Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →

All 3 New Mexico seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election30
Seats won21
Seat changeDecrease 1Increase 1
Popular vote307,766288,885
Percentage51.58%48.42%
SwingDecrease 4.54%Increase 9.00%

District results
County results

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Republican

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Elections in New Mexico

The2010 congressional elections in New Mexico were held on November 2, 2010, and determinedNew Mexico's representation in theUnited States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the winners of the election served in the111th Congress, which began on January 4, 2009, ended on January 3, 2011.

New Mexico has three seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. Its 2009–2011 congressional delegation consisted of threeDemocrats and noRepublicans, which changed to two Democrats and one Republican after the 2010 election.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2010[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Democratic307,76651.58%2-1
Republican288,88548.42%1+1
Totals596,651100.00%3

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district:[2]

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1112,01051.80%104,21548.20%00.00%216,225100%Democratic Hold
District 275,70844.60%94,05355.40%00.00%169,761100%Republican Gain
District 3120,04856.99%90,61743.01%00.00%210,665100%Democratic Hold
Total307,76651.58%288,88548.42%00.00%596,651100%

District 1

[edit]
See also:New Mexico's 1st congressional district

Campaign

[edit]

First elected in2008, incumbent Democratic CongressmanMartin Heinrich ran for re-election for the first time this year. This moderate[3] district, based inmetro Albuquerque, has a tendency of supporting both Republican and Democratic candidates for office. In the general election, Congressman Heinrich faced Jon Barela, the Republican nominee for the seat and a former high-ranking official in theNew Mexico Republican Party. Barela hammered at Heinrich for being "too far left" for what he described as a "center-right seat."[4] TheAlbuquerque Journal endorsed Jon Barela in the general election, citing the fact that he "would boost the economy by nurturing predictability for investors and job creators" and urgingNew Mexico voters to vote for a candidate who would "[help] restore balance to Congress and [place] an emphasis on people over government programs to right the ship."[5] Polling indicated that the race would be close, and on election day, Heinrich won a second term by nearly a four-point margin and 8,000 votes.

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredMartin Heinrich (D)Jon Barela (R)Undecided
Research and Polling Inc.[6]October 27–28, 201046%49%
Public Opinion Strategies[7]October 24–25, 201047%49%
Research and Polling Inc.[6]September 27–30, 201048%41%
Public Policy Polling[8]September 25–26, 201050%43%7%
American Action Forum[9]August 23–29, 201049%42%9%
Research and Polling Inc.[10]August 23–27, 201047%41%12%
Survey USA[11]July 22–25, 201045%51%4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[12]July 8–13, 201053%41%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[13]April 28 – May 2, 201055%38%
Public Policy Polling[14]February 25, 201045%36%19%

†Internal poll (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for the Heinrich campaign and Public Opinion Strategies for the Barela campaign)

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[16]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[18]TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[19]Lean DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[20]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[20]Lean DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
New Mexico's 1st congressional district election, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMartin Heinrich (incumbent)112,01051.80
RepublicanJon Barela104,21548.20
Total votes216,225100.00
Democratichold

District 2

[edit]
See also:New Mexico's 2nd congressional district

Campaign

[edit]

This conservative-leaning[3] district, which has historically supported Republican candidates for higher office, has been represented by moderate Democratic CongressmanHarry Teague since he was first elected two years prior. The previous Congressman, RepublicanSteve Pearce, retired in 2008 torun for Senate, a race that he lost. Coming off from a large electoral defeat at the hands of DemocratTom Udall, the former Congressman Pearce re-entered the political sphere and challenged Congressman Teague when he sought election to a second congressional term. A tough campaign ensued, with Pearce taking the lead in most polls. Pearce's advantage widened when theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee announced that it was shifting resources from the 2nd district to the 1st district, a decision that the Pearce campaign responded, "The DCCC is realizing what we knew all along. Voters do not want the Teague-Pelosi agenda of out-of-control spending and lost jobs."[21] In late October, Congressman Teague declined to participate in a debate with Steve Pearce, giving Pearce solo airtime that was broadcast statewide and providing some observers with evidence that Teague was essentially conceding defeat to Pearce.[22] As political prognosticators indicated, on election day, Pearce defeated the incumbent Congressman and returned toWashington for his fourth nonconsecutive term.

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredHarry Teague (D)Steve Pearce (R)Undecided
Research and Polling Inc.[23]October 27–28, 201045%48%
Tarrance Group[24]October 19–20, 201041%50%9%
The Hill/ANGA[25]September 28–30, 201042%46%10%
Research and Polling Inc.[23]September 27–30, 201044%45%
Public Policy Polling[26]September 25–26, 201047%48%5%
Anzalone Liszt Research[27]September 7–9, 201051%44%
Research and Polling Inc.[10]August 23–27, 201045%42%
Hamilton Campaigns[28]April 6–8, 201047%46%8%
Public Policy Polling[14]February 25, 201041%43%16%
Tarrance Group (Link)†February 16–18, 201044%48%8%
Hamilton Campaigns[28]August, 200942%52%6%

†Internal poll (Hamilton Campaigns polls commissioned by Teague; Tarrance Group poll for Pearce)

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[16]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[18]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[19]TossupOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[20]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[20]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve Pearce94,05355.40
DemocraticHarry Teague (incumbent)75,70844.60
Total votes169,761100.00
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 3

[edit]
See also:New Mexico's 3rd congressional district

Campaign

[edit]

Incumbent Democratic CongressmanBen Ray Luján has represented this liberal[3] district based in northern New Mexico since he was first elected in2008 to replace outgoing Democratic CongressmanTom Udall, who successfullyran for Senate. Seeking a second term, Congressman Luján faced Republican businessman Tom Mullins in the general election. TheAlbuquerque Journal endorsed Mullins, praising his plans to "trim federal spending" and "help the private sector create jobs…[by] lowering taxes."[5] Despite this, however, Luján was able to use the district's natural liberal leanings to his advantage and won re-election to a second term in Congress.

Republican primary

[edit]
New Mexico U.S. House District 3 Republican primary, 2010[29]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThomas E. Mullins23,30171.32
RepublicanAdam Kokesh9,37228.68
Total votes32,673100

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredBen R. Luján (D)Tom Mullins (R)Undecided
Public Policy Polling[30]September 25–26, 201049%43%8%
Public Policy Polling[14]February 25, 201042%36%22%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[16]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[18]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[19]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[20]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[20]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBen Ray Luján (incumbent)120,04856.99
RepublicanThomas Mullins90,61743.01
Total votes210,665100.00
Democratichold

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcd"Archived copy"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on February 27, 2017. RetrievedJune 21, 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  2. ^Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.Archived from the original on January 3, 2013. RetrievedNovember 12, 2019.
  3. ^abc"Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. <[1]>.
  4. ^"Jon Barela to Politico: Martin Heinrich is 'too far left' | New Mexico Independent".Archived from the original on August 23, 2011. RetrievedJune 21, 2011.
  5. ^ab"ABQJOURNAL OPINION/EDITORIALS: Journal Endorsements for U.S. Congress".Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. RetrievedJune 21, 2011.
  6. ^abResearch and Polling Inc.
  7. ^Public Opinion Strategies
  8. ^Public Policy Polling
  9. ^American Action Forum
  10. ^abResearch and Polling Inc.
  11. ^Survey USA
  12. ^Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
  13. ^Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
  14. ^abcPublic Policy Polling
  15. ^abc"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  16. ^abcRothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  17. ^abcCrystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  18. ^abcRealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  19. ^abc"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  20. ^abcdef"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.
  21. ^"Capitol Report | New Mexico » National Dems cut back on Teague ads". Archived fromthe original on November 2, 2011. RetrievedJune 21, 2011.
  22. ^"Did Harry Teague just forfeit the election to Steve Pearce Thursday night?". Archived fromthe original on October 9, 2011. RetrievedJune 21, 2011.
  23. ^abResearch and Polling Inc.
  24. ^Tarrance Group
  25. ^The Hill/ANGA[dead link]
  26. ^Public Policy Polling
  27. ^Anzalone Liszt Research
  28. ^abHamilton Campaigns
  29. ^"Canvass of Returns of Primary Election Held on June 1, 2010 – State of New Mexico"(PDF). State of New Mexico. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on February 21, 2014. RetrievedSeptember 14, 2017.
  30. ^Public Policy Polling

External links

[edit]
U.S.
Senate
U.S.
House

(election
ratings
)
Governors
Attorneys
general
State
legislatures
Mayors
Local
States
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2010_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Mexico&oldid=1332113372"
Categories:
Hidden categories:

[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2026 Movatter.jp