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2012 United States presidential election in South Carolina

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(Redirected from2012 South Carolina Republican primary)

Main article:2012 United States presidential election

2012 United States presidential election in South Carolina

← 2008November 6, 20122016 →
 
NomineeMitt RomneyBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateMassachusettsIllinois
Running matePaul RyanJoe Biden
Electoral vote90
Popular vote1,071,645865,941
Percentage54.56%44.09%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The2012 United States presidential election in South Carolina took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated. South Carolina voters chose 9 electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan.

Also on the ballot were Libertarian nominee, formerNew Mexico GovernorGary Johnson and his running mate,juristJim Gray. The left-wingGreen Party nominatedactivist andphysicianJill Stein and her running mate, anti-poverty advocateCheri Honkala. The conservativeConstitution Party nominated formerU.S. Representative fromVirginiaVirgil Goode for president, and former Chair of the Constitution Party Jim Clymer for vice president.

Romney defeated Obama in the state by 54.56% to 44.09%, a margin of 10.47%.[1] While the state is generally considered safe for the Republican Party, it remains somewhat competitive due to a highAfrican-American population, the sixth-highest in the country.[2] The majority of the Democratic vote comes from theBlack Belt, with areas such asRichland andCharleston counties, home toColumbia andCharleston respectively, providing high margins for the Democrats. However, this support is largely offset by suburban and rural white voters.[3] The state hasn't voted for a Democrat sinceJimmy Carter carried it in1976.[4] Romney also improved onJohn McCain's 8.97% margin in2008.

As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time where the counties ofBarnwell,Calhoun,Chester,Colleton,Darlington, andMcCormick voted for the Democratic candidate.

Primaries

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Incumbent PresidentBarack Obama ran unopposed in the Democratic primary and easily won with more than 99% of the vote. The Democratic primary was held on January 28, 2012, one week after the Republican primary.

Republican primary

[edit]
South Carolina Republican presidential primary, 2012

← 2008January 21, 2012 (2012-01-21)2016 →
 
CandidateNewt GingrichMitt Romney
Home stateGeorgiaMassachusetts
Delegate count232
Popular vote244,065168,123
Percentage40.42%27.85%

 
CandidateRick SantorumRon Paul
Home statePennsylvaniaTexas
Delegate count00
Popular vote102,47578,360
Percentage16.97%12.98%

Gingrich

  30–40%
  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%

Main article:2012 South Carolina Republican presidential primary
Elections in South Carolina
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House of Representatives
2012 U.S. presidential election
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Minor parties
Related races
← 200820122016 →

The Republican primary was held on January 21, 2012.

During the primary election campaign, the candidates ran on a platform of government reform in Washington.Domestic,foreign and economic policy emerged as the main themes in the election campaign following the onset of the2008 economic crisis, as well as policies implemented by theObama administration. This included thePatient Protection and Affordable Care Act, termed "Obamacare" by its opponents, as well as government spending as a whole.

The primary has become one of several key early state nominating contests in the process of choosing the nominee of the Republican Party for the election forPresident of the United States. It has historically been more important for the Republican Party than for the Democratic Party; from its inception in 1980, until the nomination of formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney in 2012, the winner of the Republican presidential primary had gone on to win the nomination.[5] As of2012, the primary has cemented its place as the "First in theSouth" primary for both parties.[6] FormerSpeaker of the HouseNewt Gingrich was declared the winner of the race as soon as polls closed, however, Mitt Romney went on to win the nomination.

Date

[edit]

The 2012 South Carolina Republican primary was tentatively scheduled to occur on February 28, 2012,[7] much later than the date in 2008, which almost immediately followed the beginning of the year in January 2008.[8] On September 29, 2011, the entire schedule of caucuses and primaries was disrupted, however, when it was announced that theRepublican Party of Florida had decided to move up its primary to January 31, in an attempt to bring attention to its own primary contest, and attract the presidential candidates to visit the state.[9] Because of the move, theRepublican National Committee decided to strip Florida of half of its delegates.[10] Also as a result, the South Carolina Republican Party, along with Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada then sought to move their primaries and caucuses back into early January.[10] All butNevada, who agreed to follow Florida,[11] confirmed their caucus and primary dates to take place throughout January, with South Carolina deciding to hold their contest on January 21, 2012.[10] It is anopen primary, meaning all registered voters can participate in the primary.[12]

Ballot access

[edit]

Nine candidates appeared on the presidential primary ballot.[13] South Carolina had only 25 delegates up for grabs because it moved its primary to January 21. Eleven delegates were awarded for the statewide winner, Newt Gingrich, and two additional delegates were awarded to the winner of each of the seven congressional districts. Six districts were won by Gingrich, and one by Romney, giving Gingrich twelve additional delegates and Romney two delegates.[14]

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the January 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries § South Carolina (January 21)

Results

[edit]
Main article:Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries

There were 2,804,231 registered voters, for a turnout of 21.60%.[15]

South Carolina Republican primary, 2012
CandidateVotesPercentageEstimated national delegates
Newt Gingrich244,06540.42%23
Mitt Romney168,12327.85%2
Rick Santorum102,47516.97%0
Ron Paul78,36012.98%0
Herman Cain6,3381.05%0
Rick Perry2,5340.42%0
Jon Huntsman1,1730.19%0
Michele Bachmann4910.08%0
Gary Johnson2110.03%0
Totals603,770100.00%25
Key:Withdrew
prior to contest

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[16]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
CNN[17]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[18]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[19]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[20]Solid RNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21]Solid RNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[22]Solid RNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
United States presidential election in South Carolina, 2012
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan1,071,64554.56%9
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)865,94144.09%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray16,3210.83%0
GreenJill SteinCheri Honkala5,4460.28%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer4,7650.22%0
Totals1,964,118100.00%9

By county

[edit]
CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Abbeville5,98156.05%4,54342.57%1471.38%1,43813.48%10,671
Aiken44,04262.59%25,32235.99%9991.42%18,72026.60%70,363
Allendale83820.13%3,29779.20%280.67%-2,459-59.07%4,163
Anderson48,70967.45%22,40531.03%1,0981.52%26,30436.42%72,212
Bamberg2,19431.88%4,62467.19%640.93%-2,430-35.31%6,882
Barnwell4,65946.95%5,18852.28%760.77%-529-5.33%9,923
Beaufort42,68758.24%29,84840.72%7621.04%12,83917.52%73,297
Berkeley38,47556.42%28,54241.85%1,1781.73%9,93314.57%68,195
Calhoun3,70747.32%4,04551.63%821.05%-338-4.31%7,834
Charleston77,62948.01%81,48750.39%2,5911.60%-3,858-2.38%161,707
Cherokee13,31464.09%7,23134.81%2281.10%6,08329.28%20,773
Chester6,36744.19%7,89154.77%1491.04%-1,524-10.58%14,407
Chesterfield8,49051.16%7,95847.96%1460.88%5323.20%16,594
Clarendon7,07143.40%9,09155.80%1300.80%-2,020-12.40%16,292
Colleton8,44349.41%8,47549.60%1680.99%-32-0.19%17,086
Darlington14,43447.87%15,45751.27%2590.86%-1,023-3.40%30,150
Dillon5,42741.63%7,52357.71%850.66%-2,096-16.08%13,035
Dorchester32,53157.22%23,44541.24%8791.54%9,08615.98%56,855
Edgefield6,51256.21%4,96742.87%1070.92%1,54513.34%11,586
Fairfield3,99933.62%7,77765.38%1191.00%-3,778-31.76%11,895
Florence28,96149.83%28,61449.23%5470.94%3470.60%58,122
Georgetown16,52653.37%14,16345.74%2760.89%2,3637.63%30,965
Greenville121,68562.99%68,07035.23%3,4341.78%53,61527.76%193,189
Greenwood16,34857.02%11,97241.76%3521.22%4,37615.26%28,672
Hampton3,31235.98%5,83463.37%600.65%-2,522-27.39%9,206
Horry72,12764.17%38,88534.60%1,3811.23%33,24229.57%112,393
Jasper4,16941.60%5,75757.45%950.95%-1,588-15.85%10,021
Kershaw16,32458.41%11,25940.29%3631.30%5,06518.12%27,946
Lancaster19,33358.33%13,41940.49%3921.18%5,91417.84%33,144
Laurens14,74658.02%10,31840.60%3521.38%4,42817.42%25,416
Lee2,83231.80%5,97767.10%981.10%-3,145-35.30%8,907
Lexington76,66268.07%34,14830.32%1,8131.61%42,51437.75%112,623
Marion5,16434.46%9,68864.65%1340.89%-4,524-30.19%14,986
Marlboro3,67637.31%6,10061.91%770.78%-2,424-24.60%9,853
McCormick2,46747.81%2,65351.41%400.78%-186-3.60%5,160
Newberry9,26056.63%6,91342.28%1781.09%2,34714.35%16,351
Oconee21,61170.47%8,55027.88%5051.65%13,06142.59%30,666
Orangeburg12,02227.93%30,72071.37%2990.70%-18,698-43.44%43,041
Pickens33,47473.49%11,15624.49%9192.02%22,13849.00%45,549
Richland53,10533.37%103,98965.34%2,0601.29%-50,884-31.97%159,154
Saluda5,13559.96%3,32838.86%1011.18%1,80721.10%8,564
Spartanburg66,96960.93%41,46137.72%1,4761.35%25,50823.21%109,906
Sumter19,27440.74%27,58958.32%4460.94%-8,315-17.58%47,309
Union6,58452.50%5,79646.22%1611.28%7886.28%12,541
Williamsburg4,82429.59%11,33569.52%1450.89%-6,511-39.93%16,304
York59,54659.42%39,13139.05%1,5331.53%20,41520.37%100,210
Totals1,071,64554.56%865,94144.09%26,5321.35%205,70410.47%1,964,118
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Romney won six of seven congressional districts.[23]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st58.25%40.2%Tim Scott
2nd59.14%39.43%Joe Wilson
3rd64.55%33.95%Jeff Duncan
4th62.17%36.2%Trey Gowdy
5th55.1%43.62%Mick Mulvaney
6th28.1%70.9%Jim Clyburn
7th54.55%44.43%Tom Rice

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". RetrievedDecember 7, 2012.
  2. ^"Decennial Census by Decades".The United States Census Bureau. RetrievedNovember 17, 2020.
  3. ^"The Road to 270: South Carolina".270toWin.com. RetrievedNovember 17, 2020.
  4. ^"South Carolina Presidential Election Voting History".270toWin.com. RetrievedNovember 17, 2020.
  5. ^"GOP bellwether South Carolina shows a tangled race: Pg 1".Christian Science Monitor. RetrievedJanuary 20, 2008.
  6. ^"First in the South".Fox News. Archived fromthe original on January 22, 2008. RetrievedJanuary 20, 2008.
  7. ^Falcone, Michael (September 2, 2011)."South Carolina GOP Officials Hope To Strike Deal With Florida To 'Calm' 2012 Primary Waters".ABC News. RetrievedNovember 4, 2011.
  8. ^"South Carolina Primary Results".The New York Times. RetrievedNovember 4, 2011.
  9. ^Taylor, Steven (September 29, 2011)."Florida Moves its Primary". Outside the Beltway. RetrievedNovember 3, 2011.
  10. ^abcJacobs, Jennifer (October 25, 2011)."GOP chairman: Florida will be penalized, and 2012 race is now set".Des Moines Register. RetrievedNovember 3, 2011.
  11. ^Nir, David (October 24, 2011)."Nevada Republicans cave, move caucuses to Feb. 4". Daily Kos. RetrievedNovember 3, 2011.
  12. ^Richard E. Berg-Andersson."South Carolina Republican".The Green Papers. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2012.
  13. ^Whitmire, C."2012 Republican Presidential Primary Candidates". South Carolina State Election Commission. Archived fromthe original on August 22, 2012. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2012.
  14. ^Kleefeld, Eric (January 4, 2012)."South Carolina GOP Chairman: 'Anyone Can Win' In Our Primary".Talking Points Memo. Archived fromthe original on January 11, 2012. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2012.
  15. ^"South Carolina Primary". South Carolina State Election Commission. February 3, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 22, 2012.
  16. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  17. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  18. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  19. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  20. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  21. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  22. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  23. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

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