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The2010 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 2, 2010, with early voting taking place in some states in the weeks preceding that date. Voters chose representatives from all 435congressional districts across each of the 50U.S. states.Non-voting delegates from theDistrict of Columbia and four of the five inhabitedU.S. territories[a] were also elected. Thesemidterm elections took place nearly halfway through the first term ofDemocratic PresidentBarack Obama. The winners served in the112th United States Congress, with seatsapportioned among the states based on the2000 United States census. On Election Day, Democrats had held a House majority since January 2007 as a result of the2006 elections.
These were predictions of the outcome of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections.
Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (theCook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.
Most election ratings use:
The following table contains the final ratings of the competitiveness of selected races according to noted political analysts. Races which were considered safe for the incumbent's party are not included. Incumbents who did not run for re-election have parentheses around their name.
| District | CPVI | Incumbent | Previous result | Cook November 1, 2010[14] | Rothenberg November 1, 2010[15] | Sabato November 1, 2010[16] | RCP November 1, 2010[17] | CQ Politics October 28, 2010[18] | NYT November 1, 2010[19] | 538 November 1, 2010[20] | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama 2 | R+16 | Bobby Bright (D) | 51.0% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Martha Roby (R) |
| Alabama 5 | R+12 | Parker Griffith (R)(lost renomination) | 51.5% D | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Mo Brooks (R) |
| Arizona 1 | R+6 | Ann Kirkpatrick (D) | 55.9% D | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Paul Gosar (R) |
| Arizona 3 | R+9 | John Shadegg (R)(retiring) | 54.1% R | Lean R | Safe R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Likely R | Ben Quayle (R) |
| Arizona 5 | R+5 | Harry Mitchell (D) | 53.2% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | David Schweikert (R) |
| Arizona 7 | D+6 | Raúl Grijalva (D) | 63.3% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Raúl Grijalva (D) |
| Arizona 8 | R+4 | Gabby Giffords (D) | 54.7% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Gabby Giffords (D) |
| Arkansas 1 | R+8 | Robert Marion Berry (D)(retiring) | 100% D | Lean R(flip) | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Rick Crawford (R) |
| Arkansas 2 | R+5 | Vic Snyder (D)(retiring) | 76.5% D | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Tim Griffin (R) |
| Arkansas 4 | R+7 | Mike Ross (D) | 86.2% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Lean D | Safe D | Mike Ross (D) |
| California 3 | R+6 | Dan Lungren (R) | 49.5% R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Dan Lungren (R) |
| California 11 | R+1 | Jerry McNerney (D) | 55.3% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Jerry McNerney (D) |
| California 18 | D+4 | Dennis Cardoza (D) | 100% D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D | Safe D | Lean D | Safe D | Dennis Cardoza (D) |
| California 20 | D+5 | Jim Costa (D) | 74.4% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean R(flip) | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Jim Costa (D) |
| California 44 | R+6 | Ken Calvert (R) | 49.5% R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Ken Calvert (R) |
| California 45 | R+3 | Mary Bono (R) | 58.3% R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Mary Bono (R) |
| California 47 | D+4 | Loretta Sanchez (D) | 69.5% D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Loretta Sanchez (D) |
| Colorado 3 | R+5 | John Salazar (D) | 61.6% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Scott Tipton (R) |
| Colorado 4 | R+6 | Betsy Markey (D) | 56.2% D | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Cory Gardner (R) |
| Colorado 7 | D+4 | Ed Perlmutter (D) | 63.5% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Ed Perlmutter (D) |
| Connecticut 1 | D+13 | John Larson (D) | 71.6% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | John Larson (D) |
| Connecticut 2 | D+6 | Joe Courtney (D) | 65.7% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Joe Courtney (D) |
| Connecticut 4 | D+4 | Jim Himes (D) | 51.3% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Jim Himes (D) |
| Connecticut 5 | D+2 | Chris Murphy (D) | 54.1% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Chris Murphy (D) |
| Delaware at-large | D+7 | Mike Castle (R)(retiring)[b] | 61.1% R | Likely D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Likely D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Safe D(flip) | John Carney (D) |
| Florida 2 | R+6 | Allen Boyd (D) | 61.9% D | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Steve Southerland (R) |
| Florida 8 | R+2 | Alan Grayson (D) | 52.0% D | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Daniel Webster (R) |
| Florida 12 | R+6 | Adam Putnam (R)(retiring) | 57.5% R | Lean R | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Safe R | Likely R | Dennis A. Ross (R) |
| Florida 22 | D+1 | Ron Klein (D) | 54.7% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean D | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Allen West (R) |
| Florida 24 | R+4 | Suzanne Kosmas (D) | 57.2% D | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Sandy Adams (R) |
| Florida 25 | R+5 | Mario Díaz-Balart (R)(retiring) | 53.1% R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Likely R | David Rivera (R) |
| Georgia 2 | D+1 | Sanford Bishop (D) | 68.9% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Sanford Bishop (D) |
| Georgia 8 | R+10 | Jim Marshall (D) | 57.2% D | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely R(flip) | Austin Scott (R) |
| Georgia 12 | D+1 | John Barrow (D) | 66.0% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Lean D | Safe D | John Barrow (D) |
| Hawaii 1 | D+11 | Charles Djou (R) | 39.4% R | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D(flip) | Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
| Idaho 1 | R+18 | Walt Minnick (D) | 50.6% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Raúl Labrador (R) |
| Illinois 8 | R+1 | Melissa Bean (D) | 60.7% D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D | Safe D | Lean D | Likely D | Joe Walsh (R) |
| Illinois 10 | D+6 | Mark Kirk (R)(retiring)[b] | 52.6% R | Lean D(flip) | Tilt D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Tossup | Lean D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Bob Dold (R) |
| Illinois 11 | R+1 | Debbie Halvorson (D) | 58.4% D | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Adam Kinzinger (R) |
| Illinois 14 | R+1 | Bill Foster (D) | 57.7% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Randy Hultgren (R) |
| Illinois 17 | D+3 | Phil Hare (D) | 99.8% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Bobby Schilling (R) |
| Indiana 2 | R+2 | Joe Donnelly (D) | 67.1% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Joe Donnelly (D) |
| Indiana 8 | R+8 | Brad Ellsworth (D)(retiring)[b] | 64.7% D | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Larry Bucshon (R) |
| Indiana 9 | R+6 | Baron Hill (D) | 57.8% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Todd Young (R) |
| Iowa 1 | D+5 | Bruce Braley (D) | 64.6% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Safe D | Bruce Braley (D) |
| Iowa 2 | D+7 | David Loebsack (D) | 57.2% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | David Loebsack (D) |
| Iowa 3 | D+1 | Leonard Boswell (D) | 56.4% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Leonard Boswell (D) |
| Kansas 3 | R+3 | Dennis Moore (D)(retiring) | 56.4% D | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Kevin Yoder (R) |
| Kentucky 3 | D+2 | John Yarmuth (D) | 59.4% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Safe D | John Yarmuth (D) |
| Kentucky 6 | R+9 | Ben Chandler (D) | 64.7% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Ben Chandler (D) |
| Louisiana 2 | D+25 | Joseph Cao (R) | 49.5% R | Likely D(flip) | Likely D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Likely D(flip) | Lean D(flip) | Likely D(flip) | Cedric Richmond (D) |
| Louisiana 3 | R+12 | Charlie Melançon (D)(retiring)[b] | 100% D | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Jeff Landry (R) |
| Maine 1 | D+8 | Chellie Pingree (D) | 54.9% D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Chellie Pingree (D) |
| Maine 2 | D+3 | Mike Michaud (D) | 67.4% D | Lean D | Likely D | Safe D | Tossup | Safe D | Lean D | Likely D | Mike Michaud (D) |
| Maryland 1 | R+13 | Frank Kratovil (D) | 49.1% D | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Andrew P. Harris (R) |
| Massachusetts 4 | D+14 | Barney Frank (D) | 68.0% D | Lean D | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Safe D | Barney Frank (D) |
| Massachusetts 5 | D+8 | Niki Tsongas (D) | 100% D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Niki Tsongas (D) |
| Massachusetts 6 | D+7 | John F. Tierney (D) | 70.4% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | John F. Tierney (D) |
| Massachusetts 10 | D+5 | Bill Delahunt (D)(retiring) | 100% D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | William R. Keating (D) |
| Michigan 1 | R+3 | Bart Stupak (D)(retiring) | 65.0% D | Lean R(flip) | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Dan Benishek (R) |
| Michigan 7 | R+2 | Mark Schauer (D) | 48.8% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tim Walberg (R) |
| Michigan 9 | D+2 | Gary Peters (D) | 52.1% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Gary Peters (D) |
| Michigan 15 | D+13 | John D. Dingell Jr. (D) | 70.7% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Lean D | Safe D | Lean D | Safe D | John D. Dingell Jr. (D) |
| Minnesota 1 | R+1 | Tim Walz (D) | 62.5% D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Tim Walz (D) |
| Minnesota 6 | R+7 | Michele Bachmann (R) | 46.4% R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Lean R | Safe R | Michele Bachmann (R) |
| Minnesota 7 | R+5 | Collin Peterson (D) | 72.2% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Collin Peterson (D) |
| Minnesota 8 | D+3 | Jim Oberstar (D) | 67.7% D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Likely D | Safe D | Lean D | Chip Cravaack (R) |
| Mississippi 1 | R+14 | Travis Childers (D) | 54.5% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Alan Nunnelee (R) |
| Mississippi 2 | D+12 | Bennie Thompson (D) | 69.1% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Bennie Thompson (D) |
| Mississippi 4 | R+20 | Gene Taylor (D) | 74.5% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Steven Palazzo (R) |
| Missouri 3 | D+7 | Russ Carnahan (D) | 66.4% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Russ Carnahan (D) |
| Missouri 4 | R+14 | Ike Skelton (D) | 65.9% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Vicky Hartzler (R) |
| Missouri 5 | D+10 | Emanuel Cleaver (D) | 64.4% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Emanuel Cleaver (D) |
| Nebraska 2 | R+6 | Lee Terry (R) | 51.9% R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Lean R | Safe R | Lee Terry (R) |
| Nevada 3 | D+2 | Dina Titus (D) | 47.4% D | Lean R(flip) | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Likely R(flip) | Joe Heck (R) |
| New Hampshire 1 | Even | Carol Shea-Porter (D) | 51.7% D | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Frank Guinta (R) |
| New Hampshire 2 | D+3 | Paul Hodes (D)(retiring)[b] | 56.4% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Charles Bass (R) |
| New Jersey 3 | R+1 | John Adler (D) | 52.1% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean D | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Jon Runyan (R) |
| New Jersey 6 | D+8 | Frank Pallone (D) | 66.9% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Frank Pallone (D) |
| New Jersey 12 | D+5 | Rush Holt Jr. (D) | 63.1% D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Rush Holt Jr. (D) |
| New Mexico 1 | D+5 | Martin Heinrich (D) | 55.7% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Martin Heinrich (D) |
| New Mexico 2 | R+6 | Harry Teague (D) | 56.0% D | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Steve Pearce (R) |
| New Mexico 3 | D+7 | Ben Ray Lujan (D) | 56.7% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Lean D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Ben Ray Lujan (D) |
| New York 1 | Even | Tim Bishop (D) | 58.4% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Likely D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tim Bishop (D) |
| New York 2 | D+4 | Steve Israel (D) | 66.9% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Steve Israel (D) |
| New York 4 | D+6 | Carolyn McCarthy (D) | 64.0% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Carolyn McCarthy (D) |
| New York 13 | R+4 | Michael McMahon (D) | 60.9% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Michael Grimm (R) |
| New York 19 | R+3 | John Hall (D) | 58.7% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Nan Hayworth (R) |
| New York 20 | R+2 | Scott Murphy (D) | 50.2% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely R(flip) | Chris Gibson (R) |
| New York 22 | D+6 | Maurice Hinchey (D) | 64.0% D | Lean D | Safe D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Maurice Hinchey (D) |
| New York 23 | R+1 | Bill Owens (D) | 48.3% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Bill Owens (D) |
| New York 24 | R+2 | Mike Arcuri (D) | 52.0% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Richard Hanna (R) |
| New York 25 | D+3 | Dan Maffei (D) | 54.8% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Ann Marie Buerkle (R) |
| New York 27 | D+4 | Brian Higgins (D) | 74.4% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Brian Higgins (D) |
| New York 29 | R+5 | Vacant | 51.0% D | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Tom Reed (R) |
| North Carolina 2 | R+2 | Bob Etheridge (D) | 66.9% D | Lean D | Tilt D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Renee Ellmers (R) |
| North Carolina 4 | D+8 | David Price (D) | 63.3% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | David Price (D) |
| North Carolina 7 | R+5 | Mike McIntyre (D) | 68.8% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Mike McIntyre (D) |
| North Carolina 8 | R+2 | Larry Kissell (D) | 53.0% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Larry Kissell (D) |
| North Carolina 11 | R+6 | Heath Shuler (D) | 62.0% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Heath Shuler (D) |
| North Carolina 13 | D+5 | Brad Miller (D) | 65.9% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Brad Miller (D) |
| North Dakota at-large | R+10 | Earl Pomeroy (D) | 62.0% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely R(flip) | Rick Berg (R) |
| Ohio 1 | D+1 | Steve Driehaus (D) | 52.4% D | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Steve Chabot (R) |
| Ohio 6 | R+2 | Charlie Wilson (D) | 62.3% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Bill Johnson (R) |
| Ohio 10 | D+8 | Dennis Kucinich (D) | 57.0% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Dennis Kucinich (D) |
| Ohio 12 | D+1 | Pat Tiberi (R) | 54.8% R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Pat Tiberi (R) |
| Ohio 13 | D+5 | Betty Sutton (D) | 57.0% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Safe D | Betty Sutton (D) |
| Ohio 15 | D+1 | Mary Jo Kilroy (D) | 45.9% D | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Steve Stivers (R) |
| Ohio 16 | R+4 | John Boccieri (D) | 55.4% D | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Jim Renacci (R) |
| Ohio 18 | R+7 | Zack Space (D) | 59.9% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Bob Gibbs (R) |
| Oklahoma 2 | R+14 | Dan Boren (D) | 70.5% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Dan Boren (D) |
| Oregon 1 | D+8 | David Wu (D) | 71.5% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | David Wu (D) |
| Oregon 4 | D+2 | Peter DeFazio (D) | 82.3% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Lean D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Peter DeFazio (D) |
| Oregon 5 | D+1 | Kurt Schrader (D) | 54.3% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Kurt Schrader (D) |
| Pennsylvania 3 | R+3 | Kathy Dahlkemper (D) | 51.2% D | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Mike Kelly (R) |
| Pennsylvania 4 | R+6 | Jason Altmire (D) | 55.9% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Jason Altmire (D) |
| Pennsylvania 6 | D+4 | Jim Gerlach (R) | 52.1% R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Lean R | Safe R | Lean R | Safe R | Jim Gerlach (R) |
| Pennsylvania 7 | D+3 | Joe Sestak (D)(retiring)[b] | 59.6% D | Lean R(flip) | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Pat Meehan (R) |
| Pennsylvania 8 | D+2 | Patrick Murphy (D) | 56.8% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Mike Fitzpatrick (R) |
| Pennsylvania 10 | R+8 | Chris Carney (D) | 56.3% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely R(flip) | Tom Marino (R) |
| Pennsylvania 11 | D+4 | Paul Kanjorski (D) | 51.6% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Lou Barletta (R) |
| Pennsylvania 12 | R+1 | Mark Critz (D) | 52.6% D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Mark Critz (D) |
| Pennsylvania 13 | D+7 | Allyson Schwartz (D) | 62.8% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Allyson Schwartz (D) |
| Pennsylvania 15 | D+2 | Charlie Dent (R) | 58.6% R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Safe R | Charlie Dent (R) |
| Pennsylvania 17 | R+6 | Tim Holden (D) | 63.7% D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Safe D | Tim Holden (D) |
| Rhode Island 1 | D+13 | Patrick J. Kennedy (D)(retiring) | 68.6% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Safe D | Likely D | David Cicilline (D) |
| South Carolina 5 | R+7 | John Spratt (D) | 61.6% D | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely R(flip) | Mick Mulvaney (R) |
| South Dakota at-large | R+9 | Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D) | 67.6% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Kristi Noem (R) |
| Tennessee 4 | R+13 | Lincoln Davis (D) | 58.8% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Scott DesJarlais (R) |
| Tennessee 5 | D+3 | Jim Cooper (D) | 65.9% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Jim Cooper (D) |
| Tennessee 6 | R+13 | Bart Gordon (D)(retiring) | 74.4% D | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Diane Black (R) |
| Tennessee 8 | R+6 | John Tanner (D)(retiring) | 100% D | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Stephen Fincher (R) |
| Texas 15 | D+3 | Rubén Hinojosa (D) | 65.7% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Rubén Hinojosa (D) |
| Texas 17 | R+20 | Chet Edwards (D) | 53.0% D | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Safe R(flip) | Bill Flores (R) |
| Texas 23 | R+4 | Ciro Rodriguez (D) | 55.8% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Quico Canseco (R) |
| Texas 25 | D+6 | Lloyd Doggett (D) | 65.8% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Lloyd Doggett (D) |
| Texas 27 | R+2 | Solomon P. Ortiz (D) | 57.9% D | Lean D | Likely D | Safe D | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Blake Farenthold (R) |
| Utah 2 | R+15 | Jim Matheson (D) | 63.4% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Jim Matheson (D) |
| Virginia 2 | R+5 | Glenn Nye (D) | 52.4% D | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Scott Rigell (R) |
| Virginia 5 | R+5 | Tom Perriello (D) | 50.1% D | Lean R(flip) | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Robert Hurt (R) |
| Virginia 9 | R+11 | Rick Boucher (D) | 97.1% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Morgan Griffith (R) |
| Virginia 11 | D+2 | Gerry Connolly (D) | 54.7% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Gerry Connolly (D) |
| Washington 2 | D+3 | Rick Larsen (D) | 62.4% D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Rick Larsen (D) |
| Washington 3 | Even | Brian Baird (D)(retiring) | 64.0% D | Lean R(flip) | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) |
| Washington 6 | D+5 | Norm Dicks (D) | 66.9% D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | Norm Dicks (D) |
| Washington 8 | D+3 | Dave Reichert (R) | 52.8% R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Dave Reichert (R) |
| Washington 9 | D+5 | Adam Smith (D) | 65.5% D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Tossup | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Adam Smith (D) |
| West Virginia 1 | R+9 | Alan Mollohan (D)(lost renomination) | 99.9% D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | David McKinley (R) |
| West Virginia 3 | R+6 | Nick Rahall (D) | 66.9% D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Nick Rahall (D) |
| Wisconsin 3 | D+4 | Ron Kind (D) | 63.2% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Ron Kind (D) |
| Wisconsin 7 | D+3 | Dave Obey (D)(retiring) | 60.8% D | Tossup | Tilt R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Likely R(flip) | Sean Duffy (R) |
| Wisconsin 8 | R+2 | Steve Kagen (D) | 54.0% D | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Lean R(flip) | Likely R(flip) | Reid Ribble (R) |
| Overall | R - 204 D - 181 50 tossups | R - 223 D - 194 18 tossups | R - 237 D - 198 | R - 225 D - 168 43 tossups | R - 199 D - 195 41 tossups | D - 190 R - 174 42 tossups | R - 216 D - 200 19 tossups | R - 242 D - 193 | |||