2010 New Brunswick general election

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55 seats of theLegislative Assembly of New Brunswick 28 seats needed for a majority
Turnout	69.56%[1]
First party Second party Third party   NDP Leader David Alward Shawn Graham Roger Duguay Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic Leader since October 18, 2008 May 11, 2002 October 13, 2007 Leader's seat Woodstock Kent Ran inTracadie-Sheila (lost) Last election 26 seats, 47.5% 29 seats, 47.1% 0 seats, 5.1% Seats before 21 32 0 Seats won 42 13 0 Seat change 21 19 Popular vote 181,776 128,113 38,737 Percentage 48.84% 34.42% 10.41% Swing 1.34pp 12.68pp 5.26pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.
Premier before election Shawn Graham Liberals Premier after election David Alward Progressive Conservatives

The2010 New Brunswick general election was held on September 27, 2010, to elect 55 members to the57th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of theprovince ofNew Brunswick,Canada. The incumbent Liberal government won 13 seats, while the opposition Progressive Conservatives won a landslide majority of 42 seats in the legislature. As leader of thePC party,David Alward became New Brunswick's32nd premier.

TheLieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of thePremier – would have originally been able to call an election earlier or as late as 2011; however a bill in the 56th Legislature has fixed election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning with this election.^[2]

With the defeat of Liberals, this election marked the first time in New Brunswick's history that a political party was voted out of office after just one term.^[3]

• October 10, 2006 - Organizers for theGreen Party of Canada in New Brunswick announce plans to form aprovincial Green Party in time to field a full slate of candidates in this election.^[4]
• November 5, 2006 -Allison Brewer resigns as leader of theNew Democratic Party. She will be replaced on aninterim basis byPat Hanratty and permanently upon theelection of a new leader in late 2007.
• December 12, 2006 - Anopinion poll conducted November 10 to December 7 byCorporate Research Associates showed theLiberals enjoying an unprecedented lead in opinion polls, standing at 65% in contrast to 27% for the Progressive Conservatives, 6% for the New Democrats and 2% for the Greens.^[5]
• December 13, 2006 -Bernard Lord resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives and announces he will resign his seat in the legislature on January 31, 2007.^[6]

• March 5, 2007 - LiberalChris Collins wins Lord's former seat inMoncton East changing the standings in the legislature to 30 Liberals, 25 Progressive Conservatives.
• April 17, 2007 - Progressive ConservativesJoan MacAlpine-Stiles andWally Stilescross the floor and join the Liberals changing the standings in the legislature to Liberals 32, Progressive Conservatives 23.
• May 29, 2007 - GovernmentHouse LeaderStuart Jamieson tables Bill 75 which would fix election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning on September 27 in 2010.^[39]
• October 13, 2007 - The NDPelectRoger Duguay as their new leader.

• May 17, 2008 - TheGreen Party of New Brunswick is formed. Mike Milligan is elected as the interim leader of the party until a convention can be held in the fall.
• October 18, 2008 –David Alward is elected as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
• November 3, 2008 - Progressive ConservativeJack Carr holds a seat previously held by fellow Progressive ConservativeKeith Ashfield who was elected as Conservative MP for Fredericton restoring the standings in the legislature to 32 Liberals, 23 Progressive Conservatives.

• March 9, 2009 - LiberalBurt Paulin wins a seat previously held by Progressive ConservativePercy Mockler changing the standings in the legislature to 33 Liberals, 22 Progressive Conservatives.
• December 25, 2009 - PremierShawn Graham "says he's ready to fight the next election on his controversialplan to sell NB Power to Hydro-Québec."^[7]

• January 4, 2010 - Justice MinisterMichael Murphy unexpectedly resigns his seat to "spend more time with his family and return to practising law".^[8]
• February 5, 2010 - Cabinet MinisterStuart Jamieson is forced to leave his cabinet post for suggesting that the NB power deal be put to a referendum.
• March 24, 2010 - PremierShawn Graham announces that theproposed sale of NB Power has been canceled.^[9]
• May 10, 2010 - PremierShawn Graham shuffles theNew Brunswick cabinet.Bernard LeBlanc is reinstated as minister of justice, and also named the first minister responsible for public engagement.Brian Kenny is promoted to the tourism portfolio.Cheryl Lavoie enters cabinet as minister of state for seniors.Donald Arseneault gains title of deputy premier.^[10]
• May 19, 2010 - Progressive Conservatives releaseVision for Citizen Engagement and Responsible Government, a pre-campaign document that outlines the PC strategy to improve citizen engagement.^[11]
• June 9, 2010 -People's Alliance officially forms the newest N.B. political party under the leadership of former Tory Kris Austin.^[12]
• September 27, 2010 - David Alward is elected into office as Premier of New Brunswick.

Summary of the 2010Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election^{[a 1]}

Party		Leader	Candidates	Votes						Seats
				#	±	%	Change (pp)			2006	2010	±
	Progressive Conservative	David Alward	55	181,397	3,815	48.80	1.33			26	42 / 55	16
	Liberal	Shawn Graham	55	128,078	48,365	34.45	-12.70			29	13 / 55	16
	New Democratic	Roger Duguay	55	38,686	19,490	10.41	5.28
	Green	Jack MacDougall	49	16,943	16,943	4.56	4.56
	People's Alliance	Kris Austin	14	4,363	4,363	1.17	1.17
	Independent		7	2,275	1,340	0.61	0.36
Total			235	371,742		100.00%
Rejected ballots				3,160	69
Turnout				374,902	2,345	69.56%	2.04
Registered voters				538,965	19,723

  = New party

  = Open seat

  = Turnout is above provincial average

  = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature

  = Incumbent had switched allegiance

  = Previously incumbent in another riding

  = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature

  = Incumbency arose from byelection gain

  = Other incumbents renominated

  = Previously an MP in theHouse of Commons of Canada

  = Multiple candidates

The following is a list of ridings which were narrowly lost by the indicated party. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Conservatives, while under the Conservative column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Liberals. Listed is the name of the riding, and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost.

These ridings are likely to be targeted by the specified party because the party lost them by a very slim margin in the 2006 election.

Up to 10 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. No party orindependent candidate, other than the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives, came within 15% of winning any seats.

* Indicates incumbent not running again.

To clarify further; this is a list of provincial general election winners with their party in parentheses, and their margin as a percentage of the vote over the party whose list the seat is on (not the same as the margin of victory if the party potentially "targeting" the seat in that list did not finish second in the previous election). "Won" means that the targeting party won the seat from the incumbent party. "Held" means the incumbent party held the seat.

The ridings ofMoncton East,Moncton West,Restigouche-La-Vallée andPetitcodiac are also likely to be targeted by the Conservatives as all have switched to the Liberals since the 2006 election. Moncton East and Restigouche-La-Vallée were carried by the Liberals inby-elections while the MLAs for Moncton West and Petitcodiaccrossed the floor from the PCs to the Liberals.

The following sitting MLAs have announced that they will not seek re-election.

• Tony Huntjens, Progressive Conservative MLA forCharlotte-Campobello since 2006, and previously MLA forWestern Charlotte from 1999 to 2006.^[13]
• Roly MacIntyre, Liberal MLA forSaint John East since 2006, and previously MLA forSaint John Champlain from 1995 to 1999 and 2003 to 2006.^[14]
• Jeannot Volpé, Progressive Conservative MLA forMadawaska-les-Lacs since 1995.^[15]
• Joan MacAlpine-Stiles, Liberal MLA (Originally Progressive Conservative) forMoncton West since 1999.^[16]
• Stuart Jamieson, Liberal MLA forSaint John-Fundy, first elected from 1987 to 1999, and re-elected in 2003.^[17]
• Eugene McGinley, Liberal MLA, first elected from 1972 to 1978 as MLA forBathurst, and re-elected in 2003 as MLA forGrand Lake-Gagetown.^[18]
• Cy LeBlanc, Progressive Conservative MLA elected in 1999 and re-elected in 2003 in theDieppe-Memramcook riding. He was re-elected again in 2006 in theDieppe Centre-Lewisville riding.^[19]
• Mike Murphy, Liberal MLA, Moncton North. Serving, Minister of Justice, former Minister of Health.

Legend

• bold denotes cabinet minister or party leader
• italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
• † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election

^a -Collins won the seat in a by-election on March 5, 2007. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative former premierBernard Lord.

^b -MacAlpine-Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. She previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

^c -Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. He previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

^d -Carr won the seat in a by-election on November 3, 2008. The seat was previously held by fellow Progressive ConservativeKeith Ashfield.

^e -Paulin won the seat in a by-election on March 9, 2009. The seat was previously held by Progressive ConservativePercy Mockler.

• Election New Brunswick 2010
• Election New Brunswick 2010, Unofficial Candidate List
• Election Almanac - New Brunswick Provincial Election 2010

• Elections in New Brunswick
• 2010 elections in Canada
• 2010 in New Brunswick
• September 2010 in Canada

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