived from the original on November 13, 2010. RetrievedNovember 9, 2010 . ^ Battenfeld, Joe (January 9, 2011)."Recovering Mayor Menino plans to stand and deliver talk" .Boston Herald .Archived from the original on January 10, 2011. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2011 . ^ Cheney, Kyle (December 2, 2010)."Patrick sounding out Brown rivals, eyes new legislative 'allegiances' " .GateHouse News Service .Archived from the original on December 6, 2010. RetrievedDecember 2, 2010 . ^ L'Ecuyer, Jonathan (February 1, 2011)."Rockport High students quiz their congressman" .Gloucester Daily Times .Archived from the original on July 31, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 4, 2011 . ^ Murphy, Matt (August 23, 2011). 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RetrievedSeptember 17, 2017 . ^ Bierman, Noah (May 30, 2012)."Deval Patrick endorses Elizabeth Warren for US Senate" .Boston.com .Archived from the original on January 2, 2013. RetrievedMay 30, 2012 . ^ "Elizabeth Warren agrees to WBZ-TV debate with Scott Brown – Political Intelligence – A national political and campaign blog from The Boston Globe" . Boston.com. Archived fromthe original on June 7, 2012. RetrievedJune 9, 2012 .^ Abby Goodnough (January 18, 2012)."Republican Senator Runs Away From the Party Line" .The New York Times .Archived from the original on November 29, 2014. RetrievedDecember 29, 2013 . ^ Levenson, Michael (October 2, 2012)."Brown, Warren fire away over voting, work records" .The Boston Globe .Archived from the original on December 28, 2012. RetrievedJune 8, 2013 .Warren criticized Brown's votes against Obama's jobs bills, against closing tax subsidies for oil companies, and against the so-called Buffett Rule to raise taxes on the wealthy. The votes, she said, show Brown is not the bipartisan moderate he claims to be. ^ Arsenault, Mark (October 12, 2012)."In new ad, Elizabeth Warren slams Scott Brown's votes on women's issues, Brown says Warren trying to scare women" .The Boston Globe .Archived from the original on December 31, 2013. RetrievedJune 8, 2013 . ^ Aliyah Frumin (October 10, 2012)."Elizabeth Warren: Brown still calling me 'professor' " .MSNBC .Archived from the original on December 30, 2013. RetrievedDecember 29, 2013 . ^ Brett Logiurato (October 1, 2012)."Scott Brown Shot Himself In The Foot During Debate With Elizabeth Warren" .Business Insider .Archived from the original on December 30, 2013. RetrievedDecember 29, 2013 . ^ "Elizabeth Warren: 'The System Is Rigged' " .ABC News .Archived from the original on November 9, 2014. RetrievedJune 27, 2020 .^ "Elizabeth Warren: 'Wall Street CEOs' Still 'Strut Around Congress' " .Bloomberg .com.Archived from the original on March 23, 2013. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2012 .^ "Warren attacks CEOs who 'wrecked economy' " .Financial Times . September 6, 2012.Archived from the original on September 8, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 7, 2012 .^ "Elizabeth Warren: 'The System Is Rigged' " .ABC News .Archived from the original on November 9, 2014. RetrievedOctober 12, 2014 .^ "Elizabeth Warren: 'Wall Street CEOs' Still 'Strut Around Congress' " .Political Capital .Archived from the original on December 31, 2013. RetrievedOctober 12, 2014 .^ Kirchgaessner, Stephanie (September 6, 2012)."Warren attacks CEOs who 'wrecked economy' " .Financial Times . Archived fromthe original on September 8, 2012. ^ Johnson, Glen (August 30, 2012)."Scott Brown says he was asked to play bigger GOP convention role but declined" .The Boston Globe .Archived from the original on September 10, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2012 . ^ Chabot, Hillary; Battenfeld, Joe."Scott Brown to Elizabeth Warren: I'm no ultra right-winger" .Boston Herald . RetrievedSeptember 9, 2012 . ^a b Burns, Alexander (August 21, 2012)."Scott Brown objects to GOP platform language on abortion" .Politico .Archived from the original on September 23, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 9, 2012 . ^ Blake, Aaron (July 27, 2012)."Scott Brown plays up crossover support" .The Washington Post .Archived from the original on July 30, 2012. RetrievedAugust 24, 2012 . ^ Sargent, Greg (September 21, 2011)."Class warfare, Elizabeth Warren style" .The Washington Post .Archived from the original on August 13, 2019. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2017 . ^ Smerconish, Michael (July 30, 2012)."The context behind Obama's 'you didn't build that' " .The Philadelphia Inquirer . Archived fromthe original on March 13, 2016. RetrievedAugust 23, 2012 . ^ Benen, Steve (September 21, 2011)."The underlying social contract" .Washington Monthly .Archived from the original on August 18, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2012 .^ Robillard, Kevin (July 25, 2012)."Scott Brown: Obama echoed Elizabeth Warren speech" .Politico .Archived from the original on September 3, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2012 . ^ Trumbull, Mark (July 31, 2012)."Elizabeth Warren: What will Obama's 'you didn't build that' ally say to DNC?" .The Christian Science Monitor .Archived from the original on September 2, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2012 . ^ Hennessey, Kathleen (July 18, 2012)."Republicans pouncing on Obama's 'you didn't build that' remark" .Los Angeles Times .Archived from the original on July 20, 2012. RetrievedAugust 13, 2012 . ^ "Fact check: What President Obama actually said about small businesses" .Truth team . Obama for America. July 17, 2012. Archived fromthe original on November 22, 2012. RetrievedAugust 13, 2012 .^ Noah Bierman,US Chamber calls Elizabeth Warren threat to free enterprise Archived August 13, 2019, at theWayback Machine The Boston Globe August 15, 2012 ^ Katharine K. Seelye,A New Senator, Known Nationally and Sometimes Feared Archived October 3, 2019, at theWayback Machine The New York Times November 10, 2012 ^a b Chabot, Hillary (April 27, 2012)."Harvard trips on roots of Elizabeth Warren's family tree" . BostonHerald.com. Archived fromthe original on July 10, 2013. RetrievedJune 9, 2012 . ^a b c Ebbert, Stephanie (April 30, 2012)."Directories identified Warren as minority" .The Boston Globe . Archived fromthe original on September 3, 2013. ^ Chabot, Hillary (May 2, 2012)."Warren: I used minority listing to share heritage" . BostonHerald.com. Archived fromthe original on May 3, 2012. RetrievedJune 9, 2012 . ^a b Carmichael, Mary (May 25, 2012)."Filings raise more questions on Warren's ethnic claims" .The Boston Globe . Archived fromthe original on May 25, 2012. RetrievedJune 9, 2012 . ^ Touré (October 5, 2012)."Elizabeth Warren, Scott Brown and the Myth of Race" .Time .Archived from the original on February 23, 2015. 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John McCain endorses Scott Brown" .The Boston Globe .Archived from the original on September 18, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 15, 2012 . ^ Mills, Robert (October 14, 2012)."State Rep. Nangle, a Democrat, endorses Brown" .The Lowell Sun .Archived from the original on December 7, 2012. RetrievedOctober 14, 2012 . ^a b Nichols, Christopher (November 3, 2012)."Scott Brown makes campaign stop in Taunton" .Taunton Daily Gazette . RetrievedNovember 4, 2012 . ^ Trufant, Jessica (June 2, 2012)."Scott Brown gets Parente support" .The Milford Daily News .Archived from the original on June 28, 2012. RetrievedJune 16, 2012 . ^ Trufant, Jessica (October 23, 2012)."Women Support Brown In Stop At Shrewsbury's Hebert Candy Mansion" .Westborough Daily Voice . Archived fromthe original on January 21, 2013. RetrievedOctober 23, 2012 . ^ Derby, Kevin (July 23, 2012)."Marco Rubio Goes to Bat for Scott Brown Against Elizabeth Warren" .Sunshine State News .Archived from the original on December 8, 2014. 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