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2010 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeDon YoungHarry Crawford
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote175,38477,606
Percentage68.96%30.51%

Results by state house district
Young:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Crawford:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Don Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Young
Republican

Elections in Alaska

An election was held on November 2, 2010, to determine theU.S. representative forAlaska's at-large congressional district, which includes the entire state ofAlaska.Don Young, theincumbent and a member of theRepublican Party, was re-elected to a twentieth term to serve in the112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.[1] Aprimary election was held on August 24, 2010.[2]

Alaska's population was 66 percent white, 13 percent Native American, 6 percent Hispanic and 4 percent Asian (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 91 percent were high school graduates and 27 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $66,293.[3] In the2008 presidential election, Alaska gave 59 percent of its vote toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain and 38 percent toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama.[4] RepublicanDon Young was the incumbent. Young was re-elected with 50 percent of the vote in2008.[4]

Republican primary

[edit]
Alaska's at-large district Republican primary, August 24, 2010[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDon Young (incumbent)74,31070.35
RepublicanSheldon Fisher24,70923.39
RepublicanJohn R. Cox6,6056.25
Total votes105,624100.00

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

In 2010 Young's opponent in the general election was Democratic nomineeHarry Crawford, a member of theAlaska House of Representatives and formerironworker.[5] John R. Cox and Sheldon Fisher, a formertelecommunications executive, also sought the Republican nomination.[6]Andrew Halcro, a former member of the state House of Representatives who unsuccessfully tan for Governor of Alaska in 2006, said in September 2009 that he would challenge Young in the 2010 Republican primary,[7] but in February 2010 said he was reconsidering his decision.[8]Gabrielle LeDoux, a former member of the state House of Representatives who sought the Republican nomination in the district in 2008, said in July 2009 that she would not run in 2010 if Young sought re-election.[9] Crawford was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.[10]Ethan Berkowitz, the former minority leader of the state House of Representatives who unsuccessfully challenged Young as the Democratic nominee in 2008, said in December of that year that he was considering running again,[11] but said in July 2009 that he would not run.[9]

Young raised $1,001,015 and spent $887,310. Crawford raised $240,439 and spent $235,571.[12] Fisher raised $177,981 and spent the same amount.[13]

In a poll of 710 voters, conducted byPublic Policy Polling (PPP) on January 27 and 28, 2010, Young led with 49 percent to Crawford's 34 percent, while 17 percent were undecided.[14] A PPP poll of 1,306 likely voters, conducted on August 27 and 28, 2010, found that Young had the support of 55 percent while 36 percent favored Crawford and 8 percent were undecided.[15] In a poll of 573 registered and likely voters, conducted between September 23 and 27, 2010, by Ivan Moore Research, Young led with 65 percent to Crawford's 32 percent, while 4 percent were undecided.[16] A poll of 1,678 likely voters, conducted by PPP on October 9 and 10, 2010, found Young leading Crawford by 58 percent to 36 percent, while 6 percent were undecided.[17] Prior to the electionFiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Young a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 65 percent of the vote to Crawford's 35 percent.[18] On election day Young was re-elected with 69 percent to Crawford's 31 percent.[19]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[20]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[21]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[23]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[24]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[25]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[25]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Alaska's at-large district general election, November 2, 2010[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDon Young (incumbent)175,38468.96
DemocraticHarry Crawford77,60630.51
Write-in1,3450.53
Total votes254,335100.00
Republicanhold

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Thiessen, Mark (November 2, 2010)."Young's 20th win for House overshadowed by Senate race".Anchorage Daily News. Archived fromthe original on May 27, 2014. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  2. ^ab"State of Alaska 2010 Primary Election". State of Alaska Division of Elections. September 13, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  3. ^"Alaska At-Large District Profile".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  4. ^ab"Alaska – At Large".Roll Call. RetrievedMay 26, 2014.
  5. ^Forgey, Pat (September 10, 2010)."Crawford hoping to unseat Young".Juneau Empire. Archived fromthe original on May 28, 2014. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  6. ^Joling, Dan (August 21, 2010)."Long-shot Fisher challenges Young in primary".Anchorage Daily News. Archived fromthe original on May 27, 2014. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  7. ^Thiessen, Mark (September 11, 2009)."Halcro says he will challenge Rep. Don Young in 2010 race".Juneau Empire. Archived fromthe original on October 25, 2015. RetrievedDecember 7, 2018.
  8. ^Cockerham, Sean (February 23, 2010)."Halcro unsure of race against Don Young".Anchorage Daily News. Archived fromthe original on February 25, 2010. RetrievedDecember 7, 2018.
  9. ^abToeplitz, Shira (June 16, 2009)."Young May Avoid Hard Race in 2010".Roll Call. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  10. ^Land, Ted; Lamb, Jason (August 25, 2010)."Young, Crawford to vie for U.S. House".KTUU. Archived fromthe original on May 28, 2014. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  11. ^Toeplitz, Shira (December 3, 2008)."Berkowitz Ponders Rematch With Young in Alaska".Roll Call. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  12. ^"Alaska District 01 Race".OpenSecrets. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  13. ^"Sheldon Fisher (R)".OpenSecrets. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  14. ^"Republicans looking strong in Alaska"(PDF).Public Policy Polling. February 1, 2010. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  15. ^"Parnell, Young Safe in Alaska"(PDF).Public Policy Polling. September 2, 2010. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  16. ^"September Alaska survey results"(PDF). Ivan Moore Research. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on November 3, 2011. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  17. ^"Daily Kos AK Poll".Daily Kos. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  18. ^"Alaska At-Large District".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  19. ^ab"State of Alaska 2010 General Election: November 2, 2010". State of Alaska Division of Elections. November 30, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 21, 2019. RetrievedMay 27, 2014.
  20. ^"The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races".The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  21. ^Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010)."House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  22. ^Crystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  23. ^RealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
  24. ^"2010 House Ratings Chart".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedNovember 1, 2010.
  25. ^ab"House Race Ratings".nytimes.com.The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2010. RetrievedOctober 9, 2023.

External links

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