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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine

← 2008
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
2012 →

All 2 Maine seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election20
Seats won20
Seat changeSteadySteady
Popular vote316,156248,170
Percentage56.02%43.97%
SwingDecrease 4.8ppIncrease 4.79pp

District results
County results

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%

Republican

  50–60%

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Elections were held on November 2, 2010, to determineMaine's two members of theUnited States House of Representatives. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. Primary elections were held on June 8, 2010.[1]

The races in both the1st and2nd districts were rated as competitive byThe Cook Political Report[2] andThe Rothenberg Political Report,[3] while only the 1st district was rated as competitive byCQ Politics.[4] Both of Maine'sincumbents (Chellie Pingree of the 1st district andMike Michaud of the 2nd district, bothDemocrats) were re-elected.[5]

A total of 564,368 votes were cast, of which 316,156 (56.02 percent) were for Democratic candidates, 248,170 (43.97 percent) were forRepublican candidates, and 42 (0.01 percent) were forwrite-in candidates.[6]

Overview

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine by district:[7]

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1169,11456.82%128,50143.17%420.01%297,657100.0%Democratic hold
District 2147,04255.13%119,66944.87%00.00%266,711100.0%Democratic hold
Total316,15656.02%248,17043.97%420.01%564,368100.0%

District 1

[edit]
Maine's 1st congressional district in 2010
Chellie Pingree, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 1st district
See also:Maine's 1st congressional district

The 1st district includesBiddeford,Portland andSouth Portland.[8] The district's population was 95 percent white (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 91 percent were high school graduates and 32 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $53,324.[9] In the2008 presidential election the district gave 61 percent of its vote toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama and 38 percent toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain.[8] In 2010 the district had aCook Partisan Voting Index of D+8.[2]

DemocratChellie Pingree, who took office in 2009, was theincumbent. Pingree was elected in2008 with 55 percent of the vote.[8] In 2010 her opponent in the general election was Republican nominee Dean Scontras, the co-owner of analternative energy company.[10] Pingree and Scontras were unopposed in their respective primaries.[11] Pingree raised $1,282,675 and spent $1,290,022. Scontras raised $491,374 and spent the same amount.[12]

In a poll of 790 likely voters, conducted byPublic Policy Polling between September 2 and 6, 2010, Pingree led with 47 percent to Scontras's 38 percent, while 15 percent were undecided.[13] A poll of 316 likely voters, conducted by Critical Insights (CI) on September 13, 2010, found Pingree leading with 53 percent to Scontras's 29 percent while 18 percent were undecided.[14][15][16] A CI poll with a statewide sample of 405 likely voters, conducted on September 27, 2010, found Pingree leading Scontras by 54 percent to 26 percent, while 19 percent were undecided.[16][17] In a poll of 346 likely voters, conducted by the Maine Center for Public Opinion between October 4 and 7, 2010, 46 percent of respondents supported Pingree while 38 percent favored Scontras and 16 percent were undecided.[18] A CI poll of 305 registered voters, conducted on October 10 and 11, 2010, found Pingree leading with 48 percent to Scontras's 33 percent, while 18 percent remained undecided.[19][20] In a poll with a statewide sample of 501 likely voters, conducted by Pan Atlantic SMS Group between October 11 and 15, 2010, 49 percent of respondents backed Pingree with 33 percent supported Scontras and 18 percent remained undecided.[21] In a CI poll of 295 likely voters, conducted between October 13 and 17, 2010, Pingree led Scontras by 45 percent to 40 percent while 13 percent were undecided.[22] In CI's final poll Scontras led with 45 percent to Pingree's 41 percent.[23]

On election day Pingree was re-elected with 57 percent of the vote to Scontras's 43 percent.[24] Pingree was one of eight Democratic U.S. Representatives who was elected by a larger margin in 2010 than in 2008.[25] Pingree was again re-elected in2012,[26]2014,[27]2016[28] and2018.[29]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[31]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[33]TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[34]Likely DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[35]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[35]Likely DNovember 1, 2010

General election results

[edit]
Maine's 1st district general election, November 2, 2010[24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChellie Pingree (incumbent)169,11456.82
RepublicanDean Scontras128,50143.17
Write-InWrite-in candidates420.01
Total votes297,657100.00

External links

[edit]

District 2

[edit]
Maine's 2nd congressional district in 2010
Mike Michaud, who was re-elected as the U.S. representative for the 2nd district
See also:Maine's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district includedAuburn,Bangor,Lewiston andWaterville.[36] Its population was 94 percent white (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 87 percent were high school graduates and 20 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $40,812.[37] In the2008 presidential election the district gave 55 percent of its vote toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama and 43 percent toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain.[36] In 2010 the district had aCook Partisan Voting Index of D+3.[2]

DemocratMike Michaud, who took office in 2003, was the incumbent. Michaud was re-elected in2008 with 67 percent of the vote.[36] In 2010 Michaud's opponent in the general election was Republican nominee Jason Levesque, a businessman.[38] Both Michaud and Levesque were unopposed in their primaries.[39] Michaud raised $1,044,372 and spent $1,244,848. Levesque raised $542,626 and spent $529,783.[40]

In a poll of 678 likely voters, conducted byPublic Policy Polling between September 2 and 6, 2010, Michaud led with 45 percent to Levesque's 38 percent, while 17 percent were undecided.[13] A poll of 287 registered voters, conducted by Critical Insights (CI) on September 13, 2010, found Michaud leading with 48 percent to Levesque's 28 percent while 24 percent were undecided.[15][41] In a poll with a statewide sample of 405, conducted by CI on September 27, 2010, Michaud had the support of 44 percent while 32 percent backed Levesque and 24 percent were undecided.[16][17] A CI poll of 300 likely voters, conducted on October 10 and 11, 2010, found Michaud leading with 43 percent to Levesque's 30 percent while 26 percent were undecided.[42] In a poll with a statewide sample of 501 likely voters, conducted by Pan Atlantic SMS Group between October 11 and 15, 2010, 49 percent of respondents supported Michaud while 29 percent favored Levesque and 22 percent were undecided.[21] A poll of 305 likely voters, conducted by CI between October 13 and 17, 2010, found Michaud leading with 49 percent to Levesque's 30 percent, while 20 percent were undecided.[22] In a CI poll of 326 likely voters, the results of which were published later in October 2010, Michaud led with 44 percent to Levesque's 40 percent while 14 percent remained undecided.[43]

On election day Michaud was re-elected with 55 percent of the vote to Levesque's 45 percent.[44] Michaud was again re-elected in 2012[45] and unsuccessfully ran forGovernor of Maine in2014.[46] He was succeeded by RepublicanBruce Poliquin.[47]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[30]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[31]Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[33]TossupNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[34]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[35]Lean DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[35]Likely DNovember 1, 2010

General election results

[edit]
Maine's 2nd district general election, November 2, 2010[44]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMike Michaud (incumbent)147,04255.13
RepublicanJason Levesque119,66944.87
Total votes266,711100.00

External links

[edit]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"June 8, 2010 Primary Election Candidate Listing".Secretary of State of Maine. Archived fromthe original on May 27, 2014. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  2. ^abc"2010 competitive House race chart".The Cook Political Report. October 26, 2010. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  3. ^"House Ratings".The Rothenberg Political Report. November 1, 2010. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  4. ^"Race Ratings Chart: House".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  5. ^Sharp, David (November 2, 2010)."Reps. Pingree, Michaud win re-election in Maine".The Boston Globe. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  6. ^Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011)."Statistics of the congressional election of November 2, 2010".Clerk of the United States House of Representatives. p. 21. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  7. ^Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011)."Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010".Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. RetrievedNovember 12, 2019.
  8. ^abc"Maine – 1st District".Roll Call. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  9. ^"Maine 1st District Profile".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  10. ^Jordan, Glenn (October 29, 2010)."Chellie Pingree vs. Dean Scontras".Kennebec Journal. Archived fromthe original on May 28, 2014. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  11. ^Jordan, Glenn (October 29, 2010)."Maine 1st Congressional District rivals air differences in debate".Kennebec Journal. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  12. ^"Maine District 01 Race".OpenSecrets. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  13. ^ab"Maine Rep's Pingree, Michaud Favored for Re-election"(PDF).Public Policy Polling. September 9, 2010. RetrievedMay 25, 2014.
  14. ^Jordan, Glenn (September 20, 2010)."1st District".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  15. ^ab"Maine Voter Preference Study – Wave I". Critical Insights. September 2010. Archived fromthe original on March 4, 2016. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  16. ^abcWickenheiser, Matt (September 29, 2010)."Poll: Mitchell, LePage in dead heat in governor's race".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  17. ^ab"Maine Voter Preference Study – Wave II". Critical Insights. September 2010. Archived fromthe original on March 4, 2016. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  18. ^Metzler, Rebekah (October 10, 2010)."Political poll sees shift in numbers".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2014.
  19. ^Jordan, Glenn (October 14, 2010)."Scontras gains on Pingree".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  20. ^"Maine Voter Preference Study – Wave III". Critical Insights. October 13, 2010. Archived fromthe original on March 4, 2016. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  21. ^ab"The 45th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll"(PDF). Pan Atlantic SMS Group. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  22. ^ab"Critical Insights on Maine Tracking Survey: Fall 2010"(PDF). Critical Insights. October 2010. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on July 8, 2011. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  23. ^Jordan, Glenn (October 29, 2010)."Scontras edging Pingree in latest poll".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  24. ^ab"General Election Tabulations: November 2, 2010, Congressional District 1".Secretary of State of Maine. Archived fromthe original on May 27, 2014. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  25. ^Ostermeier, Eric (November 7, 2010)."Nancy Pelosi 1 of 8 House Democrats to Win by Bigger Margin in 2010 than 2008".Smart Politics. Archived fromthe original on November 15, 2012. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  26. ^"Democrat Pingree re-elected in Maine House race".WMTW. November 7, 2012. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  27. ^Koenig, Seth (November 4, 2014)."Pingree turns back challenges from political newcomers to gain re-election".Bangor Daily News. RetrievedNovember 23, 2014.
  28. ^Miller, Kevin (November 8, 2016)."Pingree wins re-election to 1st Congressional District".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedDecember 2, 2018.
  29. ^"Rep. Chellie Pingree wins Maine's 1st Congressional District seat".The Washington Post. November 30, 2018. Archived fromthe original on October 11, 2018. RetrievedDecember 2, 2018.
  30. ^ab"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  31. ^abRothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  32. ^abCrystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  33. ^abRealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  34. ^ab"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  35. ^abcd"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.
  36. ^abc"Maine – 2nd District".Roll Call. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  37. ^"Maine 2nd District Profile".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  38. ^Monroe, Scott (October 22, 2010)."Jason Levesque vs. Mike Michaud".Kennebec Journal. Archived fromthe original on May 27, 2014. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  39. ^Nick, Jr. (June 8, 2010)."Just another day for unopposed candidates".Bangor Daily News. Sambides. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  40. ^"Maine District 02 Race".OpenSecrets. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  41. ^Monroe, Scott (September 19, 2010)."2nd District".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  42. ^Monroe, Scott (October 14, 2010)."Poll gives Michaud strong lead".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  43. ^Monroe, Scott (October 29, 2010)."New poll: Levesque surges close to Michaud".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  44. ^ab"General Election Tabulations: November 2, 2010, Congressional District 2".Secretary of State of Maine. Archived fromthe original on May 27, 2014. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  45. ^"Rep. Mike Michaud re-elected in Maine's second district".WCSH. November 6, 2012. Archived fromthe original on May 27, 2014. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  46. ^Duffy, Nick (November 5, 2014)."US: Mike Michaud loses bid to become first openly gay governor".Pink News. RetrievedNovember 23, 2014.
  47. ^"Cain concedes 2nd Dist. race, Poliquin takes seat".WCSH. November 5, 2014. Archived fromthe original on November 23, 2014. RetrievedNovember 23, 2014.
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