2012 Northern Territory general election

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All 25 seats of theNorthern Territory Legislative Assembly 13 seats were needed for a majority
Turnout	76.9 ( 1.3pp)
First party Second party   Leader Terry Mills Paul Henderson Party Country Liberal Labor Leader since 29 January 2008 26 November 2007 Leader's seat Blain Wanguri Last election 11 seats 13 seats Seats before 11 12 Seats won 16 8 Seat change 5 4 Popular vote 46,653 33,594 Percentage 50.6% 36.5% Swing 5.2 6.7 TPP 55.8%[1] 44.2%[1] TPP swing 5.1 5.1
Chief Minister before election Paul Henderson Labor Elected Chief Minister Terry Mills Country Liberal

A general election was held in theNorthern Territory on Saturday 25 August 2012, which elected all 25 members of theLegislative Assembly in theunicameralNorthern Territory Parliament.

The 11-yearLabor Party government led byChief MinisterPaul Henderson was decisively defeated in their attempt to win a fourth term against the oppositionCountry Liberal Party led byopposition leaderTerry Mills with a swing of five seats, losing the normally safe Labor remote seats ofArafura,Arnhem,Daly,Namatjira andStuart, whilst retaining their urban seats picked up at the2001 election.^[2][3]

The election was the beginning of an ongoingpolitical realignment in the Northern Territory. Traditionally, remoteIndigenous communities had strongly voted Labor. However, at this election, there was a large swing against Labor in Indigenous communities, resulting in the CLP gaining five remote seats usually consideredsafe Labor seats.

Results of the Northern Territory general election,Legislative Assembly^[4]

Party		Votes	%	+/–	Seats	+/–
	Country Liberal	46,653	50.63	5.23	16	+5
	Labor	33,594	36.46	6.72	8	–5
	Independents	5,566	6.04	1.08	1	±0
	Greens	3,039	3.30	1.00	0	±0
	First Nations	2,048	2.22	New	0	±0
	Sex Party	717	0.78	New	0	±0
	No Affiliation	526	0.57	New	0	±0
Total		92,143	100.00	–	25	–
Valid votes		92,143	96.77
Invalid/blank votes		3,072	3.23	–0.9
Total votes		95,215	100.00	–
Registered voters/turnout		123,805	76.91	+1.3
	Country Liberal	51,435	55.82
	Labor	40,709	44.18
Total		92,144	100.00

Independents:Gerry Wood

Two safe Labor seats were uncontested at the previous election and therefore did not contribute to votes and results, all seats were contested at this election with the two previously uncontested Labor seats both won by the CLP.

Members in italics did not re-contest their Legislative Assembly seats at this election.

Historically, remote areas had voted Labor while the urban areas had voted CLP. The CLP had governed since theinitial 1974 election until Labor led byClare Martin surprisingly came to power with a one-seatmajority government at the2001 election, mainly by sweeping Darwin's more diverse northern suburbs. Labor won in a landslide at the2005 election, winning the second-largest majority in the Territory's history and reducing the CLP to only four seats. Although Labor led by Henderson retained a one-seat majority government at the2008 election on 13 Labor, 11 CLP, 1 independent with only 49.3 percent of thetwo-party preferred vote, Labor had won two seats uncontested by the CLP—all seats were contested again at the 2012 election. Labor, the CLP, theNorthern Territory Greens, theFirst Nations Political Party and theAustralian Sex Party were running endorsed candidates.

Aminority government was led by Henderson from mid-2009 whenAlison Anderson resigned from the Labor Party to sit as an independent member of parliament. Anderson along with the existing independentGerry Wood signed a letter to the speaker of parliament to push sittings forward, prompting CLP leader Mills to table amotion of no confidence on Monday 10 August 2009.^[5][6][7] Wood ended up voting with the government, defeating the motion of no confidence.^[8] Anderson joined the CLP in September 2011, resulting in 12 Labor, 12 CLP, 1 independent.^[9] Wood and Anderson retained their seats at the 2012 election.

In October 2010, former CLP leaderJodeen Carney resigned in her seat, anAraluen by-election was held, the CLP retained the seat but suffered a 6.6-pointtwo-party preferred swing.

Like theAustralian House of Representatives, members were elected through full-preferenceinstant-runoff voting insingle-member electorates. The election was conducted by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission, an independent body answerable to Parliament.

In a change to polling in remote electorates, where most voting was previously conducted by mobile polling teams, for the first time there was full election day voting in major regional indigenous centres. As such, swings may be distorted. The conducting of a formal polling place could also alter the way voting takes places and increase the local turnout. Mobile polling teams were still used but they took many fewer votes than in the past. In addition, for the first time in the territory, there was an electronic feed of results, the last administration in Australia to go electronic.^[10]

The Henderson Labor government introduced fixed four-year terms following the previous election.^[11]

The Legislative Assembly was dissolved on 6 August 2012. The electoral roll was closed on 8 August and nominations on 10 August, prior to polling day on 25 August.^[12]

The election was held on the same day as theHeffron state by-election inNew South Wales.

• Jane Aagaard (Nightcliff)
• Chris Burns (Johnston)
• Marion Scrymgour (Arafura)

Sitting members are listed in bold. Successful candidates are highlighted in the relevant colour.

• Two previousOne Nation candidates ran, One Nation Northern Territory Branch President John Kearney inGoyder and Peter Bussa from NSW inJohnston.

The following pendulum is known as theMackerras pendulum, invented bypsephologistMalcolm Mackerras. The pendulum works by lining up all of the seats held in theLegislative Assembly according to thepercentage point margin they are held by on a two-party-preferred basis. This is also known as theswing required for the seat to change hands. Given a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties, the number of seats that change hands can be predicted. Results are notional calculations of the redistribution.^[13]

Members listed in italics did not re-contest their seat at the election.

• Northern Territory Electoral Commission

• Elections in the Northern Territory
• 2012 elections in Australia
• 2010s in the Northern Territory
• August 2012 in Australia

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