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2010 United States Senate election in Alabama

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States Senate election in Alabama

← 2004November 2, 20102016 →
 
NomineeRichard ShelbyWilliam G. Barnes
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote968,181515,619
Percentage65.18%34.71%

County results
Shelby:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Barnes:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. senator before election

Richard Shelby
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Richard Shelby
Republican

Elections in Alabama
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The2010 United States Senate election in Alabama took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to theUnited States Senate in other states, as well as elections to theUnited States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. IncumbentRepublican SenatorRichard Shelby won re-election to a fifth term.

Background

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In1986, Shelby won the Democratic nomination for the Senate seat held by RepublicanJeremiah Denton, the first Republican elected to the Senate from Alabama sinceReconstruction. He won a very close race as the Democrats regained control of the Senate. He was easily re-elected in 1992 even asBill Clinton lost Alabama's electoral votes.

On November 9, 1994, Shelby switched his party affiliation to Republican, one day after the Republicans won control of both houses in the midterm elections, giving the Republicans a 53–47 majority in the Senate. He won his first full term as a Republican in 1998 by a large margin, and faced no significant opposition in 2004.

Shelby was popular inAlabama. A September 2009 poll showed he had a 58% approval rating, with 35% disapproving.[1]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Shelby
Clint
Moser
OtherUndecided
Research 2000[3]May 10–12, 2010600± 4.0%63%14%23%

Results

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Republican primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRichard Shelby (incumbent)405,04284.34%
RepublicanClint Moser75,19015.66%
Total votes480,232100.00%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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  • William G. Barnes, attorney
  • Simone De Moore, teacher and soul singer[5]

Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
William
Barnes
Simone De
Moore
OtherUndecided
Research 2000[3]May 10–12, 2010600± 4.0%39%11%3%47%

Results

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County results
Democratic primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticWilliam G. Barnes160,73760.77%
DemocraticSimone De Moore103,78439.23%
Total votes264,521100.00%

General election

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Candidates

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  • William G. Barnes (D), attorney
  • Richard Shelby (R), incumbent U.S. Senator since 1987

Campaign

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Shelby, who switched from Democrat to Republican in the mid-1990s, was a popular senator in Alabama for three decades, first elected in 1986. He has over $17 million in the bank, one of the highest of any candidate in the country. Recently, he became even more popular in his opposition to theTroubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) and theEmergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, as the ranking member of theSenate Banking Committee.

In May, Shelby told reporters "I don't even know who my opponent is."[6]

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[7]Solid ROctober 26, 2010
Rothenberg[8]Safe ROctober 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[9]Safe ROctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]Safe ROctober 21, 2010
CQ Politics[11]Safe ROctober 26, 2010

Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Shelby (R)
William G.
Barnes (D)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports (report)March 29, 2010500± 4.5%59%32%3%6%
Research 2000 (report)May 17–19, 2010600± 4.0%57%33%3%7%
Rasmussen Reports (report)May 25, 2010500± 4.5%58%31%3%8%
Rasmussen Reports (report)June 3, 2010500± 4.5%58%31%3%7%
Rasmussen Reports (report)July 22, 2010500± 4.5%59%29%6%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 19, 2010500± 4.5%60%28%2%10%
Rasmussen Reports (report)September 21, 2010500± 4.5%58%30%4%8%
Hypothetical polling

Richard Shelby vs. generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Shelby (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[12]March 27–29, 20101,270±2.8%55%37%8%

Fundraising

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Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Richard Shelby (R)$5,103,288$1,456,041$17,028,219$0
William Barnes (D)$0$0$0$0
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Results

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2010 United States Senate election in Alabama[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanRichard Shelby (incumbent)968,18165.18%−2.37%
DemocraticWilliam G. Barnes515,61934.71%+2.36%
Write-in1,6990.11%+0.01%
Total votes1,485,499100.00%
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

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  1. ^"News Poll #15743". SurveyUSA. August 31, 2009. RetrievedAugust 29, 2010.
  2. ^"Alabama GOP". Alabama2010.com. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  3. ^abResearch 2000
  4. ^ab"Alabama US Senate Primary Results".Politico. June 1, 2010. RetrievedJune 1, 2010.
  5. ^"Candidates". Alabama Democratic Party Directory. Archived fromthe original on May 27, 2010. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  6. ^Orol, Ronald (May 28, 2010)."Smooth sailing for Alabama's Shelby".Election Blog. MarketWatch. Archived fromthe original on July 14, 2011. RetrievedJune 14, 2010.
  7. ^"Senate".Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on September 19, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  8. ^"Senate Ratings".Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  9. ^"Battle for the Senate".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  10. ^"2010 Senate Ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  11. ^"Race Ratings Chart: Senate".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  12. ^Public Policy Polling
  13. ^"2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Alabama". fec.gov. RetrievedAugust 12, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  14. ^"2010 General Election Results"(PDF).Alabama Secretary of State.

External links

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