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Results by state house district Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Crawford: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Alaska |
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An election was held on November 2, 2010, to determine theU.S. representative forAlaska's at-large congressional district, which includes the entire state ofAlaska.Don Young, theincumbent and a member of theRepublican Party, was re-elected to a twentieth term to serve in the112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.[1] Aprimary election was held on August 24, 2010.[2]
Alaska's population was 66 percent white, 13 percent Native American, 6 percent Hispanic and 4 percent Asian (seeRace and ethnicity in the United States census); 91 percent were high school graduates and 27 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Itsmedian income was $66,293.[3] In the2008 presidential election, Alaska gave 59 percent of its vote toRepublican nomineeJohn McCain and 38 percent toDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama.[4] RepublicanDon Young was the incumbent. Young was re-elected with 50 percent of the vote in2008.[4]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Young (incumbent) | 74,310 | 70.35 | |
| Republican | Sheldon Fisher | 24,709 | 23.39 | |
| Republican | John R. Cox | 6,605 | 6.25 | |
| Total votes | 105,624 | 100.00 | ||
In 2010 Young's opponent in the general election was Democratic nomineeHarry Crawford, a member of theAlaska House of Representatives and formerironworker.[5] John R. Cox and Sheldon Fisher, a formertelecommunications executive, also sought the Republican nomination.[6]Andrew Halcro, a former member of the state House of Representatives who unsuccessfully tan for Governor of Alaska in 2006, said in September 2009 that he would challenge Young in the 2010 Republican primary,[7] but in February 2010 said he was reconsidering his decision.[8]Gabrielle LeDoux, a former member of the state House of Representatives who sought the Republican nomination in the district in 2008, said in July 2009 that she would not run in 2010 if Young sought re-election.[9] Crawford was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.[10]Ethan Berkowitz, the former minority leader of the state House of Representatives who unsuccessfully challenged Young as the Democratic nominee in 2008, said in December of that year that he was considering running again,[11] but said in July 2009 that he would not run.[9]
Young raised $1,001,015 and spent $887,310. Crawford raised $240,439 and spent $235,571.[12] Fisher raised $177,981 and spent the same amount.[13]
In a poll of 710 voters, conducted byPublic Policy Polling (PPP) on January 27 and 28, 2010, Young led with 49 percent to Crawford's 34 percent, while 17 percent were undecided.[14] A PPP poll of 1,306 likely voters, conducted on August 27 and 28, 2010, found that Young had the support of 55 percent while 36 percent favored Crawford and 8 percent were undecided.[15] In a poll of 573 registered and likely voters, conducted between September 23 and 27, 2010, by Ivan Moore Research, Young led with 65 percent to Crawford's 32 percent, while 4 percent were undecided.[16] A poll of 1,678 likely voters, conducted by PPP on October 9 and 10, 2010, found Young leading Crawford by 58 percent to 36 percent, while 6 percent were undecided.[17] Prior to the electionFiveThirtyEight's forecast gave Young a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 65 percent of the vote to Crawford's 35 percent.[18] On election day Young was re-elected with 69 percent to Crawford's 31 percent.[19]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[21] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| RCP[23] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[24] | Safe R | October 28, 2010 |
| New York Times[25] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| FiveThirtyEight[25] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Young (incumbent) | 175,384 | 68.96 | |
| Democratic | Harry Crawford | 77,606 | 30.51 | |
| Write-in | 1,345 | 0.53 | ||
| Total votes | 254,335 | 100.00 | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||