| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 3 Nebraska seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the threeU.S. representatives from the state ofNebraska. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennialpresidential election and anelection to the U.S. Senate.Primary elections were held on May 15, 2012.[1]
Aredistricting plan was passed by theNebraska Legislature on May 24, 2011,[2] after a five-hourDemocratic-ledfilibuster was defeated.[3][4] The plan signed into law byRepublicanGovernorDave Heineman.[5]
RepublicanJeff Fortenberry, who has representedNebraska's 1st congressional district since 2005, did notrun for the U.S. Senate, and is running for re-election.[6]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 55,658 | 86.4 | |
| Republican | Jessica Turek | 5,255 | 8.2 | |
| Republican | Dennis Parker | 3,511 | 5.4 | |
| Total votes | 64,424 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Korey Reiman | 14,804 | 62.9 | |
| Democratic | Robert Way (withdrawn) | 8,728 | 37.1 | |
| Total votes | 23,532 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Fortenberry (R) | Korey Reiman (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiese Research Associates[12] | October 23–25, 2012 | 200 (RV) | ±6.9% | 65% | 24% | 11% |
| Wiese Research Associates[13] | September 17–20, 2012 | 169 (LV) | ±5.4% | 69% | 24% | 7% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) | 174,889 | 68.3 | |
| Democratic | Korey L. Reiman | 81,206 | 31.7 | |
| Total votes | 256,095 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[16] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[19] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[21] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
RepublicanLee Terry, who has representedNebraska's 2nd congressional district since 1999, did not run for the U.S. Senate, and ran for re-election.[6]
David Wasserman ofThe Cook Political Report rates the race as "Likely Republican."[22]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lee Terry (incumbent) | 27,998 | 59.5 | |
| Republican | Brett Lindstrom | 10,753 | 22.8 | |
| Republican | Jack Heidel | 5,406 | 11.5 | |
| Republican | Glenn Freeman | 1,885 | 4.0 | |
| Republican | Paul Anderson | 1,051 | 2.2 | |
| Total votes | 47,093 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Ewing | 17,954 | 62.0 | |
| Democratic | Gwen Howard | 11,009 | 38.0 | |
| Total votes | 28,963 | 100.0 | ||
After his primary victory, Ewing promptly took a break from fundraising before starting up again at the end of June.By the end of the fundraising quarter had only raised $300,000 to Terry's $1.3 million. TheOmaha World-Herald would later describe this is "perhaps the race's defining moment" and one that prevented Ewing from gaining much traction in the general election.[30]
Terry's campaign also made mistakes, most notably releasing an ad that inaccurately quoted a nonprofit advocacy group.[31]
Organizations
Newspapers
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Lee Terry (R) | John Ewing (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiese Research Associates[34] | October 23–25, 2012 | 352 (LV) | ±5.2% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| DCCC (D)[35] | October 14, 2012 | 525 (LV) | ±4.3% | 48% | 44% | 7% |
| Wiese Research Associates[36] | September 17–20, 2012 | 331 (LV) | ±5.4% | 52% | 39% | 10% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[37] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[16] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[19] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[20] | Lean R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[21] | Likely R | November 4, 2012 |
Despite receiving very little help from national Democrats, Ewing outperformed Obama and lost to Terry by just 4,197 votes.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lee Terry (incumbent) | 133,964 | 50.8 | |
| Democratic | John Ewing Jr. | 129,767 | 49.2 | |
| Total votes | 263,731 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
RepublicanAdrian Smith, who has representedNebraska's 3rd congressional district since 2007, is running for re-election.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 62,645 | 81.4 | |
| Republican | Bob Lingenfelter | 14,297 | 18.6 | |
| Total votes | 76,942 | 100.0 | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Sullivan | 17,500 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 17,500 | 100.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Adrian Smith (R) | Mark Sullivan (D) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiese Research Associates[38] | October 23–25, 2012 | 200 (RV) | ±6.9% | 64% | 24% | 12% |
| Wiese Research Associates[39] | September 17–20, 2012 | 156 (LV) | ±5.4% | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg[16] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
| Roll Call[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Safe R | November 5, 2012 |
| NY Times[19] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| RCP[20] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| The Hill[21] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adrian Smith (incumbent) | 187,423 | 74.2 | |
| Democratic | Mark Sullivan | 65,266 | 25.8 | |
| Total votes | 252,689 | 100.0 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||