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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

← 2008November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)2012 →

All 19 Pennsylvania seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election712
Seats won127
Seat changeIncrease 5Decrease 5
Popular vote2,034,1451,882,202
Percentage51.41%47.57%
SwingIncrease 7.96%Decrease 7.88%

District results
County results
Precinct results

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  >90%

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  >90%


Tie/No Data

  
  

Elections in Pennsylvania
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The2010 congressional elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 2, 2010. Pennsylvania had nineteen seats in theUnited States House of Representatives. The election was held on the same day as many otherPA elections, and the same day asHouse of Representatives elections in other states. Party primary elections were held May 18, 2010.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2010[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats BeforeSeats After+/–
Republican2,034,14551.41%712+5
Democratic1,882,20247.57%127-5
Independent40,0541.01%000
Totals3,956,401100.00%1919

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania by district:[2]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 100.00%149,944100.00%00.00%149,944100.00%Democratic hold
District 221,90710.70%182,80089.30%00.00%204,707100.00%Democratic hold
District 3111,90955.72%88,92444.28%00.00%200,833100.00%Republican gain
District 4116,95849.19%120,82750.81%00.00%237,785100.00%Democratic hold
District 5127,42768.69%52,37528.23%5,7103.08%185,512100.00%Republican hold
District 6133,77057.10%100,49342.90%00.00%234,263100.00%Republican hold
District 7137,82554.94%110,31443.98%2,7081.08%250,847100.00%Republican gain
District 8130,75953.52%113,54746.48%00.00%244,306100.00%Republican gain
District 9141,90473.06%52,32226.94%00.00%194,226100.00%Republican hold
District 10110,59955.18%89,84644.82%00.00%200,445100.00%Republican gain
District 11102,17954.70%84,61845.30%00.00%186,797100.00%Republican gain
District 1291,17049.22%94,05650.78%00.00%185,226100.00%Democratic hold
District 1391,98743.66%118,71056.34%00.00%210,697100.00%Democratic hold
District 1449,99728.17%122,07368.79%5,4003.04%177,470100.00%Democratic hold
District 15109,53453.55%79,76639.00%15,2487.45%204,548100.00%Republican hold
District 16134,11365.39%70,99434.61%00.00%205,107100.00%Republican hold
District 1795,00044.50%118,48655.50%00.00%213,486100.00%Democratic hold
District 18161,88867.33%78,55832.67%00.00%240,446100.00%Republican hold
District 19165,21971.91%53,54923.31%10,9884.78%229,756100.00%Republican hold
Total2,034,14551.41%1,882,20247.57%40,0541.01%3,956,401100.00%

District 1

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeBob Brady
PartyDemocratic
Popular vote149,944
Percentage100.00%

U.S. representative before election

Bob Brady
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Bob Brady
Democratic

Democratic incumbentBob Brady was the only member of the Pennsylvania delegation who ran unopposed in 2010.

Brady, a long time central figure in thePennsylvania Democratic Party, has never received less than 74% in a general election, and opponents have had difficult recruiting even moderately electable candidates in this majority-minority district that includesSouth Philadelphia and some working class suburbs inDelaware County. No Republican has represented this district since 1949. In 2008, he earned 91% of the vote againstMike Muhammad, a teacher who raised no outside funds. Respected for his ability to reach political deals behind the scenes, Brady has garnered an image as an effective politician, and thus has been rarely challenged by other Democrats. In 2010, Pia Varma, a young freelance writer for conservative publications attempted to gain the Republican nomination, but failed to produce enough signatures to appear on the ballot.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBob Brady (incumbent)48,505100.00
Total votes48,505100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBob Brady (incumbent)149,944100.00
Total votes149,944100.00

District 2

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeChaka FattahRick Hellberg
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote182,80021,907
Percentage89.30%10.70%

U.S. representative before election

Chaka Fattah
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Chaka Fattah
Democratic

Democratic incumbentChaka Fattah ran for reelection. He faced Republican Rick Hellberg, the CEO of a small financial firm. In 2008, Obama carried this district with 90% of the vote.

Fattah represents one of the top five most Democratic districts in the country, and has never received less than 79% of the vote in his over fifteen-year House career. The district includesNorth Philadelphia and several traditionally liberal suburbs inMontgomery County. Fattah has had the consistent support of the African American community that is the base of a district that hasn't swung Republican since the 1946 elections. Despite this huge Democratic advantage, the district has small pockets of solid Republican territory, and thus Fattah has continuously received GOP opponents (although ones who were unable to raise all more than a few thousand dollars in fundraising), unlike his counterpart in the 1st District. In 2008, Fattah defeated engineer Adam Lang with 81% of the vote.

Fattah won the 2010 general election with 89.3% of the vote.[10]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChaka Fattah (incumbent)72,417100.00
Total votes72,417100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Rick Hellberg, financial firm CEO

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRick Hellberg3,781100.00
Total votes3,781100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChaka Fattah (incumbent)182,80089.30
RepublicanRick Hellberg21,90710.70
Total votes204,707100.00

District 3

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeMike KellyKathy Dahlkemper
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote111,90988,924
Percentage55.72%44.28%

U.S. representative before election

Kathy Dahlkemper
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mike Kelly
Republican

Democratic incumbentKathy Dahlkemper unsuccessfully ran for re-election, losing to Republican businessmanMike Kelly, who received 55.7% of the vote.[10] In 2008, McCain carried this district with 49% of the vote.

Dahlkemper faced a difficult reelection bid, in a race that considered a tossup by most political analysts. Dahlkemper became used to tight campaigns in her short political career. A political unknown prior to her 2008 campaign, Dahlkemper leveraged a moderate, blue collar image that enticed Democratic voters in a district that is pro-union, with a center-right tilt on social issues. Dahlkemper, the owner of a large landscaping business and manager of anErie County arboretum, came from behind to defeat Erie County Concilman Kyle Foust, the endorsed Democratic candidate. She then went on to narrowly unseat (with 52% of the vote) CongressmanPhil English, a moderate Republican who had maintained good relations with labor, by attacking his ties to the Bush administration and for failing to follow through on a promise to retire after six terms. During her first term, Dahlkemper has served as a member of the Blue Dog Coalition of conservative Democrats, which has allowed her to keep a middle ground image. However, her vote in favor of healthcare legislation and the lack of an entrenched image in certain corners of the district left her vulnerable.

In 2010, Dahlkemper faced a primary challenge from former foreign affairs official Mel Marin, winning with 73% of the vote. Republicans focused heavily on regaining the seat, and six GOP candidates earned spots on the ballot: automobile dealer Mike Kelly, manufacturing executive Paul Huber, pharmaceutical representative Clayton Grabb, physician Steve Fisher, factory foreman Ed Franz, and accountant Martha Moore. Kelly and Huber far outraised the remaining four challengers, and they became entangled in an expensive campaign. Kelly was eventually victorious, winning 28% of the vote to Huber's 27% in the factious affair.

Kelly, a former member of theButler City Council, had a base of support in the heavily RepublicanButler County, while Dahlkemper was well known in Erie, the center of population for the district. Other small cities in the district, such asSharon andMeadville were swing regions, with a slightly conservative tilt that balanced out strongly Democratic Erie. John McCain carried the 3rd District by a 49%-48% margin, which reflects the political balance of the area.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Mel Marin, foreign affairs official

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKathy Dahlkemper (incumbent)34,93273.24
DemocraticMel Marin12,76426.76
Total votes47,696100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Steven Fisher, physician
  • Ed Franz, factory foreman
  • Clayton Grabb, pharmaceutical representative
  • Paul Huber, manufacturing executive
  • Martha Moore, accountant

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Kelly15,42828.11
RepublicanPaul Huber14,47426.38
RepublicanClayton Grabb7,48613.64
RepublicanSteven Fisher6,49911.84
RepublicanEd Franz5,83810.64
RepublicanMartha Moore5,1519.39
Total votes54,876100.00

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kathy Dahlkemper (D)Mike Kelly (R)Undecided
The Hill/ANG Alliance[11]September 25–27, 2010401± 4.9%36%49%15%
Franklin-Marshall[12]September 14–19, 2010482± 4.5%38%44%18%
The Polling Company[13]July 29-August 1, 2010314± 5.5%46%42%11%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[7]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Likely R(flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Kelly111,90955.72
DemocraticKathy Dahlkemper (incumbent)88,92444.28
Total votes200,833100.00

District 4

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeJason AltmireKeith Rothfus
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote120,827116,958
Percentage50.81%49.19%

U.S. representative before election

Jason Altmire
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Jason Altmire
Democratic

Democratic incumbentJason Altmire ran for re-election and faced Republican attorney Keith Rothfus. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 55% of the vote.

Altmire narrowly won re-election with 50.8% of the vote.[10]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJason Altmire (incumbent)53,019100.00
Total votes53,019100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKeith Rothfus34,99666.41
RepublicanMary Beth Buchanan17,70133.59
Total votes52,697100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Likely DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Likely DNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJason Altmire (incumbent)120,82750.81
RepublicanKeith Rothfus116,95849.19
Total votes237,785100.00

District 5

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeGlenn ThompsonMichael Pipe
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote127,42752,375
Percentage68.69%28.23%

U.S. representative before election

Glenn Thompson
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Glenn Thompson
Republican

Republican incumbentGlenn "G.T." Thompson successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Michael Pipe and Libertarian Vernon Etzel. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 55% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Michael Pipe

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMichael Pipe31,120100.00
Total votes31,120100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGlenn Thompson (incumbent)52,856100.00
Total votes52,856100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGlenn Thompson (incumbent)127,42768.69
DemocraticMichael Pipe52,37528.23
LibertarianVernon Etzel5,7103.08
Total votes185,512100.00

District 6

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeJim GerlachManan Trivedi
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote133,770100,493
Percentage57.10%42.90%

U.S. representative before election

Jim Gerlach
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Jim Gerlach
Republican

Republican incumbentJim Gerlach successfully ran for re-election. He defeated DemocratIraq War veteranManan Trivedi. In 2008, Obama carried this district with 58% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Doug Pike

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticManan Trivedi21,58550.84
DemocraticDoug Pike20,87149.16
Total votes42,456100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Patrick Henry Sellers

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJim Gerlach (incumbent)35,57579.81
RepublicanPatrick Henry Sellers8,99820.19
Total votes44,573100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Lean ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Lean RNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJim Gerlach (incumbent)133,77057.10
DemocraticManan Trivedi100,49342.90
Total votes234,263100.00

District 7

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineePat MeehanBryan Lentz
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote134,751108,197
Percentage54.86%44.05%

U.S. representative before election

Joe Sestak
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Pat Meehan
Republican

Democratic incumbentJoe Sestak retired to run for the U.S. Senate. Democratic nominee State RepresentativeBryan Lentz faced Republican nominee U.S. AttorneyPat Meehan and American Constitution Party (independent) nominee Jim Schneller.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBryan Lentz39,206100.00
Total votes39,206100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPat Meehan48,604100.00
Total votes48,604100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Tilt R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[7]TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPat Meehan134,75154.86
DemocraticBryan Lentz108,19744.05
IndependentJim Schneller2,6701.09
Total votes245,618100.00

District 8

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeMike FitzpatrickPatrick Murphy
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote130,759113,547
Percentage53.52%46.48%

U.S. representative before election

Patrick Murphy
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mike Fitzpatrick
Republican

Democratic incumbentPatrick Murphy unsuccessfully ran for re-election. He was defeated by Republican former U.S. CongressmanMike Fitzpatrick. In 2008, Obama carried this district with 54% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPatrick Murphy (incumbent)40,783100.00
Total votes40,783100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Gloria Carlineo
  • Ira Hoffman
  • James Jones

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Fitzpatrick33,67176.75
RepublicanGloria Carlineo6,52914.88
RepublicanIra Hoffman2,4245.52
RepublicanJames Jones1,2492.85
Total votes43,873100.00

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Patrick Murphy (D)Mike Fitzpatrick (R)Undecided
Franklin-Marshall[14]September 14–19, 2010464± 4.6%35%49%15%
Franklin-Marshall[14]October 14–19, 2010464± 4.6%40%47%5%
Franklin-Marshall[14]October 24–29, 2010464± 4.6%35%55%5%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Tilt R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[7]TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Fitzpatrick130,75953.52
DemocraticPatrick Murphy (incumbent)113,54746.48
Total votes244,306100.00

District 9

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeBill ShusterTom Conners
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote141,90452,322
Percentage73.06%26.94%

U.S. representative before election

Bill Shuster
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Bill Shuster
Republican

Republican incumbentBill Shuster successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Tom Conners and Independent Chad Clopper.

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Shuster (incumbent)56,828100.00
Total votes56,828100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Shuster141,90473.06
DemocraticTom Conners52,32226.94
Total votes194,226100.00

District 10

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeTom MarinoChris Carney
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote110,59989,846
Percentage55.18%44.82%

U.S. representative before election

Chris Carney
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Tom Marino
Republican

Democratic incumbentChris Carney unsuccessfully ran for re-election, losing to Republican nominee U.S. AttorneyTom Marino. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 54% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Carney (incumbent)38,928100.00
Total votes38,928100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Malcolm Derk
  • David Madeira

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Marino24,43540.96
RepublicanDavid Madeira18,52431.06
RepublicanMalcolm Derk16,69027.98
Total votes59,649100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[7]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Marino110,59955.18
DemocraticChris Carney (incumbent)89,84644.82
Total votes200,445100.00

District 11

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeLou BarlettaPaul Kanjorski
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote102,17984,618
Percentage54.70%45.30%

U.S. representative before election

Paul Kanjorski
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Lou Barletta
Republican

Democratic incumbentPaul E. Kanjorski unsuccessfully ran for re-election, losing to RepublicanHazleton MayorLou Barletta.[15] In 2008, Obama carried this district with 57% of the vote.

Kanjorski facedCorey O'Brien and Brian Kelly in the May 2010 Democratic primary, and won with 49.3% of the primary vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPaul Kanjorski (incumbent)33,90049.36
DemocraticCorey O'Brien23,26733.87
DemocraticBrian Kelly11,51916.77
Total votes68,686100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLou Barletta28,397100.00
Total votes28,397100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Tilt R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[7]TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Lean R(flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]TossupNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLou Barletta102,17954.70
DemocraticPaul Kanjorski (incumbent)84,61845.30
Total votes186,797100.00

District 12

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election

2012 →
 
NomineeMark CritzTim Burns
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote94,05691,170
Percentage50.78%49.22%

U.S. representative before election

Mark Critz
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mark Critz
Democratic

See also:Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district special election, 2010

DemocratMark Critz won a May 2010 special election to replaceJohn Murtha, who served the district for 36 years. He faced Republican businessmanTim Burns. Critz again defeated Burns in the regularly scheduled November general election. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 49% of the vote.

Special election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district special election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMark Critz72,21852.64
RepublicanTim Burns61,72244.99
LibertarianDemo Agoris3,2492.37
Total votes137,189100.00

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMark Critz (incumbent)58,81771.46
DemocraticRyan Bucchianeri16,96520.61
DemocraticRonald Mackell6,5257.93
Total votes82,307100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Tim Burns, businessman and Republican nominee in the special election

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • William Russell, 2008 Republican nominee

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Burns26,57756.96
RepublicanWilliam Russell20,07843.04
Total votes46,655100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Lean DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Lean DNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMark Critz (incumbent)94,05650.78
RepublicanTim Burns91,17049.22
Total votes185,226100.00

District 13

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeAllyson SchwartzDee Adcock
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote118,71091,987
Percentage56.34%43.66%

U.S. representative before election

Allyson Schwartz
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Allyson Schwartz
Democratic

Democratic incumbentAllyson Schwartz successfully ran for re-election. She defeated Republican Dee Adcock. Obama carried this district with 59% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAllyson Schwartz (incumbent)44,402100.00
Total votes44,402100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Dee Adcock

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Brian Haughton
  • Joshua Quinter

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDee Adcock14,41647.98
RepublicanJoshua Quinter8,33427.74
RepublicanBrian Haughton7,29324.28
Total votes30,043100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAllyson Schwartz (incumbent)118,71056.34
RepublicanDee Adcock91,98743.66
Total votes210,697100.00

District 14

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeMike DoyleMelissa Haluszczak
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote122,07349,997
Percentage68.8%28.2%

U.S. representative before election

Mike Doyle
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Mike Doyle
Democratic

Democratic incumbentMike Doyle successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Republican Melissa Haluszczak and Green Party nominee Ed Bortz. In 2008, Doyle received 91% of the vote and Obama carried this district with 70% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMike Doyle (incumbent)71,511100.00
Total votes71,511100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Melissa Haluszczak

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMelissa Haluszczak11,585100.00
Total votes11,585100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMike Doyle (incumbent)122,07368.79
RepublicanMelissa Haluszczak49,99728.17
GreenEd Bortz5,4003.04
Total votes177,470100.00

District 15

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeCharlie DentJohn B. CallahanJake Towne
PartyRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Popular vote109,53479,76615,248
Percentage53.55%39.00%7.45%

U.S. Representative before election

Charlie Dent
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Charlie Dent
Republican

Republican incumbentCharlie Dent successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Bethlehem MayorJohn B. Callahan and Independent Jake Towne. In 2008, Obama carried this district with 56% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn B. Callahan32,825100.00
Total votes32,825100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Mat Benol

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCharlie Dent (incumbent)31,61882.92
RepublicanMat Benol6,51417.08
Total votes38,132100.00

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John Callahan (D)Charlie Dent (R)Jake Towne (I)Undecided
Morning Call/Muhlenberg[16]September 11–15, 2010496± 5.0%38%49%3%10%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Lean ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCharlie Dent (incumbent)109,53453.55
DemocraticJohn B. Callahan79,76639.00
IndependentJake Towne15,2487.45
Total votes204,548100.00

District 16

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeJoe PittsLois Herr
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote134,11370,994
Percentage65.39%34.61%

U.S. representative before election

Joe Pitts
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Joe Pitts
Republican

Republican incumbentJoe Pitts successfully ran for re-election. He again defeated Democratic nomineeLois Herr. In 2008, McCain carried the district with 51% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticLois Herr24,541100.00
Total votes24,541100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJoe Pitts (incumbent)50,629100.00
Total votes50,629100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJoe Pitts (incumbent)134,11365.39
DemocraticLois Herr70,99434.61
Total votes205,107100.00

District 17

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeTim HoldenDave Argall
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote118,48695,000
Percentage55.50%44.50%

U.S. representative before election

Tim Holden
Democratic

Elected U.S. representative

Tim Holden
Democratic

Democratic incumbentTim Holden successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Republican State SenatorDave Argall. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 51% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Sheila Dow-Ford

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTim Holden (incumbent)30,63065.27
DemocraticSheila Dow-Ford16,29634.73
Total votes46,926100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Josh First
  • Allen Griffith
  • Frank Ryan

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDave Argall20,71232.33
RepublicanFrank Ryan19,89031.05
RepublicanJosh First14,95523.35
RepublicanAllen Griffith8,50313.27
Total votes64,060100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Likely DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTim Holden (incumbent)118,48655.50
RepublicanDave Argall95,00044.50
Total votes213,486100.00

District 18

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeTim MurphyDan Connolly
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote161,88878,558
Percentage67.33%32.67%

U.S. representative before election

Tim Murphy
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Tim Murphy
Republican

Republican incumbentTim Murphy successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Dan Connolly. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 55% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Dan Connolly

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDan Connolly58,081100.00
Total votes58,081100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Murphy (incumbent)47,785100.00
Total votes47,785100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Murphy (incumbent)161,88867.33
DemocraticDan Connolly78,55832.67
Total votes240,446100.00

District 19

[edit]
2010 Pennsylvania's 19th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeTodd PlattsRyan Sanders
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote165,21953,549
Percentage71.91%23.31%

U.S. representative before election

Todd Platts
Republican

Elected U.S. representative

Todd Platts
Republican

Republican incumbentTodd Platts successfully ran for re-election. He defeated Democrat Ryan Sanders and Independence Party nominee Joshua Monighan.[17][18] In 2008, McCain carried this district with 56% of the vote.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Ryan Sanders

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRyan Sanders33,283100.00
Total votes33,283100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Michael Smeltzer

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTodd Platts (incumbent)51,79269.99
RepublicanMichael Smeltzer22,21030.01
Total votes74,002100.00

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

General election

[edit]
Pennsylvania's 19th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTodd Platts (incumbent)165,21971.91
DemocraticRyan Sanders53,54923.31
Independence Party of AmericaJoshua Monighan10,9884.78
Total votes229,756100.00

References

[edit]
  1. ^Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives
  2. ^Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedNovember 12, 2019.
  3. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyzaaabacadaeafagahaiaj"Pennsylvania Elections - 2010 General Primary (Official Returns)".Pennsylvania Department of State. RetrievedAugust 10, 2025.
  4. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrs"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  5. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrsRothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  6. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrsCrystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  7. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrsRealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  8. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrs"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  9. ^abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyzaaabacadaeafagahaiajakal"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.
  10. ^abc"2010 General Election - Representative in Congress".Commonwealth of PA - Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. 2010. RetrievedMay 18, 2013.
  11. ^The Hill/ANG Alliance
  12. ^Franklin-Marshall
  13. ^The Polling Company
  14. ^abcFranklin-Marshall
  15. ^Kanjorski wins easily; eyes Barletta rematchArchived 2012-03-08 at theWayback Machine, The Times Leader, Wilkes-Barre, PA, Timesleader.com. Retrieved on 2010-07-12.
  16. ^Morning Call/MuhlenbergArchived 2011-09-27 at theWayback Machine
  17. ^"Pennsylvania Primary Results".Fox News. Archived fromthe original on May 23, 2010.
  18. ^"Congressional, Presidential and Political News, Blogs, Member Profiles". CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on February 24, 2009. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.

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