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2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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For related races, see2012 United States gubernatorial elections.

2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
← 2010
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
2014 →
 
NomineeMaggie HassanOvide Lamontagne
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote378,934294,024
Percentage54.61%42.53%
County results
Municipality results
Congressional district results
Hassan:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
Lamontagne:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     40–50%
Governor before election

John Lynch
Democratic

Elected Governor

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

Elections in New Hampshire
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The2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the2012 U.S. presidential election,U.S. House elections, and various state and local elections.

Four-term incumbent governorJohn Lynch was eligible to seek a fifth term. In the fall of 2011, Lynch announced that he would retire rather than run for re-election.[1] On September 11, 2012, DemocratMaggie Hassan and RepublicanOvide Lamontagne defeated primary opponents to win their parties' nominations.[2][3] Hassan won the election while carrying every county in the state and began the two-year term on January 3, 2013.[4]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jackie
Cilley		Maggie
Hassan		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[14]August 9–12, 2012400± 4.9%24%30%—46%
Public Policy Polling[15]May 10–13, 2012477± 4.5%20%23%—57%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Hassan—60–70%
  Hassan—50–60%
  Hassan—40–50%
  Cilley—50–60%
  Cilley—40–50%
Democratic primary results[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMaggie Hassan45,12053.1
DemocraticJackie Cilley33,06638.9
DemocraticBill Kennedy5,9367.0
DemocraticOther8501.0
Total votes84,972100

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ovide
Lamontagne		Kevin
Smith		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[14]August 9–12, 2012662± 3.8%49%21%—30%
Public Policy Polling[15]May 10–13, 2012555± 4.2%53%13%—34%
Public Policy Polling[27]January 7–8, 20121,771± 2.3%40%12%—48%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Lamontagne—80–90%
  Lamontagne—60–70%
Republican primary results[28]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanOvide Lamontagne73,43767.7
RepublicanKevin Smith32,39629.8
RepublicanRobert Tarr1,7251.6
RepublicanOther9880.9
Total votes108,546100

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]TossupNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Lean DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[32]TossupNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[33]Lean DNovember 5, 2012

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maggie
Hassan (D)		Ovide
Lamontagne (R)		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports[34]November 4, 2012750± 4%50%45%1%4%
New England College[35]November 3–4, 2012666± 4.1%47%45%1%7%
Public Policy Polling[36]November 3–4, 20121,550± 2.5%51%47%—2%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[37]November 1–4, 2012789± 3.5%54%43%3%—
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[38]October 31–November 2, 2012502± 4.4%47%42%3%8%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[39]October 28–29, 20121013± 3.1%49%44%1%6%
Public Policy Polling[40]October 26–28, 2012874± 3.3%48%44%—8%
New England College[41]October 23–25, 2012571± 4.1%45%45%1%9%
Rasmussen Reports[42]October 23, 2012500± 4.5%46%48%1%5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[43]October 17–21, 2012773± 3.5%43%35%3%18%
Public Policy Polling[44]October 17–19, 20121,036± 3.0%45%43%—12%
Rasmussen Reports[45]October 15, 2012500± 4.5%46%48%—5%
Suffolk University/7NEWS[46]October 12–14, 2012500± 4.4%41%38%4%16%
American Research Group[47]October 9–11, 2012600± 4%40%46%3%11%
Rasmussen Reports[48]October 9, 2012500± 4.5%48%46%—5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[49]October 1–6, 2012419± 4.8%35%39%3%23%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[50]September 27–30, 2012600± 4.0%38%36%2%25%
Public Policy Polling[51]September 24–25, 2012862± 3.3%51%44%—5%
NBC/The Wall Street Journal/Marist College[52]September 23–25, 20121012± 3.1%47%45%1%7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[53]September 15–19, 2012600± 4.9%48%46%—6%
Rasmussen Reports[54]September 18, 2012500± 4.5%44%48%2%7%
Public Policy Polling[15]August 9–12, 20121,055± 3.0%45%43%—12%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[55]August 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%31%33%1%35%
Rasmussen Reports[56]June 20, 2012500± 4.5%36%42%—22%
Public Policy Polling[15]May 10–13, 20121,163± 2.9%39%40%—21%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[57]April 9–20, 2012486± 4.4%34%29%1%36%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[58]January 25–February 2, 2012495± 4.4%26%32%1%41%
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30–July 5, 2011662± 3.8%35%41%—24%
Hypothetical polling

With Cilley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jackie
Cilley (D)		Ovide
Lamontagne (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[15]August 9–12, 20121,055± 3.0%42%42%—16%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[55]August 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%31%35%1%33%
Rasmussen Reports[56]June 20, 2012500± 4.5%39%41%—20%
Public Policy Polling[15]May 10–13, 20121,163± 2.9%38%38%—24%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[57]April 9–20, 2012486± 4.4%31%30%1%38%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jackie
Cilley (D)		Kevin
Smith (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[15]August 9–12, 20121,055± 3.0%39%38%—23%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[55]August 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%31%28%1%39%
Rasmussen Reports[56]June 20, 2012500± 4.5%39%37%—24%
Public Policy Polling[15]May 10–13, 20121,163± 2.9%37%32%—31%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[57]April 9–20, 2012486± 4.4%30%23%1%47%

With Smith

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maggie
Hassan (D)		Kevin
Smith (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[15]August 9–12, 20121,055± 3.0%42%39%—20%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[55]August 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%31%29%1%39%
Rasmussen Reports[56]June 20, 2012500± 4.5%36%39%—25%
Public Policy Polling[15]May 10–13, 20121,163± 2.9%37%31%—32%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[57]April 9–20, 2012486± 4.4%29%24%1%46%

With Kennedy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bill
Kennedy (D)		Ovide
Lamontagne (R)		OtherUndecided
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[55]August 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%29%35%1%36%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bill
Kennedy (D)		Kevin
Smith (R)		OtherUndecided
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[55]August 1–12, 2012555± 4.2%27%29%1%44%

With Bradley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Connolly (D)		Jeb
Bradley (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%30%38%—31%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maggie
Hassan (D)		Jeb
Bradley (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%33%39%—28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Marchand (D)		Jeb
Bradley (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%32%38%—31%

With Connolly

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Connolly (D)		Ovide
Lamontagne (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%34%40%—26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Connolly (D)		John
Stephen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%36%36%—28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Mark
Connolly (D)		John E.
Sununu (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%36%44%—20%

With Gatsas

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maggie
Hassan (D)		Ted
Gatsas (R)		OtherUndecided
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[58]January 25-February 2, 2012495± 4.4%27%29%1%43%

With Lynch

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Lynch (D)		Jeb
Bradley (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%54%35%—11%
Public Policy Polling[60]March 31-April 3, 2011769± 3.5%57%33%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Lynch (D)		Ovide
Lamontagne (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%54%36%—10%
Public Policy Polling[60]March 31-April 3, 2011769± 3.5%57%33%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Lynch (D)		John
Stephen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%55%34%—11%
Public Policy Polling[60]March 31-April 3, 2011769± 3.5%57%29%—14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Lynch (D)		John E.
Sununu (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%51%40%—8%
Public Policy Polling[60]March 31-April 3, 2011769± 3.5%54%36%—11%

With Marchand

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Marchand (D)		Ovide
Lamontagne (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%33%40%—27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Marchand (D)		John
Stephen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%34%36%—30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Marchand (D)		John E.
Sununu (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%35%44%—21%

With Stephen

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maggie
Hassan (D)		John
Stephen (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%36%37%—27%

With Sununu

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maggie
Hassan (D)		John E.
Sununu (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling[59]June 30-July 5, 2011662± 3.8%36%45%—19%

Results

[edit]
2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election[61]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticMaggie Hassan378,93454.61%+1.98%
RepublicanOvide Lamontagne295,02642.52%−2.51%
LibertarianJohn J. Babiarz19,2512.77%+0.56%
Write-in6660.10%-0.02%
Total votes693,877100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
2014 Senate election results in New Hampshire (by county)
CountyMaggie Hassan
Democratic		Ovide Lamontagne
Republican		Other votes
#%#%#%
Belknap16,75650.3%15,70247.1%8462.6%
Carroll14,33951.4%12,89346.2%6792.5%
Cheshire25,13663.0%13,49033.8%1,2693.2%
Coös8,92958.0%6,06939.4%4002.6%
Grafton29,41261.9%16,47634.7%1,6343.4%
Hillsborough104,54752.0%90,62145.1%5,9423.0%
Merrimack46,03758.2%31,12739.3%1,9722.5%
Rockingham84,28750.8%77,09546.5%4,5022.7%
Strafford37,12059.5%23,38737.5%1,8833.0%
Sullivan12,37158.0%8,16638.3%7903.7%

Counties that swung from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Hassan won both congressional districts.[62]

DistrictHassanLamontagneRepresentative
1st52.98%44.43%Carol Shea-Porter
2nd56.38%40.66%Annie Kuster

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcLangley, Karen (September 16, 2011)."Lynch will not seek a fifth term".Concord Monitor. RetrievedMay 20, 2012.
  2. ^"2012 Election Information".New Hampshire Secretary of State. RetrievedMay 20, 2012.
  3. ^"Lamontagne, Hassan will face off in governor's race". Archived fromthe original on November 29, 2014. RetrievedSeptember 11, 2012.
  4. ^New Hampshire
  5. ^Hall, Beth LaMontagne (February 7, 2012)."Former state Sen. Cilley enters race for governor".New Hampshire Union Leader. Archived fromthe original on December 14, 2014. RetrievedFebruary 9, 2012.
  6. ^Marchocki, Kathryn (October 25, 2011)."Former Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan makes gubernatorial bid official".New Hampshire Union Leader. Archived fromthe original on April 5, 2012. RetrievedMay 20, 2012.
  7. ^Claffey, Jason (April 4, 2012)."Democratic Field for Governor to Expand".Exeter, NH Patch. RetrievedApril 28, 2012.
  8. ^Timmins, Annmarie (April 5, 2012)."Political newcomer to run for governor".Concord Monitor. RetrievedApril 28, 2012.
  9. ^Landrigan, Kevin (February 11, 2012)."Mark Connolly, financial whistle-blower, won't run for governor".Nashua Telegraph. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2012.
  10. ^Ireland, Doug (January 13, 2012)."Stonyfield CEO steps down".The Eagle-Tribune. RetrievedMay 20, 2012.
  11. ^Cresta, Joey (December 21, 2011)."Ex-Mayor accepts UNH job, ending political rumblings".The Portsmouth Herald. Archived fromthe original on March 7, 2012. RetrievedMay 20, 2012.
  12. ^"McLaughlin won't run for governor".The Laconia Daily Sun. January 26, 2012. RetrievedMay 20, 2012.
  13. ^Pindell, James (February 7, 2012)."EXCLUSIVE: Shumaker Will Not Run For Governor".WMUR-TV Political Scoop. Archived fromthe original on February 8, 2012. RetrievedApril 3, 2012.
  14. ^abPublic Policy Polling
  15. ^abcdefghijPublic Policy Polling
  16. ^"2012 Governor - Democratic Primary".New Hampshire Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 3, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2012.
  17. ^Houghton, Kimberly (September 19, 2011)."Ovide Lamontagne makes candidacy for governor official".New Hampshire Union Leader. Archived fromthe original on April 5, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2011.
  18. ^DiStaso, John (November 16, 2011)."Conservative Kevin Smith says 'I'm in' for governor".New Hampshire Union Leader. Archived fromthe original on January 28, 2012. RetrievedNovember 16, 2011.
  19. ^"In NH, a big election year by the numbers, too".Nashua Telegraph. June 20, 2012. RetrievedAugust 10, 2012.
  20. ^Curtis, Danielle (May 17, 2012)."Binnie won't enter governor race".Nashua Telegraph. RetrievedMay 17, 2012.
  21. ^Pindell, James (January 26, 2012)."Bradley Won't Run For Governor".WMUR-TV Political Scoop. Archived fromthe original on March 29, 2012. RetrievedMay 20, 2012.
  22. ^Cleveland, Kathy (September 22, 2011)."Sen. Peter Bragdon rules out run for governor in 2012".Milford Cabinet. Archived fromthe original on March 5, 2016. RetrievedMay 20, 2012.
  23. ^Landrigan, Kevin (March 8, 2012)."Manchester mayor Gatsas bows out of race for governor".Nashua Telegraph. RetrievedMarch 12, 2012.
  24. ^Landrigan, Kevin (March 31, 2012)."Kenda rules out run for governor".Nashua Telegraph. RetrievedApril 3, 2012.
  25. ^Pindell, James (February 13, 2012)."EXCLUSIVE: NH Education Board Chair Not Running For Governor".Political Scoop. Archived fromthe original on May 15, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2012.
  26. ^Landrigan, Kevin (February 13, 2012)."Stephen, 2010 GOP governor nominee, will not run again".Nashua Telegraph. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2012.
  27. ^Public Policy Polling
  28. ^"2012 Governor - Republican Primary".New Hampshire Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 2, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2012.
  29. ^Schinella, Tony (June 12, 2012)."VIDEO: Babiarz Running for Governor".Amherst, NH Patch. Archived fromthe original on June 22, 2012. RetrievedAugust 10, 2012.
  30. ^"2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedNovember 30, 2018.
  31. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived fromthe original on December 1, 2018. RetrievedNovember 30, 2018.
  32. ^"2012 Gubernatorial Ratings".Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 30, 2018.
  33. ^"2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedNovember 30, 2018.
  34. ^Rasmussen Reports
  35. ^New England College
  36. ^Public Policy Polling
  37. ^WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  38. ^WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  39. ^NBC/WSJ/Marist
  40. ^Public Policy Polling
  41. ^New England College
  42. ^Rasmussen Reports
  43. ^WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  44. ^Public Policy Polling
  45. ^Rasmussen Reports
  46. ^Suffolk University/7NEWSArchived 2012-10-17 at theWayback Machine
  47. ^American Research Group
  48. ^Rasmussen Reports
  49. ^WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  50. ^WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  51. ^Public Policy Polling
  52. ^NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist College
  53. ^Greenberg Quinlan RosnerArchived 2012-09-27 at theWayback Machine
  54. ^Rasmussen Reports
  55. ^abcdefWMUR/University of New Hampshire
  56. ^abcdRasmussen Reports
  57. ^abcdWMUR/University of New Hampshire
  58. ^abWMUR/University of New Hampshire
  59. ^abcdefghijklmnopPublic Policy Polling
  60. ^abcdPublic Policy Polling
  61. ^"Governor - 2012 General Election - NHSOS". Archived fromthe original on August 4, 2020. RetrievedJanuary 13, 2019.
  62. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.

External links

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