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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

← 2008November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)2012 →

All 5 Oklahoma seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority partyThird party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Last election410
Seats won410
Seat changeSteadySteadySteady
Popular vote519,562221,96651,451
Percentage65.5%28.0%6.48%
SwingIncrease 5.47%Decrease 9.67%Increase 4.18%

District results
County results

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%

Elections in Oklahoma
Government

The2010 congressional elections in Oklahoma were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent thestate ofOklahoma in theUnited States House of Representatives. Oklahoma has five seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. This election was the final one held in which congressional districts apportioned according to the 2000 U.S. census data. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected serve in the112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.

Overview

[edit]
2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats beforeSeats after+/–
Republican519,56265.5%440
Democratic221,96628.0%110
Independent51,4516.48%000
Totals792,979100.00%55

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma by district:[2]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1151,17376.80%00.00%45,65623.20%196,829100.00%Republican hold
District 283,22643.48%108,20356.52%00.00%191,429100.00%Democratic hold
District 3161,92777.99%45,68922.01%00.00%207,616100.00%Republican hold
District 4Republican hold
District 5123,23662.52%68,07434.54%5,7952.94%197,105100.00%Republican hold
Total519,56265.52%221,96627.99%51,4516.49%792,979100.00%

District 1

[edit]
2010 Oklahoma's 1st congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeJohn SullivanAngelia O'Dell
PartyRepublicanIndependent
Popular vote151,17345,656
Percentage76.8%23.2%

Precinct- and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

John Sullivan
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Sullivan
Republican

See also:Oklahoma's 1st congressional district

This district was represented by RepublicanJohn Sullivan. Republican candidates Craig Allen, Nathan Dahm, Fran Moghaddam, Kenneth Rice, Patrick K. Haworth and Independent Angelia O'Dell all have filed to run against Sullivan.[3] Sullivan entered the Betty Ford Center in California to receive treatment for his addiction to alcohol on May 28, 2009.[4]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • None announced

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Sullivan38,67062.07%
RepublicanKenneth Rice10,39416.68%
RepublicanNathan Dahm8,87114.24%
RepublicanPartrick K. Haworth1,7362.79%
RepublicanCraig Allen1,4202.28%
RepublicanFran Moghaddam1,2131.95%
Total votes77,894100%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[10]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[11]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[11]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma's 1st congressional district House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Sullivan (incumbent)151,17376.80%
IndependentAngelia O'Dell45,65623.20%
Total votes196,829100%
Republicanhold

[12]

District 2

[edit]
2010 Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeDan BorenCharles Thompson
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote108,20383,226
Percentage56.5%43.5%

Precinct- and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Dan Boren
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Boren
Democratic

See also:Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district

This district was represented by DemocratDan Boren. Democrat Jim Wilson and Republicans Daniel Edmonds, Charles Thompson, Chester Clem Falling, Daniel Arnett, Howard Houchen, and Raymond Wickson all filed to run against Boren.[3]

Polling

[edit]

Despite the poor approval ratings of Obama, of whom 27% in this district approve, and the high unpopularity of the Democratic healthcare bills, which were supported by 17% of second district residents, conservative Democrat Boren remains popular.[13]

Boren vs. Edmonds

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Daniel Edmonds (R)
Public Policy Polling (Link)March 3, 201044%28%

Boren vs. Thompson

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Charles Thompson (R)
Public Policy Polling (Link)March 3, 201045%25%

Boren vs. Houchen

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Howard Houchen (R)
Public Policy Polling (Link)March 3, 201048%26%

Boren vs. Arnett

Poll sourceDates administeredDan Boren (D)Dan Arnett (R)
Public Policy Polling (Link)March 3, 201049%22%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDan Boren (incumbent)66,21975.5%
DemocraticJim Wilson21,54324.5%
Total votes87,762100%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Daniel Arnett,Henryetta
  • Daniel Edmonds, ofMorris
  • Chester Clem Falling
  • Howard Houchen, ofHugo
  • Charles Thompson, ofHulbert
  • Raymond Wickson

Results

[edit]

There was a runoff election between Daniel Edmonds and Charles Thompson on August 24. Charles Thompson was chosen to run against Dan Boren in November.

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCharles Thompson8,12433.7%
RepublicanDaniel Edmonds6,82528.3%
RepublicanDaniel Arnett3,83815.8%
RepublicanHoward Houchen2,75911.4%
RepublicanChester Falling1,4986.2%
RepublicanRaymond Wickson1,0954.5%
Total votes24,139100%
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCharles Thompson7,48967.3%
RepublicanDaniel Edmonds3,64432.7%
Total votes11,142100%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[9]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[10]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[11]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[11]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDan Boren (incumbent)108,20356.52%
RepublicanCharles Thompson83,22643.48%
Total votes191,429100%
Democratichold

[12]

District 3

[edit]
2010 Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeFrank LucasFrankie Robbins
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote161,92745,689
Percentage78.0%22.0%

Precinct- and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Frank Lucas
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Lucas
Republican

See also:Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district

This district was represented by RepublicanFrank Lucas. Democrat, Frankie Robbins, has filed to run for this office against Lucas.[3] There will be no primary election for district 3[14]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[10]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[11]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[11]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma's 3rd congressional districts House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanFrank Lucas (incumbent)161,92777.99%
DemocraticFrankie Robbins45,68922.01%
Total votes207,616100%
Republicanhold

District 4

[edit]
See also:Oklahoma's 4th congressional district

This district was represented by RepublicanTom Cole. RepublicanR. J. Harris, ran for this seat against Cole.,[3] no Democrats contested this district.

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Cole (incumbent)32,58477.3%
RepublicanR. J. Harris9,59222.7%
Total votes42,176100

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[10]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[11]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[11]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma's 4th congressional district House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Cole (incumbent)100%
Total votes100%
Republicanhold

District 5

[edit]
2010 Oklahoma's 5th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeJames LankfordBilly Coyle
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote123,23668,074
Percentage62.5%34.5%

Precinct- and county-level results

U.S. Representative before election

Mary Fallin
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

James Lankford
Republican

See also:Oklahoma's 5th congressional district

This district was represented by RepublicanMary Fallin, but the seat was opened as she has announced her candidacy forGovernor of Oklahoma. The seat attracted the attention of several Republican candidates, including State Representative Mike Thompson,[15] formerState Representative Kevin Calvey, whom Fallin defeated in the 2006 Republican primary for this seat, physician Johnny Roy, who also ran in 2006,[16] Harry Johnson, Rick Flanigan, Shane Jett and Baptist General Convention of Oklahoma[17] employeeJames Lankford,[18] as well as Democrats Tom Guild andBilly Coyle. Ultimately RepublicanJames Lankford and Democrat Billy Coyle won their respective parties' nominations and faced off in the general election in November.

This district includes most ofOklahoma City as well asPottawatomie andSeminole counties.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBilly Coyle21,13956.8%
DemocraticTom Guild16,05943.2%
Total votes37,198100%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Polling

[edit]

First-choice polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kevin
Calvey
Rick
Flanigan
James
Lankford
Johnny
Roy
Mike
Thompson
Harry
Johnson
Shane
Jett
Undecided
Soonerpoll[19]July 7–9, 2010306 (LV)5.6%28%<1%20%2%14%1%6%29%
Soonerpoll[20]February 25-March 8, 2010302 (LV)5.64%20%1%7%1%9%63%

Second-choice polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kevin
Calvey
Rick
Flanigan
James
Lankford
Johnny
Roy
Mike
Thompson
Harry
Johnson
Shane
Jett
Undecided
Soonerpoll[19]July 7–9, 2010306 (LV)5.6%20%0%14%5%11%<1%12%38%

Results

[edit]

There was a runoff election held on August 24 between James Lankford and Kevin Calvey. Lankford was chosen to run against Billy Coyle in November.

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJames Lankford18,75533.6%
RepublicanKevin Calvey18,14332.5%
RepublicanMike Thompson10,00717.9%
RepublicanShane Jett5,95510.7%
RepublicanJohnny Roy1,5482.8%
RepublicanRick Flanigan7621.4%
RepublicanHarry Johnson6861.2%
Total votes55,856100%
Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJames Lankford29,81465.2%
RepublicanKevin Calvey15,89932.7%
Total votes45,713100%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[10]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[11]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[11]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
2010 Oklahoma' 5th congressional district House election
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJames Lankford123,23662.53%
DemocraticBilly Coyle68,07434.53%
IndependentClark Duffe3,0671.56%
IndependentDave White2,7281.38%
Total votes197,105100%
Republicanhold

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

[edit]
  1. ^Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives
  2. ^Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedNovember 12, 2019.
  3. ^abcdOklahoma State Election Board."Candidates for Federal, State, Legislative and Judicial Offices"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on September 14, 2010. RetrievedJune 19, 2010.
  4. ^"U.S. Rep. John Sullivan checks in to Betty Ford clinic". Tulsa World News. May 29, 2009.
  5. ^Oklahoma State Election Board (July 27, 2010)."Unofficial Results Primary Election". Archived fromthe original on July 20, 2012. RetrievedJuly 28, 2010.
  6. ^abcde"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  7. ^abcdeRothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  8. ^abcdeCrystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  9. ^abcdeRealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  10. ^abcde"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  11. ^abcdefghij"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.
  12. ^ab"Election Results"(PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on November 16, 2010. RetrievedNovember 16, 2010.
  13. ^"OK-2: Boren looks safe (16-27 points)". Uselectionatlas.org. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  14. ^[1]Archived 2010-12-04 at theWayback Machine, 2010 Election: Race for Congress
  15. ^"Congressional candidate names campaign co-chairmen". Blog.newsok.com. July 6, 2009. RetrievedJuly 28, 2009.[permanent dead link]
  16. ^"The Scorecard: 2008 Congressional campaign news and analysis". Politico.Com. RetrievedJuly 28, 2009.
  17. ^"Baptist General Convention of Oklahoma". RetrievedSeptember 1, 2009.
  18. ^"James Lankford Candidacy Facebook Page".Facebook. RetrievedSeptember 1, 2009.
  19. ^abSoonerpoll
  20. ^Soonerpoll

External links

[edit]
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