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2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

← 2006November 2, 20102014 →
 
NomineeLincoln ChafeeJohn Robitaille
PartyIndependentRepublican
Popular vote123,571114,911
Percentage36.10%33.57%

 
NomineeFrank CaprioKen Block
PartyDemocraticModerate
Popular vote78,89622,146
Percentage23.05%6.47%

County results
Municipality results
Chafee:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%
Robitaille:     30–40%     40–50%
Caprio:     30–40%

Governor before election

Donald Carcieri
Republican

Elected Governor

Lincoln Chafee
Independent

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The2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. It was preceded by the primary election on September 14, 2010. IncumbentRepublicangovernorDonald Carcieri was term-limited in 2010. The non-partisanCook Political Report,The New York Times andCQ Politics rated the gubernatorial election as a toss-up.[1][2][3]

With 90 percent of the districts reporting on election night, IndependentLincoln Chafee was declared the winner, with 36.1% of the vote.[4] As of 2023[update], this was the last timeNewport County voted for the Republican candidate in a statewide election. Chafee had served Rhode Island in the U.S. Senate as a Republican from 1999 to 2007; he later joined the Democratic Party in 2013.[5]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Polling (D)

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Poll sourceDates administeredFrank CaprioPatrick C. LynchDavid CicillineElizabeth H. Roberts
Quest Research[7]February 24–25, 200930%17.4%13%12.4%

Results

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Democratic Party primary results[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticFrank Caprio73,142100.00
Total votes73,142100.00

Republican primary

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Candidates

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  • Victor Moffitt, former state representative
  • John Robitaille, businessman

Polling (R)

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Poll sourceDates administeredSteve LaffeyJoseph Trillo
Quest Research[7]February 24–25, 200929.3%6.9%

Results

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Republican primary results[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Robitaille13,20470.17
RepublicanVictor Moffitt5,61329.83
Total votes18,817100.00

General election

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Candidates

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Major

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Minor

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Campaign

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The campaign drew nationwide attention in late October when PresidentBarack Obama, faced with a choice between Democrat Caprio and independent Chafee (who, although he had been a Republican as a senator, had endorsed the Democratic Obama for president in 2008) chose not to make any endorsement in the race. Caprio responded to the lack of an endorsement by his fellow Democrat by stating that the President "can take his endorsement and really shove it as far as I'm concerned."[11]

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[12]TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg[13]Lean I(flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[14]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15]Lean I(flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[16]TossupOctober 28, 2010

Polling

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Poll sourceDates administeredLincoln Chafee (I)Frank Caprio (D)John Robitaille (R)Ken Block (M)
WJAR Channel 10[17]October 23–26, 201035%25%28%2%
Rasmussen Reports[18]October 21, 201035%28%25%
WJAR Channel 10[19]October 4–6, 201033%37%22%2%
Rasmussen Reports[18]October 6, 201033%30%22%4%
Brown University[20]September 27–29, 201023%30%14%2%
WPRI-TV[21]September 22–26, 201030%33%19%4%
Rasmussen Reports[22]September 16, 201033%30%23%5%
Quest Research[23]September 15–17, 201024%36%13%2%
Rasmussen Reports[24]August 17, 201032%38%20%
Brown University[25]July 27–30, 201026%28%7%3%
Rasmussen Reports[26]July 21, 201037%30%23%
Rasmussen Reports[27]June 1, 201035%32%25%
Rasmussen Reports[28]April 21, 201033%34%21%
Rasmussen Reports[29]February 25, 201037%27%19%
Brown University[30]February 9–12, 201034%28%12%

Results

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Rhode Island gubernatorial election, 2010[31]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
IndependentLincoln Chafee123,57136.10%+36.10%
RepublicanJohn Robitaille114,91133.57%−17.44%
DemocraticFrank Caprio78,89623.05%−25.94%
ModerateKen Block22,1466.47%
IndependentJoeseph Lusi1,0910.32%
IndependentTodd Giroux8820.26%
IndependentRonald Algieri7930.23%
Plurality8,6602.53%+0.51%
Turnout342,290
Independentgain fromRepublicanSwing

By county

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Lincoln Chafee
Independent
John Robitaille
Republican
Frank Caprio
Democratic
Kenneth Block
Moderate
OthersTotal
CountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Bristol7,32337.04%6,79634.37%3,95019.98%1,5477.82%1550.78%19,771
Kent22,56335.62%23,30336.79%12,19919.26%4,7457.49%5330.85%63,343
Newport11,31337.55%11,88539.45%5,16517.15%1,4974.97%2640.88%30,124
Providence62,60834.90%55,25830.80%49,26627.46%10,8376.04%1,4170.79%179,386
Washington19,73439.80%17,63735.57%8,19216.73%3,5187.10%3960.80%49,577
Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

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References

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  1. ^"The Cook Political Report | The insider's choice for election analysis". Cookpolitical.com. August 17, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  2. ^"CQ Politics | Governors 2010 map". Innovation.cq.com. Archived fromthe original on June 11, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  3. ^"Governor Races - Election 2010 - The New York Times". Elections.nytimes.com. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  4. ^"Lincoln Chafee elected RI's next governor - WPRI.com". wpri.com. November 2, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2010. RetrievedNovember 3, 2010.
  5. ^"Facing difficult re-election, Chafee officially becomes a Democrat".NBC News. May 29, 2013. Archived fromthe original on March 9, 2024. RetrievedMarch 9, 2024.
  6. ^Steve PeoplesJournal State House Bureau (November 10, 2009)."R.I. General Treasurer Frank T. Caprio announces run for governor | Politics | projo.com | The Providence Journal". projo.com. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  7. ^abQuest Research
  8. ^ab"RI.gov: Election Results". Archived fromthe original on April 30, 2014. RetrievedMarch 7, 2014.
  9. ^"Moderate Party of Rhode Island – Common Ground. Common Sense". Moderate-ri.org. Archived fromthe original on March 8, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  10. ^"The Latest News". Riloveslusiforgov.com. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  11. ^Condon, Stephanie (October 25, 2010)."Frank Caprio: Obama Can Take His Endorsement and "Shove It"".CBS News.
  12. ^"2010 Governors Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  13. ^"Governor Ratings".Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  14. ^"2010 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  15. ^"THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  16. ^"Race Ratings Chart: Governor".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 5, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  17. ^WJAR Channel 10
  18. ^abRasmussen Reports
  19. ^WJAR Channel 10
  20. ^Brown University
  21. ^WPRI-TV
  22. ^Rasmussen Reports
  23. ^Quest Research
  24. ^Rasmussen Reports
  25. ^Brown University
  26. ^Rasmussen Reports
  27. ^Rasmussen Reports
  28. ^Rasmussen Reports
  29. ^Rasmussen Reports
  30. ^Brown University
  31. ^"RI.gov: Election Results". Archived fromthe original on November 18, 2010. RetrievedNovember 25, 2010.

External links

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