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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

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See also:2010 Nebraska elections

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

← 2008November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)2012 →

All 3 Nebraska seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election30
Seats won30
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote327,986137,524
Percentage67.55%28.32%
SwingIncrease 1.71ppDecrease 5.84pp

District results
County results
Republican
  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
Elections in Nebraska
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The2010 congressional elections in Nebraska were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who will represent thestate ofNebraska in theUnited States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.

Nebraska has three seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. Its 2008-2009 congressional delegation consisted of three Republicans:Jeff Fortenberry indistrict 1,Lee Terry indistrict 2 andAdrian Smith indistrict 3. All three ran for reelection.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska, 2010[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Republican327,98667.55%3
Democratic137,52428.32%0
Independents20,0364.13%0
Totals485,546100.00%3

By district

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska by district:[2]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1116,87171.27%47,10628.73%00.00%163,977100%Republican hold
District 293,84060.81%60,48639.19%00.00%154,326100%Republican hold
District 3117,27570.12%29,93217.90%20,03611.98%167,243100%Republican hold
Total327,98667.55%137,52428.32%20,0364.13%485,546100%

District 1

[edit]
See also:Nebraska's 1st congressional district

In this solidly conservative[3] district based in eastern Nebraska, including someOmaha suburbs and the city ofLincoln, incumbent Republican CongressmanJeff Fortenberry ran for a fourth term. Congressman Fortenberry was opposed by Democrat Ivy Harper, a journalist and a legislative assistant to former CongressmanJohn Cavanaugh. Harper did not stand much chance in this district, and Fortenberry was overwhelmingly re-elected.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Nebraska's 1st congressional district election, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Fortenberry (inc.)116,87171.27
DemocraticIvy Harper47,10628.73
Total votes163,977100.00
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
See also:Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

This conservative-leaning district[3] is solely based inmetropolitan Omaha and has been represented by incumbent Republican CongressmanLee Terry since he was first elected in1998. Congressman Terry faced a tough bid for re-election in2008 from DemocratJim Esch, but Esch declined to run for Congress a third time in 2010. Instead,State SenatorTom White emerged as the Democratic nominee. Though polls indicated the race to be close and Democrats saw the 2nd district as one of their few pick-up opportunities,[10] Congressman Terry was ultimately re-elected by a wide margin on election day.

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredLee Terry (R)Tom White (D)Undecided
Wiese Research Associates (Registered Voters)[11]October 17–21, 201044%39%12%
Wiese Research Associates (Likely Voters)[12]October 17–21, 201048%40%12%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLee Terry (inc.)93,84060.81
DemocraticTom White60,48639.19
Total votes154,326100.00
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
See also:Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

This congressional district, which constitutes nearly 85% ofNebraska's land mass, is one of the most conservative districts in the country.[3] Though incumbent CongressmanAdrian Smith, a Republican, was elected to his first term in2006 by a shockingly small ten-point margin of victory, he has enjoyed considerable luck since. This year, Congressman Smith faced Democratic nominee Rebekah Davis and independent candidate Dan Hill. As expected, Smith trounced both Davis and Hill to win a third term to Congress.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[8]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[9]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election, 2010[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAdrian Smith (inc.)117,27570.12
DemocraticRebekah Davis29,93217.90
IndependentDan Hill20,03611.98
Total votes167,243100.00
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcdClerk of the U.S. House of Representatives."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"(PDF). p. 28.
  2. ^Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedNovember 12, 2019.
  3. ^abc"Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. <[1]>.
  4. ^abc"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  5. ^abcRothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  6. ^abcCrystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  7. ^abcRealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  8. ^abc"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  9. ^abcdef"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.
  10. ^"HuffPost - Breaking News, U.S. And World News".
  11. ^Wiese Research Associates (Registered Voters)
  12. ^Wiese Research Associates (Likely Voters)

External links

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