2011 Valencian regional election

← 2007 22 May 2011 2015 →
All 99 seats in theCorts Valencianes 50 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	3,549,687 1.7%
Turnout	2,491,588 (70.2%) 0.1pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Francisco Camps Jorge Alarte Enric Morera Party PP PSPV–PSOE Compromís Leader since 10 July 2002 28 September 2008 17 April 2010 Leader's seat Valencia Valencia Valencia Last election 54 seats, 52.5% 38 seats, 34.5% 2 seats (CPV)[a] Seats won 55 33 6 Seat change 1 5 4 Popular vote 1,211,112 687,141 176,213 Percentage 49.4% 28.0% 7.2% Swing 3.1pp 6.5pp n/a   Fourth party   Leader Marga Sanz Party EUPV Leader since 8 March 2009 Leader's seat Valencia Last election 5 seats (CPV)[a] Seats won 5 Seat change 0 Popular vote 144,703 Percentage 5.9% Swing n/a
Vote winner strength by constituency Election results by constituency
President before election Francisco Camps PP ElectedPresident Francisco Camps PP

Aregional election was held in theValencian Community on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8thCorts of theautonomous community. All 99 seats in the Corts were up for election. It was held concurrently withregional elections in twelve other autonomous communities andlocal elections all throughoutSpain.

The election was won by thePeople's Party (PP), which increased its majority despite a drop in its vote share. TheSocialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE) continued its long term decline and, similarly to the PSOE's performance in other regions with concurrent elections, it sustained severed damage from voters—weary of the ongoingfinancial crisis affecting the country—and obtained one of its worst electoral results since the autonomous community's inception. On the other hand, the electoral alliance betweenUnited Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) and theValencian Nationalist Bloc (Bloc) which contested the2007 election had dissolved, with both parties entering the legislature much at the expense of the declining PSOE. The Bloc, running together withValencian People's Initiative (IdPV) andThe Greens–Ecologist Left of the Valencian Country (EV–EE) under theCoalició Compromís umbrella, entered parliament on its own for the first time in history.

WhileFrancisco Camps was able to get re-elected as president, his alleged implication in theGürtel corruption scandal would see his resignation just one month into his third term in July.^[1] He would be succeeded byAlberto Fabra, who would serve in the post for the remainder of the term.^[2]

Under the1982 Statute of Autonomy, theCorts Valencianes were theunicameral legislature of theValencian Community, having legislative power indevolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from aregional president.^[3]

Voting for theCorts was on the basis ofuniversal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote.^[4][5] Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required forSpaniards abroad toapply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish:Voto rogado).^[6][7]

TheCorts Valencianes were entitled to a minimum of 99 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at that number. All members were elected in threemulti-member constituencies—corresponding to theprovinces ofAlicante,Castellón andValencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province did not exceed three times that of any other)—using theD'Hondt method and aclosed listproportional voting system, with anelectoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which includedblank ballots) being applied regionally.^[8][9]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, eachCorts constituency was entitled the following seats:^[10]

The law did not provide forby-elections to fillvacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in thelist and, when required, by the designatedsubstitutes.^[11][12]

The term of theCorts Valencianes expired four years after the date of their previous election. Amendments in 2006—taking effect after the2007 election—abolishedfixed-term elections, instead allowing the term of theCorts to expire after an earlydissolution. The electiondecree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in theOfficial Journal of the Valencian Government (DOGV), withelection day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication.^[13][14][15] The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 27 May 2011. The election decree was required to be published in the DOGV no later than 3 May 2011, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible date for election day on Sunday, 26 June 2011.

The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve theCorts Valencianes and call asnap election, provided that nomotion of no confidence was in process.^[16] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, theCorts were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.^[17]

TheCorts Valencianes were officially dissolved on 29 March 2011 with the publication of the dissolution decree in the DOGV, setting election day for 22 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 9 June.^[10]

The table below shows the composition of theparliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.^[18]

The electoral law allowed forparties andfederations registered in theinterior ministry,alliances andgroupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.^[19][20] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.^[21]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Vote %	Seats
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Francisco Camps	Conservatism Christian democracy	52.5%	54		[22] [23] [24]
	PSPV–PSOE	List Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE)		Jorge Alarte	Social democracy	34.5%	38		[25] [26]
	EUPV	List United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV)		Marga Sanz	Socialism Communism	8.0% [b]	7		[27] [28]
	Compromís	List Valencian Nationalist Bloc (Bloc) Valencian People's Initiative (IdPV) The Greens–Ecologist Left of the Valencian Country (EV–EE)		Enric Morera	Valencianism Progressivism Green politics				[29] [30]

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 50 seats were required for anabsolute majority in theCorts Valencianes.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			EUPV			Lead
2011 regional election	22 May 2011	—	70.2	49.4 55	28.0 33	5.9 5	7.2 6	2.5 0	21.4
Ipsos–Eco/FORTA[p 1]	22 May 2011	?	?	49.9 56/59	27.6 29/32	6.6 5/6	6.4 5/6	–	22.3
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 2][p 3]	10–11 May 2011	1,500	68.2	51.3 56/58	29.2 32/34	8.3 9	4.4 0	–	23.1
Metroscopia/El País[p 4][p 5]	9–10 May 2011	1,200	?	51.6 59	28.7 33	7.1 7	4.2 0	–	22.9
NC Report/La Razón[p 6][p 7]	3–10 May 2011	?	?	54.9 58/61	29.1 33/34	? 5/6	–	–	25.8
GAD/La Gaceta[p 8][p 9]	26 Apr–3 May 2011	893	?	54.1 58	31.1 35	7.2 6	3.9 0	–	23.0
Ikerfel/Vocento[p 10][p 11][p 12]	19–26 Apr 2011	3,200	?	52.6 58/60	30.1 34/36	6.0 3/5	3.2 0	1.6 0	22.5
NC Report/La Razón[p 13][p 14]	25 Apr 2011	?	?	55.8 58/61	29.2 34/35	5.8 4/6	4.1 0	–	26.6
Celeste-Tel/Terra[p 15]	13–20 Apr 2011	700	?	51.2 57	28.9 33	6.4 5	5.8 4	–	22.3
CIS[p 16][p 17]	17 Mar–17 Apr 2011	1,983	?	53.1 60	28.8 33	7.1 6	2.7 0	1.7 0	24.3
GAD/COPE[p 18][p 19][p 20]	13–14 Apr 2011	402	?	54.2 57/59	31.6 33/35	6.7 6/7	3.7 0	–	22.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 21][p 22]	11–14 Apr 2011	900	?	52.3 56/59	32.6 36/39	6.4 4	3.5 0	–	19.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 23]	4–7 Apr 2011	?	?	50.4 55	32.6 35	5.7 5	5.7 4	–	17.8
Inmerco/Valencia Plaza[p 24][p 25]	30 Mar–5 Apr 2011	401	?	53.4	29.9	7.7	3.1	–	23.5
GAD/ABC[p 26]	7–15 Mar 2011	1,200	?	55.1 60	30.5 33	6.8 6	3.7 0	–	24.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 27][p 28]	17–21 Dec 2010	900	?	56.7 63/65	27.3 29/32	5.6 4/5	3.0 0	–	29.4
PSPV[p 29][p 30]	5–15 Oct 2010	1,200	66.5	56.1 60	29.9 35	5.3 4	4.0 0	–	26.2
Metroscopia/El País[p 31][p 32]	5–6 Oct 2010	1,000	?	51.2 60	29.3 33	6.7 6	3.5 0	–	21.9
Astel/PP[p 33][p 34]	20 Sep–6 Oct 2010	1,600	?	54.8 57/58	31.0 33/34	8.5 8	–	–	23.8
Área de Consultoría[p 35][p 36]	6–10 Sep 2010	1,200	?	53.4 57	31.7 36	6.4 6	3.5 0	–	21.7
Astel/PP[p 37][p 38]	19–23 Jul 2010	?	?	54.7 57/58	31.2 34/35	7.8 7	–	–	23.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 39]	24–27 May 2010	900	?	55.8 59/64	30.7 30/33	6.4 4/6	2.5 0	–	25.1
PSPV[p 29][p 40][p 41][p 42]	21 May 2010	1,500	?	54.0 58	31.6 35	5.5 6	4.5 0	–	22.4
Inmerco/Valencia Plaza[p 43][p 44]	26–30 Apr 2010	400	?	51.9	34.5	3.5	4.1	–	17.4
Astel/PP[p 45][p 46]	6–29 Apr 2010	1,600	?	54.9 57/58	32.4 35/36	7.2 6	–	–	22.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 47][p 48]	23–25 Mar 2010	800	?	51.0 57/58	31.2 35/36	8.0 6	3.3 0	1.7 0	19.8
Astel/PP[p 49][p 50]	10–16 Dec 2009	1,197	?	55.1 57	32.8 36	7.0 6	–	–	22.3
PSPV[p 29]	27 Nov 2009	?	?	51.2	35.6	5.8	3.6	–	15.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 51][p 52]	4–5 Nov 2009	500	?	50.8	33.4	9.7		2.5	17.4
Metroscopia/El País[p 53][p 54]	5–6 Oct 2009	?	?	53.3 61	32.2 36	5.3 2	4.0 0	–	21.1
Astel/PP[p 55][p 56]	1–12 Sep 2009	1,204	?	54.1 57	32.9 35	7.5 7	2.5 0	–	21.2
2009 EP election	7 Jun 2009	—	52.8	52.2 (58)	37.6 (41)	2.8 (0)	1.0 (0)	2.1 (0)	14.6
PSPV[p 57][p 58]	10 May 2009	1,200	68.6	52.1 57	32.7 38	–	–	–	19.4
PP[p 59][p 60][p 61]	16–26 Feb 2009	?	?	53.7 57	33.6 36	? 6	–	–	20.1
Metroscopia/El País[p 62]	9 Oct 2008	?	?	55.4 59	34.4 40	–	–	–	21.0
2008 general election	9 Mar 2008	—	78.8	51.6 (56)	41.0 (43)	2.7 (0)	1.1 (0)	0.7 (0)	10.6
2007 regional election	27 May 2007	—	70.1	52.5 54	34.5 38	8.0 7		–	18.0

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			EUPV			?	N	Lead
2011 regional election	22 May 2011	—	34.7	19.7	4.1	5.0	1.7	—	28.5	15.0
CIS[p 16]	17 Mar–17 Apr 2011	1,983	36.6	15.8	3.7	1.8	1.2	27.2	7.5	20.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 23]	4–7 Apr 2011	?	34.3	20.6	2.9	4.0	1.4	–	–	13.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 47]	23–25 Mar 2010	800	39.0	20.2	5.6	3.3	1.7	–	–	18.8
2009 EP election	7 Jun 2009	—	27.8	19.9	1.5	0.5	1.1	—	46.6	7.9
2008 general election	9 Mar 2008	—	40.9	32.3	2.1	0.9	0.6	—	20.3	8.6
2007 regional election	27 May 2007	—	37.1	24.4	5.7		–	—	29.1	12.7

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			EUPV			Other/ None	?	Lead
CIS[p 16]	17 Mar–17 Apr 2011	1,983	42.1	20.7	4.2	1.7	1.6	12.1	17.5	21.4
GAD/COPE[p 19]	13–14 Apr 2011	402	50.0	23.9	3.0	2.5	–	7.2	13.4	26.1

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			EUPV			Other/ None	?	Lead
CIS[p 16]	17 Mar–17 Apr 2011	1,983	83.6	3.6	0.0	0.1	–	0.2	12.4	80.0
GAD/COPE[p 19]	13–14 Apr 2011	402	84.3	7.5	–	–	–	0.5	7.7	76.8
Astel/PP[p 34]	20 Sep–6 Oct 2010	1,600	76.3	9.9	–	–	–	3.2	10.6	66.4
Área de Consultoría[p 35]	6–10 Sep 2010	1,200	70.6	11.1	–	–	–	18.3		59.5
Astel/PP[p 37]	19–23 Jul 2010	?	77.1	5.8	–	–	–	2.0	12.8	71.3
Astel/PP[p 46]	6–29 Apr 2010	1,600	74.7	10.0	–	–	–	1.5	13.8	64.7
Astel/PP[p 50]	10–16 Dec 2009	1,197	73.1	12.5	–	–	–	0.8	13.6	60.6

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to becomepresident of the Valencian Government.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size							Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead
			Camps PP	Alarte PSPV	Sanz EUPV	Morera Compromís	Oltra Compromís	Soriano UPyD
GAD/La Gaceta[p 8]	26 Apr–3 May 2011	893	48.7	21.2	–	–	–	–	–	–	27.5
CIS[p 16]	17 Mar–17 Apr 2011	1,983	40.4	16.5	2.0	2.2	–	0.8	7.8	30.3	23.9
GAD/COPE[p 19]	13–14 Apr 2011	402	52.5	20.1	2.2	2.7	–	–	13.4	9.0	32.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 23]	4–7 Apr 2011	?	41.8	25.2	–	–	–	–	33.0		16.6
Metroscopia/El País[p 31]	5–6 Oct 2010	1,000	40.0	39.0	–	–	–	–	21.0		1.0
Astel/PP[p 38]	19–23 Jul 2010	?	48.4	18.4	0.7	3.5	–	–	29.0		30.0
Astel/PP[p 46]	6–29 Apr 2010	1,600	45.5	17.9	2.5	0.7	2.2	–	34.7		27.6
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 47]	23–25 Mar 2010	800	38.3	20.0	–	–	–	–	41.7		18.3
Astel/PP[p 50]	10–16 Dec 2009	1,197	45.6	15.3	0.6	1.1	2.7	–	34.7		30.3
PP[p 61]	16–26 Feb 2009	?	53.1	15.6	–	–	–	–	31.3		37.5

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead
			Camps PP	Alarte PSPV
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 23]	4–7 Apr 2011	?	77.3	6.0	16.7		71.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 47]	23–25 Mar 2010	800	68.4	7.1	24.5		61.3

← Summary of the 22 May 2011Corts Valencianes election results→

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	1,211,112	49.42	−3.10	55	+1
	Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV–PSOE)	687,141	28.04	−6.45	33	−5
	Bloc–Initiative–Greens:Commitment Coalition (Compromís)1	176,213	7.19	n/a	6	+4
	United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV)1	144,703	5.90	n/a	5	±0
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	60,859	2.48	New	0	±0
	Greens and Eco-pacifists (VyE)	31,808	1.30	New	0	±0
	Spain 2000 (E–2000)	12,191	0.50	+0.26	0	±0
	Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV)	11,129	0.45	−0.03	0	±0
	Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	9,306	0.38	New	0	±0
	Valencian Coalition (CVa)	9,183	0.37	−0.34	0	±0
	Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL)	8,203	0.33	+0.30	0	±0
	Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)	4,222	0.17	New	0	±0
	United for Valencia (UxV)	3,637	0.15	+0.04	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	3,456	0.14	−0.03	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	2,566	0.10	+0.02	0	±0
	Renewal Liberal Centre (CLR)	2,463	0.10	+0.04	0	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	2,151	0.09	+0.06	0	±0
	Communist Unification of Spain (UCE)	1,719	0.07	New	0	±0
	Authentic Phalanx (FA)	1,627	0.07	−0.03	0	±0
	Movement for People's Unity–Republicans (MUP–R)	1,440	0.06	±0.00	0	±0
	Family and Life Party (PFyV)	1,412	0.06	New	0	±0
	Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)	1,156	0.05	+0.01	0	±0
	The Republic (La República)	735	0.03	New	0	±0
	Valencian Nationalist Left–European Valencianist Party (ENV–RV–PVE)	677	0.03	New	0	±0
	Spanish Patriotic Social Party (SPES)	585	0.02	New	0	±0
	Foreigners' Party (PdEx)	508	0.02	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		60,670	2.48	+1.07
Total		2,450,872			99	±0
Valid votes		2,450,872	98.37	−0.96
Invalid votes		40,716	1.63	+0.96
Votes cast / turnout		2,491,588	70.19	+0.05
Abstentions		1,058,099	29.81	−0.05
Registered voters		3,549,687
Sources[18][31][32]
Footnotes: 1 Within theCommitment for the Valencian Country alliance in the 2007 election.

Investiture Francisco Camps (PP)
Ballot →		16 June 2011
Required majority →		50 out of 99Y
	Yes •PP (55)	55 / 99
	No •PSPV (32) •Compromís (6) •EUPV (5)	43 / 99
	Abstentions	0 / 99
	Absentees •PSPV (1)	1 / 99
Sources[18]

Investiture Alberto Fabra (PP)
Ballot →		26 July 2011
Required majority →		50 out of 99Y
	Yes •PP (55)	55 / 99
	No •PSPV (32) •Compromís (6) •EUPV (5)	43 / 99
	Abstentions	0 / 99
	Absentees •PSPV (1)	1 / 99
Sources[18]

Opinion poll sources

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