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2012 United States Senate election in Maryland

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2012 United States Senate election in Maryland

← 2006
November 6, 2012
2018 →
Turnout68.2%
 
NomineeBen CardinDan BonginoRob Sobhani
PartyDemocraticRepublicanIndependent
Popular vote1,474,028693,291430,934
Percentage55.98%26.33%16.37%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Cardin:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Bongino:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Sobhani:     30–40%     40–50%
Tie:     30–40%     40–50%

U.S. senator before election

Ben Cardin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Ben Cardin
Democratic

Elections in Maryland
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
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Republican
2008
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U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
Government

The2012 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the2012 U.S. presidential election as well asother elections to theUnited States Senate,House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. SenatorBen Cardin won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nomineeDan Bongino and independentRob Sobhani.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Cardin—80–90%
  Cardin—70–80%
  Cardin—60–70%
  Cardin—50–60%
Democratic primary results[5][6][7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBen Cardin (incumbent)240,70474.2
DemocraticC. Anthony Muse50,80715.7
DemocraticChris Garner9,2742.9
DemocraticRaymond Levi Blagmon5,9091.8
DemocraticJ. P. Cusick4,7781.5
DemocraticBlaine Taylor4,3761.3
DemocraticLih Young3,9931.2
DemocraticRalph Jaffe3,3131.0
DemocraticEd Tinus1,0640.3
Total votes324,218100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Bongino—40–50%
  Bongino—<40%
  Douglas—<40%
  Douglas—40–50%
Republican primary results[6][7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDan Bongino68,59733.6
RepublicanRichard J. Douglas57,77628.3
RepublicanJoseph Alexander18,1718.9
RepublicanBro Broadus11,0205.4
RepublicanRick Hoover10,7875.3
RepublicanJohn B. Kimble10,5065.1
RepublicanDavid Jones8,3804.1
RepublicanCorrogan R. Vaughn8,1584.0
RepublicanWilliam Thomas Capps, Jr.7,0923.5
RepublicanBrian Vaeth3,7811.9
Total votes204,268100.0

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

A candidate's forum was held on Baltimore'sWOLB radio on October 24 including Senator Ben Cardin, Rob Sobhani, Dean Ahmad and Daniel Bongino.[15][16] An October 30 debate atSalisbury University to have featured those candidates and independent Ed Tinus[17] was cancelled in the aftermath ofHurricane Sandy.[18]

Campaign

[edit]

In 2006, then-U.S. RepresentativeBen Cardin defeated then-Lieutenant GovernorMichael Steele 54%–44%. Eric Wargotz, the Republican nominee in 2010 had considered entering the race but ultimately did not.

In both 2009 and 2010,National Journal magazine rated Cardin as tied for most liberal senator, based on his voting record. As of June 30, Cardin had $1.8 million in his campaign account.[19]

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Ben Cardin (D)$3,758,957$2,248,013$1,896,329$0
Daniel Bongino (R)$188,419$172,509$15,909$0
Dean Ahmad (L)$8,565$6,288$2,276$0
S. Rob Sobhani (I)$6,472,715$6,043,030$429,683$0
Source:Federal Election Commission[20][21][22][23]

Top contributors

[edit]

[24]

Ben CardinDaniel Bongino
Exelon Corp$39,250NORPAC$21,730
News Corp$35,375Avjet Corp$5,000
Johns Hopkins University$30,300Citizens United$5,000
Comcast Corp$26,123Oheka Castle$5,000
Ernst & Young$26,000Miller & Long Concrete Construction$4,891
Gallagher, Evelius & Jones$24,250Perinatal Center of Oklahoma$4,790
Venable LLP$23,750NYPD$3,950
DLA Piper$23,250Fitzgerald Shamrock Restaurant$3,947
DaVita Inc.$22,000Davidsonville Veterinary Clinic$3,250
Blue Cross & Blue Shield$20,750Constitutional Conservatives Fund$2,500

Top industries

[edit]

[25]

Ben CardinDaniel Bongino
Lawyers/Law Firms$441,242Retired$20,152
Real Estate$354,920General Contractors$8,641
Health Professionals$317,509Civil Servants/Public Officials$8,135
Financial Institutions$301,161Health Professionals$6,540
Pro-Israel$236,792Real Estate$5,700
Retired$222,410Republican/Conservative$5,500
Lobbyists$213,559Lodging/Tourism$5,000
Insurance$191,300Computers/Internet$4,110
Leadership PACs$191,000Food industry & Beverage$3,947
Entertainment industry$188,806Financial Institutions$3,800

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[26]Solid DNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]Safe DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[28]Safe DNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[29]Safe DNovember 5, 2012

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Cardin (D)
Daniel
Bongino (R)
Rob
Sobhani (I)
OtherUndecided
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies[30]September 17–23, 2012813±3.5%50%22%21%7%
The Washington Post[31]October 11–15, 2012843±4%53%22%14%2%9%
OpinionWorks[32]October 20–23, 2012801±3.5%50%24%14%2%10%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Cardin (D)
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[33]July 10–12, 2010569±4.1%51%33%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben
Cardin (D)
Michael
Steele (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[33]July 10–12, 2010569±4.1%58%28%14%

Results

[edit]
2012 United States Senate election in Maryland[34]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticBen Cardin (incumbent)1,474,02855.98%+1.77%
RepublicanDan Bongino693,29126.33%−17.86%
IndependentRob Sobhani430,93416.37%N/A
LibertarianDean Ahmad32,2521.22%N/A
Write-in2,7290.10%+0.05%
Total votes2,633,234100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
CountyBen Cardin

Democratic

Dan Bongino

Republican

Rob Sobhani

Independent

Dean Ahmad

Libertarian

Other

Other

MarginTotal

Votes

Cast

#%#%#%#%#%#%
Allegany950733.38%1466751.50%392014.60%3671.29%180.06%-5160-18.12%28479
Anne Arundel10832842.62%9380436.90%4850319.08%33201.31%2410.09%145245.71%254196
Baltimore19829052.55%9529725.25%7888720.91%44341.18%4390.12%10299327.29%377347
Baltimore City18912877.21%169316.91%3572414.58%29301.20%2320.09%17219762.63%244945
Calvert1729639.36%1727239.31%880620.04%5231.19%430.10%240.05%43940
Caroline442333.93%589845.24%257519.75%1220.94%180.14%-1475-11.31%13036
Carroll2283726.69%4179548.86%1973323.07%11181.31%660.08%-18958-22.16%85549
Cecil1499436.41%1845244.81%713717.33%5491.33%470.11%-3458-8.40%41179
Charles4263858.24%1675222.88%1303617.81%7210.98%580.08%2588635.36%73205
Dorchester655244.29%552637.36%256717.35%1320.89%160.11%10266.94%14793
Frederick4516139.80%4856342.80%1791315.79%17201.52%1120.10%-3402-3.00%113469
Garrett344827.87%826366.79%4923.98%1631.32%60.05%-4815-38.92%12372
Harford4327435.04%4540436.77%3314826.84%15351.24%1260.10%-2130-1.72%123487
Howard8026553.66%4289228.67%2381515.92%24621.65%1480.10%3737324.98%149582
Kent431244.45%360837.20%166017.11%880.91%320.33%7047.26%9700
Montgomery29371566.21%9401021.19%4961111.18%57901.31%4550.10%19970545.02%443581
Prince George's30577181.40%250806.68%4093710.90%35210.94%3390.09%28069170.50%375648
Queen Anne's738530.13%1254051.15%434417.72%2170.89%280.11%-5155-21.03%24514
St. Mary's1756638.29%1948042.46%806517.58%7231.58%420.09%-1914-4.17%45876
Somerset468646.70%356835.56%168216.76%860.86%130.13%111811.14%10035
Talbot810040.46%898644.89%272913.63%1730.86%320.16%-886-4.43%20020
Washington1970232.56%2816146.53%1178819.48%8241.36%410.07%-8459-13.98%60516
Wicomico1697441.41%1507236.77%842620.56%4521.10%630.15%19024.64%40987
Worcester967636.21%1127042.18%543620.34%2821.06%560.21%-1594-5.97%26720
Total147402855.98%69329126.33%43093416.37%322521.22%27290.10%78073728.90%2633234
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcdefg"Md. Former Teacher Plans Run for U.S. Senate".CBS Baltimore.Associated Press. September 21, 2011. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2011.
  2. ^"Maryland Politics: Cardin to kick off campaign - Politics and Policy from Baltimore, Annapolis and Washington".The Baltimore Sun.
  3. ^"Political Notes: O'Malley receives planning award".The Capital.Annapolis, Maryland. January 12, 2012.
  4. ^Fritze, John (January 5, 2012)."State Sen. Muse to challenge Cardin for Senate".The Baltimore Sun. Archived fromthe original on July 24, 2012.
  5. ^Fritze, John (April 3, 2012)."Ben Cardin wins Senate primary".The Baltimore Sun. Archived fromthe original on April 29, 2013. RetrievedApril 3, 2012.
  6. ^ab"Ex-agent Bongino wins Republican Senate primary; will face Sen. Benjamin Cardin in November".The Washington Post. April 4, 2012. Archived fromthe original on April 5, 2012. RetrievedApril 4, 2012.
  7. ^ab"Official 2012 Presidential Primary Election results for U.S. Senator".Maryland State Board of Elections. RetrievedMay 26, 2012.
  8. ^"Ex-Secret Service Agent To Run For Senate".CBS Baltimore.Associated Press. May 31, 2011.
  9. ^"John Bolton says Md. is "winnable" for GOP".The Baltimore Sun. March 6, 2012. RetrievedDecember 1, 2014.
  10. ^"Politics1 Online Guide to Maryland Politics". politics1.com. November 28, 2011. RetrievedDecember 3, 2011.
  11. ^Farrell, Liam (December 8, 2010)."Ehrlich not interested in another office".The Capital. Archived fromthe original on December 10, 2010. RetrievedDecember 10, 2010.
  12. ^"Maryland Politics: Murphy to chair Senate campaign, not run, in 2012 - Politics and Policy from Baltimore, Annapolis and Washington".The Baltimore Sun.
  13. ^Fritze, John (November 3, 2011)."Wargotz forgoes Senate run".The Baltimore Sun. RetrievedFebruary 2, 2012.
  14. ^"Facebook".Facebook.
  15. ^Razzi, Robin (October 24, 2012)."Senatorial Debate 2012: What You Missed".WOLB. RetrievedOctober 25, 2012.
  16. ^White, Brian (October 25, 2012)."Maryland Senate candidates debate on economy".Cumberland Times-News. RetrievedNovember 4, 2012.
  17. ^"Maryland Gazette Political Notes: Cardin, Bongino, Sobhani set first debate in Salisbury".Maryland Gazette. October 20, 2012. RetrievedNovember 4, 2012.
  18. ^Kunkle, Fredrick (November 2, 2012)."Rob Sobhani, independent in Maryland Senate race, makes closing argument".The Washington Post. RetrievedNovember 4, 2012.Hurricane Sandy forced Salisbury University to call off a debate that would have put him on the same stage with Sen. Benjamin L. Cardin (D) and Republican challenger Daniel Bongino.
  19. ^Wagner, John; Pershing, Ben (September 28, 2011)."In Md., Anthony Muse considers primary challenge to Sen. Cardin".The Washington Post.
  20. ^Ben Cardin
  21. ^Daniel Bongino Campaign Finances
  22. ^"Committee/Candidate Search".
  23. ^S. Rob Sobhani Campaign Finances
  24. ^"Congressional Elections: Maryland Senate Race: 2012 Cycle - OpenSecrets".
  25. ^"Congressional Elections: New York District 01 Race: 2012 Cycle - OpenSecrets".
  26. ^"2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".The Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on August 29, 2018. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  27. ^"2012 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  28. ^"2012 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  29. ^"2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedSeptember 20, 2018.
  30. ^Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies
  31. ^The Washington Post
  32. ^OpinionWorks
  33. ^abPublic Policy Polling
  34. ^2012 General Election Results,Maryland State Board of Elections, November 28, 2012. Retrieved January 16, 2018.

External links

[edit]

Daniel Bongino

Ben Cardin

Rob Sobhani

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